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New York Yankees 2012 MLB Draft Review

The more I think about Peter O’Brien as a prospect, the more I think a comparison to Tommy Joseph makes sense. Both are big guys, both have some questions about their defensive future (Joseph has put most of these concerns to rest, but it has taken time), and both have the one plus tool that will keep them getting work for the foreseeable future: huge raw power. He had an auspicious pro debut, but that doesn’t change his basic scouting profile. If he can catch, he’ll be a star. Unlike many other catchers with questionable futures behind the dish, O’Brien should bring enough offense to give him a shot even if moved to first base. They key phrasing there is “give him a shot”: the bar is so darn high for the position that I’m not bold and/or stupid enough to say he’s a definite starting caliber big league first baseman. Not for nothing, but I had him ranked 94th on my final pre-draft big board…and the Yankees picked him with the 94th overall pick. Blind squirrel, acorn, etc.

100 plate appearances doesn’t mean much in the grand scheme of things, but I have to admit to being a teeny tiny bit worried about Nathan Mikolas’ professional debut. Worse prospects than Mikolas have had worse pro starts (.134/.290/.171) and still gone on to bigger and better things, so I think it is time to put that teeny tiny bit of doubt to bed. Mikolas may or may not be a good big league hitter, but those 100 plate appearances shouldn’t sway me one way or another. All that aside, I really believe in Mikolas’ bat. The limb I wouldn’t go out on for O’Brien is one that I’m happy to hop on for Mikolas. His bat is good enough for every day first base duty, though it will take some time. Matt Snyder was old for Staten Island, but he did the job he was asked to do. He has some righty-mashing platoon potential, though I’m not sure that the Yankees, or any team for that matter, has such a role in mind for their DH spot. You can copy that last sentence and apply the same logic to Saxon Butler. It’ll be interesting to see what the Yankees do with their three new lefthanded hitting first base prospects. I think Mikolas’ bat is advanced enough for full-season ball (ugly pro debut notwithstanding), but the presence of college sluggers Snyder and Butler creates a logjam in the system’s lower levels. The tea leaves seem to indicate that Butler will be in Tampa (A+), Snyder in Charleston (A), and Mikolas in Staten Island (R).

I love the OF to 2B conversion, so it should go without saying that the news of Robert Refsnyder moving from Arizona outfielder to Riverdogs second baseman made my day. Unfortunately, the transition appears to be on hold, at least for the time being. As a second baseman Refsnyder becomes a really intriguing prospect. He’s a great athlete with above-average speed, sneaky pop, and the grinder mentality that endears him to scouts, coaches, and teammates. He more than held his own with the bat at Charleston – strong walk rate, good success stealing bags – but it does without saying that his well-rounded offensive profile plays a lot better in the middle of the infield than it would as a corner outfielder. It still sounds like second base is in his future, but we’ll know more in a few months. A natural comparison here is Phillies draft prospect and fellow OF to 2B Andrew Pullin; it’ll be fun to track their two careers over the next few seasons.

Yankees fans have every right to be excited about Austin Aune as a prospect. As a former football star, there’s plenty of untapped raw talent and athleticism waiting to turn into actualized baseball skills with the help of consistent at bats and good coaching. If that was all Aune was, that would be enough. His tools are that good. There’s more to his game than just doing whatever comes naturally athletically.  Aune is more advanced as a ballplayer than many give him credit, from his sweet lefthanded swing to his ability to make consistent hard contact no matter where the ball is pitched. As his body fills out and his raw power begins showing up more often when the lights come on, watch out.

Aune is joined in the 2012 Yankee draft class outfield by Taylor Dugas. I won’t try to put too fine a point on this, so I’ll just come out and say it: I love Taylor Dugas. He’s got three average or slightly better tools (hit, speed, defense), one slightly below-average tool (arm), and one well below-average tool (power). That skill set isn’t entirely uncommon, but what sets Dugas apart is his phenomenal plate discipline. I understand those who think he’ll top out in the high minors after pitchers, with little fear of an extra base hit, begin daring him to hit pitches in the strike zone. But just because I understand it doesn’t mean I agree with it. If Dugas fails to make the big leagues, I’ll do something crazy. Like eat a sautéed mushroom, the most disgusting food I can think of at the moment. Now that’s confidence! I will admit that there is some weirdness with Dugas being a Yankee. He feels like he should be a Padre. That said, his being a member of the Yankees organization does give him a perfect player to emulate in pro ball: Brett Gardner. That’s a pretty fantastic comp, if I do say so myself. Dugas should follow the Gardner path – Staten Island in year one, then Tampa and Trenton in year two – if all goes according to plan. I’m hoping that’s the case since I’m only 50 minutes on the train away from beautiful downtown Trenton, New Jersey.

I consistently get Ty Hensley and Shane Watson confused, so it was only fitting that the Yankees selected the former ten picks before the Phillies popped the latter. The two righthanders, born roughly two weeks apart, are very similar prospects across the board. Hensley has a little bit of bulk on Watson, but they are like twins otherwise. Like Watson, Hensley has a pro body, plus fastball, curveball with plus upside, and quickly emerging changeup that should be at least an average pitch in time. The overall package is rather impressive. Both Hensley and Watson should rank at or near the top of their respective organization’s pitching prospect rankings. Both pitchers have big league average upside (no small feat for a starting pitcher) or better. I’m just spitballing here, but I think Hensley is second only to Manny Banuelos in the Yankee pitching pecking order with the chance to rank as high as fourth overall (also behind both Gary Sanchez and Mason Williams) in the entire system.

I’ve said before that I don’t really believe in the concept of a sleeper. Look at Corey Black, the Yankees fourth round pick out of tiny Faulkner University in Montgomery, Alabama. All signs point to a sleeper, right? I mean, I’ve read on other sites that he was a sleeper, so it must be true. Well, Black’s career doesn’t begin and end at Faulkner University. He was once a big name at San Diego State. Before that, like many so-called sleepers, he was a standout prep prospect. I don’t think it is a stretch to say that Black has been on the draft radar going on five years now. I get that I devote far more time and energy to this stuff than the vast majority of the baseball consuming population, but it still burns me up when mainstream media types tout players as sleepers who are in no way sleepers. To some it seems that any player taken after the first day is a sleeper. Pandering to an audience that, let’s be honest, doesn’t give a darn about amateur baseball 364 days out of the year may be part of the job at some of the industry leaders, but don’t pretend that you’re a draft expert when you aren’t. Baseball America and Perfect Game are largely exempt from my rant, by the way. To a man the employees of both outlets do consistently excellent work on draft coverage. Moving on…

Corey Black’s upside depends on how great of a chance you think he has to start. As a starter, he has mid-rotation upside thanks to an excellent fastball, above-average change, and whatever breaking ball he can get over on a daily basis. Bonus points should be awarded for his ability to hold his velocity late into games. He’s also likely to be one of the better hitting pitchers wherever he goes. If left to his own in the bullpen, however, he has a chance to pitch some serious late inning, high leverage innings. Like most guys, you’ve got to try him as a starter and let him pitch in the rotation until he shows you he’s a reliever.

New York hit up many traditional scouting outposts like the Oklahoma and Texas prep ranks, as well as poaching players from talent-rich universities like Miami, Arizona, and LSU. What stood out to me, however, was their willingness to go beyond the typical talent boundaries and expand their search to exotic locales like Wisconsin, Montana, Ontario, and Utah. Mikolas is the poster boy for New York’s nationwide quest for talent, but he’s not the only cold weather prospect of note. Brady Lail, out of Utah, is an unquestionably great pick way down in the 18th round. In many respects, Brady Lail is Mr. High School Pitching Prospect. Like so many high school pitching prospects, Lail sits mostly upper-80s yet has a frame that suggests more velocity is in his future. Lail also features a breaking ball that can and should be a well above-average big league offering in time. However, like so many high school pitching prospects, he currently lacks the necessary third pitch to make it as an effective starter in pro ball. Lail gives you a lot to work with, so much so that it isn’t a stretch to say he has the potential to someday be in a big league rotation. Bridging the gap between what he is and what he’ll be, however, is where the fun comes in.

The trajectory of Lail’s career will be fascinating to follow, especially if you buy my thesis that he’s Mr. High School Pitching Prospect. Every young player’s career can go in an infinite number of directions at this developmental point, with so much depending on factors that are ostensibly outside of the player’s control. We’re talking things like coaching, injury, and opportunity here. Different developmental staffs have different ideas on how much of a difference they can really make in any young player. Some young arms just seem to get it in pro ball, some don’t. Some staffs believe certain pitches – most often breaking balls – are either in an arm or aren’t, others believe that any pitcher gifted with a big time arm can be taught how to spin a ball over time. Lail’s career won’t offer any particular insight into prospect development, especially with the limited information available to those removed from the process; he will, however, become another cog in the proverbial high risk/high reward baseball prospect machine.

Nick Goody had an excellent start to his pro career, something that really isn’t all the shocking considering the excellent season he had at LSU. As a general rule, relievers who dominate SEC competition fare quite well in the low minors. I can definitely see Goody becoming a favorite of the numbers-first crowd. Those who have seen him pitch share similar affection thanks to a sneaky fast fastball and well above-average breaking ball. Taylor Garrison is cut from a similar cloth. Comparable fastball, command, and breaking ball all wrapped up in a diminutive (i.e. under 6-foot) package. Garrison has a better third pitch (changeup), but Goody’s overall package is still stronger. Both seem likely to start the season in Tampa with Goody holding an outside shot at beginning a step ahead in AA.

Derek Varnadore is mostly fastball/slider coming out of the bullpen. He’s a clear step below both Goody and Garrison in the pecking order, but could still be one of those guys who hangs on long enough and someday gets his chance in the bigs. My favorite (pre-draft) reliever drafted by the Yankees is Stefan Lopez. I think Lopez has a chance to be a really fine bullpen piece. His fastball is one of those pitches that hitters can know is coming and still not make solid contact. Combine that with an above-average slider and decent feel for the slow stuff, and you’ve got yourself a potential big league reliever. That’s a really nice outcome for a player taken in the 16th round.

The Yankees collection of draft lefties isn’t something to write home about, but there are a few interesting names that should be familiar to fans of college baseball. Eric Erickson is one of the better stories to emerge from the 2012 draft class. I know for a fact that seeing him pitch well in pro ball pleased a lot of the scouts who have followed him over the past few seasons. He’s overcome a great deal from an injury standpoint to get this far, and he has a lot of fans in the industry who would like nothing more than to see him continue defy the odds. Now here comes the splash of cold water. Erickson has an incredibly tough road ahead of him if he ever wants to reach the highest level. Erickson will start next season having already turned 25 years old. As a point of reference, Dietrich Enns, another college lefty drafted by New York, turns 22 in May of next year. The two guys had weirdly similar underlying numbers in their debuts, but those three years make a big time difference going forward. Age alone doesn’t make Enns the better prospect – I’d go so far as to argue age is overrated for pitching prospects, especially guys with ceilings that top out in the bullpen – but with similar scouting profiles, statistical backgrounds, and body types, the edge goes to the younger, healthier arm.

No matter what happens in Erickson’s professional future, I hope he takes comfort in being able to say he pitched for the Yankees (Staten Island) in pro ball. That’s something nobody can ever take away from him. Stories like Erickson’s bring us back to remembering that the players drafted each year are real life living people. Becoming a successful big league player is the goal for everybody, but keeping the incredible journey along the way in perspective is plenty important in its own right.

As for the aforementioned Enns, well, he’s a little bit like the MAC version of Michael Roth. Unless that’s Kent State lefty David Starn. Turns out that high pitchability lefthanders with unexciting stuff aren’t so uncommon in college after all. Who knew?

More words were typed on the other guys, but I like James Pazos from San Diego the most out of the bunch. He did a nice job out of the bullpen for Staten Island, though I’d like to see him get a chance in a rotation starting next season. He has enough of a three pitch mix to get by, and his ability to induce groundballs is encouraging.

I didn’t write much or anything about the non-Lail trio of prep arms the Yankees managed to sign for $100,000 apiece past round 10. Caleb Frare, from noted baseball hotbed Montana, is a lefty with reasonable upside, Dayton Dawe of the Great White North has an advanced arsenal for a high school arm and good athleticism, and Jose Mesa Jr. is, well, Jose Mesa Jr. The world is a better place with a Joe Table in pro ball.

C

2.94 Miami C Peter O’Brien

8. Miami SR C Peter O’Brien: nothing has changed when it comes to O’Brien’s basic scouting report: plus-plus power and a strong arm, but below-average everywhere else; what has changed is his level of competition – doing what he did in the ACC has opened some eyes, and rightfully so; his hit tool isn’t as strong and he’s a better bet to stick behind the plate, but I think a comparison between O’Brien and last year’s preeminent college power hitter CJ Cron has some merit – if O’Brien had been moved off of catcher coming into the year, I wonder if scouts would appreciate his bat more rather than focusing on the negatives of his defense; 6-5, 225 pounds

3.124 Bradford HS (WI) 1B Nathan Mikolas

1. 1B Nathan Mikolas (Bradford HS, Wisconsin): strong hit tool; above-average power upside; good athlete; really smart young hitter; quick bat; can hit to all fields; questionable defender and athlete; best position is batter’s box; has also played some OF; 6-2, 200 pounds

10.337 Mississippi 1B Matt Snyder

26. Mississippi SR 1B Matt Snyder: mature approach pairs well with mature, physical, strong as an ox frame; well above-average raw power; average at best hit tool, but better than that of most college senior sign sluggers; below-average defender; below-average speed; 6-6, 215 pounds

33.1027 Samford 1B Saxon Butler

39. Samford SR 1B Saxon Butler: unheralded junior college transfer who has hit a ton since getting to campus; above-average present power; not a lot of projection nor is there much to his game outside of the batter’s box, but should be quality pro hitter; 6-2, 225 pounds

2B

5.187 Arizona 2B Robert Refsnyder

129. Arizona JR OF Robert Refsnyder: plus athlete; 55 speed; big raw power, but currently to gaps (10 HRs a year?); strong arm for RF; gets most out of tools; strong hit tool; 6-1, 205 pounds

OF

2.89 Argyle HS (TX) OF Austin Aune

20. OF Austin Aune (Argyle HS, Texas): pretty lefthanded swing; great athlete; first round tools; football star who is a questionable sign; good runner; strong arm; can hit the ball anywhere it is pitched; 6-3, 190 pounds

8.277 Alabama OF Taylor Dugas

63. Alabama SR OF Taylor Dugas: advanced idea of strike zone; above-average speed; good athlete; gap power; average at best arm; little power; good CF range; leadoff profile; earned one of my all-time all-caps FAVORITE designations going back to his sophomore season; drills high velocity with no problem; smart on bases; as much as I love him, I understand he has a limited ceiling and will have to  continually drastically outperform more physically talented players to keep moving up through a system; 5-7, 175 pounds

Pitchers

1.30 Santa Fe HS (OK) RHP Ty Hensley

29. RHP Ty Hensley (Santa Fe HS, Oklahoma): 88-93 FB, 94-95 peak; velocity has been up at times, sitting 92-95, peaking 97-98; good FB command; really good 74-79 CB with plus upside that he relies on heavily; emerging 79-82 CU; 84-86 SL that he has difficult commanding; strong hitter; two potential plus pitches and a big league frame are a great start, but he’ll have to continue developing a third pitch, likely his nascent change, going forward; as is, he has first day stuff; 6-5, 220 pounds

4.157 Faulkner RHP Corey Black

56. Faulkner (AL) JR RHP Corey Black: 90-95 FB, 96 peak; holds velocity late; velocity way up in 2012: sitting 94-96, 98-99 peak; above-average 81-84 CU; occasional CB, average SL; transferred from San Diego State; good fielder; nice line drive swing; 5-11, 180 pounds

6.217 LSU RHP Nick Goody

180. LSU JR RHP Nick Goody: 88-92 FB, 94 peak; promising 78-82 breaking ball that falls somewhere between slider and power curve; good deception in delivery helps his fastball play up; has the small sample size of any one-year college reliever, but really hard to find fault with his 2012 performances (below); 6-0, 190 pounds

7.247 Fresno State RHP Taylor Garrison

187. Fresno State SR RHP Taylor Garrison: 89-93 FB, 94 peak; good command; good SL with cutter action; above-average CU; also throws CB; 5-10, 160 pounds

9.307 Auburn RHP Derek Varnadore

290. Auburn SR RHP Derek Varnadore: 89-92 FB, rare 94 peak; improved SL, has really firmed up – now 86-88 and an above-average pitch; shows CU; good deception; total package adds up to a solid mid- to late-round senior sign and a potential middle reliever if he hangs on long enough; 6-4, 215 pounds

13.427 San Diego LHP James Pazos

291. San Diego JR LHP James Pazos: 88-92 FB, 93 peak; good CU; SL with upside; has the repertoire, delivery, and demeanor to potentially start in pro ball; 6-3, 225 pounds

16.517 Southeastern Louisiana RHP Stefan Lopez

144. Southeastern Louisiana JR RHP Stefan Lopez: 89-94 FB, 95 peak; good FB command; relies heavily on FB; good 84 SL that he should use more of; might throw one CU per outing, if that; recovered from torn ACL in 2011; I’m on an island with this one, but I think pro coaching and continued progress as he heals from his knee injury could turn Lopez into a viable late-inning big league pitcher, potentially a closer; 6-2, 190 pounds

18.577 Bingham HS (UT) RHP Brady Lail

143. RHP Brady Lail (Bingham HS, Utah): 86-90 FB, 92 peak; good athlete; good 74-77 kCB; very good command, especially on breaking ball; shows CU, but still a raw third pitch; 6-3, 180 pounds

19.607 Central Michigan LHP Dietrich Enns

485. Central Michigan JR LHP Dietrich Enns: 88-92 FB; good CU; one of the country’s smartest pitchers and a lot of fun to watch him work; 6-1, 190 pounds

34.1057 Miami LHP Eric Erickson

356. Miami SR LHP Eric Erickson: 88-90 FB; CB; CU; 6-0, 190 pounds

 

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Philadelphia Phillies 2012 MLB Draft Review

Josh Ludy is a shining example of why college baseball is a smart option for some players. Ignoring the fact that he wasn’t a highly regarded prospect out of high school, signing at that point in his development would have been big trouble for Ludy’s career. It took him two years to get regular at bats for Baylor. When he finally got his big chance his junior year, his offensive output was met with an emphatic “meh.” Bet you didn’t think you could make “meh” emphatically, but you can. If Ludy had done what he had done in college in the pros, then the odds of him getting a pink tag in his locker at some point along the way would have been high. In college, however, you get more rope. Not a ton of rope, mind you, but more than in professional ball. With one more season to prove himself a legitimate professional talent, Ludy stepped up his game in a big way. That’s the good news for Ludy.

The counter-point to that heartwarming tale is the cruel reality that it is smart to beware college seniors who beat up on teenage arms fresh out of high school. When a college senior dominates Rookie ball, it is expected. Nobody raises an eyebrow when a grown man pummels teenage pitching. The competition at most major college conferences is comparable, especially when you look at most schools Friday/Saturday night starting pitchers. Ludy’s story is a good one, but there’s still a long way between the joy of a successful draft day and reaching the big leagues. He did a nice job in low-A Lakewood as a 22-year old, so perhaps the adjustments made over the years at Baylor have more meaning than initially thought. His story of perseverance makes him a fun guy to root for, in any case. I think the gains he has made as a hitter are legit, but it’ll be his glove, which ranges from adequate to unplayable on any given day, that determines his long range professional future. I like fellow college catcher Chad Carman and think he has value as an experienced backstop capable of guiding young pitching through the ups and downs of professional baseball. Whether or not he ever reaches the highest level remains to be seen – like any double-digit round prospect, it’s a long shot – but it seems likely he’ll provide value to whatever team he plays on regardless of what shows up in the box score.

Regular readers of the site know that I’m a big fan of comps. I think comps are a great way of bridging the gap between obsessive minor league and amateur baseball fans (that’s me and likely anybody reading this by choice) and casual big league only fans. A good comp gives a frame of reference – could be about tools, body type, mechanics, potential production, almost anything – that sheds light on prospects that often play in relative darkness. I understand the complaint that comps can create unrealistic expectations for players. I think that expectations on certain guys can get out of hand regardless of what I, or, more likely, anybody with a wider reach than I says about a particular prospect. Blaming the comp itself is an unnecessary copout. Expectations for prospects can be directly tied to what the industry leaders write. Comps or not, players ranked highly and praised publicly are viewed as future superstars who will hit the ground running from day one of their big league careers. If anything, I believe comps, when done responsibly, can actually help create a more realistic set of possible outcomes for any given player. Take the pre-draft note I heard on Chris Serritella. A scout who saw both players said that Serritella reminded him of Paul Goldschmidt at similar points in their respective development. If the reader’s take away from that is Serritella = Goldschmidt, then somewhere along the way the ball has been dropped. That was not the intention of the original note, but I can see why somebody might read Goldschmidt’s name in connection with Serritella and just run with the comp.

This is where it pays to be responsible whenever throwing out comps. I should have been clearer with the original note. There are some vague similarities between Serritella and Goldschmidt, but also some pretty huge differences (e.g. handedness). The comp originated based on what I had hoped was a fairly simple question: of all the college bat-only prospects in this year’s draft, which player could surprise in the same way Paul Goldschmidt once did? Serritella was the answer I received, but that doesn’t mean Serritella will ever necessarily achieve what Goldschmidt has. It is worth noting that Paul Goldschmidt wasn’t the Paul Goldschmidt we now know back when he was a draft prospect. Prospect development is weird and unpredictable, after all.

At the same age as Serritella, Goldschmidt socked 35 dingers in high-A (Cal League, but still), adding up to a total of 53 pro home runs to that point. Serritella has hit six homers in Rookie ball. I like Serritella because I’m a sucker for watching good power hitters hit, but it doesn’t take a genius to see he has a good amount of ground to make up if he ever wants to approach such a lofty comp. Luckily, he won’t have to turn himself into an everyday starter at first base to provide value as a fourth round pick. Serritella can have a long, fruitful career as a bench bat if he keeps up a good to very good yet not great hitting path. Or, more optimistically, Serritella could find himself in a first base timeshare where he can just mash righthanded pitching whenever the opportunity arises. Most teams shy away from platoons these days, especially at glamor hitting spots like first base, but that doesn’t really change how Serritella could potentially be useful. A smart team will find a way to utilize his talents, assuming he hits as expected.

William Carmona has serious power in his bat. Unfortunately, a below-average approach limits the utility of his one plus tool. His defensive shortcomings – bad in an outfield corner, worse at third base – lock him into first base over the long run. As an org guy who can help a minor league lineup win some games with his pop he’s fine, but very few players with his scouting profile ever reach the highest level. Honestly, I can’t think of any.

Cameron Perkins has a realistic floor of four-corners (LF/RF/3B/1B) bench bat, especially with the way he sees lefthanded pitching. The dearth of starting caliber big league third basemen makes him more of a prospect than he might otherwise be. If he gets his act together on defense – I say it like it is really as simple as that – then he has a chance to get regular time at the hot corner. I can see the future in Philadelphia now: a Cody Asche/Cameron Perkins platoon at third base. Third base has been an organizational black hole for almost fifteen years, so forgive me for fantasizing about Cody and Cameron mashing their way to the top together. I will say this: in much the same way Asche seemingly came out of nowhere this season, Perkins could do the same in 2013. I’m not crazy enough to predict that Perkins will go from Rookie ball to tearing up AA next year, but even suggesting the possibility is exciting. Perkins has some big time sleeper upside. For the record, Asche was the 2011 MLB Draft’s 170th best prospect (according to all-knowing me) while Perkins came in at 98th in 2012. That isn’t the best way to compare the two as draft prospects — last year’s draft had a lot more depth across the board – so I’ve included Asche’s brief pre-draft report below:

“Really like his approach, but have been underwhelmed by his overall package thus far” – that’s what I had in my notes re: Asche coming into the year. I’m happy to say that I’m no longer underwhelmed and now considered myself appropriately whelmed by his performance. I wasn’t alone in worrying that he wouldn’t stick at third coming into the year, but am now ready to go out on a limb and say I think his athleticism and instincts make him underrated at the position. Despite his very powerful throwing arm he’ll never be a good defender at third, but if his plus raw power would look really good if he can at least play at or around average defense as a pro.

Interesting to compare that to Perkins’ pre-draft report (found below). Here are their respective junior season park/schedule adjusted numbers for good measure:

Asche: .337/.437/.668 – 36 BB/39 K – 208 AB
Perkins: .406/.448/.613 – 12 BB/16 K – 217 AB

There’s not really a direct comparison to make between the two prospects, just some food for thought. Third base is a strength in the Phillies minor league system, if you can believe it. Keeping that in mind, I think Perkins could start the season in low-A Lakewood. If the Phillies aren’t as committed to keeping Perkins at third as I hope, then he could get challenged with the high-A Clearwater assignment, a la Asche last year. Maikel Franco should be getting the vast majority of time at third base for the Threshers, so Perkins would be best served in Lakewood if having him play third every day is the desired outcome. There will be an opening at AA Reading, but that’s a major stretch for a first full year starting assignment for a position player taken outside of the first round.

Tim Carver is a warm body who can catch the ball consistently at short. He’s not a big leaguer, but he can still give a professional organization some value. It never hurts having a sure-handed shortstop fielding grounders behind young pitching. The selection of Zach Green genuinely caught me by surprise. After getting over the initial shock, I can at least see what the Phillies were thinking: interesting defensive tools that play up due to excellent instincts and an advanced bat for a prep infielder. He played mostly third after signing, but I think he’s best left to fend for himself at short. The potential glut of third basemen in the system – man it feels weird writing that — has a tiny something to do with it, but it has more to do with Green’s good enough range and hands. It’s possible he’ll keep growing and overshoot the position anyway, but leaving him up the middle makes him a really interesting prospect rather than just another lottery ticket.

You can flip a coin between Perkins and Andrew Pullin to decide which position player drafted by the Phillies is the better bet going forward. The two were actually ranked back-to-back on my final big board: 98th for Perkins, 99th for Pullin. Pullin’s professional switch to second base gives him the edge currently as the best 2012 MLB Draft Phillies position player prospect. Sometimes it is harder to write a lot about favorite prospects because the prose can get a little too flowery and optimistic, so I’ll try to keep it brief with Pullin. Simply put, Pullin has star potential at second base. He won’t wow you with his tools, but he’ll still find a way to leave you walking away impressed. He’s extremely well-rounded for a young player, working deep counts yet always coming out on the positive ledger of the patient vs passive approach to hitting. He’s obviously a work in progress in the infield, but there’s little doubt that he has the hands, feet, and arm to make the conversion a success. The thought of him working as a double play combination with Roman Quinn playing to his right at Lakewood (Low-A) at some point next season makes me very happy. Keeping in mind everything I said about comps earlier, the Pullin/Quinn pairing up the middle looks a little bit like the Chase Utley/Jimmy Rollins duo. Utley and Rollins will both finish their careers as rock solid members of the Hall of Very Good, so projecting any prospect to someday play at that level is likely an exercise in futility. But it never hurts to dream, right?

The Dylan Cozens selection was widely panned by the industry leaders in the days that followed the draft. The impressive power, patience, and speed he showed as an 18-year old in the GCL shouldn’t be enough to quiet down those who initially opposed the pick, but I hope it puts to rest the idea that Cozens will never ever make it in pro ball. Cozens was a victim of both limited exposure and easily attainable information this spring. I think he makes for an excellent study in how opinions are formed in the online draft community. There’s such a fine line between trusting the data, empirical or otherwise, attained throughout the draft process and trusting the people within big league scouting staffs who evaluate amateur players for a living.

I don’t think one should like a pick simply because a certain team valued a player highly. It can be part of the conversation, but not the entire basis of liking or disliking a move. This phenomenon seems most common with minor league players, as certain teams (e.g. Tampa over the past few years, Texas currently) have such a strong track record of developing talent that it seems their players get a boost in rankings whether they deserve it or not. It also happens with the draft: see the fawning over any prep arm selected by Logan White and the Dodgers from a few years ago.

While I don’t think one should automatically like a pick because a certain scouting department made it, I do think there is some logic to the idea. It is alright to take a step back and try to consider what the drafting team knows that the general public might not. A few in the business appear to be of the mindset that it is best to form an opinion early and then stick to it no matter what evidence is uncovered along the way. A team drafting a player you ranked 239th (as I ranked Cozens) before the draft with the 77th overall pick doesn’t make anybody right or wrong. It is, however, a data point to be considered when reassessing the player. Ignoring the possibility that you might have misjudged the player initially negates any possibility for growth as an analyst of the sport. What did the Phillies see that I didn’t? What did they know that I didn’t? If after doubling back and re-researching the prospect still leads to the original conclusion on the player, so be it. But to simply dismiss the pick as a massive overdraft is missing an opportunity to do this job better.

I don’t get a chance to see every player in person; even if I did there wouldn’t be a great deal of value to come out of the limited looks from my admittedly amateur eye. Too many prospect writers seem to have made this industry an either or proposition in recent years. Either you go out and see prospects and write “scouting reports,” or you do your best as an aggregator of as many valuable sources as you can. Forgive me if I’m tilting at windmills here, but, really, what’s the harm in doing both? Trust your own opinion, but seek out others to either support or refute what you think you already know. I love going to games and watching video above all else, but I’m not foolhardy enough to think that my own view is the final word. I rely a great deal on my own little web of sources throughout the game. I’d also be lying if I said that I didn’t read and listen to what the industry leaders report on amateur prospects. When Aaron Fitt writes about a college pitcher sitting 88-92 with an above-average slider, that’s information that I can eventually use to help build a fuller picture of a prospect. I literally see no downside to this approach. Alright, I feel better. Let’s move on.

We’ll never know for sure if Cozens was “overdrafted” because we don’t have every team’s big board at our disposal. For all we know, Cozens may have been taken with the very next pick after Philadelphia at 77 if the Phillies decided to pass. All we know for sure is that the Phillies had him down as being worth at least a second round pick, possibly higher. That doesn’t make him good, bad, or anything in between, but, again, it is a viable data point to consider when evaluating him as a prospect. I compared Cozens to Wallace Gonzalez before the draft, but I now think it safe to say that Cozens is a far more athletic prospect who is also more advanced as a hitter. His defense will be something to watch closely, especially if he still has some growing to do in his 6-6, 235 pound frame. I’ve now heard him compared to what Aaron Judge, a potential first round pick from Fresno State, looked like from both an athletic standpoint and as a hitter (opposite handedness) coming out of high school. That would put Cozens’ upside at big league regular or better, depending on your current view of Judge. I’m cautiously optimistic about Cozens’ future.

Steven Golden fits the old Phillies mold of prep outfield prospect. He’s very athletic, a good runner, and an even better defender. The jury is still out on how much power he’ll grow into over the long run. As mentioned in his pre-draft report, I do like his hit tool – he has a far more balanced swing than the typical toolsy high school prospect – more than most I’ve talked to and read. The trouble with projecting high school bats like Golden (i.e. leadoff-type hitters) is that there’s really no telling what kind of plate discipline they’ll show once they get going in pro ball. There are a few indicators to watch out for from a scouting standpoint while they are still playing high school and summer ball, but plate discipline remains the toughest skill to project with any young amateur. There have been three big league players with the surname Golden (Jim, Mike, Roy), so the race to become number four is officially on. Steven will face still competition from last year’s second round pick by the Cubs, Reggie. Both are long shots.

Shane Watson and Mitchell Gueller will forever be linked together in the minds of fans associating the two supplemental first round picks as a package deal. At least that’s how I see it, anyway. Gueller’s fastball is on par with Watson’s, but his breaking ball isn’t as strong at present. A quick categorization of the two puts Watson as more of a polished pitcher (i.e. more pitchability, more refined stuff, better idea of how to put away hitters, etc.) and Gueller as more of an athletic project. That isn’t meant to downplay Watson’s ceiling; the popular Brett Myers comps speak to his mid-rotation or better upside.

One key thing both players share is a late season velocity spike that helped vault their draft stock considerably. Watson went from low-90s peaks to hitting 96. Gueller did the same. One of the interesting subplots to track with Gueller is how his desire to hit will impact his professional future. The Phillies gave him 900,000+ reasons to forget about hitting for the time being, but you have to wonder if his mind will drift back to life in the batter’s box if/when he struggles on the mound. That’s largely baseless conjecture on my end, so feel free to dismiss it if you like. I think there’s a strong argument that Gueller is the superior long-range prospect, especially if you’re all about upside – something about these cold weather pitchers with fewer miles on arm and extremely athletic builds – but the relative safety of Watson gives him the slim advantage. The fact that two really strong young pitching prospects will likely rank closer to 15 than 5 on most offseason organizational prospect rankings is a testament to the quality depth the Phillies have brought in over the past few seasons. I have Watson and Gueller each behind the lefthanded one-two punch of Jesse Biddle and Adam Morgan, likely behind righthanders Ethan Martin, Trevor May, and Jon Pettibone, and ahead of a large group of intriguing future late game relievers like Kenneth Giles, Lisalberto Bonilla, and, unfortunately yet inevitably, Brody Colvin.

Hoby Milner has all of the elements of recent Phillies mid- to late-round lefthanded pitching college steals. That’s what I originally wrote before going back and checking the last decade of Phillies drafts. Turns out they do seem to make a point of targeting a college lefthander or two within the draft’s first few rounds, but the success rate isn’t as high as I had imagined. It’s still very good, sure, but not quite as infallible as my memory wanted me to believe. Names like Justin Blaine (6th round) and Dan Brauer (6th round) are among the swings and misses. Phillies brass has to hope Milner’s more JA Happ and Adam Morgan than Bryan Morgado and Matthew Way, to say nothing of the worthy yet failed gamble on Joe Savery. I liked Milner a lot, ranking him over 100 spots higher on my pre-draft list than where he was actually drafted and noting that I think he’ll be a better pro than collegiate player. His body still has room to either add a few ticks to his peak fastball (from 92-93 peak to 95-96), gain more consistency on his sitting velocity (even if he moves from his current mid- to upper-80s to 88-91 that’s a good thing), or, in a perfect world, both. He has the potential for three above-average pitches (FB/CB/CU) that should help him start for the big club down the line. I don’t think this is necessarily a bold prediction, but all that is keeping him away from truly reaching his pro potential could be a better workout program, good pro coaching, and a more responsibly managed workload. Combine all that with his natural talent and he’ll be the first Phillies draft pick from 2012 to reach the big leagues.

Kevin Brady is another potential pitcher who should be better in pro ball than he showed in college. I’m typically a let the pitcher start until he proves he can’t kind of guy, but I think letting Brady stay in the bullpen and fire away is probably the best course of action. He could be a part of an intriguing High-A bullpen that should also include hard throwers Kenneth Giles and recent position player convert Tim Kennelly. Brady’s upside is likely middle relief; in fact, to use a current Phil as a point of comparison, he reminds me some of a more svelte Josh Lindblom.

The Phillies grabbed two more college arms with some relief upside in Zach Cooper and Jeb Stefan. Cooper lacks the prototypical size teams often search for, but he has plenty of arm strength, a good hard slider, and an average changeup. His ERA was exceptional in 34.2 IP (1.30) between Rookie ball and the Low-A, but his peripherals (6.49 K/9 and 4.56 SIERA) aren’t as exciting. Quick and less than thorough research shows that there has never been a player named Jeb to play big league baseball. Jeb Stefan probably won’t be the first, but he has a nice fastball (94 peak) and good size. Like Cooper, he likely lacks the one knockout pitch to make it as a big league reliever.

I happened to write up the Phillies and Yankees draft reviews back-to-back. That statement alone isn’t particularly interesting, but the timing gave my brain the chance to mash up the two drafts over and over again. The conclusion: these two franchises drafted very, very similarly. I get that you could probably play a similar game with any two random teams – ooh, toolsy outfielders and mature college bats…what are the odds of that in a draft with hundreds of players of each type? – but I happened to notice a connection between Philadelphia and New York, so, darnit, I’m going to run with it. Intriguing outfield to second base project? Big conference college catcher with power? Both teams picked them. High school hitter who has seen time at both first and the outfield? Of course. Hulking lefthanded college slugger? You got it. Freak athlete prep outfielder? Highly regarded high school arms at the top of the draft? Check and check. I favor Pullin’s youth, Peter O’Brien’s pedigree, Nathan Mikolas’ bat, Serritella’s well-roundedness, Austin Aune’s pedigree, and Ty Hensley’s present stuff, so that gives the one-to-one battles to New York. The rest of each team’s draft, however, tells a different story: Perkins and Green are better than any drafted Yankee infielder, and I’d rather have the Phils pitching triumvirate of Gueller/Milner/Brady than New York’s Black/Lail/Goody, though that one is closer than I would have guessed a few months ago. When you step back and look at each team’s respective draft, you see two teams with fairly similar draft day personalities. This entire paragraph is likely full of things that interest only me, but I suppose that’s the beauty of complete editorial control.

Yankees review will be up Monday. Enjoy the weekend, everybody.

C

8.278 C Josh Ludy (Baylor)

44. Baylor SR C Josh Ludy: above-average present power, strong, compact build; has improved in two major areas this spring – first, his questionable glove now has a chance to be average with continued work, and second, his hit tool, previously below-average, has improved just enough to put his power to use thanks to a cleaned up swing; strong arm; good approach; not sure he has the defensive chops to work as a backup, but power and physical strength are intriguing; 5-10, 210 pounds

24.758 C Chad Carman (Oklahoma City)

61. Oklahoma City rSR C Chad Carman: plus defender who defends well enough to warrant late-round consideration as potential backup catching option; age (23 as of May 9) works against him, but still could be of value to a team in need of a quality, professional presence to work with young pitching in low-minors; 5-10, 185 pounds

1B

4.158 1B Chris Serritella (Southern Illinois)

15. Southern Illinois rJR 1B Chris Serritella: despite longish swing, still shows good bat speed capable of hitting big velocity; when everything is working, his swing is one of the prettiest in amateur ball; plus power potential; above-average defender; strong arm; slow even by first baseman standards; strong hit tool; heard a scout compare him developmentally to current Diamondbacks 1B Paul Goldschmidt during his college days; recovered from broken hamate injury with little to no apparent loss in power; like almost every other player on this list, the road to a starting first base job is paved with obstacles – you never want to rule out players with his kind of raw power, but the most likely positive outcome is a bench bat/platoon player; 6-3, 200 pounds

11.368 1B William Carmona (Stony Brook)

117. Stony Brook JR OF William Carmona: plus raw power; below-average plate discipline; poor defender at present with below-average range, so a move to 3B, where I’m not sure he’d be much better, may be necessary; plus arm strength – has hit 94 off mound; 6-0, 225 pounds

2B

5.188 2B Andrew Pullin (Centralia HS, WA)

16. OF Andrew Pullin (Centralia HS, Washington): above-average arm; above-average speed; big raw power, but inconsistent in swing setup; more solid across the board than a standout in one area; little bit of Utley in swing; 6-0, 185 pounds; L/L

SS

19.608 SS Tim Carver (Arkansas)

76. Arkansas rSR SS Tim Carver: similar to teammate and double-play partner Bo Bigham in that both are solid, high character college guys with little professional upside; gets in trouble trying to do too much at the plate at times; good speed; steady defender; 6-0, 185 pounds

3B

3.125 3B Zach Green (Jesuit HS, CA)

21. SS Zach Green (Jesuit HS, California): good defensive instincts, first step is always right on; strong hit tool; average speed; average at best arm; seen as a future 3B, but not sure he arm for it – think he can stay at SS anyway; 6-3, 205 pounds

6.218 3B Cameron Perkins (Purdue)

15. Purdue JR 3B Cameron Perkins: above-average power upside; interesting profile as a hitter: he’s a well-known hacker, but with low strikeout totals and a well above-average ability to hit for contact; average speed; average defender; could be very good in RF; lets ball get very deep on hands; strong arm; good athlete; 6-5, 200 pounds; bad-ball hitter; hard to strikeout; 6-5, 200 pounds

OF

2.77 OF Dylan Cozens (Chapparal HS, AZ)

13. 1B Dylan Cozens (Chaparral HS, Arizona): raw; big power upside; decent speed and good athleticism for big man; average arm; 6-6, 235 pounds; reminds me of Wallace Gonzalez from last year’s draft

13.428 OF Steven Golden (San Lorenzo HS, CA)

40. OF Steven Golden (St. Francis HS, California): good arm; very good speed; good instincts in OF combined with his speed give him plus range; line drive swing with very few moving parts – I like his hit tool more than most, though power upside is questionable; 6-3, 180 pounds; R/R

Pitchers

1s.40 RHP Shane Watson (Lakewood HS, CA)

35. RHP Shane Watson (Lakewood HS, California): 88-91 FB with sink, 92-93 peak; good 74-78 CB; definitely seen a good 76-80 SL; has shown 95-96 peak in spring 2012, sitting 91-93 FB; plus 78-80 CB; very consistent CB; everything down in zone; no real CU to speak of; 6-4, 200 pounds; spring 2012 UPDATE: 89-92 FB, 94 peak; above-average 75-76 CB; raw 78-81 CU; also rumors of 82 very good CB

1s.54 RHP Mitch Gueller (West HS, WA)

44. RHP Mitchell Gueller (WF West HS, Washington): 91-92 peak, up to 96 by early May; above-average speed; great athlete; CF range; low- to mid-70s CB that could be SL in time, either way has plus upside; low-80s CU; would rather hit, but most clubs prefer him on mound; 6-3, 205 pounds

7.248 LHP Hoby Milner (Texas)

62. Texas JR LHP Hoby Milner: 86-91 FB with great movement, 92-93 peak; used in a variety of ways as amateur: more often 86-89 FB as starter, low-90s as reliever; very good FB command, but not nearly as strong in this area with his offspeed stuff; once showed a potential plus mid-80s SL (freshman year?), but doesn’t use it now; instead relies heavily on mid-70s CB that has gotten a lot better since he first rolled it out as a sophomore; emerging 81-82 CU that is now solid; half-empty view might worry about his college workload/being jerked around between roles, but I think the value of his rubber arm; as thin a college pitcher as I can remember at 6-3, 165 pounds; some players give off the impression that they will be better pros than they showed in college – you watch Milner throw and you want him to be better than he is

10.338 RHP Kevin Brady (Clemson)

142. Clemson JR RHP Kevin Brady: for too long threw a too straight 90-92 FB that touched 94-96, but much improved late life in 2012; good FB command; above-average, but inconsistent 80-83 SL; once flashed plus CB, but ditched pitch for a long stretch before going back to it early in 2012; nondescript CU has gotten better, but is average at best pitch; debate over whether or not he fits best as starter or reliever professionally – health concerns and a lack of a developed third pitch seem to point towards the bullpen, though perhaps the switch comes later rather than sooner; 6-3, 220 pounds

15.488 RHP Zach Cooper (Central Michigan)

236. Central Michigan SR RHP Zach Cooper: 88-92 FB, 93 peak; has hit as high as 94-95 in past; good 82-87 SL; average CU; 5-10, 190 pounds

22.698 RHP Jeb Stefan (Louisiana Tech)

258. Louisiana Tech rJR RHP Jeb Stefan: 90-92 FB, 94 peak; also uses SL and CU, though neither profiles as big league out pitch at this point; iffy control; 6-4, 225 pounds

Chicago White Sox 2012 MLB Draft Review

Courtney Hawkins was a slam dunk for Chicago in the first round. If that sentence brought back fond memories of the last great high flying dunk artist to play in the Windy City – Rusty LaRue, obviously – you’re alright in my book. Hawkins’ athleticism is outstanding and his physique ranks at or near the top of the entire 2012 MLB Draft class. His arm, speed, and raw power are all well above-average tools. Most impressive of all: the big Texan just kept getting better and better as the spring went on. I think he’s likely to outgrow center, but Adam Jones in right field still sounds pretty darn good to me. A lot can happen in the next few years to make this sound really dumb, but I still can’t believe the Mets passed on him for Gavin Cecchini. You don’t draft for need, but Hawkins is exactly what the Mets need. Heck, as a power hitting plus defending corner outfielder Hawkins is exactly what every time needs. The White Sox got themselves a long-term above-average regular here.

After Hawkins, the biggest bat drafted by Chicago belongs to Keon Barnum. I’m actually not sure if that is literally true — I’m not privy to bat weights — but it works when talking prospect stature. Barnum is old for his class, and, to be frank, he hit like it in his pro debut. We’ll know more about his future next year when he’s tested with a full-season assignment. For now, the power is encouraging, as is his impressive athleticism and physicality. I think the reticence many teams show towards drafting and developing first base only prospects, though perfectly understandable in theory, may have shifted bat-only prospects from overrated to undervalued. Barnum isn’t a great example of this, at least from my vantage point – I had him ranked 203rd overall when Chicago drafted him 48th – but I think the overarching idea has some merit.

The White Sox backed up their selection of a high school first baseman with a college guy. Former Sun Devil Abe Ruiz will have to hit and hit and hit to keep advancing through the system. I think he’s a nice org guy, and there’s no shame in that. Interestingly enough (to me), the White Sox opted not to back up Hawkins with any legitimate college outfield prospects. I realize you can only draft so many guys in forty rounds, but it still seemed like a curious position to totally disregard.

17th round pick Sam Ayala is young, so he has that going for him. Beyond that, he’s an excellent athlete – for any player, not just for a catcher – with the long-term upside of a starting catcher. The gap between what any young catcher is and what they may eventually be is as big as any position player prospect out there, so, as always, take the guess at his ceiling with a great big block of salt. Zac Fisher has teased scouts for years, but has yet to have the breakout performance so many believe is hiding within him. It’ll be interesting to hear about how his defense progresses professionally; he has the tools to be an asset behind the plate, but, stop me if you’ve heard this before, hasn’t put it all together yet. I still like his approach at the plate, though it remains to be seen if his raw power will ever move into the present power classification. The White Sox actually drafted Sunnyside HS (CA) C Jose Barraza before either Ayala or Fisher. I think he’s more of a non-prospect catching tweener in that he’ll never defend well enough to play behind the plate every day while falling well short of any of the hitting benchmarks necessary for a first baseman. On the whole the White Sox added some decent talent up the middle of their infield, but came up light in their pursuit of impact talent.

To further that point, look no further (-2 points, repetitive) than the players Chicago targeted to play second base. Just targeting second basemen alone tells you something about their draft strategy. What it tells you, well, that I don’t know…but it tells you something. I do like Joey DeMichele. I wish I could really like Joey DeMichele, but it is hard to really like any bat-first second base prospect who lacks the traditional speed, athleticism, and range of a big league middle infielder. If everything goes as planned, I could see a poor man’s Jeff Keppinger here, right down to the ability to hammer righthanded pitching. If he keeps hitting, he’ll keep getting chances. Micah Johnson is a similar, yet lesser version of DeMichele. Both players are limited by their lack of defensive versatility. Though I think Nick Basto is also likely to wind up at second base, he can at least make the claim to have the athleticism and arm strength to at least entertain the idea of moving around the diamond. I had 24th round pick Tampa 2B Eric Grabe on in-house rankings at various points over the past few years (“good approach, versatile glove” from my notes), but didn’t think enough of him to ever officially rank him as a viable draft prospect. He was too old for Rookie ball, but hit more than enough to get another shot in the organization next year. Division II prospects who last to the 24th round can’t ask for much more than that.

Chicago snagged only one third baseman of note: Kentucky senior Thomas McCarthy. McCarthy pulled off the impressive feat of getting himself ranked by me (80th best third base prospect!), but still managed to be one of the few players I listed without a comment. Like Grabe, it is likely he has already hit enough in 2012 to get another shot next season somewhere in the White Sox organization. Neither McCarthy nor Grabe are prospects in any conventional sense of the word, but their performances, both collegiately and as young professionals, warranted mentioning. I also had to mention them just in case anybody out there plays in a full-minors, 50 team dynasty league with 1,000 man rosters. There’s one in every crowd, after all.

The White Sox did a nice job of accumulating some interesting college arms who slipped further in the draft than anticipated. Landing Chris Beck, a preseason first round favorite of many, with the 76th overall pick exemplifies the idea. I’ve heard some of the anti-cutter crowd explain his decrease in 2012 velocity on an overreliance on the pitch. More empirical data and/or an organization other than Baltimore speaking out against the pitch is needed before I’m willing to go down that road. The return of some velocity and a truer slider would make him a big league starting pitching option once again. I’m optimistic.

Kyle Hansen and Brandon Brennan were both somewhat under-the-radar players who were selected in sensible spots by Chicago. I graded Hansen out as an early third round pick (103rd overall) and he went in the sixth round. I also said that he was likely to go three rounds after his talent warranted. Some simple math shows that I am indeed an all-knowing sorcerer. I still prefer Beck to Hansen in a vacuum, but the gap isn’t as wide as some might think. He has the depth of stuff (four-seam, two-seam, slider, change), size, and athleticism to continue starting professionally. Brennen’s stuff is a tick below Hansen’s, but still good enough to keep starting until he proves he can’t. A part of me thinks Brennen could have been a top-two round prospect if he would have stayed and developed over three years at Oregon, so, needless to say, that same part of me thinks he was a solid idea in the fourth round.

Isler is an interesting gamble that should continue to see his stuff play way up when coming out of the bullpen. I don’t know where Chicago gets their young relief pitching from, but Isler seems like as good an “out of nowhere” (apologies to Cincinnati, both a fine city and university and far from “nowhere”) as anybody else. He’s already got the nasty hard sinker/slider thing going for him. Tony Bucciferro’s report reads much the same way. He’ll throw bowling balls and dare hitters to try to elevate them. Both guys showed off strong groundball tendencies, albeit in small (Isler) and super small (Bucciferro) samples. I was surprised to see Eric Jaffe go off the board when he did. I was even more surprised when the White Sox managed to get a contract signed. He reminds me a little bit of current Sox minor leaguer Jacob Petricka. Jaffe also throws a fastball that is particularly hard for hitters to make consistent square contact on, if can believe it. He uses a curve (an excellent one, by the by) over a slider, but it is a pitch that moves sharply enough that it often gets the same desired results. If even one of the White Sox’ trio of college arms becomes a contributor to a big league bullpen someday, then you’d have to call their round 8 to 14 strategy a happy one.

Chicago went to the college reliever well twice more when they nabbed Adam Lopez and Zach Toney. Lopez has a pro body and is a hard thrower. He’s also a Tommy John surgery survivor who has had a fairly typical return from injury. In other words, his velocity is coming back nicely while his command still has a ways to go. It is still easy to appreciate the pick: getting guys who have hit the mid-90s in round 21 is almost always worth a shot, injury history be damned. Unbelievably, Toney is the only lefthanded pitching White Sox prospect of note to come out of the 2012 MLB Draft. Despite being a lefty, Toney’s prospect profile fits in just fine with the trio of righthanders featured in the paragraph centimeters above. For those with a short memory (or, more likely, those who skim) that would be “difficult to hit fastball, good breaking ball, potential big league reliever, fine pick at this point in draft.”

Last but not least, we have a late round steal from the Division II ranks. Enter Storm Throne. There’s no arguing with Throne’s size, athleticism, and potential for a plus heater. There is some quibbling with Throne’s inconsistent offspeed stuff (though I like his curve a lot more than many peers) and unreliable fastball velocity. On balance, Throne’s strengths outweigh his weaknesses. If it all comes together, he’s a rock solid middle of the rotation starting pitcher capable of getting ground ball outs. Throne is easily the best signed pick of round 25, though I doubt he’ll go off and put that on his business cards. My pre-draft overall pitching rankings went Beck/Hansen/Brennen/Throne, so, 25th round pick or not, he is a prospect worth keeping an eye on. In fact, after the three aforementioned pitchers, only Hawkins, Barnum, and DeMichele ranked higher on my pre-draft list than Throne. Whether or not you should be happy your 25th round pick doubles as your 7th best draft prospect depends on your general outlook on life. Half-fullers can appreciate the value of a late round find while half-emptyers have to wonder what was going on with all those rounds in between Hawkins and Throne.

Of Beck, Brennen, Hansen, Isler, Jaffe, Bucciferro, Lopez, Throne, and Toney, it is definitely worth pointing out that Buccifero is the shrimpiest. The “slender” righthander from Michigan State comes in at a mere 6-3, 200 pounds. I’m less into draft day patterns as I am scouting director preferences, but even a non-sorcerer can deduce that the White Sox have a certain body type in mind when drafting arms. Also of note: “shrimpiest” is not a word, yet “crimpiest” is. If you knew that already, you’re smarter than a sorcerer.

Position-by-Position Breakdown of Prospects of Note

(Players are listed by draft order…included below each name, in italics, are each player’s pre-draft notes and ranking within position group)

C

17.531 La Jolla Country Day School C Sammy Ayala

22. C Sam Ayala (La Jolla County Day School, California): good speed for catcher; good arm; above-average power upside; good athlete; 6-2, 200 pounds

27.831 New Mexico State C Zac Fisher

83. New Mexico State JR C Zac Fisher: bigger scout (and personal) favorite than the numbers might suggest; above-average raw power; advanced bat with a good approach; bat is currently way ahead of glove – still learning the finer points of what it takes to be a catcher, so, if drafted, time will have to be spent bringing his defense up to a more acceptable level; 6-3, 210 pounds

1B

1s.48 King HS (FL) 1B Keon Barnum

5. 1B Keon Barnum (King HS, Florida): plus arm; plus power upside; Ryan Howard comp; solid defender; super strong; surprisingly athletic; compact swing; Jon Singleton comp; 6-4, 225 pounds; L/L

16.501 Arizona State 1B Abe Ruiz

38. Arizona State SR 1B Abe Ruiz: good present power – can really hammer average fastballs, but has big trouble with anything else; average defender; has hit for nice power in three out of four college seasons, but questionable hit tool and substandard approach leave much to be desired; 6-3, 240 pounds

2B

3.108 Arizona State 2B Joey DeMichele

9. Arizona State JR 2B Joey DeMichele: decent speed; for the longest time he was a man without a position, but settled in as the kind of second baseman who makes plays on balls hit him and not much more; his plus hit tool is one of the best in his class; above-average power with the chance to hit 15+ homers professionally; 5-11, 185 pounds

9.291 Indiana 2B Micah Johnson

48. Indiana JR 2B Micah Johnson: good athlete; more raw power than most middle infielders in this class, but currently most of his power plays to the gaps; good speed; average at best defender, but has the chance to get better in time – it is more about concentration and technique than physical tools; limited arm before arm injury, so teams will need to be sure he can stick at 2B before using a pick on him; 5-11, 190 pounds

SS

5.171 Archbishop McCarthy HS (FL) SS Nick Basto

25. 2B Nick Basto (Archbishop McCarthy HS, Florida): strong arm, but best utilized at second; some think he sticks at SS

OF

1.13 Carroll HS (TX) OF Courtney Hawkins

4. OF Courtney Hawkins (Mary Carroll HS, Texas): very muscular build; good speed; strong arm; more present power than majority of class; plus raw power; lots of swing and miss and some pitch recognition issues; average or better speed; RF professionally; has improved a great deal across the board in last calendar year, especially on defense; good instincts in CF, but might not be quick enough; plus arm; speed, power, and arm will take him far; reminds me so much of Adam Jones it’s scary; 6-2, 215 pounds; R/R

Pitching

2.76 Georgia Southern RHP Chris Beck

21. Georgia Southern JR RHP Chris Beck: 87-93 FB, 95-97 peak; FB velocity was way down in 2012 (88-92, 93 peak) and far too straight a pitch to fool pro bats; 80-86 cutter-like SL with plus upside, has hit upwards of 90, but was above-average at best throughout much of 2012 season; 80-84 straight CU with plus upside; command needs tightening; Dr. Jekyll is a first round pick, but Mr. Hyde barely warrants top ten round consideration – a smart team will figure out what they are getting in advance (or at least that’s the idea…), but outsiders like me can only guess; 6-3, 220 pounds

4.141 Orange Coast CC RHP Brandon Brennan

74. Orange Coast CC (CA) rFR RHP Brandon Brennan: 88-93 FB, 95 peak; average 83-84 SL; average CU with more upside than that for me; transfer from Oregon; 6-4, 225 pounds

6.201 St. John’s RHP Kyle Hansen

52. St. John’s JR RHP Kyle Hansen: 91-93 FB with good life, 94-96 peak; average 79-84 SL that is improving, pitch has plus upside but inconsistent shape: up to 88 on most recent looks and tends to work much better as truer slider at higher velocities than it does as an upper-70s SL/CB hybrid breaking ball; raw 80-82 CU when he started school that is now a really solid third pitch; has learned to use more upper-80s sinkers to complement four-seam heat; I’ve learned to be skeptical of overly large pitching prospects, but Hansen, for whatever reason, hasn’t gotten anywhere close to the kind of hype typically associated with similar pitchers in the past – he’s big, yes, but he is an excellent athlete who repeats his mechanics well and sits at consistent above-average velocities all while staying healthy while at college and putting up outstanding numbers year after year; hard to call a 6-8, 215 pound brother of a big leaguer a sleeper, but Hansen will likely be on the board a full three rounds past where I’d begin recommending him

8.261 Cincinnati RHP Zach Isler

191. Cincinnati JR RHP Zach Isler: fairly generic high-80s FB as starter, but a revelation out of the bullpen: sinking 90-92 FB, 94-95 peak; good low-80s SL; raw CU he can likely ditch as he moves to bullpen professionally; 6-4, 240 pounds

11.351 California RHP Eric Jaffe

184. UCLA rFR RHP Eric Jaffe: 90-95 FB that moves; plus 77-82 CB; has shown interesting 84-86 CU this past spring; disaster of a season leaves him a 100% speculative selection at this point – his signability isn’t supposed to be an issue, but it would be a surprise to see him drafted high enough to make it worth his while unless he really, really wants to play pro ball; 6-4, 230 pounds

14.441 Michigan State RHP Tony Bucciferro

243. Michigan State SR RHP Tony Bucciferro: heavy 86-88 FB, 90-92 peak; has no problem throwing sinkers all day; very good hard SL; developing 80-81 CU that has emerged as solid third pitch with above-average sink; plus control; plus pitchability; better than your average mid-round senior sign with stuff that could play up even more in short bursts; 6-3, 200 pounds

21.651 Virginia Military Institute RHP Adam Lopez

345. VMI SR RHP Adam Lopez: 88-92 FB, 94-96 peak; recovering from TJ surgery; 6-5, 220 pounds

25.771 Morningside HS (IA) RHP Storm Throne

145. Morningside (IA) JR RHP Storm Throne: 90-93 FB, 95-97 peak; good command of above-average 72-74 CB; shows CU; keeps the ball down; good athlete; 6-7, 240 pounds

26.801 Austin Peay State LHP Zach Toney

281. Austin Peay State SR LHP Zach Toney: 88-92 FB, 94 peak; solid CB; interesting splitter; iffy control; 6-3, 220 pounds

Photo via http://s305.photobucket.com/albums/nn205/chibully/all-time%20bulls/?action=view&current=RustyLaRue.jpg&sort=ascending.

Minnesota Twins 2012 MLB Draft Review

I liked the idea of doing these draft recaps position-by-position because of the way they are designed to give an overarching idea of what kind of talent has been added to each team’s farm system. It could be that my mind works in that particular organized way – my favorite feature, strange as it sounds, of each year’s Baseball America Prospect Handbook is the team-by-team positional depth chart illustrations – or it could be that I believe by thinking in terms of position, it is easier for me to see where prospects fit in in a larger, team-building context. Whatever the case is, Minnesota screwed it all up by taking pitcher after pitcher after pitcher. I literally can’t fill out a pretend lineup here. Thanks for nothing, Twins. I understand that the organization went heavy on infielders last year – worth noting that although Travis Harrison has excelled, the Twins haven’t gotten a darn thing out of the quartet of college middle infielders Levi Michael, Tyler Grimes, Adam Bryant, and AJ Pettersen – but it is still strange to see three positions (2B/SS/3B) completely ignored.

Minnesota’s 2012 infield prospects of note come down to Jorge Fernandez and DJ Hicks. Fernandez is a seventh round lottery ticket who was underscouted (i.e. missed by me) this spring. The Twins obviously saw something in him that they liked. I can’t add anything more than what Baseball America provided besides sharing that I had somebody tell me that they believe Fernandez compares favorably (he even preferred his bat) when stacked against Phildrick Llewellyn, an athletic catching prospect that I really liked prior to the draft. Llewellyn went a little bit later (13th round), but close enough that I think the comparison has some merit. Based on that comparison alone, I think Fernandez is a prospect worth watching.

I had Hicks right smack in between a pair of similar hulking college first basemen in Ben Waldrip and Matt Snyder. Both Waldrip and Snyder were off the board in the tenth round, so, if you think I have any clue what I’m talking about, then Hicks is good value for what he is. So what he is? Hicks is a large man who should slot in nicely as an organizational masher who, if all goes according to plan, should help all of the minor league teams he’ll wind up on win some ballgames. I’m down with the idea that lineup protection is a myth, especially at the big league level, but I think there is something to be said for surrounding young, impressionable minor league hitters, especially those in the lowest levels of the chain coming straight out of high school, with mature veteran teammates. The minor leagues are about development, not winning and losing; fostering a winning climate, and, more importantly, winning habits, are dismissed as being a part of the latter when it is really an important step in a player’s long-term development.

We can skip right by the rest of the infield because, as mentioned earlier, the Twins didn’t draft a single player of note at second, short, or third. You’d think a team that led all of baseball in 2012 draft spending would have gotten somebody to catch the ball up the middle, but things didn’t work out that way. Nobody will care about that so long as this next guy pans out…

So much has already been written about Byron Buxton that I’m not sure I can add anything meaningful to the conversation. He’s a phenomenal athlete with three plus to plus-plus tools (speed, arm, defense) who also has a long, long way to go with the bat. I respect the heck out of any scout that watched Buxton hit over the past calendar year and said to himself, “That kid is going to be a good big league hitter,” because projecting a bat as far away as Buxton’s is more art than science. I can’t help but remember Paul DePodesta’s blog entry published the day the Padres selected a similar prospect, Georgia prep CF Donavan Tate, with the third overall pick in the 2009 MLB Draft. I realize that the public nature of DePodesta’s comments kept him from divulging too much, but I think there’s still something to be learned about how a big league front office thinks here:

“There has been a lot of speculation surrounding this pick over the past few weeks, but Tate has always been in the front of our minds. He is a potential 5-tool player who plays in the middle of the diamond and is probably the best athlete in the draft. We’re taking our shot.”

As outsiders to the entire draft process, it is only natural to sometimes fall into the “appeal to authority” trap when we assume that every scouting department knows more than we do. The opposite is, of course, also true: draft analysts rush to pan a pick (Dylan Cozens, for example) without acknowledging the possibility that a scouting staff that has seen a player dozens of times may be on to something that even the best of their “unnamed sources” or limited personal viewings did not reveal. It is alright to admit that a team might have made a pick that we don’t presently understand may have been done for valid reasons. I think the larger unsaid truth when it comes to scouting is, when it comes right down to it, baseball isn’t all that difficult a game to figure out. Anybody from inside the game – whether that means a scouting director, area scout, or even a prospect/draft guru paid to write for one of the industry leading publications — who insists otherwise does so to protect their own self-interests. It’s hard to blame them for that, really; that’s how people with awesome jobs keep their awesome jobs. Admitting that what you do isn’t exactly rocket science opens you up to all kinds of unwanted criticism. If you keep saying things like “Scouting is a more intricate process than the casual fan can comprehend,” then you are keeping casual fans at a distance just far enough away so that they are less inclined to challenge the conventional wisdom. Scouting is a field that has been mythologized for no other good reason than to protect those already on the inside. I don’t think anybody would deny that scouting is a tough job done with little fanfare by people who work their butts off on a daily basis, but that doesn’t make it a job that can only be done by a select few individuals. I respect the profession enough to avoid using certain terminology whenever possible — I slip at times, but, for the most part, you won’t read about me “scouting” or writing “scouting reports” because I know I’m not a scout — but acting like only professionally trained scouts can give opinions about amateur or minor league prospects stunts positive potential avenues of discourse.

All of that is just a long way of saying that the Twins don’t really know whether or not they have a future star on their hands in Byron Buxton. They think they do, but they don’t know. If he does wind up a star, then I can guarantee you that Buxton’s biggest backers within the organization will make sure that his selection is the very first thing on their résumés, always and forever. I must make clear the following: big league scouting staffs do a tremendous amount of homework, from both a baseball and personal/home life point of view, before making the big decisions that come with early round draft picks and big money international signings. After all the hours of work, however, it ultimately comes down to DePodesta’s original line: we’re taking our shot. Do your homework, say a prayer, and take your shot.

I’m not entirely sure where all of that came from, so let’s just move on. Adam Brett Walker, or just plain Adam Walker as he’s listed on the Elizabethton Twins roster, has the physical tools to join Buxton in an exciting Twins outfield of the future. You could go one step further and add Miguel Sano into the mix as the left fielder to complete what is likely the minor leagues highest upside future outfield configuration – if all three of Sano, Buxton, and Walker reach their ceilings, look out. As much as I like Walker, I think his realistic upside is closer to useful, versatile role player (this is where I liked the pre-draft John Mayberry Jr. comps) than first-division starter.

Jake Proctor can run and field with the best center fielders in this year’s draft class, but his lack of power and well below-average plate discipline (9 BB/40 K in 183 AB) severely limit his upside as a hitter. Zach Larson has the chance to do more at the plate, but it will take time. There’s no comparing any high school prospect’s physical tools to Byron Buxton’s, but Larson does a lot of the same things well (speed, arm, defense) while exhibiting similar rawness as a hitter. Larson’s selection and overslot signing might be considered more of a coup by a team that didn’t take the super-rich man’s version with the number two overall pick, but he’s worth getting reasonably excited about all the same.

The initial reaction to Minnesota’s draft around the internet has fixated on the idea that the Twins went too heavy on pitchers without starting pitcher upside. Too many relievers/future relievers. Upon closer review, that seems like a fair assessment. JO Berrios is easily the most intriguing long-range pitching prospect drafted by the Twins – the chance for three above-average pitches, the way he holds his velocity late in games despite an improved though still less than ideal build, and his impressive performances against top competition all lend credence to this idea. Unfortunately, Berrios is the only guy you can point to as a definite long-term starting pitching prospect. An argument can be made that fellow high school pick Andre Martinez can also thrive in a starting role in pro ball, but I’m not sure I can go that far on a six-foot tall breaking ball reliant lefty. Minnesota did snag one potential back-end starter in DJ Baxendale. The Arkansas righthander fits the old standard for a Twins starting pitcher to a t: underwhelming fastball, good command of a diverse mix of pitches, and, above all else, above-average pitchability. Guys like Baxendale are interesting to me because there is very little margin for error: either he makes it as a fifth starter or he doesn’t make it at all. The typical fallback of relief work doesn’t take too kindly to pitchers with fringy fastballs who lack a legitimate breaking ball out-pitch. The same analysis could be more or less be applied to Taylor Rogers. Rogers’ lefthandedness, better showing this spring (stuff-wise), and more projectable build make him the better project going forward, as either a starting pitcher prospect or future reliever.

If you’re going to draft too many college relievers, you should at least draft good ones. The Twins did well to target and acquire a boatload of hard throwing potential big league relievers. You’d like to see these kinds of players picked later in the draft, but I’ve found that the concepts of “overdrafts” are more of a media creation than a real deal big league concern. Here’s my draft day philosophy du jour: draft who you want the round before you believe you can’t get him. If you really want JT Chargois and don’t believe he’ll be there the next time you draft, then you either draft him right this second or go a different direction and pray that he’ll still be around. Seems logical enough, right? Enough with the abstraction, let’s meet some of these real life, flesh and blood college relievers.

Luke Bard has improved significantly stuff-wise every year dating back to his high school days. His fastball was sitting upper-90s this past spring before missing time with a lat injury. It has been speculated that the Twins view him as a starter long-term, and I’ve heard positive things about his ability to throw a changeup. That said, smart money is on Bard winding up as a reliever by the time he breaks through at the upper-levels professionally. He’s good enough to excel in a late inning role, though I don’t see the classic closer stuff typically associated with relievers taken so early.  The guy with that kind of stuff is the aforementioned JT Chargois. Chargois has gotten a lot of positive pub for his plus fastball/breaking ball combo, but I don’t think enough has been said about how interesting an all-around player he is. I’ve heard him compared favorably as a hitter to former Rice 1B/LHP Joe Savery. Chargois could be utilized as a Brooks Kieschnick type of weapon, but with more emphasis on his pitching than hitting. The odds of that happening are slim to none, and not just because Chargois is on an American League team, but it is a fun possibility to dream on. Melotakis is a little bit similar to Bard in that both are almost certainly relievers with just enough of that little something extra to have you believe they could start. All three could play prominent roles in the Minnesota bullpen throughout the remainder of the decade.

The Twins also did well to grab even more hard throwers a little bit later on in the draft. Zack Jones and Christian Powell can both run their fastballs up to the mid-90s while complementing that plus heat with breaking balls that flash above-average. Like Chargois, Jones is also a good enough hitter to potentially do some damage at the plate if the opportunity ever arises professionally. Also like Chargois, Jones’ stuff looks late inning ready more or less right out of the shoot. Tyler Duffey, a teammate of Chargois at Rice, doesn’t have the premium stuff of many of the relievers taken by the Twins, but could fill a middle inning role as a sinker/slider guy at the next level.

Alex Muren fits this new Twins profile of athletic, two-way relievers. In almost the same way I feel about projecting a high school player like Byron Buxton’s hit tool, I feel about making any proclamations about a pitcher like Muren. The young righthander from Cal State Northridge hasn’t done much from a performance perspective, but his history of flashing an above-average fastball and occasionally interesting cutter was obviously enough to tempt the Twins. My rankings are far from the last word, but, for the record, I had Muren as the 560th best pitching prospect. That doesn’t make his selection as the 370th overall pick good or bad, but that’s where I had him. I prefer Travis Huber, the 700th overall pick, over Muren in the battle of the Twins two late round arms. Like Muren, Huber has underperformed relative to his stuff. The big difference between the two is that Huber’s performances haven’t been quite as disappointing and, more importantly, his stuff is flat better.

Add it all up and what do you get? One potential franchise cornerstone (Buxton), a high upside high school arm (Berrios), a strong complementary piece to a good lineup (Walker), and a plug and play near-ML ready bullpen (Chargois, Bard, Melotakis, Jones, Duffey, Powell, Rogers). It’s obvious that the success or failure of Buxton as a professional will ultimately define this draft, but the Twins hedged some of that risk by all but guaranteeing themselves eventual big league value by selecting their bevy of high floor college relievers.

Position-by-Position Breakdown of Prospects of Note

(Players are listed by draft order…included below each name, in italics, are each player’s pre-draft notes and ranking within position group)

C

7.220 Jorge Fernandez (International Baseball Academy, Puerto Rico)

1B

17.520 DJ Hicks (Central Florida)

23. Central Florida rJR 1B DJ Hicks: ugly swing, but good bat speed and college production put him in the “if it ain’t broke…” category of young hitting prospects; his bat will be what carries him as his above-average hit tool (underrated, I think, and rare for such a big man) and plus power potential help him stand out in the crowd of college bats; plus arm strength; slow moving on bases and in the field; has shown promise on the mound with a fastball that sits 86-90 (92-94 peak), decent splitter, and slider with some promise; 6-5, 250 pounds

OF

1.2 Byron Buxton (Appling County HS, Georgia)

1. OF Byron Buxton (Appling County HS, Georgia): 93-94 peak FB; plus-plus (80) speed; dead pull hitter; loves to swing; raw, but immensely talented; above-average to plus arm, closer to above-average now but accurate; crazy quick hands; bat speed, bat speed, bat speed; BJ Upton comp from an athletic standpoint makes sense; weirdest comp ever: Mike Schmidt, at least in terms of distance from plate and current swing; tremendous athlete; plus raw power; CF range if his instincts catch up, otherwise a potential Gold Glove winner in RF; 80 speed/60-70 arm/70 range

3.97 Adam Brett Walker (Jacksonville)

33. Jacksonville JR OF Adam Brett Walker: plus power upside; popular John Mayberry Jr. comps, especially in terms of frame makes a lot of sense; I’ll take the minority view and state that I think he has the chops to be an average RF as pro, but acknowledge that he could be very good defensively at 1B; average at best speed, but not for long as his body fills out; swing isn’t as long as you’d think and he’s a more refined ballplayer than often given credit; average hit tool; average at best arm; I think Walker gets an unfair reputation as a hulking all or nothing slugger who will have to hit 30+ homers to have any kind of long-term value; with a score of 45s/50s across the board, Walker’s game is relatively well-rounded – though, of course, it is still his power that will make him a potential big league regular or not; 6-5, 225 pounds

14.430 Jake Proctor (Cincinnati)

234. Cincinnati JR OF Jake Proctor: plus speed; good athlete; below-average arm; CF range; weird swing, but has been able to get it done at college level; 6-2, 215 pounds

20.610 Zach Larson (Lakewood Ranch HS, Florida)

156. OF Zach Larson (Lakewood Ranch HS, Florida): good athlete; good speed; good arm; CF range; raw; 6-4, 200 pounds

Pitching

1s.32 RHP JO Berrios (Papa Juan XXIII HS, Puerto Rico)

47. RHP Jose Orlando (JO) Berrios (Juan XXIII HS, Puerto Rico): 87-93 FB, 95 peak on island; easy velocity, some deception; good 71-74 CB; 75 CU; SL; 77-79 breaking ball, not sure what type; slight frame; more commonly 92-93 sitting velocity; update: 91-95 FB, 96-97 peak; 80-81 SL; 82-84 CU; holds velocity well

1s.42 RHP Luke Bard (Georgia Tech)

136. Georgia Tech JR RHP Luke Bard: 88-92 FB, 94-95 peak; was up to a more consistent 95-97 before his early season lat injury; good 80 SL gives him the second pitch needed to eventually pitch in a big league bullpen; 6-3, 200 pounds

2.63 LHP Mason Melotakis (Northwestern State)

83. Northwestern State JR LHP Mason Melotakis: had him 91-95 FB, 97 peak coming into year; currently sits 94-98 much more consistently, rarely dipping below 93 in short stints; 85-87 SL that flashes plus, but is far too inconsistent; shows CU; I think he can work as a starter because of his improved breaking ball and ability to hold his velocity (92-95) as a starter, but the lack of a reliable third pitch and mechanics that scare scouts likely keep him in the bullpen professionally; 6-3, 200 pounds

2.72 RHP JT Chargois (Rice)

20. Rice JR RHP JT Chargois: 90-94 FB; easy 95-96 peak but can also get it up to 98 with a little more effort; plus 78-83 CB; average 79-81 CU flashes plus; also shows 85-87 SL, but uses it almost exclusively as a chase pitch in the dirt; really tough to pick up ball out of his hand due to nasty angle in delivery; between deception, velocity, movement, and command, Chargois’ fastball is a true plus to plus-plus pitch; as a two-way prospect – I liked him as a hitter more his freshman season – his arm is fresh and his above-average athleticism goes without saying; big question is command of offspeed stuff; despite the overwhelming consensus that he’s a reliever only in the pros, I think he has three pitches to start if his arm action is deemed acceptable by a pro team, something that has a higher chance of happening that he gets credit for when you factor in his relative newness to pitching; has arguably one of the draft’s highest floors (big league setup guy) with the chance for more (elite closer/above-average big league starting pitcher); 6-3, 200 pounds

4.130 RHP Zack Jones (San Jose State)

185. San Jose State JR RHP Zack Jones: 93-95 FB, 97-98 peak; FB moves; flashes good SL; iffy command; iffy control; profiles as reliever all the way, which is unfortunate because he swings a mean bat (2011: .316/.383/.458 – 16 BB/30 K – 155 AB)

5.160 RHP Tyler Duffey (Rice)

132. Rice JR RHP Tyler Duffey: 88-92 FB, 94 peak; good 79-82 CU; good two-seamer with above-average sink; hard 78-83 CB; average mid-80s SL that flashes plus; 6-3, 210 pounds

6.190 LHP Andre Martinez (Archbishop McCarthy HS, Florida)

8.250 RHP Christian Powell (College of Charleston)

202. College of Charleston JR RHP Christian Powell: 87-91 FB, 96 peak; up to more consistent 91-94 this year, still peaking 96; above-average breaking ball when he locates it; has worked in an emerging CU that flashes above-average; 6-4, 215 pounds

10.310 RHP DJ Baxendale (Arkansas)

174. Arkansas JR RHP DJ Baxendale: 87-92 FB, 93-94 peak; good FB movement; good 84-85 SL; solid 80-82 CU; really good 69-71 CB that is his best pitch; mid-80s cutter; stuff down in 2012: 86-89 much of season, offspeed not nearly as sharp; ability to throw multiple pitches for strikes gives him back of the rotation upside, but might be best served by becoming a primarily fastball/curveball reliever at the next level; 6-2, 190 pounds

11.340 LHP Taylor Rogers (Kentucky)

154. Kentucky JR LHP Taylor Rogers: 87-92 FB; good 75-80 CB; better 77 CU; 83 SL; good command; similar prospect to Texas LHP Hoby Milner; good mix of projection, polish, and present stuff; 6-3, 170 pounds

12.370 RHP Alex Muren (Cal State Northridge)

560. Cal State Northridge JR RHP Alex Muren: has hit as high as 95 in the past, but sitting velocity is inconsistent and not nearly as hot; interesting 82-85 cutter; pitches like a two-way prospect, for better or worse – more of a thrower than a pitcher at this point, but could be molded into something by a patient coaching staff; 6-3, 200 pounds

23.700 RHP Travis Huber (Nebraska)

241. Nebraska JR RHP Travis Huber: 88-92 FB with sink, 93-95 peak; very good 83-84 SL; good CB; raw CU; good athlete; 6-3, 225 pounds

San Francisco Giants 2012 MLB Draft Review

San Francisco’s 2012 MLB Draft Selections

I try not to draw too many conclusions from observing how a team drafts from the outside looking in, but there are always some interesting draft day patterns worth noting. For the San Francisco Giants, off the bat, it is pretty clear to see a surprising lack of, well, bats. Outside of Mac Williamson, there wasn’t a position player drafted by the Giants that I think even the most prospect-obsessed could realistically say is a potential big league regular. A case could be made for any one of Ryan Jones, Tyler Hollick, or Shayne Houck as the next best bet, but, like many of the hitters drafted by San Francisco, they all currently profile best as backups.

That actually leads to the next observation of the Giants 2012 draft: depth selections identified by the ability to play multiple positions. Jones, a second baseman by trade, also has extensive experience at the hot corner. Hollick currently plays a mean center field, but has shown well at second in the past. Prior to the draft, teams I spoke to were split 50/50 on whether or not Houck worked best as a third baseman or left fielder professionally. You can do the same with almost every position player drafted by the Giants. Trevor Brown, a prospect I’ve heard compared to a lighter, lesser version of current Giant minor leaguer and former Cal State Fullerton star Brett Pill, is a catcher who can also hold his own at any non-shortstop infield spot. Matt Duffy has played all over the diamond. Mitch Delfino has split time between third base and the mound, and Sam Eberle has done the same at third base and catcher. Andrew Cain has seen time at both corner outfield spots and first base. Even the owner of the Giants’ biggest draft bat, Williamson, a great athlete who many once believed had the agility and arm strength to be moved behind the plate, has pitching experience.

As for the talent level of the hitters drafted, well, there isn’t a ton of great news for Giants fans. The majority of the position players selected by San Francisco look like the kind of players typically considered organizational guys. The infielders (Brown, Duffy, Delfino, Eberle) all lack the type of raw physical tools associated with ballplayers capable of playing at the highest level. You can never totally rule out players capable of playing solid defense up-the-middle (good news for both Brown and Duffy, and potentially Eberle), but none of the aforementioned infielders will crack any offseason top thirty prospect list for the organization. Of all their drafted infielders, Jones stands the best chance of someday seeing time in the big leagues as a utility infielder.

Things are better in the outfield, though I realize that may sound like damning with faint praise. The selection of Williamson, he of above-average big league corner outfielder upside, alone makes this a better group of prospects over the infielders. There’s currently too much swing-and-miss to his game for him to reach his considerable ceiling, but college guys with power hitting track records are becoming a dying breed. In that light, a third round gamble makes some sense.  I compared Williamson to Adam Brett Walker prior to the draft, but a more natural comparison seems to be his new organization-mate with the Giants, former Louisville standout and fellow third round pick Chris Dominguez. I know a lot of people like to hate on comps, but, come on, that’s a good one: fourth-year juniors from underrated baseball schools, similar size (6-4ish, 230ish), third round picks, strong enough arms to pitch, big raw power, trouble with anything that isn’t a fastball, worrisome strikeout totals – this thing writes itself! Williamson’s superior athleticism and speed give hope that he’ll adjust better to pro ball and/or provide more long-term defensive value. I’m already on record as stating Williamson alone makes the outfielders a better group than the infielders, but that shortchanges the potential contributions of a few other fly catchers taken by the Giants. It isn’t just Williamson that makes the outfield group intriguing. I’ve mentioned my affinity for Hollick already, but let’s go a little deeper. An argument can be made that Hollick, a player I didn’t give nearly enough love pre-draft, is the best position player drafted by the Giants. His scouting profile reads similar to current Giants prospect Gary Brown, but Hollick has a much stronger track record of working deep counts and drawing walks. McCall also deserves consideration as San Francisco’s top 2012 position player selection, though I’d have him behind Williamson, Hollick, and perhaps Jones. McCall is athletic enough to play either corner spot with an arm that should play at least average in right. The big question is, of course, whether or not he’ll hit enough to hold down an offensively demanding position in the big leagues. I’m encouraged by both what I’ve seen and heard, but would be lying if I could answer beyond that with any kind of certainty. Unlikely as it may be, a future all 2012 Draft outfield of McCall-Hollick-Williamson, from left to right, is fun to dream on. That trio could be backed up down the line by a pair of solid organization depth pieces in Cain and Houck. Both are older prospects – another San Francisco draft trend – who found themselves on the wrong side of 22 before notching their first pro at bats. Cain appears similar to Williamson on paper (big, good runner, intriguing power), but his tools aren’t quite as loud. Call him a deep sleeper as a 24th round pick and be prepared to either look super smart someday or, more likely, forget about him after he fails to make it to AA. Houck’s value would get a big boost if he shows he can play a little third base in addition to the outfield corners, but, like Cain, he’ll need to get his rear in gear in pro ball if he wants to keep cashing those sweet, sweet minor league paychecks.

San Francisco’s draft strategy when it comes to their approach to pitching was fairly clear in 2012: load up on college arms, early and often. The emphasis on high-floor/low-ceiling older arms wouldn’t be as troubling if buttressed with a few interesting long-term gambles at the high school level, but there is nary a signed prep arm to be found in this class. Fortunately, getting a pitcher like Chris Stratton with the twentieth overall pick makes it all worth it. Quibble with the no high school pitching approach if you must (seriously, though, what’s up with that?), but the Giants have a strong track record of identifying and developing pitchers at the top of their drafts. The last six drafts have produced the following first day pitchers: Kyle Crick, Zack Wheeler, Madison Bumgarner, Tim Alderson (the weak link of the group, but, hey, he did enough to bring value in a trade), and Tim Lincecum. It’s a little bit scary to think that Stratton could wind up as the fourth most successful pitcher of that group (fifth if you’re a big believer in Crick) and still be considered a major steal in this spot. There are some legitimate concerns surrounding his age (22 in August, old for a college junior) and workload (multiple 2012 starts well past 120+ pitches), but there’s really no questioning his outstanding stuff. Stratton boasts a full arsenal of pitches (FB, CB, CU, SL, cutter, two-seamer) that is as impressive in quality as it is in depth. I promised I wouldn’t turn these draft recaps into warmed over rehashes of my pre-draft analysis, but it’s probably worth mentioning that Stratton was my sixth favorite prospect in the entire draft, one spot ahead of the far more famous Mark Appel. Martin Agosta is another easy to like young righthander with a good chance of one day taking a big league mound as a starting pitcher. Two above-average offspeed pitches (cutter/slider thing and changeup) to go along with his solid fastball (made better be excellent command) are exactly what teams are looking for in prospective starters.

Steven Okert and Ty Blach could also be considered potential starters, but I think both will settle into relief roles after some of the adorable draft optimism (I only say this because I’m guilty of it every year) wears off. Okert goes plus fastball/above-average slider while mixing in a usable changeup with the chance for more. Blach’s stuff is more solid across the board – slider is just as good though not as consistent as Okert’s, but he’ll compensate by using a much more effective change – so the thought of him starting is a little bit easier to envision. I think both guys are ultimately relievers with Okert potentially being a darn good one.

I actually liked what the Giants did in targeting hard throwing yet flawed college relievers, though, upon closer review, the flaw in their approach becomes alarmingly evident. Okert, Stephen Johnson and EJ Encinosa are all almost certainly (call it a 99% certainty) relievers professionally. All are quality arms coming off really strong college seasons. All three throw hard, have good size, and feature at least one above-average or better secondary pitch. We’ve covered Okert already as a potential starting pitching convert, so we’ll focus on the two college relief aces. Johnson has arm strength you can’t teach but is in dire need of a consistent offspeed pitch, which hopefully you can. Encinosa profiles as a high-floor sinker/slider middle reliever, but with more mustard on both his four- and two-seam fastballs than your typical sixth/seventh inning guy. I like all three picks: cheap, controllable arms are big parts of what I think make good teams good. The less money spent on unpredictable, fungible middle relief, the more money is freed up to acquire elite talent at positions that have a greater nightly impact on the game. If all you achieve from one draft class is a half dozen or so legit big league relief options, then you’ve potentially saved yourself millions down the line. Then again, you could always avoid the temptation to blow money on veteran relievers in the first place, but that’s neither here nor there. What does come into the play is the concept of opportunity cost. A good argument could be made that of all the relievers selected by the Giants, the guy taken in the sixteenth round (we’ll get to him soon) is the most talented. If you can get quality relievers that late, and you can, then why spent a fourth, sixth, and seventh on relievers in the first place? Even Jason Forjet and Brandon Farley, 31st and 33rd rounders respectively, can be called potential big league relievers. They may not be on the level of Okert, Johhnson, or Encinonsa, but the cost of using a late-round pick on them is significantly less. Another example is 26th rounder Mason McVay. McVay throws hard (when healthy), has good size (6-8, 240 pounds), and features at least one above-average or better secondary pitch (curve). Sound familiar? Back to our aforementioned friend from round sixteen:  Ian Gardeck continues the theme of plus fastball velocities with his mid- to upper-90s heater. His slider is devastating when on, a true plus big league out-pitch that hitters have a hell of a time recognizing before swinging over it. That’s the good news. The less good news is that I’m only half-kidding when I say the Giants might think about getting Gardeck’s eyes checked because it looks like he has no idea where the catcher is crouching half the time. The problem is likely in his mechanics, and not his arm, eyes, or head. If he can upgrade his control from nonexistent to “effectively wild,” then he’ll join Johnson in having big league closer upside.

All in all, I think we’re looking at five potential above-average big league relievers: Okert, Johnson, Encinosa, Gardeck, and McVay. Since wishing for different picks is fruitless at this point, all we can really do now is hope that two or three (or four!) live up to their promise and do our best to forget about what might have been. You don’t want to make a habit of rooting for a sweet relief pitching haul to be the best part of your draft class, but it’s better than nothing, right?

We’re just short of 3,000 words in what was intended as a short recap, so let’s hustle up and finish this thing. I am honestly surprised that Joe Kurrasch jumped to pro ball – he simply didn’t look ready when I saw him, and I heard similar things throughout the spring. Forjet and Farley both flash enough big league stuff to warrant follows as they travel through pro ball. I personally prefer Farley because he’s shown a little more zip on his fastball over the years, but when you’re debating the merits of two college relievers picked past the thirtieth round, everybody wins. Andrew Leenhouts is intriguing as a cold weather pitchability lefthander with the three pitches to start for a bit. His best chance of advancing to the bigs is probably via the bullpen (like so many college lefties, I’d love to know his splits to see if the lefty specialist path makes sense), but I think his talent level is closer to Blach’s than Kurrasch’s. That can be read in one of two ways, depending on your outlook on life: a) Leenhouts was good value for a 23rd round pick, or b) Blach was a serious overdraft in the fifth round.

Position-by-Position Breakdown of Prospects of Note

(Players are listed by draft order…included below each name, in italics, are each player’s pre-draft notes and ranking within position group)

C

10.328 Trevor Brown (UCLA)

77. UCLA JR C Trevor Brown: good defensive skills; good athlete; smooth defender at first base; can also play 2B; lack of power limits his offensive ceiling, but defensive versatility and a competent bat could carry him farther up the chain than you’d think; 6-2, 200 pounds

1B

2B

13.418 Ryan Jones (Michigan State)

22. Michigan State rJR 2B Ryan Jones: good speed; good approach; limited power upside; already a good defender at 2B and can also play 3B effectively; no standout tool, but easy to walk away impressed with him as a heady, instinctive ballplayer who does the little things right; 5-10, 170 rounds

SS

18.568 Matt Duffy (Long Beach State)

58. Long Beach State JR SS Matt Duffy: nice swing; can play average defense at least at all spots on diamond; utility future; 6-2, 170 pounds

3B

20.628 Mitch Delfino (California)

65. California JR 3B Mitch Delfino: average defender with what looks like a good enough arm once he gets his throwing mechanics retooled; has shown enough promise with the bat to get a look in the mid-rounds; 6-3, 210 pounds

25.778 Sam Eberle (Jacksonville State)

52. Jacksonville State SR C Sam Eberle: decent defender who might fit best at 3B in pro ball; good athlete; strong; good runner for either defensive spot; bat could be above-average if allowed to catch at next level, but he’ll have to improve footwork and speed of release; 6-1, 220 pounds

OF

3.115 Mac Williamson (Wake Forest)

32. Wake Forest rJR OF Mac Williamson: impressive raw tools, emphasis on raw; above-average to plus arm strength; too aggressive at plate, gets himself out too often; I’ve long wanted to see him move back behind plate, but realize that dream is dead – as it is, he’s a good defender with the prototypical arm for RF; physically mature and very strong; plus power upside; above-average speed, but slow starter – once he gets underway, you see his speed; much improved as hitter in 2012, chasing fewer bad balls; Williamson is interesting for a lot of reasons, not the least of which being his consistently strong power performances and improved plate discipline; if it all comes together in pro ball, Williamson is a five-tool player (four of which are decidedly above-average, the most questionable tool being his bat) with big league starter upside – he profiles very similarly to Adam Brett Walker as a hitter and athlete, but with a higher floor based on his added defensive value; has also shown promise on the mound over the years: 88-92 FB, 94 peak; good sinker; good CB; shows CU; 6-4, 240 pounds

9.298 Shilo McCall (Piedra Vista HS, New Mexico)

151. OF Shilo McCall (Piedra Vista HS, New Mexico): good speed; good athlete; strong; above-average arm; 6-2, 215 pounds

14.448 Tyler Hollick (Chandler-Gilbert CC, Arizona)

79. Chandler-Gilbert (AZ) JC SO OF Tyler Hollick: plus speed; good CF range; I like his bat, others not sold; crazy production in 2012

24.748 Andrew Cain (UNC Wilmington)

29.898 Shayne Houck (Kutztown, Pennsylvania)

37. Kutztown (PA) SR 3B Shayne Houck: above-average hit tool; big raw power; can handle 3B and LF – stock goes way up if a team believes in him as a defender; 6-1, 200 pounds

1.20 RHP Chris Stratton (Mississippi State)

4. Mississippi State JR RHP Chris Stratton: 88-92 FB, 93-96 peak; velocity up in 2012 – more often 90-94, peaking at 95-96 consistently; leaves his FB up on occasion and it leads to trouble; holds velocity really well; really tough to square up on anything he throws, leaving him with reputation as a groundball machine; quality 77-80 CB; emerging 81-83 CU that is a good pitch now, could be plus in time; good 82-87 SL that flashes plus, but is hit or miss depending on start; solid cutter; added an effective two-seam FB; seen as four-pitch starter, but, depending on how you want to classify his fastball variations, he could eventually throw six legit pitches for strikes; above-average control and command; this is a comp that is decidedly not a comp, but a scout who saw Stratton said that, at his best, he reminded him of a righthanded version of Cliff Lee, mostly because his repertoire is so deep that he can use whatever pitch is working best on any given day; the fact that he throws two distinct breaking balls and has the fearlessness/understanding about how to use them is really impressive for an amateur prospect; 6-2, 200 pounds

2.84 RHP Martin Agosta (St. Mary’s)

23. St. Mary’s JR RHP Martin Agosta: 91-93 FB, 95-96 peak; sometimes sits 89-92 with 94 peak; 80-85 SL with upside, flashes plus – has also been called a cutter; good CB; above-average CU; plus overall command; gets better as game  goes on; Agosta’s FB-SL-CU and command make him a good starting pitching prospect, and the chance he’ll continue to find ways to further differentiate his breaking ball – gaining some separation with his cutter and curve from his slider would be a start – make him especially intriguing; 6-1, 180 pounds

4.148 LHP Steven Okert (Oklahoma)

82. Oklahoma JR LHP Steven Okert: 88-91 FB, 92-94 peak; up to 94-97 out of bullpen; good SL; CU is better than often given credit; command comes and goes; reminds me a little bit of Chris Reed before Reed became last year’s “it” first round pick – could be a dominant reliever if everything breaks right, but also has the chance to continue starting at next level; 6-3, 220 pounds

5.178 LHP Ty Blach (Creighton)

254. Creighton JR LHP Ty Blach: 89-91 FB, 92-94 peak; good CU that has improved in last calendar year; attacks hitters on the inner-half and is a renowned strike thrower; low-80s SL flashes plus; good overall command; has the three pitches to start and above-average velocity from the left side, but lack of draft year dominance at the college level is a tad disconcerting; 6-1, 200 pounds

6.208 RHP Stephen Johnson (St. Edward’s, Texas)

64. St. Edward’s (TX) JR RHP Stephen Johnson: consistent 93-96 FB, 98 peak; has reportedly been as high as 101, but typically tops out upper-90s; 77-81 SL that has gotten harder (mid-80s) and better over the past year; hard 84-88 CU that is better when softer; great deception; closer upside; 6-4, 200 pounds

7.238 RHP EJ Encinosa (Miami)

131. Miami JR RHP EJ Encinosa: had him originally with a 87-91 FB with sink, 94 high school peak but hadn’t seen it in a while, instead peaking at 91-92; once committed to bullpen, velocity shot back up – now sits 94-95, and has hit 98 in 2012; no matter the velocity, the fastball remains an excellent pitch – very consistent plus-plus sink; plus low-80s SL; good, but inconsistent CU; reliever all the way (and likely not a closer), but a good one all the same; 6-4, 235 pounds

8.268 LHP Joe Kurrasch (Penn State)

315. Penn State rSO LHP Joe Kurrasch: as starter, sits 87-90, 92 peak; can get it a tick or two higher as reliever; average CU; has done a good job getting in better shape over past year, but doesn’t have the depth or quality of stuff to make much of a pro impact at this point; Cal transfer; 6-2, 200 pounds

16.508 RHP Ian Gardeck (Alabama)

256. Alabama JR RHP Ian Gardeck: 94-96 FB, 98-100 peak; plus to plus-plus mid- to upper-80s SL; bad control and command; mechanics need overhaul; stuff was down as he had an awful spring, but still showed enough flashes of two potential wipeout big league pitches that somebody will bite; 6-2, 225 pounds

23.718 LHP Drew Leenhouts (Northeastern)

270. Northeastern SR LHP Andrew Leenhouts: 87-88 FB, 90-91 peak; good CB; average CU that sometimes shows better; FB command needs work, and pitch is presently too straight; clean mechanics; 6-3, 200 pounds

26.808 LHP Mason McVay (Florida International)

103. Florida International rJR LHP Mason McVay: 87-91 FB post-injury as starter; solid potential with CB, plus upside; mechanics need cleaning up; control is an issue; peaked at 95-96 out of bullpen in fall 2011, so, if healthy, he can throw some smoke; Tommy John survivor; good coaching and good health will go a long way in determining his pro future, but his two potential plus pitches and size give him more upside than your typical double-digit round pick; 6-8, 240 pounds

31.958 RHP Jason Forjet (Florida Gulf Coast)

418. Florida Gulf Coast SR RHP Jason Forjet: upper-80s FB, low-90s peak; CB; CU; very good command; good athlete; 6-2, 200 pounds

33.1018 RHP Brandon Farley (Arkansas State)

393. Arkansas State SR RHP Brandon Farley: 89-92 FB, 94-95 peak; 6-2, 200 pounds

2012 MLB Draft Rankings Index

Rankings will be continuously updated between now and the weekend before the 2012 MLB Draft. 

Rankings are fluid and highly subject to change. Additions to player notes will be made as necessary. Statistics will be updated periodically.

(Ongoing) 2012 MLB Draft Catcher Prospect Rankings

(Ongoing) 2012 MLB Draft First Base Prospect Rankings

(Ongoing) 2012 MLB Draft Second Base Prospect Rankings

(Ongoing) 2012 MLB Draft Third Base Prospect Rankings

(Ongoing) 2012 MLB Draft Shortstop Prospect Rankings

(Ongoing) 2012 MLB Draft Outfielder Prospect Rankings

(Ongoing) 2012 MLB Draft Pitcher Prospect Rankings

2012 MLB Draft Pitcher Rankings

1. RHP Lucas Giolito (Harvard-Westlake HS, California): broke out by throwing 91-94 FB, peak 96-97, but found himself sitting 96-98 by late last summer; stays 93-96 like he’s just having a catch, hitting 97-98 with whispers of even higher (100); will take a little off the FB (92-94) at times to increase the movement; evolution of his breaking ball has been fun to watch: what started as a good 77-82 CB, slowly firmed up to steadier 80-82 and is now a plus-plus pitch at 82-84, hitting 86; he commands his CB exceptionally well for a prep arm; CB has come and gone from appearance to appearance, so there is still some inconsistency with the pitch that needs to be addressed; turned an average 82-84 straight CU into a much improved pitch (his arm action mimics his FB much better now) that he relies on heavily; consistently pitches low in the zone with all three pitches; some reports claim he throws two distinct breaking balls, but I’ve only personally seen him throw a CB, not a SL – confusion could stem from older reports of a 79-83 SL that flashes plus-plus, but I think that’s just misidentification of the CB; easy, repeatable delivery; broad shouldered and not afraid to throw inside to anybody; Giolito in a word: fearless; has been compared to Josh Johnson, a pitcher I once used as a comparison for Jameson Taillon – I was a big fan of Taillon then, and I am an even bigger fan of Giolito, the 2012 MLB Draft’s best prospect, now; 6-6, 230 pounds

2. San Francisco JR RHP Kyle Zimmer: 91-94 FB, 95-97 peak but can get it up to 99 when juiced; some of the best FB command of any amateur you’ll ever see;  there is some talk of inconsistency with his fastball, but I’m not taking that bait: looking at start-by-start velocity shows that he most commonly sat 93-96, even late in games; he was down to the upper-80s in one start (92 peak), but rebounded to show 92-93 (95 peak) the next Friday; inconsistent but really good 81-86 SL with cutter action that could become plus pitch in time; 76-81 kCB that flashes above-average to plus, presently his strongest secondary offering; raw 78-86 CU that he used more frequently with each game, both picking and hitting his spots better as the year progressed – he often used the change early in counts to set hitters up as he is unafraid to pitch backwards when necessary; one nitpick: command of breaking stuff comes and goes; relatively new to pitching, so he has the benefits (and potential injury downside) of a fresh (or unready) arm – I can understand those who are worried that he has done too much too soon on the mound developmentally, but believe that with proper care in pro ball he’ll be fine; outstanding athlete with the chance for three (or four) plus pitches, an arm with limited mileage, and pinpoint fastball command all sounds like a potential first overall pick and frontline MLB starting pitcher; 6-4, 220 pounds

2011: 8.93 K/9 | 91.2 IP
2012: 10.80 K/9 | 1.73 BB/9 | 2.80 FIP | 88.1 IP

3. LSU SO RHP Kevin Gausman: 91-95 FB, most often 93-96, 97-99 peak; easy velocity; 88-91 two-seamer; 74-79 CB with upside that is really coming on, flashes plus already; better at 79-83 velocity, but still an inconsistent pitch; promising 82-86 CU with splitter action that flashes plus; has improved what was once an average at best 79-82 SL a lot, now flashes plus consistently (up to 83-87); throws more sliders than curves – SL is the pitch for swings and misses, curve works better for called strikes; 6-4, 185 pounds

2011: 8.93 K/9 | 89.2 IP
2012: 10.43 K/9 | 2.02 BB/9 | 2.86 FIP | 115.2 IP

4. Mississippi State JR RHP Chris Stratton: 88-92 FB, 93-96 peak; velocity up in 2012 – more often 90-94, peaking at 95-96 consistently; leaves his FB up on occasion and it leads to trouble; holds velocity really well; really tough to square up on anything he throws, leaving him with reputation as a groundball machine; quality 77-80 CB; emerging 81-83 CU that is a good pitch now, could be plus in time; good 82-87 SL that flashes plus, but is hit or miss depending on start; solid cutter; added an effective two-seam FB; seen as four-pitch starter, but, depending on how you want to classify his fastball variations, he could eventually throw six legit pitches for strikes; above-average control and command; this is a comp that is decidedly not a comp, but a scout who saw Stratton said that, at his best, he reminded him of a righthanded version of Cliff Lee, mostly because his repertoire is so deep that he can use whatever pitch is working best on any given day; the fact that he throws two distinct breaking balls and has the fearlessness/understanding about how to use them is really impressive for an amateur prospect; 6-2, 200 pounds

2011: 9.47 K/9 | 76 IP
2012: 11.00 K/9 | 1.97 BB/9 | 3.47 FIP | 109.2 IP

5. Stanford JR RHP Mark Appel: sits 93-97 with four-seamer, hitting 99; holds velocity late: still at 94-95 in ninth innings; all FBs typically between 90-95; 88-92 two-seam FB with excellent sink; excellent FB command, but gets in trouble with too many hitter’s strikes – almost a little bit of a great control vs. good command situation; FB also gets in trouble at higher velocity when it flattens out and comes in too straight, especially when he forgets about two-seamer; sat consistently 96-98 with FB in summer 2011; easiest high velocity arm in class by a wide margin; rarely dips below 92; opening start 2012: 91-95 FB, 97 peak; above-average 82-84 SL that remains inconsistent; low-80s CU; for me, he’s at his best when he is 92-94 with plus sink and throwing lots of SL, sometimes gets too dependent on FB and overthrows it causing him to miss up in the zone; as the spring moved on, his SL improved considerably, though it lacks the sharpness and break of a true SL (it is more of a hybrid-breaking ball at this point) – now it is a more consistent, though still not reliable, 82-85 pitch with plus upside that can reach even higher (86-87 when he rears back); 80-85 circle CU with very good sink is currently an average big league pitch with plus upside – it is currently his best swing and miss pitch and my favorite of his offspeed offerings; can get in trouble showing too much of the ball in his delivery; no denying his raw stuff – taken individually, each pitch grades out as above-average to plus down the line, but the inability to throw all three pitches for strikes on any given day continues to be his downfall; downfall is, of course, relative – he still has the upside to be a frontline starter with the realistic floor of big league innings eater; 6-5, 205 pounds

2011: 7.42 K/9 | 110.1 IP
2012: 10.06 K/9 | 1.89 BB/9 | 3.14 FIP | 119 IP

6. LHP Max Fried (Harvard-Westlake HS, California): fastball velocity and sharpness of his breaking ball have been Fried’s big bugaboo’s all spring; generally speaking, he’ll sit comfortably in the upper-80s, but he has also been clocked at a steady 87-92 FB; his most recent outing found him at 92-95; long story short: getting a “true” idea of Fried’s current velocity is a fool’s errand – projecting where he’ll be once he starts pitching every fifth day with professional coaching is how pro scouting staff’s make their money; with his delivery, build, and flashes of present velocity, it is easy to imagine him sitting 88-93 and occasionally hitting 95 (i.e. Cole Hamels velocity); FB has good movement and natural sink at any velocity; really good 71-78 CB with plus upside that he leans on heavily; like FB, curve comes in at a wide range of velocities, but is most often in the harder 74-79 range; some (like me) think he might actually intentionally mix up his curves – a softer, loopier one in the lower-70s and the sharper, swing and miss plus one in the upper-70s; his best curves have gorgeous shape and huge break; the breaker can be inconsistent, but flashes plus-plus; good emerging 78-84 CU that also flashes plus; besides fluctuating velocity, there is some concern about his command of offspeed stuff and difficulty repeating his mechanics – I think the mechanical issues will work themselves out (elite athleticism will do that), but, if not, good coaching should get him there; great athlete with a plus hit tool and legit raw power; great pickoff move and a plus defender; this is the time of year for overly enthusiastic hyperbolic commentary, so let’s not fight it: Fried has the potential for three plus pitches, is arguably the best athlete/hitter in this year’s prep pitching class, and has the frame, understanding of the game, and drive to become a legitimate big league number one; 6-4, 175 pounds

7. RHP Lance McCullers (Jesuit HS, Florida): once sat 91-94 FB, peak 97-98, but now lives in the mid- to upper-90s (95-97 and only falls back to 92-94 as needed and has been rumored to hit 100; when he sits low- to mid-90s, keeps the ball down and hits his spots, he’s tough to beat; anyway you want to parse the radar readings, his fastball velocity ranks among the easiest you’ll see out of a prep arm; holds velocity really well, never dips below 90-91 with fastball;  got a deserved bad reputation for throwing too many “bad” (i.e. hittable) strikes, especially with the fastball, but has improved a great deal with his command throughout the spring, improvements must still be made in this area, but he’s much better; shows an above-average to plus 83-87 SL (have heard unconfirmed rumors this pitch has hit 91), but more consistent and better long-term offspeed pitch is good 79-86 kCB (best at 80-82) that flashes plus; commands CB really well; plus-plus upside with CB; emerging CU that is now very good and surprisingly consistent 82-88 pitch; I believe he has plus upside with CU, but could still be in minority; I also think the Kyle Drabek comp makes sense in a lot of ways (mostly draft positioning, stature, two-way status, and spike curveball), but prefer McCullers breaking ball as a more consistently reliable plus secondary offering; command and mechanics were the biggest issues coming into the year, and it is fair to say that McCullers has answered both multiple times over this spring; no questions about his athleticism, which leads me to believe any existing issues about his mechanics will be ironed out in time; with two plus pitches already (FB and kCB) and a potential third above-average or better offering (CU), McCullers is a first round arm and potential big league starting pitcher; 6-2, 200 pounds

8. RHP Zach Eflin (Hagerty HS, Florida): 89-91 FB, 92-93 peak; excellent command; inconsistent 74-80 CB; good 78-83 CU that flashes plus; spring 2012 update: 90-95 FB; 76-80 kCB that has some SL action and above-average upside; solid 83-84 CU that sinks; either secondary could be plus on any given day; 6-5, 200 pounds; pretty steady 92-94 as year has gone on; 89-93 at later date, 95 peak; 77-83 kCB better when harder; 79-83 plus CU; 90-95 FB with plus life; CU has plus upside; velocity down of late, 89-91; 77-78 CB; when everything is working, there are few prep arms with who look this good, but there’s some concern about Eflin’s ability to consistently harness his stuff all at once

9. Duke JR RHP Marcus Stroman: 90-93 FB, 95-98 peak; also has sat at higher velocities all game, consistently at 93-97 in some starts; rumors of even higher peaks (99-100); tight plus 79-85 SL with plus command, peaking at 86-87; when ahead in count, SL is deadly; slowly rolled out 82-84 CU in 2012, pitch improved greatly as season progressed – most call it above-average, some a grade higher; 87-91 cutter; important to remember that he is relatively new to pitching full-time, so his arm is fresh; there is some concern about lefthanders getting too good a look at him due to his arm slot, but righties struggle against him mightily; when he isn’t striking guys out, he’s getting ground balls; holds velocity deep into starts despite 5-9, 180 pound frame

2011: 13.01 K/9 | 64.1 IP
2012: 13.39 K/9 | 2.25 BB/9 | 1.79 FIP | 84 IP

10. Texas A&M JR RHP Michael Wacha: big velocity jump during college tenure – once peaked only as high as 92, but now regularly sits 90-95 FB, hitting 96-97; like many young arms, can get himself in trouble when he overthrows fastball and it begins to straighten out; somewhat similar to Kyle Zimmer in the way he relied on excellent fastball command before seeing a velocity spike; holds velocity well, very rarely dipping below 90; have heard he’ll throw his legitimate plus to plus-plus CU with two distinct grips: one at 82-85 with the circle change grip, the other more of an upper-70s straight change; either way, the CU should be a weapon from day one on; occasional 81-85 SL with cutter action; also will go with a very rare upper-70s CB that could be the breaking pitch he’ll be asked to run with as a pro; neither breaking ball is pro-ready, but both have flashed enough that it is easy to imagine a pro staff believing it can coach him up; natural comparison is Ryan Madson, especially if Wacha never develops a consistent third pitch and is used out of the bullpen; as a starter, I think there are some similarities in terms of stuff when you compare him to Braves prospect Julio Teheran; 6-6, 200 pounds

2011: 9.02 K/9 | 129.2 IP
2012: 9.53 K/9 | 1.51 BB/9 | 3.25 FIP | 113.1 IP

11. RHP Walker Buehler (Henry Clay HS, Kentucky): classic case of a plus pitchability arm who one day wakes up to big league quality stuff; his upper-80s FB (91-92 peak) has jumped to a steady 90-94, peaking 95-96; best offsped pitch is an above-average 76-78 CB with plus upside, one of the best of its kind in the class – even more effective when he throws it a little harder (78-82); third pitch is a straight CU with tumble that at times is his best offering; hardly going out on a limb, but Buehler is one of my favorite prep arms in this year’s class: smarts, three big league pitches, and repeatable mechanics all add up to a potential quality big league starter; 6-1, 165 pounds

12. Arkansas SO RHP Nolan Sanburn: 90-93 FB, 94-98 peak; sitting 94-97 last fall; 92-96 out of bullpen, peaking at 98-99; flashes plus 81-85 SL; improved 81-82 CU; good athlete; good delivery; strong; above-average 76-79 CB that I really like, can get up to low-80s; leans on FB and rightfully so; fresh arm who could/should be tried as a starter in the pros, but will likely be kept in the bullpen (have heard a Daniel Bard comp thrown his way) as a potential fast-rising prospect; 6-0, 190 pounds

2011: 10.30 K/9 | 32.1 IP
2012: 11.27 K/9 | 4.23 BB/9 | 2.87 FIP | 38.1 IP

13. LHP Hunter Virant (Camarillo HS, California): like Max Fried, fastball sits mostly upper-80s (87-89, later 88-91), but ranges from 86-92, 93-94 peak with good natural sink; plus FB command; loads of FB movement; rapidly improving 75-80 CU with great arm action; excellent pitch with FB arm action, good deception, plus command, and above-average downward movement; inconsistent 77-81 SL; good 70-76 CB that is better when thrown harder, gets in trouble when he aims it; CB has plus upside and is already an above-average, if inconsistent, pitch; relatively new to pitching, but shows a great deal of early aptitude for it; lots of upside in terms of body and lack of time on mound developing bad habits; will battle Kyle Twomey for top spot on what seems like an annual list of projectable California prep lefthanders; 6-3, 180 pounds

14. RHP Chase DeJong (Wilson HS, California): 87-89 FB, 90-91 peak; good to plus 74-79 CB; good to plus 82-84 CU; breaking ball also identified as 76-78 SL with late break; good sink on FB; good command; 6-4, 190 pounds; late spring 2012 update: 89-92 FB, 94 peak; 75-77 CB; 83-84 CU

15. RHP Mitch Brown (Rochester County HS, Minnesota): 88-92 FB, 93-95 peak; plus 79-84 SL; 87-88 cutter; good CU; occasional 75-77 CB, good pitch; good command; 6-1, 210 pounds; prep version of Kyle Zimmer

16. LHP Matthew Smoral (Solon HS, Ohio): 88-92 FB, 93-94 peak – up to 95-96; 77-84 SL that is really good at times, better when firmer; raw 82-84 straight CU; control comes and goes; foot injury doesn’t appear to be a long-term concern, so Smoral’s draft stock is unchanged for me; 6-8, 225 pounds

17. Missouri State JR RHP Pierce Johnson: 90-94 FB, 96 peak; FB velocity has steadily increased from summer 2011 (93-94 peak) to fall ball (up to 97 then) to this past season (settled in at low-90s, peaking 95-96); has learned to hold his velocity much better, still hitting 94 late in games; biggest downside of FB is inconsistent command; plus 80-84 breaking ball that is closer to CB than SL; average 86-87 SL with cutter action; shows a 80-82 CU that he rarely uses, but has plus upside; potential above-average big league starter if he stays healthy; 6-3, 180 pounds

2011: 8.80 K/9 | 75.2 IP
2012: 11.02 K/9 | 2.44 BB/9 | 2.26 FIP | 99.2 IP

18. Vanderbilt JR LHP Sam Selman: 89-93 FB, 95-97 peak; 12-6 CB from high school that couldn’t be controlled in college and has now morphed into a 79-82 SL that flashes plus; promising low-80s CU, but must improve arm action unless he wants professional hitters to know what pitch is coming; sat 91-94 FB, 97 peak last summer, so he has maintained his velocity jump over time; was still showing promising SL that will come and go as of late spring; his biggest issue is command; he also tires easily and loses velocity quickly over the course of a start; those negatives aside, it is easy to see why Selman should go high this June: his relative inexperience on the mound gives hope to teams looking to mold a raw talent in need of strong pro coaching and conditioning but already equipped with three potential above-average pitches and ample big game experience; 6-3, 185 pounds

2012: 10.18 K/9 | 4.74 BB/9 | 3.34 FIP | 76 IP

19. Oklahoma State JR LHP Andrew Heaney: 87-92 FB, 93-94 peak; fastball plays up due to command; will sit upper-80s late in games; good CB that he uses very cleverly – it comes in a variety of speeds (mid- to upper-70s, mostly) and shapes, sometimes looking like a true curve, sometimes appearing closer to a slider, and occasionally going in-between with a hybrid look; good 76-81 CU that flashes plus, but is too often left up in the zone and hittable; will cut, sink, and run his fastball, but loses command in these situations – his 78-82 cutter/slider does have above-average upside and could be an asset if he can gain greater command of it; great overall pitchability; varies arm slots like Josh Spence; 6-2, 175 pounds

2011: 7.12 K/9 | 67 IP
2012: 10.80 K/9 | 1.67 BB/9 | 3.06 FIP | 118.1 IP

20. Rice JR RHP JT Chargois: 90-94 FB; easy 95-96 peak but can also get it up to 98 with a little more effort; plus 78-83 CB; average 79-81 CU flashes plus; also shows 85-87 SL, but uses it almost exclusively as a chase pitch in the dirt; really tough to pick up ball out of his hand due to nasty angle in delivery; between deception, velocity, movement, and command, Chargois’ fastball is a true plus to plus-plus pitch; as a two-way prospect – I liked him as a hitter more his freshman season – his arm is fresh and his above-average athleticism goes without saying; big question is command of offspeed stuff; despite the overwhelming consensus that he’s a reliever only in the pros, I think he has three pitches to start if his arm action is deemed acceptable by a pro team, something that has a higher chance of happening that he gets credit for when you factor in his relative newness to pitching; has arguably one of the draft’s highest floors (big league setup guy) with the chance for more (elite closer/above-average big league starting pitcher); 6-3, 200 pounds

2012: 9.32 K/9 | 2.87 BB/9 | 3.34 FIP | 37.2 IP

21. Georgia Southern JR RHP Chris Beck: 87-93 FB, 95-97 peak; FB velocity was way down in 2012 (88-92, 93 peak) and far too straight a pitch to fool pro bats; 80-86 cutter-like SL with plus upside, has hit upwards of 90, but was above-average at best throughout much of 2012 season; 80-84 straight CU with plus upside; command needs tightening; Dr. Jekyll is a first round pick, but Mr. Hyde barely warrants top ten round consideration – a smart team will figure out what they are getting in advance (or at least that’s the idea…), but outsiders like me can only guess; 6-3, 220 pounds

2011: 9.70 K/9 | 103 IP
2012: 10.07 K/9 | 2.52 BB/9 | 3.90 FIP | 103.2 IP

22. Monmouth JR RHP Pat Light: first gained acclaim as a guy who threw a 89-91 FB that moved, but the progression that led to his current peak velocity of 94-97 helped his draft stock skyrocket; at his best he still sits low-90s (94-95 peak), but will lose velocity early; good 77-83 SL that flashes plus; solid 79-81 splitter/CU; similar to Chris Beck in that it is hard to predict what version you’ll get – the three-pitch pitcher with the plus fastball has clear big league upside or the pitcher who comes with the risk of unexplained ups and downs in terms of stuff; 6-6, 210 pounds

2011: 7.02 K/9 | 75.2 IP
2012: 8.70 K/9 | 1.51 BB/9 | 3.51 FIP | 101.1 IP

23. St. Mary’s JR RHP Martin Agosta: 91-93 FB, 95-96 peak; sometimes sits 89-92 with 94 peak; 80-85 SL with upside, flashes plus – has also been called a cutter; good CB; above-average CU; plus overall command; gets better as game  goes on; Agosta’s FB-SL-CU and command make him a good starting pitching prospect, and the chance he’ll continue to find ways to further differentiate his breaking ball – gaining some separation with his cutter and curve from his slider would be a start – make him especially intriguing; 6-1, 180 pounds

2011: 7.53 K/9 | 89.2 IP
2012: 8.45 K/9 | 2.35 BB/9 | 2.97 FIP | 103.1 IP

24. LHP Kyle Twomey (El Dorado HS, California): 86-90 FB, 91-92 peak; good CU that I like a lot, but admit needs work; good 71-76 CB, sometimes slower at 69-71; 85 cutter; good deception in delivery; crafty and projectable, Twomey is one of the draft’s highest upside arms; 6-4, 170 pounds

25. RHP Ty Buttrey (Providence HS, North Carolina): once sat 87-91 FB hitting 92, but pumped up to consistent 90-94, hitting 95-96 by early spring; two-seam FB stays 90-92 – pitch is a certifiable bat breaker; two-seam, four-seam, and cut (87-89) FBs all move a ton, making Buttrey one of this class’ premier groundball pitchers; emerging CU that he still doesn’t fully believe in, but pitch improved significantly in last six months – now sits 81-85 with plus upside (arm action is there), but it will take time and practice; 76-79 kCB with above-average upside that he’ll sometimes throw harder (low-80s), pretty impressive pitch when the velocity is up but remains inconsistent pitch to pitch; good athlete; some concern about late spring velocity loss (dipped back down to last summer’s upper-80s, 90-91 peak) and advanced age for his class; when a team saw Buttrey will determine how high he goes – on his best day, he’s a clear first day talent; when his fastball is slower and flatter, he’s nothing special; 6-5, 210 pounds

26. RHP Trey Killian (Mountain Home HS, Arkansas): 86-91 FB, 92-93 peak; 72-76 CB with plus upside; 76-82 SL; both breaking balls have firmed up and are now on higher range, both are legit future average or better pitches; 79-81 CU; delivery needs tweaking; impressive control for a young arm; strong present stuff and still easy to dream on more; 6-4, 180 pounds

27. RHP Nick Travieso (Archbishop McCarthy HS, Florida): 90-94 FB, 96-97 peak with rumors as high as 99; FB moves a ton, especially when he takes some off (90-92), so it is really hard to square up on; works low in zone with FB; command is iffy, too many hittable strikes; really encouraged by quick progression of good 80-87 SL that has plus upside; for being relatively new to throwing anything but a fastball, he commands his SL really well; new 82 CU – have also heard he’ll throw a hard CU (87-88) with decent tumble, but haven’t seen it yet; whatever you think of the CU, it is such a raw offering that it could go in any number of ways, positively or negatively; has been tagged with the “throws like a reliever” stigma, but I don’t see it; there are enough questions about Travieso (starter or reliever, improved yet still very inconsistent slider, no firsthand look by majority of scouts that says much on whether or not his nascent change will work against live bats) that I’d understand teams that move him off their day one draft boards, but arm strength and the ability to spin a breaking ball (at least some of the time) are worth investing some money in; 6-3, 215 pounds

28. RHP Kieran Lovegrove (Mission Viejo HS, California): 88-92 FB, 93-94 peak; 79-81 CU, up to 82-84 in recent viewings – have heard unconfirmed rumblings that he favors the splitter grip for his change; true plus low-80s SL (80-85) that is more of a big breaker than a sharp breaker, but an excellent potential second pitch either way; great athlete; good deception in delivery; blessed with lots of arm strength, so could see velocity numbers jump as he fills out; maintains velocity well; if you take the approach that the draft is more than simply adding talent, but also a means of hiring new employees to represent your multi-million dollar brand, then Lovegrove is an ideal fit – he’s plenty talented, and, more importantly, projectable enough to justify an early pick, and, while I’m not typically the guy heading up the intangibles (!) bandwagon, he’s exactly the kind of young man you feel good about bringing into your organization; 6-4, 180 pounds

29. RHP Ty Hensley (Santa Fe HS, Oklahoma): 88-93 FB, 94-95 peak; velocity has been up at times, sitting 92-95, peaking 97-98; good FB command; really good 74-79 CB with plus upside that he relies on heavily; emerging 79-82 CU; 84-86 SL that he has difficult commanding; strong hitter; two potential plus pitches and a big league frame are a great start, but he’ll have to continue developing a third pitch, likely his nascent change, going forward; as is, he has first day stuff; 6-5, 220 pounds

30. RHP Walker Weickel (Olympia HS, Florida): last year sat 89-91 FB with sink, 92 peak; by the summer of 2011, his stock was up and he was throwing 90-93, 94-95 peak FB; by mid-summer he was back 89-93 FB; has bounced between low (87-90) and high (92-95) all spring, most recently on the low side; good FB command; multiple theories about his fluctuating velocity include fatigue, early peaking arm from age standpoint, and too much emphasis placed on developing cutter, so pro teams will have to have done their homework before taking a chance; good to plus 70-76 CB, but still inconsistent especially when he overthrows it; in the minority in thinking his CB is best when thrown slower at 69-71, but I understand the concerns about how a pitch like that will hold up against pro hitters; good deception in delivery; if you’re buying Weickel, and I am, you’re buying an above-average fastball, above-average curve, and an above-average change, all tied together with a deceptive delivery, plus makeup, and excellent command across the board; 6-6, 200 pounds

31. RHP Tyler Gonzalez (Madison HS, Texas): 87-93, 94-96 peak FB; 80-89 SL with plus upside that is already a really good pitch; on the upper end of those velocity ranges when at his sharpest; 75-79 CB; holds velocity really well; very good athlete; very rare 82-83 CU; 87 cutter; 6-2, 175 pounds

32. RHP Grayson Long (Barbers Hill HS, Texas): 88-91 FB, 93 peak; good 80 CU; 75-77 CB with upside; SL with plus upside, but still a really inconsistent pitch; delivery ready for the pros; similar prospect to Walker Weickel in many ways, for better or worse; love his FB – command and movement make it a plus pitch even without big present velocity; has fallen off in the eyes of many this spring, but the long-term value is still very high; 6-6, 190 pounds

33. RHP Paul Blackburn (Heritage HS, California): 89-91 FB, 92 peak; really, really good 75-78 CB; 77-78 CU with plus upside; 6-2, 180 pounds; good command; good control; repeats mechanics well

34. RHP Kevin McCanna (The Woodlands HS, Texas): 87-89 FB, 91 peak; new to pitching, catcher convert; now sits 89-92, 94 peak FB; potential plus 82-84 CU that moves like a splitter (but isn’t, apparently) that is already a good pitch; 75-78 CB with plus upside; 75 straight CU with less tumble but good arm action; pitchability righthander with above-average stuff; plus command; 6-1, 185 pounds

35. RHP Shane Watson (Lakewood HS, California): 88-91 FB with sink, 92-93 peak; good 74-78 CB; definitely seen a good 76-80 SL; has shown 95-96 peak in spring 2012, sitting 91-93 FB; plus 78-80 CB; very consistent CB; everything down in zone; no real CU to speak of; 6-4, 200 pounds; spring 2012 UPDATE: 89-92 FB, 94 peak; above-average 75-76 CB; raw 78-81 CU; also rumors of 82 very good CB

36. RHP Carson Fulmer (All Saints Academy HS, Florida): 93-95 peak FB, sits 91-92 with good sink; 77-82 chase SL; really good 80-86 CU with sink that he has recently firmed up; really good FB command; 78-81 CB; could stand to tone down delivery; sits 92-94 in short bursts; holds velocity late; spring 2012 update: 89-92 FB, 93 peak; up to 90-94, 96 peak; 78-80 CU; good 75-78 CB; 6-1, 190 pounds; 6-1, 190 pounds; at his best: 94-96 FB, two plus offspeed pitches

37. RHP Lucas Sims (Brookwood HS, Georgia): 88-92 FB, 94 peak; really good but inconsistent 73-77 CB; average 81-84 SL; will show a low-80s CU that is well beyond its years; have heard late summer 95-96 peak; later on cranked it to 97-98; 90-94 FB, but loses it late in games and sits 89-91; FB moves a ton, even up to 93-94; some deception in delivery; 80 CB; CU and CB both have plus upside, some have 81-83 CB as plus already; 6-2, 200 pounds; update: 90-93, 94 peak; flashed good 73-77 CB that has flashed plus in past; interesting 81-85 CU; good athlete; April: 91-94 FB, 96 peak; CU; May: 91-94 FB, 96 peak; 75-78 CB that flashes above-average; above-average upside with 85-87 CU

38. RHP Justin Garza (Bonita HS, California): 89-92 FB, 94 peak; FB sits closer to peak than sitting velocity, i.e. he throws hard; 74-77 CB; really good 75-80 SL; two breaking balls might be one pitch, I’m going SL but others say CB; 76-78 CU; spring 2012 update: above-average 78-81 SL; usable 80-81 CU; update: 90-95 FB with plus sink on nasty two-seamer; 81 cutter; CU; best pitch is CB; good deception; have also heard 96 peak, with few FBs below 94 all game; 5-10, 155 pounds

39. RHP Zach Jemiola (Great Oak HS, California): 89-91 FB, 92-93 peak; 76-78 CB/SL with promise, but needs work; above-average 81-84 CU that has looked better as spring has progressed; splitter; good athlete; hitters had trouble squaring up on FB; lots of groundballs; 95 peak this spring; 6-3, 200 pounds

40. RHP Alec Rash (Adel DeSoto Minburn HS, Iowa): 87-90 FB, 92-94 peak; seen later 92-94, 95 peak; really nice sink on FB; good 81 CB; good 78-80 SL, up to 84 in recent look; 80-84 CU; great athlete; always looking for ways to get better; 6-5, 200 pounds

41. RHP Ryan Burr (Highlands Ranch HS, Colorado): 88-92, 93-94 FB peak; good 74-77 CB with plus upside; plus FB command; emerging 80-85 CU; extremely inconsistent, especially with delivery, control, and velocity; 6-4, 210 pounds

42. RHP Cody Poteet (Christian HS, California): 89-93 FB with sink, rare 94-96 peak; promising 75-80 CB that flashes plus; 78-83 CU; good athlete; not afraid to go inside and challenge hitters; 6-0, 180 pounds

43. RHP Keaton Haack (Northwest Guilford HS, North Carolina): 88-91 FB, 93 peak; really good 71-77 CB; 81 CU; groundball machine; good command; best days are ahead of him; 6-5, 200 pounds

44. RHP Mitchell Gueller (WF West HS, Washington): 91-92 peak, up to 96 by early May; above-average speed; great athlete; CF range; low- to mid-70s CB that could be SL in time, either way has plus upside; low-80s CU; would rather hit, but most clubs prefer him on mound; 6-3, 205 pounds

45. RHP Clate Schmidt (Alatoona HS, Georgia): 90-92 FB, 94-96 peak; very good 78-83 CB with plus upside; 82-85 SL; 85 CU; good athlete; two-seamer with a ton of sink; velocity down in spring; 6-2, 180 pounds

46. RHP David Gonzalez (Gainesville HS, Georgia): 88-93 FB; good present 75-77 CB; 81-83 SL with upside; might have to pick a breaking ball; mid-80s CU that looks like a splitter, also listed at 78-80; 6-1, 210 pounds

47. RHP Jose Orlando (JO) Berrios (Juan XXIII HS, Puerto Rico): 87-93 FB, 95 peak on island; easy velocity, some deception; good 71-74 CB; 75 CU; SL; 77-79 breaking ball, not sure what type; slight frame; more commonly 92-93 sitting velocity; update: 91-95 FB, 96-97 peak; 80-81 SL; 82-84 CU; holds velocity well

48. RHP Duane Underwood (Pope HS, Georgia): 87-89 FB, peak 92; new 94-98 peak in summer 2011, sitting 91-93 easily; really good 81-84 CU that flashes plus; 69-71 CB with promise, but still inconsistent; CB has also come in at 72-76; great athlete; late October: 92-95 FB; 89-91 cutter; 6-3, 190 pounds; update: better upper-70s CB; hit 96-97 in May; majority of spring has been 87-92 with iffy CB and good CU; have heard him compared to a righthanded version of Antonio Bastardo

49. Arizona State JR RHP Jake Barrett: sits 92-94 as starter, hits 95-96; as reliever he sits 93-96, hits 97-98; good, heavy FB that is difficult to make solid contact on; SL has also gained velocity in move to bullpen: was an above-average upper-70s pitch, now is an excellent mid-80s (83-87) offering; commands his breaking ball and much improved but still raw upper-70s splitter better than he does his fastball; if he throws strikes as a pro, he’ll move fast – ceiling may not quite be big league closer, but he’ll be close; 6-3, 230 pounds

2011: 9.00 K/9 | 76 IP
2012: 10.26 K/9 | 2.43 BB/9 | 2.97 FIP | 33.1 IP

50. Florida Atlantic JR RHP RJ Alvarez: 90-93 FB, 94-97 peak; impressive 80-84 CU that flashes plus; good but raw 78-80 CB with plus upside; CB has shown plus this fall as it has evolved into harder, 80-84 SL-type pitch; FB plays way up in relief – sat 93-97 this spring; iffy FB command, but good control; has moved away from straight change in favor of harder above-average 87-88 split-fingered CU; 6-1, 180 pounds

2011: 9.12 K/9 | 74 IP
2012: 11.47 K/9 | 2.39 BB/9 | 2.94 FIP | 37.2 IP

51. Memphis JR RHP Dan Langfield: 90-94 FB, typical 96-97 peak but up to as high as 99 at times in 2012; command and control issues; limited secondary stuff at present, but shows flashes of interesting 78-81 CB that shows plus; also unveiled a mid-80s SL with cutter action in 2012 that could be a strong pitch in time; will show a CU; has experience in multiple roles, but I like him as a starter, especially if there is more to the changeup than we’ve since so far – if not, he has legit closer stuff; 6-1, 205 pounds

2011: 10.02 K/9 | 85.1 IP
2012: 10.86 K/9 | 4.42 BB/9 | 3.17 FIP | 93.2 IP

52. St. John’s JR RHP Kyle Hansen: 91-93 FB with good life, 94-96 peak; average 79-84 SL that is improving, pitch has plus upside but inconsistent shape: up to 88 on most recent looks and tends to work much better as truer slider at higher velocities than it does as an upper-70s SL/CB hybrid breaking ball; raw 80-82 CU when he started school that is now a really solid third pitch; has learned to use more upper-80s sinkers to complement four-seam heat; I’ve learned to be skeptical of overly large pitching prospects, but Hansen, for whatever reason, hasn’t gotten anywhere close to the kind of hype typically associated with similar pitchers in the past – he’s big, yes, but he is an excellent athlete who repeats his mechanics well and sits at consistent above-average velocities all while staying healthy while at college and putting up outstanding numbers year after year; hard to call a 6-8, 215 pound brother of a big leaguer a sleeper, but Hansen will likely be on the board a full three rounds past where I’d begin recommending him

2011: 9.03 K/9 | 107.2 IP
2012: 10.67 K/9 | 2.40 BB/9 | 3.43 FIP | 93.2 IP

53. Stanford rJR LHP Brett Mooneyham: fastball velocities have been all over the place: 85-88 over the summer, starting hitting low-90s consistently during 2011 fall ball (94 peak), fell back to 87-90 at start of season, and, finally, for the majority of the spring, he has begun games 92-94 before falling to 88-90 later in games; no matter the velocity, every fastball he throws has some degree of sink – easily his best singular quality for me, though the outstanding deception in his delivery is a close second; FB command comes and goes; has used a good 74-78 CB in the past, but now uses an average hybrid 76-81 breaking ball that is closer to a SL than a CB; good sinking 76-80 CU; improved cutter; longstanding concerns over inconsistent mechanics and economy of pitches remain; also worth mentioning that he rarely has all his pitches working at once, in a way that is somewhat similar to his rotation-mate Mark Appel; reminds me a lot of Georgia LHP Alex Wood, right down to a change in breaking ball, up and down fastballs, and funky deliveries; 6-5, 215 pounds

2012: 10.15 K/9 | 4.00 B/9 | 4.06 FIP | 83.1 IP

54. UCLA JR RHP Scott Griggs: 90-94 FB, 96 peak; potential plus 78-83 CU that I like much better than most; promising 74-76 CB that flashes plus, up to harder 77-83 SL by late season – whether you call it a power CB or a SL, it is a strong present second pitch; has the stuff to close and the numbers to back it up (below), but below-average control (again, below) and poor, but improved, command both currently stand in the way; will be a win or loss based on player development over scouting, I think – to draft him high is to show a lot of trust in your organization’s ability to harness his electric stuff over time; 6-3, 200 pounds

2011: 11.21 K/9 | 17.2 IP
2012: 16.69 K/9 | 7.12 BB/9 | 1.45 FIP | 36.2 IP

55. Georgia rSO LHP Alex Wood: came into year sitting 88-91 FB, peaking at 92; velocity up in 2012, sitting 92-95 with good sink at times, getting as high as 96 with great life; as his fastball goes, so does his overall effectiveness; solid mid-80s CU that flashes plus, but nearly often enough; scrapped a below-average slider for what has turned into a pretty good mid-70s CB with upside, though it is still an inconsistent pitch; funk in delivery works for me as it leads to really good deception; has already endured Tommy John surgery; 6-4, 215 pounds

2011: 7.64 K/9 | 101.1 IP
2012: 9.15 K/9 | 1.76 BB/9 | 3.53 FIP | 102.1 IP

56. Faulkner (AL) JR RHP Corey Black: 90-95 FB, 96 peak; holds velocity late; velocity way up in 2012: sitting 94-96, 98-99 peak; above-average 81-84 CU; occasional CB, average SL; transferred from San Diego State; good fielder; nice line drive swing; 5-11, 180 pounds

57. Bellevue (WA) JC SO RHP Adrian Sampson: 89-93 FB, 94-95 peak; above-average to plus 79-84 CB; emerging CU; good command; good control; FB has good sink; really impressive command of CB; Tommy John survivor; 6-3, 200 pounds

58. Coastal Carolina JR RHP Josh Conway: long-time favorite prospect, so we’ll go the full three year treatment on his prospect stock starting with his freshman season: 89-91 FB, but often fell to 87-89 late in games; sat 87-93 as sophomore; good 80-86 SL that quickly became a great second pitch; also used an emerging CU that could be well above-average in time; by summer 2011, FB was 88-92, 94 peak; good sinking 83-84 CU; still featured 84-86 SL with plus upside; the bad news: TJ surgery puts his future in doubt, but worth noting that he was hitting 95-96 just prior to injury; also added a good upper-80s cutter to go along with existing mid-80s SL and 83-84 CU; great athlete; if a team believes in a full return to health, he’ll be a gigantic draft day bargain as a starter with mid-rotation upside; 6-1, 190 pounds

2011: 8.30 K/9 | 77 IP
2012: 8.40 K/9 | 2.96 BB/9 | 3.80 FIP | 54.2 IP

59. Central Florida JR LHP Joe Rogers: 87-93 FB, 95 peak; good SL; 77-80 CB; good CU; three pitches and good enough control to start professionally, though it is unlikely he’d be at mid-90s peak fastballs when stretched out; 6-1, 200 pounds

2011: 8.71 K/9 | 41.1 IP
2012: 10.05 K/9 | 1.47 BB/9 | 3.15 FIP | 43 IP

60. Pepperdine JR RHP Jon Moscot: 87-89 FB with good command and sink, 90-91 peak; FB up to 90-93 in summer 2011; sitting mostly 88-92 with 93-94 peak in 2012; really good yet inconsistent 78-82 SL that flashes plus; average 72-77 CB that might just be the SL with a little taken off; emerging 79-83 CU that he uses a lot; commands both his FB and CU really well, though he sometimes has trouble with his breaking stuff; plus control; easy to like Moscot, a legitimate three-pitch starter with a FB that really moves and still some projection left in his 6-4, 210 pound frame

2011: 6.28 K/9 | 71.2 IP
2012: 7.83 K/9 | 1.80 BB/9 | 3.22 FIP | 115 IP

61. Florida JR LHP Steven Rodriguez: 88-92 FB with plus movement, 93-94 peak – most often 90-93 in 2012, definitely seeing more velocity and sharper stuff in shorter bursts; potential plus 81-86 CU; above-average 82-85 SL that flashes plus; love his mid- to upper-80s cutter; 6-3, 235 pounds

2011: 11.23 K/9 | 37.2 IP
2012: 12.55 K/9 | 1.75 BB/9 | 2.25 FIP | 61.2 IP

62. Texas JR LHP Hoby Milner: 86-91 FB with great movement, 92-93 peak; used in a variety of ways as amateur: more often 86-89 FB as starter, low-90s as reliever; very good FB command, but not nearly as strong in this area with his offspeed stuff; once showed a potential plus mid-80s SL (freshman year?), but doesn’t use it now; instead relies heavily on mid-70s CB that has gotten a lot better since he first rolled it out as a sophomore; emerging 81-82 CU that is now solid; half-empty view might worry about his college workload/being jerked around between roles, but I think the value of his rubber arm; as thin a college pitcher as I can remember at 6-3, 165 pounds; some players give off the impression that they will be better pros than they showed in college – you watch Milner throw and you want him to be better than he is

2011: 6.83 K/9 | 84.1 IP
2012: 8.92 K/9 | 2.26 BB/9 | 3.70 FIP | 71.2 IP

63. Florida JR LHP Brian Johnson: really good athlete whom I actually prefer at first base; as a position player, he has a plus arm and plus power; the majority, however, understandably prefers him on mound; if actually forced to choose, I’d start him on the mound while keeping him informed (no pressure!) that a switch back to first base could be in the cards in case his four-pitch mix lets him down; 88-92 FB, 93-94 peak; good 73-78 CB that flashes plus; 80-83 CU needs polish, but has improved a great deal in 2011 and is now a good pitch; emerging 81-85 SL that comes and goes; clean mechanics; very polished, high degree of pitchability; 6-4, 225 pounds

2011: 8.70 K/9 | 79.2 IP
2012: 7.75 K/9 | 1.66 BB/9 | 4.53 FIP | 65 IP

2011: .328/.402/.490 – 22 BB/34 K – 192 AB
2012: .344/.386/.541 – 8 BB/17 K – 122 AB

64. St. Edward’s (TX) JR RHP Stephen Johnson: consistent 93-96 FB, 98 peak; has reportedly been as high as 101, but typically tops out upper-90s; 77-81 SL that has gotten harder (mid-80s) and better over the past year; hard 84-88 CU that is better when softer; great deception; closer upside; 6-4, 200 pounds

65. RHP Robert Whalen (Haines City HS, Florida): 88-91 FB, 92-93 peak; 72-78 CB needs lots of work (73-75); 74-75 CU needs lots of work, up to 79-81 and flashing average; interesting 85 SL that flashes plus, but is raw; also had SL 76-78; has shown plus CB and been up to 95; average at best command; good sink on FB; 6-2, 200 pounds

66. RHP Taylore Cherry (Butler HS, Ohio): 92 peak FB in early 2011; big jump in velocity expected but never quite realized; new summer 2011 peak of 94, sitting 91-93; good upper-70s CB, 78-81 that might as well be SL; emerging mid-70s CU that he has upped to 83-85 and is now a plus pitch; exceptional control of huge frame; spring 2012 update: 86-87 two-seam FB, 88-91 four-seam FB; good breaking ball; 78-79 CB; 78 SL; 84-86 CU 6-9, 260 pounds; at his best can throw 91-94 FB with plus sink as well as a 77-79 CB with above-average upside and a low-80s CU with at least average upside, but hasn’t been at his best for a long time

67. RHP Edwin Diaz (Naguabo HS, Puerto Rico): 89-91 FB, 92-94 peak; rumors of a 95 peak confirmed; 79-81 SL; 79-83 CU; update: 92-95 FB, 97 peak; 77-80 CB also called slurve, so who knows; 83-84 CU that he doesn’t show often; 6-3, 165 pounds

68. RHP Mitchell Traver (Houston Christian HS, Texas): 88-92 FB; 82-84 CU is very raw but has good sink; good 81-83 SL (confirmed) also called a near-plus 78-80 CB – either way, pitch was dominant breaking ball; command needs work; late summer 94-95 peak FB, sitting 92-94 with ease; also have him 89-92 on lesser days; confirmed above-average 75-79 CB; good FB command now after tweaking mechanics; 91-93 in spring look; 6-7, 240 pounds

69. RHP Ryan McNeil (Nipomo HS, California): 88-92 FB, 93-94 peak; FB has legit plus sink; 75-80 CB has firmed up and now works closer to a good 78-84 SL that flashes plus; 77-81 CU; steady performer throughout summer and early spring; late 2012 spring update: velocity down across the board; 88-89 FB; less impressive 73-74 hybrid breaking ball; 6-3, 210 pounds

70. RHP Jamie Callahan (Dillon HS, South Carolina): 88-91 FB, 92-93 peak; good 71-74 CB; SL; good 79-84 CU that comes out of his hand like the FB, good sinking action; spring 2012 update: improved on 77-81 CB by adding velocity; 6-3, 200 pounds

71. RHP Michael Rucker (Auburn Riverside HS, Washington): 89-91 FB, 92 peak; good 79-81 SL; good 80 CU; outstanding command; 6-0, 180 pounds

72. RHP Hayden Hurst (Bolles School, Florida): 88-91 FB, 93-94 peak; rumors of 96 peak when healthy; good 72-75 CB; 77-78 SL; 6-5, 235 pounds; Tommy John survivor; 6-5, 235 pounds

73. Samford JR LHP Lex Rutledge: 92-95 FB, 97 peak out of bullpen; plus 78-82 CB; below-average control; 6-1, 185 pounds

2011: 11.29 K/9 | 63 IP
2012: 13.37 K/9 | 6.06 BB/9 | 2.04 FIP | 35.2 IP

74. Orange Coast CC (CA) rFR RHP Brandon Brennan: 88-93 FB, 95 peak; average 83-84 SL; average CU with more upside than that for me; transfer from Oregon; 6-4, 225 pounds

75. Virginia JR RHP Branden Kline: 88-91 FB, 93 peak; FB up as sophomore, hitting mid-90s (92-94) consistently; average or slightly better 80-84 CU with plus upside; good low-80s SL, 82-83 and flashing plus this summer; good athlete; 2012 update: 92-94 FB consistently, 95 peak; 89-92 as starter; 94-95 peak; 82-85 SL flashes above-average with good arm action; 73-78 CB needs work, shows average; FB reliant; big concern as starter is velocity loss: often mid-80s in mid-innings; 6-3, 200 pounds

2011: 12.35 K/9 | 43 IP
2012: 9.51 K/9 | 3.94 BB/9 | 3.51 FIP | 93.2 IP

76. Georgia Tech JR RHP Buck Farmer: 88-92 FB, 94-95 peak; more often 88-90, peaking 92-93 in 2012; has relied more on 86-87 two-seamer to compensate for velocity dip; potential plus 78-81 SL, but not there yet; much improved sinking 78-83 CU that is now an above-average big league pitch; inconsistent 74-78 CB; iffy command – rumors of it being much improved in spring, throwing all four pitches for strikes; his two breaking balls run into each other for me, not so much in the past but certainly this year; 6-4, 225 pounds

2011: 9.30 K/9 | 108.1 IP
2012: 10.29 K/9 | 2.95 BB/9 | 4.30 FIP | 106.2 IP

77. RHP Zachary Bird (Murrah HS, Mississippi): 91 peak; good but inconsistent 71-74 CB; 78 SL; 6-4, 190 pounds; rumors of 94-95 peak this spring

78. RHP Freddy Avis (Menlo HS, California): 90-93 FB, 94 peak; inconsistent 70-74 CB that is excellent when on, can get up to 75-77; good 82-84 CU; 6-2, 180 pounds

79. Oklahoma JR RHP Damien Magnifico: 93-96 FB, 97-100 peak; rumors of 102-103 peak out there, believe them or not; Magnifico’s peak is less important than his high velocity floor: he’s rarely below 95 out of bullpen, most often 95-99; emerging 78 SL; returned from stress fracture in elbow last spring and his slider was deemphasized due to injury; has worked on developing cutter; surprised by sudden progress of 78 CU; I’m in the minority, but the chance for three pitches combined with the way he held his velocity as a starter has me more than a little intrigued at the thought of stretching him out in pro ball; 6-2, 200 pounds

2012: 6.31 K/9 | 4.21 BB/9 | 3.97 FIP | 51.1 IP

80. Florida JR RHP Austin Maddox: 90-94 FB, 95-96 peak; will dip to upper-80s to throw a two-seam with plus sink; 83-85 SL was much, much improved in 2012; still shows 78-81 CU that has improved some, but not quite enough to be usable third pitch just yet; still think I’d be that one annoying voice in the room insisting that Maddox be tried behind the plate once again, though I realize doing so is essentially a lost cause; 6-4, 225 pounds

2011: 7.33 K/9 | 27 IP
2012: 10.17 K/9 | 1.67 BB/9 | 3.39 FIP | 54 IP

81. Rice rSR RHP Matthew Reckling: 86-91 FB as starter, hitting 92-93; up to 89-94 as reliever, getting into the mid-90s on occasion; good 76-81 kCB that he leans on very heavily; underutilized yet very interesting 80-82 CU with upside; I’ve never been big on commenting on pitching mechanics, but there is something in his delivery that makes me think the bullpen is his eventual destination; also think the delivery is a big part of what has led him to a history of command issues and below-average control; has relied on two-seamers more often in 2012, though he can still get his four-seam up to 94-95 out of the bullpen; more movement on kCB that now sits more commonly between 78-84, flashing plus more often; could be groomed as sinker/spike curve reliever if his changeup and delivery aren’t up to pro levels in a hurry; 6-4, 215 pounds

2011: 11.60 K/9 | 78.1 IP
2012: 10.47 K/9 | 3.59 BB/9 | 3.44 FIP | 87.2 IP

82. Oklahoma JR LHP Steven Okert: 88-91 FB, 92-94 peak; up to 94-97 out of bullpen; good SL; CU is better than often given credit; command comes and goes; reminds me a little bit of Chris Reed before Reed became last year’s “it” first round pick – could be a dominant reliever if everything breaks right, but also has the chance to continue starting at next level; 6-3, 220 pounds

2012: 8.78 K/9 | 3.67 BB/9 | 3.95 FIP | 81 IP

83. Northwestern State JR LHP Mason Melotakis: had him 91-95 FB, 97 peak coming into year; currently sits 94-98 much more consistently, rarely dipping below 93 in short stints; 85-87 SL that flashes plus, but is far too inconsistent; shows CU; I think he can work as a starter because of his improved breaking ball and ability to hold his velocity (92-95) as a starter, but the lack of a reliable third pitch and mechanics that scare scouts likely keep him in the bullpen professionally; 6-3, 200 pounds

2011: 10.18 K/9 | 40.2 IP
2012: 10.45 K/9 | 2.61 BB/9 | 3.65 FIP | 62 IP

84. Radford JR RHP Eddie Butler: 91-93 FB with loads of sink, hard to square up on, 94-97 peak; throwing harder in 2012 (93-95 more consistently, still peaking 96-97); very projectable frame; improved CU in 2012 has helped, but doesn’t use it often; FB is a legit plus pitch, lots of movement; personally prefer the 78-84 SL over the 71-75 CB, but neither pitch is of pro quality just yet; iffy command; very impressed that his FB has remained a plus pitch even during longer outings – in one start, he didn’t throw a fastball under 92; FB is his current meal ticket, but the development of a second pitch (SL most likely) will be necessary professionally; if you’re getting greedy, there is some hope here that a third pitch (CU) could help him start; 6-2, 165 pounds

2011: 6.80 K/9 | 95.1 IP
2012: 8.82 K/9 | 2.11 BB/9 | 3.63 FIP | 98 IP

85. Xavier JR RHP Seth Willoughby: 92-95 FB; plus 87-90 cutter/SL; fresh arm; has the two plus pitches needed to move very quickly as a reliever; to put into perspective how far he’s come this year, there were many people around baseball who thought he’d profile best as a second baseman (2011: .320/.436/.459 – 29 BB/29 K – 181 AB) heading into the year; 6-1, 185 pounds

2011: 9.00 K/9 | 32 IP
2012: 10.85 K/9 | 3.03 BB/9 | 3.22 FIP | 35.2 IP

86. St. John’s JR RHP Matt Carasiti: heavy 88-91 FB, 92-94 peak; now more regularly sitting 91-93, 95-96 peak; really good 75-79 SL; good low-80s split-CU that flashes plus; much improved command, especially of offspeed stuff; at his best when FB sinks naturally, i.e. not overthrowing the ball; control a question going forward, but has the raw stuff to start in pro ball – I didn’t think much of him coming into year, but am now a believer after seeing how much progress he made from his sophomore season ; 6-3, 210 pounds

2011: 8.24 K/9 | 43.2 IP
2012: 7.10 K/9 | 3.23 BB/9 | 3.62 FIP | 83.2 IP

87. RHP Dalton Brown (Ponder HS, Texas): 88-91 FB, 93 peak; good 78-83 SL with plus upside – some consider it more of a hybrid breaking ball; CB; 82 CU; 6-3, 230 pounds

88. Howard JC (TX) SO LHP Logan Ehlers: 87-92 FB, 94 peak; has shown makings of two plus breaking balls at various points in his development – a plus CB back in the day and a current low-80s SL that flashes plus today; raw CU; Nebraska transfer; 6-2, 215 pounds

89. RHP Cal Becker (Redwood HS, California): 90-93 FB, 95 peak; good 81-84 SL; 75 CB; 83 CU; 6-1, 200 pounds

90. Liberty JR RHP Blake Forslund: 92-95 FB, 97-98 peak; good 89-91 cutter; splitter; threw everything hard prior to 2012, but improved CB gives him his first legitimate breaking ball; Virginia transfer; below-average control; 6-4, 215 pounds

2011: 9.14 K/9 | 21.2 IP
2012: 9.09 K/9 | 9.09 BB/9 | 3.85 FIP | 33.2 IP

91. RHP Jackson McClelland (Redlands East Valley HS): 85-89 FB, up to 89-93 and peaking at 94; 72-75 CB; 70 SL; 78-80 CU; typically 88-92, 94 peak; 6-5, 245

92. RHP Damien Carroll (King George HS, Virginia): 90-93 FB, 95-96 peak; raw, but loads of projection; raw SL/CB; rawer CU; inconsistent velocity from outing to outing; 6-3, 200 pounds

93. LHP Chase Mullins (Bourbon County HS, Kentucky): 86-89 FB, 90-91 peak; good mid-70s CB (76); really knows how to pitch; 78-80 CU; 75-78 SL; 6-9, 250 pounds; 94 peak this spring, sitting velocity up some (89-91); 76-78 SL; 80 CU; FB reliant

94. LHP Max Foody (IMG Baseball Academy, Florida): plus arm strength; 87-92 FB; good 74-80 CB; 79-82 CU; 6-4, 225 pounds

95. RHP Eric Hanhold (East Lake HS, Florida): 88-90 FB, 92-93 peak; up to 90-93 now, 95 peak; 73-78 CB; 80-81 CU; 6-5, 180 pounds

96. LHP Matt Crownover (Ringgold HS, Georgia): 87-90 FB, 91 peak; really good 71-76 straight CU that is near plus; 72-75 CB that is very raw, but flashes above-average; 83 SL; sitting 90-93 (94-95 peak) by late summer, but hasn’t maintained gains in spring; scouts rave about his pitchability; can cut the FB; commands everything well; plus pickoff move; March 2012 TJ surgery; 6-0, 200 pounds

97. RHP Jeremy Kivel (Spring HS, Texas): 90-93 FB, 94-95 peak; very good CB with plus upside; CU; torn ACL puts his future in doubt; 6-2, 200 pounds

98. RHP Jake Sborz (McLean HS, Virginia): 86-91 FB, 92-93 peak; 75-83 CB; 77-82 CU; 79 SL; good command; two breaking balls could be one hybrid

99. RHP Kevin Elder (Burlington Central HS, Illinois): 86-91 FB; good 76-81 CB; 79-82 SL; also have plus 72 SL

100. RHP James Marvel (Campolinda HS, California): 88-90 FB with good movement and command, 91 peak; good 76-78 CB that is inconsistent; Duke commitment; velocity has gone up to 90-94 range; 6-3, 185 pounds

101. RHP Justin Alleman (Holt HS, Michigan): 88-92 FB, 94 peak; good 75 CB; also have CB at 82-84; above-average upside with CU; 6-3, 200 pounds

102. VCU JR RHP Blake Hauser: 90-94 FB, 97 peak; holds velocity late; emerging 81-84 CU that has gotten better, but is badly underutilized; once threw a near-plus 72-75 CB, but has moved away from it in favor of a mid-80s (83-86) SL that he is simply too reliant on, even though it is a really fine pitch; broken record alert: I think he has the stuff to be tried as a starter, but I can understand a pro team wanting to fast track him in the bullpen as a two-pitch reliever who should move quickly through a system; 6-2, 180 pounds

2011: 8.40 K/9 | 50.1 IP
2012: 16.91 K/9 | 7.07 BB/9 | 2.23 FIP | 35.2 IP

103. Florida International rJR LHP Mason McVay: 87-91 FB post-injury as starter; solid potential with CB, plus upside; mechanics need cleaning up; control is an issue; peaked at 95-96 out of bullpen in fall 2011, so, if healthy, he can throw some smoke; Tommy John survivor; good coaching and good health will go a long way in determining his pro future, but his two potential plus pitches and size give him more upside than your typical double-digit round pick; 6-8, 240 pounds

2011: 11.27 K/9 | 30.1 IP
2012: 10.07 K/9 | 5.74 BB/9 | 3.28 FIP | 64.1 IP

104. CC Western Nevada SO RHP Dylan Baker: 91-94 FB, 95-97 peak; good 78-83 CB; better 81-86 SL; shows CU;  6-3, 215 pounds

105. LHP Jake Drossner (Council Rock North HS, Pennsylvania): 86-88 FB, 90-92 peak; good 73-75 CB; 77 SL/cutter; 80 CU; good command; good athlete; 6-3, 200 pounds

106. LHP Austin Fairchild (St. Thomas HS, Texas): 88-91 FB, 93-94 peak; good FB command; FB moves; good 74-78 CB;  6-0, 175 pounds

107. RHP Tony Blanford (Boulder Creek HS, Arizona): 88-91 FB, 92-93 peak; good 72-78 CB that flashes plus; good 77-81 CU; good athlete; velocity down this spring; 6-3, 180 pounds

108. Merced (CA) JC FR RHP Derick Velazquez: 88-92 FB, 94-95 peak; FB is a plus pitch even when velocity isn’t there, lots of movement; groundball machine; good CB flashes plus; intriguing circle CU; fresh arm; young for his class; good deception; 6-3, 185 pounds

109. College of Charleston SR RHP David Peterson: 88-92 FB with good sink as starter, but up to 94-96 as reliever; low-80s CB and CU both need work; plus command across board; hard 90-92 cutter has become out pitch; he’s a reliever all the way, but a darn good one; 6-4, 215 pounds

2011: 5.85 K/9 | 87.2 IP
2012: 9.08 K/9 | 3.40 BB/9 | 3.43 FIP | 39.2 IP

110. RHP Kyle Funkhouser (Oak Forest HS, Illinois): 87-90 FB, 92 peak; good 75-79 CB; nice 80-83 CU; nice two-seamer; 6-2, 200 pounds

111. RHP Quinn Carpenter (Goshen HS, New York): 87-90 FB, 92 peak; 79-81 SL; excellent command; 6-5, 200 pounds

112. RHP Teddy Stankiewicz (Southwest Christian HS, Texas): 88-92 FB, rare 93-94 peak; 73-76 CB has evolved into great 78-84 SL over time; 80 CU; 6-4, 200 pounds

113. RHP Daniel Starwalt (Granite Hills HS, California): 88-92 FB, 94-95 peak; good 73-75 CB that has been up to 80 when healthy; straight CU; health concerns could push him to honoring his Stanford commitment; 6-3, 200 pounds

114. RHP Jon Sandford (Winter Springs HS, Florida): 88-91 FB, 92-94 peak; good CU; 79-81 SL, also called CB; 6-5, 220 pounds

115. Ohio JR RHP Seth Streich: came to school sitting 87-90 with FB, 91-92 peak; has now upped velocity to comfortable 90-93 range, peaking 95-96; once flashed a plus CB, but breaking ball has morphed into harder, mid-80s SL; also uses CU; similar to Seth Willoughby in that both are two-way college players from the state of Ohio with relatively little experience on the mound but the chance to move quick as professional relievers; 6-4, 205 pounds

2011: 7.26 K/9 | 96.2 IP
2012: 7.05 K/9 | 4.54 BB/9 | 4.42 FIP | 75.1 IP

116. RHP Ray Castillo (Russell County HS, Alabama): 86-90 FB, 91 peak; has been up to 95 this spring; good 74-79 CB; 81 CU

117. RHP Nolan Gannon (Santa Fe Christian HS, California): 88-92 FB; 70-77 CB that was inconsistent, but flashes plus when thrown harder; loses some velocity in-game, could be attributed to delivery hiccup; CU; 6-5, 200 pounds

118. RHP Kenny Koplove (William Penn Charter HS, Pennsylvania): sits mid- to upper-80s with FB, 94 peak; crazy sidearm CB that is awesome; Duke commitment; not the next Stroman, but not not the next Stroman if you catch my drift; 6-0, 160 pounds

119. LHP Brett Lilek (Marian Catholic HS, Illinois): 86-90 FB, 92 peak; plus command; good 73-76 CB; 77-80 SL; 79-83 CU; good athlete; 6-4, 185 pounds

120. RHP Kayden Porter (Spanish Fork HS, Utah): 88-92 FB, 94 peak with sink; good 79-81 CB that he’ll also slow down to 73; nasty hard 79-80 splitter; 6-5, 250 pounds; plus raw power from right side; mature approach; velocity down late in summer; R/R

121. LHP Dylan Silva (America Heritage-Delray HS, Florida): 84-89 FB, 90-91 peak; good upper-70s CB, also called 77-79 SL; solid CU; plus command; lots of deception in his delivery; everything he throws moves

122. Lee (TN) JR RHP Kris Hall: 90-93 FB, 94-96 peak; good 81-85 SL that flashes plus; new CU; has come a long way as a pitcher; 6-3, 215 pounds

123. RHP Connor Baits (Point Loma HS, California): 88-92 FB, 93-94 peak; good 79-81 SL; 79-81 CB; two breaking balls probably same pitch; 82-84 CU; high effort delivery; good command; 6-5, 220 pounds

124. Gateway (AZ) JC SO RHP Trey Lang: 90-93 FB, 95-96 peak; promising SL that flashes plus; average CU; new to pitching; good athlete; good command across board; 6-3, 230 pounds

125. RHP Cameron Tekker (Cuthbertson HS, North Carolina): 87-89 FB, 90 peak; up to 93 in spring; 76-79 CB; 79-80 CU; 6-3, 185 pounds

126. Palm Beach State (FL) CC SO RHP Brandon Welch: 90-94 FB, 96 peak; plus 84-87 SL; usable CB; 83-85 CU; good athlete; 6-1, 180 pounds

127. LHP Max Tishman (Lawrence Academy HS, Massachusetts): 86-89 FB, 91 peak FB; 86-88 two-seamer; good CU; 77-80 SL; CU;  6-2, 170 pounds

128. LHP Colin Rodgers (Parkview Baptist HS, Louisiana): 87-91 FB, 92-93 peak; good 75-79 CB; good 84-85 SL; 80-81 CU; 6-0, 180 pounds; another source had 78-80 SL as really good pitch; solid CU with plus upside

129. San Diego rJR RHP Calvin Drummond: 89-92 FB, only occasional 94 peak; 85-87 cutter; good 75-79 kCB; good 83-84 CU; when on, the 81-83 SL is a good pitch; 6-2, 200 pounds

2011: 6.69 K/9 | 76.2 IP
2012: 8.41 K/9 | 3.53 BB/9 | 3.98 FIP | 86.2 IP

130. Washington rJR RHP Aaron West: 89-93 FB, 94-95 peak; good mid-80s SL that is inconsistent; good CU; Tommy John survivor; stuff has never quite matched with results, but has way more upside than your typical mid-round (10+) college arm; 6-1, 200 pounds

2011: 5.67 K/9 | 73 IP
2012: 6.38 K/9 | 1.59 BB/9 | 3.82 FIP | 96 IP

131. Miami JR RHP EJ Encinosa: had him originally with a 87-91 FB with sink, 94 high school peak but hadn’t seen it in a while, instead peaking at 91-92; once committed to bullpen, velocity shot back up – now sits 94-95, and has hit 98 in 2012; no matter the velocity, the fastball remains an excellent pitch – very consistent plus-plus sink; plus low-80s SL; good, but inconsistent CU; reliever all the way (and likely not a closer), but a good one all the same; 6-4, 235 pounds

2011: 7.74 K/9 | 86 IP
2012: 13.30 K/9 | 3.63 BB/9 | 2.84 FIP | 22.1 IP

132. Rice JR RHP Tyler Duffey: 88-92 FB, 94 peak; good 79-82 CU; good two-seamer with above-average sink; hard 78-83 CB; average mid-80s SL that flashes plus; 6-3, 210 pounds

2011: 11.87 K | 60.2 IP
2012: 12.27 K/9 | 3.51 BB/9 | 2.54 FIP | 51.1 IP

133. Louisville rJR RHP Justin Amlung: 88-91 FB, 93-94 peak; good sink on FB; good 78-82 SL; good 80-82 CU; also shows 75-78 CB; everything down in zone; smart pitcher; good deception; Brady Rodgers often gets the comp, but I see Amlung as this year’s version of a poor man’s Mike Leake; 6-0, 180 pounds

2011: 7.03 K/9 | 105 IP
2012: 9.17 K/9 | 1.79 BB/9 | 3.76 FIP | 90.1 IP

134. Wake Forest JR LHP Tim Cooney: 87-90 FB, 92-93 peak; FB more consistently in upper range of velocity in 2012 (89-92); had pitchability reputation coming into year, but FB command wasn’t sharp enough to really warrant the label – now it is; much improved 84-87 cutter is a really good pitch; good CU; good CB that comes and goes; good is the operative word with Cooney, a really well-rounded, smart pitcher who gets without a plus pitch by skillfully mixing four pitches for strikes out of deceptive arm slot; could be a back end starter in time; 6-3, 200 pounds

2011: 8.85 K/9 | 98.2 IP
2012: 8.61 K/9 | 3.66 BB/9 | 2.86 FIP | 83.2 IP

135. Louisville JR RHP Matt Koch: sits 90-92, 93-95 peak FB; promising 79-83 SL; 75 CB; 83 CU flashes plus; leans on FB/SL combo more as the SL has matured into above-average pitch; up to 94-95 FB much more consistently in 2012, new peak of 97 out of bullpen; good athlete; I was down on Koch coming into the year, but he’s really grown on me – I think he has the stuff to start in the pros; 6-3, 205 pounds

2011: 6.28 K/9 | 67.2 IP
2012: 9.12 K/9 | 2.81 BB/9 | 3.30 FIP | 25.2 IP

136. Georgia Tech JR RHP Luke Bard: 88-92 FB, 94-95 peak; was up to a more consistent 95-97 before his early season lat injury; good 80 SL gives him the second pitch needed to eventually pitch in a big league bullpen; 6-3, 200 pounds

2011: 8.88 K/9 | 49.2 IP
2012: 9.22 K/9 | 1.98 BB/9 | 2.76 FIP | 27.1 IP

137. LHP Tyler Pike (Winter Haven HS, Florida): 87-90 FB, 92-93 peak, but has dipped as low as 85 in some starts; 70-74 CB, up to 77-80 and more effective now; plus 77-83 CU that could stand to be more consistent game to game; good overall command with chance for more; plus deception; plus pitchability; occasional average 67-69 CB; not much development left, but as solid lefty who knows how to pitch could find a home as a back of the rotation starter in time; 6-1, 185 pounds

138. RHP Felipe Perez (Fairmont Prep HS, California): 88-91 FB that really moves, 92-93 peak; plus FB movement; good 74-78 CB; CU has plus upside; 79-80 SL; 6-3, 195 pounds

139. South Florida SR LHP Andrew Barbosa: 87-91 FB, 93 peak; good 79-80 CU; flashes plus 75 CB; the most likely potential pro starting pitcher to come out of USF’s intriguing hard throwing 2012 draft class; 6-8, 235 pounds

2012: 11.33 K/9 | 2.17 BB/9 | 2.53 FIP | 78.2 IP

140. South Carolina rJR RHP Matt Price: normally I start by writing about the fastball, but I really, really like his low-80s SL (82-84) so that gets top billing; also throws a softer CB; 89-92 FB, up to 94 out of bullpen; had strange, brief peak of mid- to upper-90s during brief stretch in 2011, but more of a low-90s guy; solid third pitch in 79-81 CU; experiment as starting pitcher went more or less as expected (i.e. not great), but Price has recaptured his magic in the bullpen; he’s more of an all-time great college pitcher than an exciting pro prospect, but he’s not just a college guy, either – there’s a big league bullpen out there that could surely use a competitor like Price; 6-2, 215 pounds

2011: 12.05 K/9 | 59 IP
2012: 10.09 K/9 | 3.88 BB/9 | 3.30 FIP | 58 IP

141. North Carolina JR RHP Michael Morin: at his best, he sits 88-92 FB, but can crank it up to 95 in the bullpen; velocity has dropped to upper-80s this spring – could be injury, could be fatigue, could be increased emphasis on establishing two-seamer; bread and butter has been and will always be plus to plus-plus CU, one of college baseball’s best singular pitches; average SL that has improved a great deal since high school; good athlete; despite the loss in velocity, I remain a believer in Morin’s solid middle relief (or better) upside; 6-4, 200 pounds

2011: 9.98 K/9 | 64 IP
2012: 8.46 K/9 | 3.02 BB/9 | 3.81 FIP | 44.2 IP

142. Clemson JR RHP Kevin Brady: for too long threw a too straight 90-92 FB that touched 94-96, but much improved late life in 2012; good FB command; above-average, but inconsistent 80-83 SL; once flashed plus CB, but ditched pitch for a long stretch before going back to it early in 2012; nondescript CU has gotten better, but is average at best pitch; debate over whether or not he fits best as starter or reliever professionally – health concerns and a lack of a developed third pitch seem to point towards the bullpen, though perhaps the switch comes later rather than sooner; 6-3, 220 pounds

2011: 13.50 K/9 | 23.1 IP
2012: 9.00 K/9 | 3.26 BB/9 | 4.02 FIP | 58 IP

143. RHP Brady Lail (Bingham HS, Utah): 86-90 FB, 92 peak; good athlete; good 74-77 kCB; very good command, especially on breaking ball; shows CU, but still a raw third pitch; 6-3, 180 pounds

144. Southeastern Louisiana JR RHP Stefan Lopez: 89-94 FB, 95 peak; good FB command; relies heavily on FB; good 84 SL that he should use more of; might throw one CU per outing, if that; recovered from torn ACL in 2011; I’m on an island with this one, but I think pro coaching and continued progress as he heals from his knee injury could turn Lopez into a viable late-inning big league pitcher, potentially a closer; 6-2, 190 pounds

2011: 11.25 K/9 | 36 IP
2012: 12.89 K/9 | 1.53 BB/9 | 2.58 FIP | 29.1 IP

145. Morningside (IA) JR RHP Storm Throne: 90-93 FB, 95-97 peak; good command of above-average 72-74 CB; shows CU; keeps the ball down; good athlete; 6-7, 240 pounds

146. RHP Karl Keglovits (Nazareth HS, Pennsylvania): 87-89 FB with good sink; can get four-seamer up to 90-92; good FB command; 72-73 CB; 78-80 CU; 6-6, 230 pounds

147. LHP Jack Wynkoop (Cape Henry Collegiate, Virginia): 85-89 FB; 74-78 CB; good 77-80 SL; 80-81 CU; plus command of a four-pitch mix is nothing to overlook for a high school senior; 6-6, 190 pounds

148. LHP Jordan Minch (Highland HS, Indiana): 86-89 FB, 91 peak; good CU; emerging low-70s CB; good athlete; good command; 6-3, 180 pounds

149. RHP Curt Britt (Scotland HS, North Carolina): 89-91 FB, 92 peak; good mid-70s CB up to 75-77; solid low-80s CU; 6-2, 215 pounds, but looks shorter and heavier

150. Polk State (FL) JC SO RHP Alec Asher: 90-94 FB, 95-97 peak; improved SL; improved CB; in much better physical condition; holds velocity well; Tommy John survivor; 6-4, 225 pounds

151. RHP Trent Thornton (Ardrey Kell HS, North Carolina): 86-89 FB, 91 peak; 78-82 CU; 74-79 CB; strong outfield prospect as well: good power upside, good speed, and good range; 6-0, 155 pounds

152. RHP Matt Withrow (Midland Christian HS, Texas): 94 peak; SL flashes plus; 6-3, 210 pounds

153. RHP Tucker Simpson (Oxford HS, Alabama): 88-92 FB, 94 peak; velocity down in 2012; good sink on FB; good 71-76 CB; 73-78 CU; 78 SL; 6-7, 225 pounds

154. Kentucky JR LHP Taylor Rogers: 87-92 FB; good 75-80 CB; better 77 CU; 83 SL; good command; similar prospect to Texas LHP Hoby Milner; good mix of projection, polish, and present stuff; 6-3, 170 pounds

2011: 5.96 K/9 | 77 IP
2012: 8.87 K/9 | 2.01 BB/9 | 4.06 FIP | 89.1 IP

155. LHP Cole Irvin (Servite HS, California): 85-86 FB, have now heard upper-80s; 87-89 FB; good 72-75 CB; good 78-81 CU; 6-4, 180 pounds

156. Orange Coast CC (CA) rFR LHP Bijan Rademacher: 90-94 FB; good SL; fresh arm; good athlete; really good arm; good bat speed; CF range; Cal State Fullerton transfer; 6-1, 185 pounds

157. RHP Zach Quintana (Arbor View HS, Nevada): 88-91 FB, 92-95 peak; good 77-80 SL that could use some tightening, also called good mid-70s CB; underdeveloped 78-82 CU; doesn’t really hide the ball that well; 6-0, 190 pounds

158. RHP Jake Pintar (San Juan Hills HS, California): 85-90 FB, closer to 88-89; 69-71 CB needs work, a little firmer in recent looks at 71-74; good athlete; 6-7, 190 pounds

159. LHP Troy Conyers (El Capitan HS, California): 86-90 FB; every FB out of his hand moves; mid-70s CU; loads of deception in delivery, submarine style; might be a super-LOOGY in long run

160. Arizona State JR RHP Brady Rodgers: 88-91 FB, can dial it up to 92-93 when he really needs it; good FB command, but real claim to fame is plus control; solid 72-75 CB that should be his best pitch professionally; also throws a slightly above-average 80-84 SL; could say the same about his 78-82 CU; will also mix in a cutter; good athlete; can be described fairly easily in less than ten words: plus control of four more or less average pitches; from a stuff standpoint reminds me some of former Georgia Tech RHP Mark Pope; 6-2, 200 pounds

2011: 8.42 IP | 98.1 IP
2012: 6.50 K/9 | 1.17 BB/9 | 4.06 FIP | 115 IP

161. Texas A&M SR RHP Ross Stripling: at his best he has sat 89-94 FB with sink, but most recently has been clocked closer to 86-88, 91-92 peak; plus 74-78 CB that is one of the best of its kind in college ball; average 76-80 CU that he can throw for strikes, but doesn’t get many swings and misses on; CU has been up to 83 on occasion, but is more effective in upper-70s; plus FB command; good athlete; plus control; 6-3, 190 pounds

2011: 8.52 K/9 | 125.2 IP
2012: 8.83 K/9 | 1.22 BB/9 | 3.67 FIP | 103 IP

162. Marshall rJR RHP Joe Church: 91-94 FB, 96 peak; plus breaking ball; only threw 18.1 innings in three years before 2012 as he’s dealt with a string of arm issues, including recovery from Tommy John surgery; healthy now, he’s got the two big-time pitches needed to someday pitch in a big league bullpen; 6-2, 200 pounds

2012: 11.93 K/9 | 4.40 BB/9 | 2.81 FIP | 28.2 IP

163. Purdue JR RHP Nick Wittgren: 89-92 FB, 93-94 peak; slightly above-average 75-80 CB; average 77-78 CU; has the command, athleticism, and stuff to make the transition from college closer to starting pitcher if his pro team wants to go that route; 6-3, 200 pounds

2011: 9.53 K/9 | 51 IP
2012: 8.78 K/9 | 2.63 BB/9 | 2.86 FIP | 41 IP

164. Texas State JR RHP Travis Ballew: 88-95 FB; good low-80s SL that flashes plus; improved CU; effective two-seamer; size and arm action may push teams to put him in relief, but he’s come far enough with his changeup that he deserves a chance to start in pros; 6-0, 160 pounds

2011: 9.11 K/9 | 53.1 IP
2012: 10.64 K/9 | 2.55 BB/9 | 3.43 FIP | 102.1 IP

165. Howard JC (TX) rSO RHP Reid Scoggins: mid-90s FB, 97-98 peak; rumors of 100 peak, but hasn’t done it often enough/in front of the right people to make it a reliable number; Tommy John survivor; shows CU and CB, but both currently raw; best current secondary is 84-87 SL; command came back after surgery and his game really took off; 6-3, 205 pounds

166. Arizona JR RHP Kurt Heyer: 86-90, 91-92 peak FB with good sink; has hit as high as 94 in past and might be able to crank it up there in relief, but otherwise not likely to see those lofty heights after some pretty intense college use; promising 77-80 SL with average upside; mid-70s CU with upside; shows CB; nice deception in funky delivery; for being typecasted as a pitchability college righthander, Heyer’s FB command has remained inconsistent; averaged an incredible 8+ innings per start in 2012; 6-2, 210 pounds

2011: 9.11 K/9 | 138.1 IP
2012: 6.98 K/9 | 1.37 BB/9 | 3.75 FIP | 138 IP

167. Cal State Fullerton JR RHP Dylan Floro: 86-90, 92-93 peak FB with great sink; sits most often 87-88 but with true plus life and good command; 76-82 SL with plus potential that he leans on heavily; very nice sinking 80-82 CU; will also mix in mid-70s CB that can run into his slider when thrown harder; fits in nicely with large pool of potential fifth starters/middle relievers; interesting prospect who has gone backwards since entering school yet still has the chance of reaching the big leagues in some capacity due to his good enough stuff, deceptive delivery, above-average control, and the hope he can reclaim some of what made him such a big-time prospect out of high school; 6-3, 185 pounds

2011: 6.51 K/9 | 55.1 IP
2012: 5.75 K/9 | 0.94 BB/9 | 4.02 FIP | 114.1 IP

168. Maine JR RHP Jeff Gibbs: at his best he sits mid-90s FB, 94-96 peak; has also shown plus SL; iffy command; iffy control; velocity has been down some in 2012 (88-92 FB, 94 peak), but good upper-70s to low-80s SL has remained a strong second pitch; has also utilized average 78-83 CU more often; story on Gibbs has remained the same dating back to his high school days: big league stuff, independent league command and control; 6-4, 215 pounds

2011: 7.90 K/9 | 68.1 IP
2012: 8.25 K/9 | 6.45 BB/9 | 4.01 FIP | 60 IP

169. Grand Canyon (AZ) JR RHP Brady Wager: 88-92 FB, 94-95 peak; flashes plus mid-80s SL, never worse than average and often above-average; emerging CU that is usable, could be better in time; 6-2, 205 pounds

170. Oregon State JR LHP Matt Boyd: 87-89 FB, 91-92 peak; good 82-83 CU; good 73-76 CB with plus upside; funky windup gives good deception; plus command; in a world of more creative baseball management, he could be bullpen ace – has shown he can handle multiple inning appearances and get both lefties and righthanders out; 6-3, 220 pounds

2011: 7.04 K/9 | 46 IP
2012: 7.78 K/9 | 3.16 BB/9 | 4.48 FIP | 37 IP

171. San Francisco JR LHP Elliot Waterman: mid-80s FB; now up to sitting 88-91 with 93-94 peak; nice CU with plus command; average SL; great deception; 6-5, 230 pounds

2011: 8.93 K/9 | 42.1 IP
2012: 8.08 K/9 | 2.36 BB/9 | 3.34 FIP | 45.2 IP

172. Oregon JR LHP Christian Jones: missed 2012 season with TJ surgery, but would have challenged for the top college lefty spot if healthy; 88-91 FB with plus life, 94 peak; good command; biting CB with SL action is plus pitch; 84 CU; if he gives any indication that he is willing to sign and continue his rehab with a pro medical staff, a team should be all over him somewhere between the 5th and 15th rounds; 6-3, 210 pounds

2011: 8.81 K/9 | 77.2 IP

173. Florida JR RHP Hudson Randall: 85-88 FB, 90 peak; great sinker/slider mix, everything down in zone, so he gets loads of groundballs when he’s going well; impressive upper-70s CU (79-81) with great arm action; good but inconsistent 74-77 CB; plus command on all pitches; average present 80-84 SL; 6-4, 220 pounds

2011: 5.65 K/9 | 124.1 IP
2012: 6.39 K/9 | 0.87 BB/9 | 4.46 FIP | 93 IP

174. Arkansas JR RHP DJ Baxendale: 87-92 FB, 93-94 peak; good FB movement; good 84-85 SL; solid 80-82 CU; really good 69-71 CB that is his best pitch; mid-80s cutter; stuff down in 2012: 86-89 much of season, offspeed not nearly as sharp; ability to throw multiple pitches for strikes gives him back of the rotation upside, but might be best served by becoming a primarily fastball/curveball reliever at the next level; 6-2, 190 pounds

2011: 8.54 K/9 | 85.1 IP
2012: 8.78 K/9 | 2.06 BB/9 | 4.15 FIP | 96.1 IP

175. Cuba LHP Onelki Garcia: 88-92 FB, 93-94 peak; flashes plus CB; shows CU; 6-2, 220 pounds

176. Weatherford JC (TX) FR RHP Cameron Cox: 88-91 FB, 93 peak; good breaking ball; advanced CU; good command; 6-4, 200 pounds

177. Kentucky JR LHP Jerad Grundy: 87-90 FB, 92-94 peak; 77-82 SL that has improved greatly; really like his 80-81 sinking CU; transfer from Miami and Heartland CC; 6-1, 200 pounds

2012: 6.93 K/9 | 3.68 BB/9 | 3.97 FIP | 85.2 IP

178. Missouri JR RHP Eric Anderson: prior to tearing his labrum sat 90-93 with FB; hard SL with cut fastball movement; plus CU; easy mechanics; great athlete; has worked his way back and is now throwing upper-80s (getting as high as 90-92 on his best days), an impressive feat after he sat mostly low- to mid-80s this past summer; still throws a good breaking ball (SL), but not yet with as much pre-injury juice; CU has remained a really good pitch; above-average command both before and after his injury; 6-4, 220 pounds

2011: 5.48 K/9 | 42.2 IP
2012: 6.29 K/9 | 1.11 BB/9 | 3.85 FIP | 24.1 IP

179. Mississippi rSR RHP RJ Hively: 88-92 FB with late life, rare 94-95 peak; excellent 80-85 SL that he leans on; 79-81 CU; loves to sink and cut fastball; well-traveled player who should be relatively quick riser; 6-2, 205 pounds

2011: 8.35 K/9 | 18.1 IP
2012: 11.23 K/9 | 2.05 BB/9 | 3.39 FIP | 83.1 IP

180. LSU JR RHP Nick Goody: 88-92 FB, 94 peak; promising 78-82 breaking ball that falls somewhere between slider and power curve; good deception in delivery helps his fastball play up; has the small sample size of any one-year college reliever, but really hard to find fault with his 2012 performances (below); 6-0, 190 pounds

2012: 12.56 K/9 | 1.07 BB/9 | 2.75 FIP | 33.2 IP

181. Central Florida JR RHP Roman Madrid: 89-92 FB, 94 peak; good 84-87 SL; rock solid big league middle relief prospect – he’ll never be considered a sexy prospect, but if he keeps doing what he does then he’ll get the last laugh as a big league reliever; 6-0, 200 pounds

2012: 9.40 K/9 | 3.40 BB/9 | 3.52 FIP | 45 IP

182. Mississippi JR LHP Dylan Chavez: 89-92 FB; good 79-82 SL; 76-78 CU; 74-75 CB; good deception in delivery; like teammate RJ Hively, he is a well-traveled young arm who should transition well to life in the pros; 6-3, 190 pounds

2012: 9.33 K/9 | 1.47 BB/9 | 4.67 FIP | 36.2 IP

183. JR RHP Jason Jester: couldn’t pitch in 2012 at Texas A&M after being declared academically ineligible, but the latest rumors indicate he wants to give it the old college try once again in 2013; a smart team should still take a chance on him, assuming he is willing to sign, as his stuff is electric: 88-93 FB (90-94 as reliever), 96 peak; good SL with plus upside; great command; 5-10, 180 pounds

184. UCLA rFR RHP Eric Jaffe: 90-95 FB that moves; plus 77-82 CB; has shown interesting 84-86 CU this past spring; disaster of a season leaves him a 100% speculative selection at this point – his signability isn’t supposed to be an issue, but it would be a surprise to see him drafted high enough to make it worth his while unless he really, really wants to play pro ball; 6-4, 230 pounds

185. San Jose State JR RHP Zach Jones: 93-95 FB, 97-98 peak; FB moves; flashes good SL; iffy command; iffy control; profiles as reliever all the way, which is unfortunate because he swings a mean bat (2011: .316/.383/.458 – 16 BB/30 K – 155 AB)

2011: 11.09 K/9 | 43 IP
2012: 9.83 K/9 | 2.83 BB/9 | 3.57 FIP | 54 IP

186. Fresno State JR RHP Justin Haley: low-90s FB, 95 peak; good breaking ball; emerging CU; too well-known to be a sleeper, but still a really good, really underrated three-pitch pitcher with the chance to start in the big leagues someday who will likely be drafted lower than he should be; 6-6, 225 pounds

2011: 7.79 K/9 | 32.1 IP
2012: 9.26 K/9 | 3.66 BB/9 | 2.76 FIP | 93.1 IP

187. Fresno State SR RHP Taylor Garrison: 89-93 FB, 94 peak; good command; good SL with cutter action; above-average CU; also throws CB; 5-10, 160 pounds

2011: 11.38 K/9 | 34 IP
2012: 11.27 K/9 | 2.76 BB/9 | 2.16 FIP | 42.1 IP

188. Connecticut SR RHP David Fischer: 88-92 FB, 93 peak; average CU; good SL that breaks like a CB at times; lost velocity last season, but found it in a hurry in 2012: reportedly up to 95 at times; similar prospect to Cincinnati RHP Zach Isler; 6-5, 200 pounds

2011: 8.08 K/9 | 49 IP
2012: 7.84 K/9 | 2.91 BB/9 | 3.81 FIP | 80.1 IP

189. Texas A&M JR RHP Kyle Martin: 88-91 FB, 92-95 peak; lost some zip on his four-seam FB this spring, so went almost exclusively with 86-89 two-seamers with plus sink the past few months; inconsistent breaking ball that flashes plus, looks like a SL some days and a CB others; great deception in his funky sidearm delivery; shows a mid-70s CU with some promise against lefties; 6-6, 215 pounds

2011: 8.64 K/9 | 41.2 IP
2012: 8.63 K/9 | 3.20 BB/9 | 3.72 FIP | 56.1 IP

190. Vanderbilt rJR RHP Will Clinard: 91-93 FB with good sink; above-average 84-86 SL; above-average to plus cutter; leans on fastball that moves (two-seamer/cutter) and that slider, so he could have a career as a mid-innings reliever who can come on and get a ground ball when needed; plus command; 6-4, 215 pounds

2011: 11.67 K/9 | 39.1 IP
2012: 8.33 K/9 | 4.00 BB/9 | 4.44 FIP | 54 IP

191. Cincinnati JR RHP Zach Isler: fairly generic high-80s FB as starter, but a revelation out of the bullpen: sinking 90-92 FB, 94-95 peak; good low-80s SL; raw CU he can likely ditch as he moves to bullpen professionally; 6-4, 240 pounds

2011: 4.59 K/9 | 51 IP
2012: 9.16 K/9 | 4.25 BB/9 | 3.59 FIP | 55 IP

192. Kansas JR RHP Tanner Poppe: 88-91 FB with late life (92-93 peak), but has reportedly hit 94-97 out of bullpen; solid 74 CB; 80 CU; loose and easy mechanics – looks like he’s just having a catch; good athlete who is way more projectable than many mid- to late-round possibilities; not sure what pro teams dislike about him that I don’t see, but the people in the know whom I’ve talked to about him are always surprised I mention him as a viable pro prospect; 6-5, 225 pounds

2011: 6.18 K/9 | 71.1 IP
2012: 7.68 K/9 | 4.42 BB/9 | 4.33 FIP | 38.2 IP

193. Wichita State SR LHP Josh Smith: 85-88 FB, 90-91 peak; good sinker; solid 80-81 SL; excellent CU; above-average command; one of the draft’s underrated pitchability lefthanders with enough diversity in his repertoire to continue starting professionally – really strong senior sign; 6-3, 185 pounds

2012: 6.58 K/9 | 78 IP
2012: 7.53 K/9 | 2.92 BB/9 | 4.33 FIP | 95.2 IP

194. California JR LHP Justin Jones: at his best he sits 86-90 with a FB with plus life, 91-92 peak; very good 73-76 CB when he commands it; strong 77-81 CU that flashes plus; good 84 cutter; nice deception in delivery helps FB play up; velocity way down in 2012 due to what appeared to be inconsistencies finding his release point: mid-80s most games, 84-86 with 88 peak; one plus side in 2012: has shown an above-average 78-81 SL, though he often uses it at the expense of ignoring his curve; like a few of his college peers, there’s some gambling with Jones that his velocity will rebound professionally – even without it, he has enough fastball to go with his curve (his best secondary pitch for me), change, and cutter to carve out a useful niche in pro ball; 6-2, 190 pounds

2011: 6.39 K/9 | 119.2 IP
2012: 5.80 K/9 | 3.35 BB/9 | 4.45 FIP | 80.2 IP

195. Rice SR LHP Taylor Wall: upper-80s FB, peak 88; plus CU that he relies on heavily; average at best CB and SL, though a new grip on his slider has made it a potentially better third pitch than his curve, which was once ahead; repeatable mechanics; 6-2, 200 pounds

2011: 4.37 K/9 | 35 IP
2012: 7.78 K/9 | 3.38 BB/9 | 3.25 FIP | 61.1 IP

196. Baylor JR LHP Josh Turley: 85-89 FB, 90-91 peak; 77-81 CU with plus upside that he uses a ton; 80-84 cutter, when thrown harder begins to look more like a SL; 76-79 CB with some upside; plus command of everything he throws; good deception in delivery allows FB to play up, also makes it a pain for hitters to pick up CU; 6-0, 190 pounds

2011: 6.30 K/9 | 95.2 IP
2012: 6.79 K/9 | 1.64 BB/9 | 3.87 FIP | 110 IP

197. Vanderbilt JR RHP Drew Verhagen: 90-93 FB, mid-90s peak (94-95); above-average 80-84 CU; 73-78 CB needs work; 82-84 SL; iffy command; relatively fresh arm; still too reliant on fastball, but could improve quickly with breaking ball if he a) picks one to focus on, b) makes necessary mechanical tweaks; 6-6, 225 pounds

2012: 5.19 K/9 | 3.38 BB/9 | 4.81 FIP | 69.1 IP

198. Howard JC (TX) rFR RHP Clayton Crum: 91-93 FB, 94-96 peak; Texas transfer; good athlete; above-average SL; average CU; Tommy John survivor; 6-1, 190 pounds

199. Tennessee JR RHP Zack Godley: 85-91 FB; good cutter; improved 78-82 CU; good 73-78 CB; shows an occasional SL; one of the many smart, command-oriented, offspeed reliant righthanders found in the draft each year with back of the rotation and/or middle relief upside; 6-3, 235 pounds

2011: 9.84 K/9 | 32 IP
2012: 7.13 K/9 | 2.24 BB/9 | 3.92 FIP | 64.1 IP

200. Seminole State (OK) CC SO LHP Billy Waltrip: 90-95 FB; good SL; above-average CB; shows CU; 6-2, 215 pounds

201. Stanford rSO RHP Chris Jenkins: at his best sits 93-95 with FB, peaking at 97 with plus movement; average low-80s SL; raw yet interesting CU; only 9.1 college innings in three years at Stanford; really intriguing gamble for a team that believes he can recapture the stuff he showed in high school; 6-7, 220 pounds

202. College of Charleston JR RHP Christian Powell: 87-91 FB, 96 peak; up to more consistent 91-94 this year, still peaking 96; above-average breaking ball when he locates it; has worked in an emerging CU that flashes above-average; 6-4, 215 pounds

2011: 7.05 K/9 | 81.2 IP
2012: 7.49 K/9 | 2.79 BB/9 | 4.58 FIP | 93.2 IP

203. Princeton JR RHP Matt Bowman: 88-92 FB, 93-94 peak; deception in delivery helps; average CU; average SL; 74-76 CB; has the Lincecum delivery down pat; above-average command; 6-0, 165 pounds

2011: 7.84 K/9 | 51.2 IP
2012: 9.32 K/9 | 2.73 BB/9 | 3.25 FIP | 56 IP

204. Trinity (TX) SR RHP Ben Klimesh: 90-94 FB, 96 peak; good low-80s breaking ball; shows CU; 6-4, 220 pounds

205. Texas Tech rSO RHP Duke von Schamann: 86-91 FB, 93 peak; FB has lots of life; 77-80 hybrid breaking ball; 80-82 CU; plus command of all pitches; gets by without an above-average pitch – though the sink on his fastball gets it close – due to craftiness, clever pitch sequencing, and the aforementioned plus command; Tommy John survivor; reminds me of Texas A&M RHP Kyle Martin, minus the funky sidearm quality; 6-4, 215 pounds

2011: 4.35 K/9 | 41.1 IP
2012: 6.44 K/9 | 1.25 BB/9 | 4.14 FIP | 86.2 IP

206. North Carolina JR LHP RC Orlan: 88-92 FB; above-average 87 cutter; good, but inconsistent CB; good low-80s SL; stuff isn’t dominant, but Orlan’s value comes in being able to throw any one of his effective offerings in almost any count; limited ceiling prospect, but could settle in nicely as lefty specialist; 6-0, 200 pounds

2011: 12.32 K/9 | 19 IP
2012: 10.65 K/9 | 1.65 BB/9 | 3.37 FIP | 49 IP

207. Clemson JR RHP Scott Firth: heavy 88-92 FB, 93-95 peak; plus CU; really good CB; solid mid-80s SL that flashes plus, but is consistent; command a major issue; control comes and goes, really hampers his overall effectiveness; good coaching could help him take off as he has the raw stuff to start in pro ball; 6-0, 170 pounds

2011: 7.20 K/9 | 50 IP
2012: 8.65 K/9 | 5.48 BB/9 | 3.91 FIP | 42.2 IP

208. Tennessee JR RHP Drew Steckenrider: like fellow SEC standout Brian Johnson, Steckenrider is a two-way prospect that I’d rather personally see with a bat; in both cases, however, I understand why the majority prefers to make each young man a pitcher; as a position player, I think his plus raw power, plus arm strength, and average speed (i.e. good enough for outfield corner) could make him a potential starter in time; as a pitcher, he sits low-90s, 93-97 peak in relief; his fastball runs 87-92 as starter; average 79-85 CU; iffy control; lots of untapped upside and a fresh arm; 6-5, 205 pounds

2011: 10.58 K/9 | 32.1 IP
2012: 10.99 K/9 | 5.15 BB/9 | 3.31 FIP | 64.2 IP

209. Army SR RHP Kevin McKague: 88-91 FB; pre-injury hit 94-96 and threw a good 88 SL; if he gets healthy as a pro, he’s got a chance to move quickly, but that’s a big if; pretty damn good hitter who had a park/scheduled adjusted wOBA of .447 in 198 at bats; reminds me of Houston Baptist RHP/1B Robbie Buller in terms of size, hitting ability, fastball, and injury history

2012: 10.22 K/9 | 5.11 BB/9 | 2.81 FIP | 12.1 IP

210. Clemson JR RHP Dominic Leone: 88-92 FB, 93-94 peak; good to plus CU; quality CB; clean mechanics; command needs work; has everything on paper to succeed at next level, but was hit around in 2012; 6-0, 200 pounds

2011: 10.42 K/9 | 65.2 IP
2012: 7.45 K/9 | 3.99 BB/9 | 5.05 FIP | 67.2 IP

210. Howard JC (TX) SO RHP Nick Sawyer: low-90s FB, 96-97 peak; good mid-80s SL; control lags behind, but hard to dislike his arm strength and feel for breaking ball; 5-11, 190 pounds

211. Mississippi State JR LHP Nick Routt: 88-92 FB; plus CU; good breaking ball; finally healthy; 6-4, 200 pounds

2011: 8.36 K/9 | 56 IP
2012: 8.20 K/9 | 2.80 BB/9 | 3.88 FIP | 45 IP

212. South Florida rSO RHP Austin Adams: 92-95 FB; flashes plus 85-87 SL, also called hard CB but I’m fairly certain it is a slider – either way, it’s a pro breaking ball when he commands it; one of many from USF staff that could make it as a reliever at the next level; 6-2, 190 pounds

2012: 11.74 K/9 | 3.13 BB/9 | 2.89 FIP | 23 IP

213. Dallas Baptist JR RHP Stuart Pudenz: 90-95 FB; good splitter that acts as CU; mixes in occasional SL; 6-5, 225 pounds

2011: 9.50 K/9 | 36 IP
2012: 11.48 K/9 | 3.83 BB/9 | 2.64 FIP | 40 IP

214. Houston Baptist SR RHP Robbie Buller: mid-90s peak; plus raw power; early season 2012 Tommy John surgery knocked him out for the year, but an intriguing enough talent to get drafted and make some noise once healthy again; 6-6, 220 pounds

2011: .246/.368/.474 – 40 BB/37 K – 228 AB

215. Neosho County (KS) JC SO LHP Matt Strahm: upper-80s FB, 92-93 peak; good SL; above-average CU; good control; good athlete; 6-3, 170 pounds

216. Utah JR RHP Tyler Wagner: 89-92 FB, 93-95 peak; good SL; average CU; good athlete; 6-3, 200 pounds

2011: 8.41 K/9 | 35.1 IP
2012: 7.38 K/9 | 5.48 BB/9 | 3.68 FIP | 42.2 IP

217. San Jose State JR RHP Mike Aldrete: 92-94 FB with plus sink; good SL; really good defender and quick off the mound, as one might expect from a former middle infielder; 5-10, 170 pounds

2012: 7.56 K/9 | 3.51 BB/9 | 4.11 FIP | 33.1 IP

218. Texas State JR LHP Colton Turner: 88-92 FB, 94 peak; improved 73-77 breaking ball; improved CU; good command; stuff could play up in relief role; 6-2, 185 pounds

2011: 7.63 K/9 | 87.1 IP
2012: 9.03 K/9 | 3.39 BB/9 | 3.00 FIP | 87.2 IP

219. Santa Fe (FL) CC SO RHP Brad Markey: 88-91 FB, 93-94 peak; good CB; average CU; plus control; Georgia Tech transfer; 5-11, 180 pounds

220. Arkansas JR LHP Randall Fant: 88-91 FB, 93 peak; good upper-70s CU; much improved cutter; average at best mid-70s CB; like teammate DJ Baxendale, velocity down 2012: sitting mid-80s, touching 88-89 – velocity loss greatly reduced effectiveness of breaking stuff, so pre-draft medicals will be huge; 6-4, 185 pounds

2011: 4.80 K/9 | 69.1 IP
2012: 6.89 K/9 | 1.53 BB/9 | 4.19 FIP | 47 IP

221. Dallas Baptist rSO RHP Jake Johansen: 90-92 FB, 93-96 peak, has also hit 97-98; good low-80s SL, now up to 85-86 and called a CB by some – either way it flashes plus to plus-plus when on; iffy command and poor control, but reports are positive – the belief is that these things are fixable with better coaching; case in point – he’s a really fast study who picked up an upper-80s cutter this spring that is now a nasty pitch; 6-6, 220 pounds

2012: 8.02 K/9 | 6.07 BB/9 | 4.39 FIP | 46 IP

222. Texas A&M rSO RHP Rafael Pineda: 86-90 FB, 91-92 peak; good sink on FB; good 76-80 CU; mid-80s SL; more projection here than in most college arms, so underwhelming K-rate can be at least partially explained way; 6-5, 210 pounds

2012: 4.99 K/9 | 1.63 BB/9 | 4.66 FIP | 83 IP

223. Fresno State SR RHP Cody Kendall: 90-93 FB, 95 peak; plus sink on FB, very difficult to square up on; also throws CU; works predominantly with FB, sinking and cutting it frequently; could make it in the pros as a reliever capable of coming in with men on and getting a groundball; 6-2, 210 pounds

2012: 5.87 K/9 | 1.91 BB/9 | 3.48 FIP | 61.1 IP

224. Southern Cal SR RHP Martin Viramontes: sits 90-94; now at 89-92, peak 93; similar to USC teammate RHP Andrew Triggs and Ben Mount in the way all three have lost velocity over the years; still flashes a pair of above-average offspeed pitches in a power 75-80 CB and low-80s CU; 6-4, 210 pounds

2011: 6.16 K/9 | 30.2 IP
2012: 9.42 K/9 | 4.08 BB/9 | 3.37 FIP | 28.2 IP

225. Northwest Nazarene (ID) JR RHP Zeb Sneed: 91-93 FB, 94-97 peak; plus splitter; control issues; crazy inconsistent, but you can’t teach his kind of arm strength; 6-5, 200 pounds

226. Kentucky JR RHP Tim Peterson: 88-91 FB; good CB; 6-2, 200 pounds

2012: 10.04 K/9 | 1.38 BB/9 | 3.71 FIP | 26 IP

227. Georgia SR RHP Michael Palazzone: 85-90 FB, 92 peak; excellent 79-81 CU; solid low- to mid-70s CB (70-76); good two-seamer; plus command; 6-2, 200 pounds

2012: 7.70 K/9 | 1.48 BB/9 | 4.46 FIP | 85.1 IP

228. Washington JR RHP Josh Fredendall: 88-92 FB, 93 peak; plus SL; everything down in the zone; under the radar prospect who has been excellent at all stops, including putting up a 0.25 ERA his sophomore season at San Mateo; 6-0, 200 pounds

2012: 9.82 K/9 | 3.38 BB/9 | 2.92 FIP | 29.1 IP

229. Texas State JR RHP Louis Head: 90-93 FB, 94 peak; good SL, flashes plus; also flashes a plus CU; Texas Tech transfer coming off a good, not great, season pitching out of the bullpen for Texas State; 5-11, 175 pounds

2012: 7.50 K/9 | 4.80 BB/9 | 4.19 FIP | 30 IP

230. South Carolina JR RHP Ethan Carter: sits 88-92, 93 FB peak; good SL with cutter action; really talented arm who has never had the chance to show it at college level; has made mistakes in past, but appears to have straightened himself out enough to get a look; 6-5, 200 pounds

2012: 9.00 K/9 | 1.80 BB/9 | 2.89 FIP | 10 IP

231. Washington rSO RHP Nick Palewicz: at his best, hits 95-98 with FB but velocity was down for much of 2012 season; also throws a CB and CU; Tommy John survivor; considered a difficult sign; 6-2, 220 pounds

2012: 6.28 K/9 | 3.45 BB/9 | 4.07 FIP | 28.2 IP

232. Louisville SR RHP Derek Self: 88-91 FB, 92-94 peak; two above-average secondary pitches in a good CU and good 79-80 SL; big fan of the 87-88 cutter that he’s found great success with this year; 6-3, 210 pounds

2011: 4.16 K/9 | 75.2 IP
2012: 6.26 K/9 | 1.65 BB/9 | 3.53 FIP | 27.1 IP

233. Louisburg (NC) JC JR RHP Tim Brechbuehler: 88-92 FB, 93 peak; holds velocity well; UNC transfer; 6-8, 215 pounds

234. Baylor rJR RHP Max Garner: 87-89 FB, 92 peak; 79-83 SL; 71-76 CB; 80-81 CU; solid numbers (below) and a pair of average or better breaking balls (SL and CB) give him a chance to get picked late as bullpen filler; 6-2, 200 pounds

2011: 8.27 K/9 | 49 IP
2012: 8.80 K/9 | 3.52 BB/9 | 4.31 FIP | 46 IP

235. Oklahoma rSO LHP Jordan John: 86-89 FB, 91-92 peak; good CB; good CU; shows SL; good command of offspeed stuff, has confidence to throw any pitch in any count; Tommy John survivor; 6-3, 200 pounds

2011: 8.07 K/9 | 61.1 IP
2012: 8.21 K/9 | 2.29 BB/9 | 3.22 FIP | 121.2 IP

236. Central Michigan SR RHP Zach Cooper: 88-92 FB, 93 peak; has hit as high as 94-95 in past; good 82-87 SL; average CU; 5-10, 190 pounds

2011: 8.70 K/9 | 91 IP
2012: 7.98 K/9 | 3.74 BB/9 | 3.27 FIP | 108.1 IP

237. Des Moines Area CC SO RHP Nick Dolsky: 90-92 FB, 93-95 peak; 82-85 SL that shows plus; raw CU; Nebraska transfer; 6-8, 215 pounds

238. Miami JR RHP Eric Whaley: 87-91 FB with sink, 92-93 peak; excellent splitter that works as CU; good SL; shows CB; good command; 6-3, 200 pounds

2011: 8.39 K/9 | 93.1 IP
2012: 6.27 K/9 | 2.09 BB/9 | 4.04 FIP | 60.1 IP

239. Miami JR LHP Steven Ewing: 86-90 FB; good CB; relies very heavily on SL; shows CU; 6-2, 225 pounds

2011: 9.93 K/9 | 74.1 IP
2012: 9.34 K/9 | 3.03 BB/9 | 3.26 FIP | 71.1 IP

240. North Carolina JR RHP Cody Penny: 94 peak FB; potential plus kCB; also has shown CU and SL; has flashed good stuff and been productive when on mound, just hasn’t thrown enough innings to give scouts a real feel for how good he can be; 6-3, 200 pounds

2011: 10.69 K/9 | 16 IP
2012: 10.57 K/9 | 3.52 BB/9 | 3.68 FIP | 15.1 IP

241. Nebraska JR RHP Travis Huber: 88-92 FB with sink, 93-95 peak; very good 83-84 SL; good CB; raw CU; good athlete; 6-3, 225 pounds

2012: 7.06 K/9 | 4.15 BB/9 | 3.16 FIP | 21.2 IP

242. Illinois JR RHP Matt Milroy: 90-93 FB, 94-96 peak; good 82-86 SL with plus upside; good athlete; loses velocity earlier than you’d like, but a permanent professional move to the bullpen should help; drafting team will have to be patient (note his ugly walk rate below), but Milroy has legitimate late inning relief stuff; 6-3, 200 pounds

2011: 5.74 K/9 | 31.1 IP
2012: 11.31 K/9 | 7.26 BB/9 | 2.75 FIP | 53.1 IP

243. Michigan State SR RHP Tony Bucciferro: heavy 86-88 FB, 90-92 peak; has no problem throwing sinkers all day; very good hard SL; developing 80-81 CU that has emerged as solid third pitch with above-average sink; plus control; plus pitchability; better than your average mid-round senior sign with stuff that could play up even more in short bursts; 6-3, 200 pounds

2011: 5.86 K/9 | 101.1 IP
2012: 7.68 K/9 | 1.78 BB/9 | 4.10 FIP | 111.1 IP

244. Minnesota rJR RHP TJ Oakes: 86-90 FB, 91 peak; good sink on FB; FB up in 2012: more consistently 90-92, occasionally peaking 93-94; solid 78-84 SL; 75 CB; 6-5, 220 pounds

2011: 5.57 K/9 | 85.2 IP
2012: 7.30 K/9 | 1.39 BB/9 | 3.68 FIP | 97.1 IP

245. McLennan (TX) JC rFR RHP Eric Brooks: 88-93 FB, 95-96 peak; up to consistent 92-96 this year; Houston transfer; plus athlete with legit plus speed; 6-2, 200 pounds

246. Armstrong Atlantic State (GA) SO RHP Ethan Bader: 88-91 FB with plus sink, 92 peak; plus SL; plus command; 6-6, 225 pounds

247. Texas A&M-Corpus Christi JR RHP Dan Minor: 88-91 FB, 93 peak; good CB; good command; 5-11, 180 pounds

2012: 9.05 K/9 | 1.88 BB/9 | 3.09 FIP | 110.1 IP

248. South Florida rSO RHP Ray Delphey: 90-93 FB; good SL; 5-10, 200 pounds

2012: 9.77 K/9 | 3.45 BB/9 | 4.02 FIP | 15.2 IP

249. Texas SR LHP Sam Stafford: missed 2012 season due to shoulder surgery; when healthy, sat 90-93 with FB, peak 94-96; effective breaking ball often identified as 80-82 SL but also called power CB; 83-85 CU; big FB command issues, but velocity and breaking ball kept him an early round prospect; obvious question will be his long-term health prognosis, so no telling where different teams will stack him on their boards, if they include him at all; could make a team look really smart, but could just as easily never pitch effectively again; 6-4, 190 pounds

2011: 10.40 K/9 | 81.1 IP

250. Utah JR RHP Zach Adams: 89-93 FB, 95-96 peak, but incredibly inconsistent pitch due to fluctuating velocity (sometimes will top out only at 90-91) and command that comes and goes; good but inconsistent 81 SL; arm strength reliever with a lot to answer for after ineffective junior season; 6-4, 205 pounds

2011: 10.80 K/9 | 30 IP
2012: 3.38 K/9 | 5.63 BB/9 | 4.22 FIP | 8 IP

251. East Carolina JR RHP Jharel Cotton: 88-92 FB, 93-94 peak; CU and SL both flash plus, so there is some starter upside if everything comes together in pro ball; inconsistent command; Miami Dade CC transfer; status as short righthander (5-11, 200 pounds) generates some doubt, but some scouts will argue for Cotton as a bulldog-type who competes every night, citing his victories in his first 8 decisions of 2012

2012: 8.41 K/9 | 2.31 BB/9 | 3.79 FIP | 66.1 IP

252. North Carolina State rSO RHP Anthony Tzamtzis: strong armed former infielder who was a very good fielder, so his athleticism is top notch; 89-92 FB; 73-77 CB; 84 CU; has really improved throughout course of year as he has devoted himself to pitching; case in point: up to 95 peak late in season while also showing a really strong 82-84 SL; continues to also show mid-70s CB and mid-80s change; fresh arm; repertoire and athleticism make him well-suited for starting; 6-1, 190 pounds

2012: 9.74 K/9 | 4.78 BB/9 | 3.96 FIP | 52.2 IP

253. Texas SR RHP Austin Dicharry: 88-92 FB; plus CU; intriguing CB that is now above-average; injuries have slowed him down, but three pitch strike throwers with good size (6-4, 200 pounds) and above-average amateur track records work for me

2012: 9.45 K/9 | 2.25 BB/9 | 3.09 FIP | 20 IP

254. Creighton JR LHP Ty Blach: 89-91 FB, 92-94 peak; good CU that has improved in last calendar year; attacks hitters on the inner-half and is a renowned strike thrower; low-80s SL flashes plus; good overall command; has the three pitches to start and above-average velocity from the left side, but lack of draft year domination at the college level is a tad disconcerting; 6-1, 200 pounds

2011: 8.91 K/9 | 102 IP
2012: 6.46 K/9 | 2.41 BB/9 | 4.13 FIP | 93.1 IP

255. TCU rJR RHP Kaleb Merck: 88-91, 92 FB peak; once up to 96 with FB in (spring ’10), but arm troubles (Tommy John surgery) have knocked him down to 90-92 at his best; as his arm has bounced back, his command has improved a great deal; overall, really strong command of three-pitch mix; above-average mid-70s CB that gets as high as 80, little bit of a hybrid breaking ball; good CU; Merck’s return to health has been a good story, but his ceiling (middle relief) is somewhat limited unless he recaptures some of his pre-injury heat; 6-0, 200 pounds

2012: 11.94 K/9 | 4.67 BB/9 | 2.63 FIP | 17.1 IP

256. Alabama JR RHP Ian Gardeck: 94-96 FB, 98-100 peak; plus to plus-plus mid- to upper-80s SL; bad control and command; mechanics need overhaul; stuff was down as he had an awful spring, but still showed enough flashes of two potential wipeout big league pitches that somebody will bite; 6-2, 225 pounds

2012: 12.41 K/9 | 8.03 BB/9 | 3.13 FIP | 12.1 IP

257. Seton Hall JR RHP Ryan Harvey: 88-90 FB, 91-92 peak; good low-80s SL; average CB; has shown CU; has four pitches that could allow him to continue starting in pro ball, but stuff plays up as reliever; 6-1, 220 pounds

2011: 15.11 K/9 | 44.2 IP
2012: 10.52 K/9 | 5.03 BB/9 | 3.10 FIP | 77 IP

258. Louisiana Tech rJR RHP Jeb Stefan: 90-92 FB, 94 peak; also uses SL and CU, though neither profiles as big league out pitch at this point; iffy control; 6-4, 225 pounds

2011: 6.99 K/9 | 65.2 IP
2012: 8.72 K/9 | 4.15 BB/9 | 3.62 FIP | 84.2 IP

259. Binghamton JR RHP Lee Sosa: 92-93 FB, 94-95 peak; iffy control; 6-2, 200 pounds

2011: 10.05 K/9 | 14.1 IP
2012: 9.00 K/9 | 4.00 BB/9 | 2.59 FIP | 18 IP

260. Jacksonville State JR RHP Hunter Rivers: 90-93 FB, has hit 97 as reliever; good CB; super raw CU; really good athlete; 6-2, 190 pounds

2011: 7.36 K/9 | 58.2 IP
2012: 8.40 K/9 | 2.62 BB/9 | 5.51 FIP | 65.1 IP

261. Ohio State rSO RHP John Kuchno: 88-92 FB, can hit 94-95 in relief; impressive CB, but still getting a feel for it; iffy control has improved with time; 6-4, 205 pounds

2011: 5.23 K/9 | 31 IP
2012: 7.30 K/9 | 3.53 BB/9 | 4.09 FIP | 74 IP

262. Oregon State JR RHP Tony Bryant: 87-90 FB, 94 peak in HS days; only in the mid-80s (84-88) this past spring; very good CU that flashes plus; leans on CU heavily; if some velocity returns and he can develop a more reliable breaking ball (two big ifs), then he could take off in a big way in pro ball if (another big if!) given the chance; 6-7, 215 pounds

2011: 7.80 K/9 | 47.1 IP
2012: 10.57 K/9 | 2.35 BB/9 | 3.68 FIP | 30.2 IP

263. Cypress (CA) JC SO RHP Daniel Ponce de Leon (2012): 89-93 FB; good CB; better cutter; 6-4; Arizona transfer

264. Florida SR RHP Greg Larson: similar prospect to Auburn RHP Slade Smith – both have deceptive deliveries and loads of sink on everything they throw; 6-8, 235 pounds

2011: 7.45 K/9 | 38.2 IP
2012: 6.93 K/9 | 1.78 BB/9 | 4.08 FIP | 50.2 IP

265. New Mexico State JR RHP Tyler Mack: 89-92 FB, 93-95 peak; 79-81 CU; plus breaking ball, not sure whether it is the 76-78 CB or 84 SL; iffy control; 6-4, 200 pounds

2011: 7.48 K/9 | 61.1 IP
2012: 8.31 K/9 | 5.64 BB/9 | 5.05 FIP | 30.1 IP

266. Arizona State JR RHP Alex Blackford: too straight 86-90 FB;  above-average 77-78 CB; best pitch is CU; 81-82 SL; interesting pitcher who throws four pitches for strikes and has put up consistently strong numbers – lack of size and arm strength may keep him in school one more year, but he’s a solid college arm to monitor; 5-11, 200 pounds

2011: 8.56 K/9 | 61 IP
2012: 8.65 K/9 | 2.77 BB/9 | 3.61 FIP | 52 IP

267. USC Sumter JC SO RHP Tyler Smith: 90-93 FB, 95 peak, but gets too straight to fool professional bats; secondary stuff needs work; 6-3, 205 pounds

268. North Carolina State JR RHP Chris Overman: 87-91 FB; plus splitter; good SL; plus command; middle relief possibility; strong summer experiences including outstanding run in Cape Cod League; 6-2, 225 pounds

2011: 8.63 K/9 | 49 IP
2012: 11.20 K/9 | 3.95 BB/9 | 3.24 FIP | 27.1 IP

269. Harvard SR LHP Brent Suter: heavy 88-91 FB; plus CU; good command; 6-5, 200 pounds

2011: 10.62 K/9 | 39 IP
2012: 7.71 K/9 | 2.52 BB/9 | 3.47 FIP | 53.2 IP

270. Northeastern SR LHP Andrew Leenhouts: 87-88 FB, 90-91 peak; good CB; average CU that sometimes shows better; FB command needs work, and pitch is presently too straight; clean mechanics; 6-3, 200 pounds

2011: 7.13 K/9 | 83.1 IP
2012: 8.44 K/9 | 3.44 BB/9 | 4.54 FIP | 91.2 IP

271. Texas State SR RHP Mitchell Pitts: 88-90 FB; everything sinks; good command

2011: 6.30 K/9 | 105.2 IP
2012: 9.17 K/9 | 2.55 BB/9 | 2.89 FIP | 17.2 IP

272. Indiana SR RHP Chad Martin: 90-93 FB, 95 peak; CB and SL both inconsistent; no real CU to speak of; could have a bullpen future if he can figure out how to repeat his mechanics more consistently and develop a more reliable breaking ball (i.e. pick one or the other and run with it); 6-7, 240 pounds

2012: 6.38 K/9 | 3.46 BB/9 | 4.63 FIP | 67.2 IP

273. Florida State JR RHP Robert Benincasa: 89-92 FB, 93 peak; good SL; good splitter used as CU that he learned from Mark Appel; 6-2, 200 pounds

2011: 7.16 K/9 | 32.2 IP
2012: 13.65 K/9 | 1.48 BB/9 | 2.38 FIP | 30.1 IP

274. George Mason rJR LHP Chris O’Grady: 86-90 FB, 92 peak; plus 82-84 cutter; also mixes in CB and CU; 6-4, 220 pounds

2011: 9.45 K/9 | 53.1 IP
2012: 12.41 K/9 | 4.86 BB/9 | 2.24 FIP | 37 IP

275. Purdue JR RHP Brad Schreiber: 90-92 FB, 94-96 peak with plus-plus upside; 73-75 below-average breaking ball; missed 2012 season because of Tommy John surgery, so he falls under the category of injury risk/questionable sign prospects who might be lured away from college to get paid to rehab or might not; Schreiber’s fastball is so electric that it wouldn’t surprise me to see a team gamble on him wanting to sign in the mid-rounds; 6-4, 235 pounds

2011: 9.32 K/9 | 47.1 IP

276. George Mason JR RHP Brandon Kuter: 92-94 FB with sink, 96 peak; emerging SL that flashes plus; good athlete; below-average control; 6-7, 220 pounds

2011: 8.20 K/9 | 26.1 IP
2012: 10.17 K/9 | 6.31 BB/9 | 3.77 FIP | 25.2 IP

277. Tennessee Tech SR RHP Matt Shepherd: 90-93 FB, 95 peak; plus SL; good CU; iffy command

2011: 7.47 K/9 | 74.2 IP
2012: 7.32 K/9 | 3.96 BB/9 | 4.86 FIP | 75 IP

278. Virginia Tech JR RHP Patrick Scoggin: 87-90 FB, peak 91-92 as starter; in bullpen, sits 93-95, 96 peak; good sinker; better SL; 80-82 CU that needs work; 77-80 CB; inconsistent command; 6-5, 240 pounds

2011: 9.61 K/9 | 39.1 IP
2012: 7.24 K/9 | 3.33 BB/9 | 3.52 FIP | 46 IP

279. Weatherford JC (TX) FR RHP Jacob Stone: 90-93 FB, 95 peak; flashes plus CB; raw CU; 6-1, 200 pounds

280. Maryland SR RHP Brett Harman: 86-90 FB with good natural sink, good command; solid SL that he uses more than any other pitch; CU flashes plus; strong performance in 2010, missed 2011, rebounded with nice 2012 – on/off track record may get him lost in shuffle, but there’s enough here to think of him as a viable mid- to late-round middle relief prospect; 6-4, 220 pounds

2012: 8.35 K/9 | 1.95 BB/9 | 3.88 FIP | 83 IP

281. Austin Peay State SR LHP Zach Toney: 88-92 FB, 94 peak; solid CB; interesting splitter; iffy control; 6-3, 220 pounds

2011: 8.37 K/9 | 76.1 IP
2012: 8.13 K/9 | 4.45 BB/9 | 4.29 FIP | 93 IP

282. Southeast Missouri State JR RHP Shae Simmons: 88-94 FB, 95-96 peak; emerging 81-83 SL that is now well above-average and flashes plus; improved CU; good athlete; below-average control; 6-0, 180 pounds

2011: 10.45 K/9 | 31 IP
2012: 9.77 K/9 | 5.71 BB/9 | 3.36 FIP | 82 IP

283. Iowa JR LHP Matt Dermody: 87-90 FB, 92 peak; 71-73 CB; CU; SL; good control, but command can come and go; 6-5, 200 pounds

2011: 8.08 K/9 | 84.2 IP
2012: 7.11 K/9 | 2.72 BB/9 | 4.73 FIP | 76 IP

284. Mississippi JR RHP Brett Huber: 89-93 FB; good SL; CB; 78-82 CU; iffy control; 6-3, 190 pounds

2011: 6.60 K/9 in 30 IP
2012: 11.01 K/9 | 3.20 BB/9 | 3.13 FIP | 25.1 IP

285. Rutgers rSO RHP Charlie Law: 87-90 FB with good sink; above-average CU; solid potential with CB; questionable mechanics and command due mostly to a lack of experience on the mound, but might have enough raw stuff – he certainly has the size – to intrigue a team to make a late run at him; 6-7, 235 pounds

2012: 10.32 K/9 | 4.76 BB/9 | 5.03 FIP | 11.1 IP

286. Fresno State rSR RHP Gene Escat: 88-92 FB; good SL; CU; 6-3, 190 pounds

2012: 11.16 K/9 | 2.52 BB/9 | 2.59 FIP | 25 IP

287. Oakland rSO LHP Hayden Fox: 88-92 FB; good CB; gives me the chance to go back and read every post from what might be my favorite website of all time (http://coachfox.blogspot.com); 6-4, 200 pounds

2012: 9.05 K/9 | 4.67 BB/9 | 3.50 FIP | 61.2 IP

288. Maryland SR RHP Sander Beck: straight 88-92 FB with good command; has shown better movement on FB lately; improving 75-78 KCB; solid CU; up to 92-93 easy peak last summer, but hasn’t maintained velocity gains over time; good 82-85 cutter, also called a SL; stuff has never been much of a question, but his control is a longstanding issue that has yet to be fixed;  6-3, 225 pounds

2011: 9.62 K/9 | 58 IP
2012: 7.43 K/9 | 4.22 BB/9 | 4.10 FIP | 53.1 IP

289. Virginia rJR LHP Scott Silverstein: mostly 86-90 with FB; advanced CU; projectable breaking ball; had low-90s FB pre-surgery; two operations to repair a torn labrum in his left shoulder; considered unsignable in 2011, but likely to come out in 2012; reportedly back to low-90s in fall ball 2011; peaking back at 93 in 2012; breaking ball has developed into solid SL; 6-6, 240 pounds

2011: 7.53 K/9 | 14.1 IP
2012: 6.30 K/9 | 4.20 BB/9 | 4.62 FIP | 64.1 IP

290. Auburn SR RHP Derek Varnadore: 89-92 FB, rare 94 peak; improved SL, has really firmed up – now 86-88 and an above-average pitch; shows CU; good deception; total package adds up to a solid mid- to late-round senior sign and a potential middle reliever if he hangs on long enough; 6-4, 215 pounds

2011: 8.08 K/9 | 88 IP
2012: 6.78 K/9 | 2.98 BB/9 | 3.94 FIP | 87.2 IP

291. San Diego JR LHP James Pazos: 88-92 FB, 93 peak; good CU; SL with upside; has the repertoire, delivery, and demeanor to potentially start in pro ball; 6-3, 225 pounds

2011: 8.93 K/9 | 42.1 IP
2012: 9.14 K/9 | 3.00 BB/9 | 3.48 FIP | 63 IP

292. St. Mary’s SR RHP Kyle Barraclough: 89-93 FB, 94-95 peak; decent SL; effective splitter as CU; power stuff profiles best in short stints as a reliever, a role that he could be quite valuable in professionally; 6-3, 220 pounds

2011: 6.60 K/9 | 105 IP
2012: 8.64 K/9 | 5.23 BB/9 | 2.74 FIP | 84.1 IP

293. Penn SR RHP Vince Voiro: 90-92 FB with good sink, 93-95 peak; mid-70s CB/SL with plus upside; much improved CU; 6-4, 200 pounds

2011: 7.97 K/9 | 61 IP
2012: 7.77 K/9 | 1.91 BB/9 | 3.76 FIP | 66 IP

294. CC Western Nevada SO RHP Tyler Spencer: 90-93 FB, 94 peak; good FB movement; groundball machine; flashes plus SL; iffy command; 6-2, 200 pounds

295. Maine JR RHP Steve Perakslis: 87-91 FB, 92-93 peak; good breaking ball; above-average CU; iffy control; 6-1, 185 pounds

2011: 7.12 K/9 | 67 IP
2012: 4.84 K/9 | 1.96 BB/9 | 3.82 FIP | 87.1 IP

296. UC Irvine JR LHP Matt Whitehouse: 86-90 FB; plus 80-83 cutter; good CU; good 79-80 breaking ball; above-average overall command; rarely has all four pitches working at once – when he does, he looks like a legit pro prospect, but inconsistency has held him back; 6-1, 180 pounds

2011: 7.96 K/9 | 72.1 IP
2012: 11.77 K/9 | 2.08 BB/9 | 2.67 FIP | 13 IP

297. UC Riverside rSR RHP Eddie Orozco: 89-91 FB, 94 peak; good command of solid SL; also throws an average CU with the chance for a bit more; 6-4, 200 pounds

2011: 7.64 K/9 | 70.2 IP
2012: 9.88 K/9 | 2.11 BB/9 | 3.33 FIP | 98.1 IP

298. UC Irvine JR RHP Kyle Hooper: 86-90 FB with good sink, 91 peak; good 72-80 CB, hitting the firmer side of that range in 2012; average 78 CU; 6-5, 220 pounds

2011: 6.50 K/9 | 44.1 IP
2012: 9.11 K/9 | 0.98 BB/9 | 3.36 FIP | 27.2 IP

299. Holy Cross JR RHP John Colella: heavy 90-92 FB; potential plus CB; 6-2, 215

2011: 8.36 K/9 | 42 IP
2012: 8.61 K/9 | 4.80 BB/9 | 3.47 FIP | 54.1 IP

300. Cal Poly JR RHP Nick Grim: 90-93 FB, 95-96 peak; 78-84 breaking ball (more SL than CB) flashes plus, but below-average most days; shows a CU; iffy command; below-average control; inconsistent velocity appearance to appearance due to odd delivery hitch – his mid-90s peak is often closer to 92-93, but it isn’t a matter of arm strength; 6-3, 190 pounds

2012: 6.93 K/9 | 7.30 BB/9 | 3.66 FIP | 24.2 IP

301. New Mexico State JR LHP Ryan Beck: 85-90 FB; very good 72-76 CB; good but inconsistent 78-83 CU; 6-3, 220 pounds

2011: 7.05 K/9 | 90.2 IP
2012: 9.22 K/9 | 3.41 BB/9 | 3.46 FIP | 97.2 IP

302. Gonzaga JR LHP Tyler Olson: 85-88 FB, 90 peak; holds FB velocity deep into starts; throws both an average to slightly above-average 76-80 SL and CU; also goes to usable 70-72 CB; Olson is a four pitch lefthander with enough of a college track record to get a mid-round look; 6-3, 180 pounds

2011: 7.26 K/9 | 79.1 IP
2012: 7.50 K/9 | 2.12 BB/9 | 4.19 FIP | 110.1 IP

303. UC Santa Barbara rSR LHP Kevin Gelinas: once regularly lived in the low- to mid-90s (94-95 peak), so if his arm checks out you might see mid-90s peaks again; has always had a good SL when healthy; has pitched seemingly everywhere during his college career, but 2012 season was his longest continuous stretch of good health since his junior college days (pre-UCSB, post-Pepperdine); 6-5, 240 pounds

2012: 8.20 K/9 | 4.34 BB/9 | 4.46 FIP | 37.1 IP

304. Indiana State JR RHP Dakota Bacus: 86-90 FB, 92-93 peak; good 84-87 SL that flashes plus; average CU with chance for more; in position to potentially surface as a fifth starter/middle reliever (FB/SL) down the line; 6-2, 200 pounds

2012: 6.87 K/9 | 2.47 BB/9 | 4.12 FIP | 116.2 IP

305. Oral Roberts JR RHP Kurt Giller: 92 peak; good CB; good cutter; good CU; Nebraska transfer

2012: 8.43 K/9 | 3.84 BB/9 | 3.53 FIP | 84.1 IP

306. Toledo JR RHP Mike Hamann: 88-92 FB, 93-95 peak, but velocity seems to come and go; good 83-86 SL; also throws CB and CU; stuff should play up in shorter stints and he could make it as a FB/SL reliever down the line; 6-3, 170 pounds

2011: 7.54 K/9 | 59.2 IP
2012: 6.39 K/9 | 3.55 BB/9 | 4.95 FIP | 76 IP

307. Texas-San Antonio SR LHP Casey Selsor: 88-90 FB; above-average SL; good athlete who can hit, run, and field his position well; 6-3, 190 pounds

2011: 7.25 K/9 | 99.1 IP
2012: 5.87 K/9 | 4.48 BB/9 | 3.91 FIP | 84.1 IP

308. Northwestern JR RHP Luke Farrell: 88-91 FB, 92-93 peak; good breaking ball; easy player to root for who has battled back from major health obstacles to reach this point; he fits better as a potential late-round 2013 senior sign, but high character and big league bloodlines could get him picked sooner; 6-6, 200 pounds

2011: 7.22 K/9 | 81 IP
2012: 8.71 K/9 | 4.53 BB/9 | 3.14 FIP | 51.2 IP

309. California SR RHP Matt Flemer: 85-88 FB, 91 peak; pair of effective breaking balls: 71-72 CB and 76-78 SL; good deception; plus command; 6-3, 215 pounds

2011: 9.84 K/9 | 39.1 IP
2012: 5.56 K/9 | 1.13 BB/9 | 4.30 FIP | 111.2 IP

310. Mississippi State JR RHP Kendall Graveman: 88-91 FB with plus sink; really good 78-81 sinking CU; 75-77 CB; average 83-84 SL; 6-1, 190 pounds

2011: 6.35 K/9 | 56.2 IP
2012: 6.22 K/9 | 2.01 BB/9 | 3.92 FIP | 89.2 IP

311. Oregon State JR RHP Cole Brocker: 91-94 FB; flashes plus CB; junior college transfer (Sacramento City) who put up interesting enough strikeout and walk ratios to go along with two pitches that could work in a pro bullpen; 6-4, 215 pounds

2012: 10.13 K/9 | 3.38 BB/9 | 5.59 FIP | 24 IP

312. Baylor JR RHP Kolt Browder: low-90s FB, 93 peak; flashes plus breaking ball; stuff has been inconsistent, but there might be enough there, especially if a team saw him on a good day, to get him drafted late; 6-0, 200 pounds

2012: 9.43 K/9 | 3.00 BB/9 | 2.78 FIP | 21 IP

313. Missouri JR LHP Blake Holovach: 88-90 FB, 93-94 peak; good FB command; hasn’t put together the put-away secondary stuff needed to finish off hitters consistently; 6-3, 200 pounds

2012: 5.20 K/9 | 3.73 BB/9 | 4.73 FIP | 79.2 IP

314. Oklahoma State JR RHP Randy McCurry: 88-92 FB, once was able to get up to 94-95 peak; flashes plus SL; also throws CB and CU at times; great athlete; Tommy John survivor; 6-1, 200 pounds

2011: 7.89 K/9 | 43.1 IP
2012: 8.96 K/9 | 4.54 BB/9 | 3.64 FIP | 67.1 IP

315. Penn State rSO LHP Joe Kurrasch: as starter, sits 87-90, 92 peak; can get it a tick or two higher as reliever; average CU; has done a good job getting in better shape over past year, but doesn’t have the depth or quality of stuff to make much of a pro impact at this point; Cal transfer; 6-2, 200 pounds

2012: 8.11 K/9 | 4.62 BB/9 | 3.14 FIP | 87.2 IP

316. Toledo SR RHP Lincoln Rassi: 87-90 FB as starter, 92-95 FB in relief; good SL; CU; good command; 6-1, 180 pounds

2011: 7.28 K/9 | 80.1 IP
2012: 10.70 K/9 | 4.08 BB/9 | 3.46 FIP | 35.1 IP

317. Oregon SR RHP Alex Keudell: 85-88 FB, 90 peak with plus sink; cutter; good SL; shows CU; plus overall command; good athlete; Keudell is a college workhorse with a chance to have just enough uptick in stuff in shorter stints to have value as a late-round middle relief prospect; 6-3, 200 pounds

2011: 7.37 K/9 | 90.1 IP
2012: 5.63 K/9 | 2.09 BB/9 | 4.22 FIP | 124.2 IP

318. Bradley SR LHP Joe Bircher: 84-88 FB, 90 peak; plus CB; also throws decent chase SL; really good CU; impeccable control; plus command; can go to three pitches (FB-CU-CB) in any count, so it is hard to time his fastball; could start professionally, but the chance his fastball picks up a few miles in relief is enticing; 6-4, 220 pounds

2011: 6.09 K/9 | 105 IP
2012: 9.49 K/9 | 1.64 BB/9 | 3.72 FIP | 110 IP

319. TCU rSO RHP Tyler Duffie: 88-92 FB, 94-95 peak; good SL; iffy control; good three pitch mix lends itself to starting one day, but figures to be a tough sign as redshirt sophomore coming off a year with minimal innings; 6-4, 215 pounds

2012: 7.71 K/9 | 4.82 BB/9 | 3.20 FIP | 9.1 IP

320. Missouri State rSO RHP Nick Petree: 85-88 FB (90 peak) with plus movement and great sink; good mid-70s SL; better 78-80 CU that flashes plus; strong cutter; also throws CB; has the kind of pitchability typically associated with lefthanded prospects; good overall command; missed 2010 season due to Tommy John surgery; will drop FB down in velocity (more 85s and 86s) to get more movement; when fatigued, FB has dipped to 83-84 but retains above-average sink; plus control; tough to get a feel for his upside, as he relies so heavily on sinkers and variety of offspeed stuff – might have to wait a year or two to get the respect he needs to be considered signable (i.e. he needs to build some of the reputation as college veterans like Hudson Randall and Kurt Heyer to be considered more than just a good college guy); 6-1, 200 pounds

2011: 7.78 K/9 | 96 IP
2012: 9.13 K/9 | 2.73 BB/9 | 2.82 FIP | 115.1 IP

321. Jefferson (MO) CC rSO LHP Dalton Friend: 90-95 FB; good CB; 6-3, 230 pounds

322. Kentucky SR LHP Alex Phillips: 84-86 FB, 88 peak; very good CU; effective 84-89 cutter; plus command;  6-4, 200 pounds

2011: 7.05 K/9 | 37 IP
2012: 7.89 K/9 | 2.58 BB/9 | 3.83 FIP | 59.1 IP

323. UC Riverside JR RHP Mitch Patito: 91-94 FB in short bursts; solid CB; iffy command; below-average control; 6-1, 200 pounds

2011: 10.62 K/9 | 20.1 IP
2012: 11.16 K/9 | 7.02 BB/9 | 3.31 FIP | 50 IP

324. New Mexico JR RHP Austin House: 87-92 FB with good sink, 93 peak; good CU; emerging SL that is now at least average, could be better in time; 6-4, 210 pounds

2011: 7.71 K/9 | 39.2 IP
2012: 7.50 K/9 | 2.82 BB/9 | 3.94 FIP | 111.2 IP

325. Southern Illinois JR LHP Nathan Dorris: 86-89 FB with good sink, 91 peak; flashes plus CB; Vanderbilt transfer with the chance to be a much better pro than he showed in college, especially from a stuff standpoint; 6-3, 190 pounds

2012: 8.89 K/9 | 3.84 BB/9 | 3.93 FIP | 82 IP

326. Rockhurst (MO) JR RHP Mark Sappington: 88-94 FB, rumors of 96 earlier in 2011 but didn’t have him there in 2012; average SL with above-average upside; iffy control; max effort delivery; 6-4, 220 pounds

327. Texas-Pan American JR RHP Dusten Knight: 88-92 FB; good CB; average CU

2012: 8.87 K/9 | 4.70 BB/9 | 3.90 FIP | 67 IP

328. Eastern Kentucky rJR RHP Chase Greene: 91-93 FB, 94 peak; good SL; Kentucky transfer

2012: 6.56 K/9 | 5.40 BB/9 | 5.58 FIP | 23.1 IP

329. Stetson SR RHP Tucker Donahue: 90-93 FB with good sink, 95-96 peak; 77-80 breaking ball needs work; below-average 79-82 CU; iffy command; 6-1, 210 pounds

2011: 7.41 K/9 | 79 IP
2012: 9.11 K/9 | 6.18 BB/9 | 4.01 FIP | 27.2 IP

330. Eastern Kentucky JR RHP Anthony Bazzani: sits mostly 87-88 FB as starter, but can really rev it up in relief: 90-95 FB as reliever, 97-98 peak; plus splitter; promising breaking ball that is inconsistent; control is an issue going forward; 6-4, 200 pounds

2011: 7.25 K/9 | 44.2 IP
2012: 5.95 K/9 | 7.02 BB/9 | 4.02 FIP | 42.1 IP

331. San Jacinto (TX) JC SO LHP Daniel Stumpf: 88-92 FB, 94 peak; good CU; shows SL with cutter action; 6-2, 200 pounds

332. Miami-Dade (FL) JC SO RHP Myles Smith: 88-92 FB, 94-95 peak; above-average CU; emerging breaking ball; Missouri transfer; good athlete

333. Kent State SR LHP David Starn: 84-86 FB, 88 peak; throws CU and SL; plus command; plus control; Michael Roth of the MAC; 6-3, 200 pounds

2011: 9.81 K/9 | 107.1 IP
2012: 9.48 K/9 | 3.84 BB/9 | 3.50 FIP | 119.2 IP

334. Lamar JR LHP Jonathan Dziedzic: stuff is more or less average across board, but gets by on plus-plus pitchability; iffy control

2011: 8.07 K/9 | 32.1 IP
2012: 8.55 K/9 | 4.09 BB/9 | 3.70 FIP | 72.2 IP

335. North Carolina State JR RHP Ethan Ogburn: 88-91 FB; good CB; 6-4, 200 pounds

2011: 7.30 K/9 | 61.2 IP
2012: 8.03 K/9 | 1.94 BB/9 | 3.93 FIP | 65 IP

336. Maryland SR RHP Michael Boyden: typically sits upper-80s with FB, but velocity spike this spring has him currently between 88-92, 94 peak; shows both CB and CU; iffy control; has value as surprisingly strong armed senior sign; 6-0, 180 pounds

2011: 9.82 K/9 | 29.1 IP
2012: 9.18 K/9 | 4.59 BB/9 | 3.16 FIP | 51 IP

337. South Carolina SR LHP Michael Roth: 85-88 FB on his best days; above-average to plus 79-80 CU that he leans on heavily; can mix in occasional SL and 75-77 CB; really good command; just funky and productive enough to have an outside shot as a lefthanded specialist out of the bullpen, but curious whether or not his splits bear this out; 6-1, 210 pounds

2011: 7.32 K/9 | 145 IP
2012: 7.00 K/9 | 2.37 BB/9 | 4.10 FIP | 79.2 IP

338. San Diego SR RHP Paul Sewald: 86-89 FB, 91 peak; solid upper-70s SL; average 80-83 CU; 6-2, 180 pounds

2011: 6.85 K/9 | 67 IP
2012: 8.11 K/9 | 2.88 BB/9 | 3.63 FIP | 84.1 IP

339. UC Davis SR LHP Dayne Quist: upper-80s FB; good CU; usable CB; great command; 5-10, 180 pounds

2011: 7.77 K/9 | 75.1 IP
2012: 8.93 K/9 | 1.37 BB/9 | 3.47 FIP | 85.2 IP

340. San Francisco SR LHP Jordan Remer: 88-91 FB, 94 peak; has added velocity over years; throws both an effective CB and CU; below-average control holds him back from profiling as strong lefthanded setup man; 6-2, 210 pounds

2011: 11.20 K/9 | 49 IP
2012: 12.16 K/9 | 8.90 BB/9 | 2.84 FIP | 30.1 IP

341. Penn State JR RHP John Walter: 87-91 FB, 93 peak; above-average breaking ball; cutter; below-average control; 6-5, 220 pounds

2011: 6.27 K/9 | 84.2 IP
2012: 9.04 K/9 | 5.29 BB/9 | 3.27 FIP | 81.2 IP

342. New Mexico JR RHP Sam Wolff: 88-92 FB, 94-95 peak; good CB; above-average SL; good CU; smooth delivery; good polish; transfer from San Diego and JC of Southern Nevada who has never been able to have all his pitches working at the same time to put up the results you’d expect from a guy with his level of stuff; 6-1, 190 pounds

2012: 4.73 K/9 | 5.72 BB/9 | 4.79 FIP | 45.2 IP

343. Wichita State rSR RHP Mitch Mormann: 92-94 FB with great sink, 95-96 peak; average 83-85 SL; raw CU; command a question; one of the draft’s biggest enigmas: his path has not been typical — high school and junior college ball in Iowa, then off to LSU for a year, finally found a home at Wichita State – and he has consistently looked better in fall ball and workouts than in real deal game action; 6-6, 255 pounds

2012: 4.92 K/9 | 5.09 BB/9 | 5.10 FIP | 53 IP

344. Pima (AZ) JC FR RHP Julio Felix: 91-93 FB, 95-96 peak; above-average breaking ball; 6-0, 190 pounds

345. VMI SR RHP Adam Lopez: 88-92 FB, 94-96 peak; recovering from TJ surgery; 6-5, 220 pounds

2012: 10.80 K/9 | 5.40 BB/9 | 2.99 FIP | 15 IP

346. Austin Peay State rSO RHP Ryan Quick: 95-97 peak; 5-11, 175 pounds

2012: 6.13 K/9 | 4.09 BB/9 | 5.25 FIP | 83.2 IP

347. VMI SR RHP Mike Devine: 89-92 FB with plus sink, 94-95 peak; good CU; solid SL; throws 89-92 two-seamers with sink after arm injury, mid-90s peak a thing of the past but increased movement makes him a potential reliever professionally if he gets the chance; 6-1, 190 pounds

2011: 9.20 K/9 | 30.1 IP
2012: 8.64 K/9 | 2.16 BB/9 | 4.68 FIP | 33.1 IP

348. High Point rSO RHP Jamie Schultz: mid-90s FB, 94 peak; flashes plus CB; coming back from TJ surgery; 5-9, 190

2012: 10.47 K/9 | 5.65 BB/9 | 3.47 FIP | 43 IP

349. Appalachian State JR RHP Nate Hyatt: 93-95 FB, 97 peak; good yet inconsistent SL; iffy command; 6-1, 185 pounds

2011: 7.11 K/9 | 88.2 IP
2012: 9.55 K/9 | 7.90 BB/9 | 2.80 FIP | 27.1 IP

350. South Carolina JR RHP Colby Holmes: remember seeing him upper-80s FB with room for more coming out of high school; slowly up to consistent 88-91 FB by 2011; similar velocity in 2012, but now peaking at 93; good 80-81 CU with sink, comes out of arm clean; average at best 83-85 SL; also shows occasional CB; fairly standard middle relief prospect with the chance he could start in the low minors; 5-11, 200 pounds

2011: 8.54 K/9 | 85.1 IP
2012: 7.96 K/9 | 2.08 BB/9 | 4.90 FIP | 52 IP

351. Connecticut rJR RHP Scott Oberg: 88-91 FB; good CB; good command; opened eyes with his outstanding 2012 performances (0.99 ERA, 5-0 record); raw numbers alone could get him drafted, though the lack of knockout stuff and good yet not great peripherals are a truer indication of his ability; 6-2, 200 pounds

2012: 9.17 K/9 | 3.22 BB/9 | 3.21 FIP | 36.1 IP

352. Oklahoma State JR RHP Chase Stevens: 88-92 FB, 94 peak; 78-80 CU; good 76-81 SL/CB; iffy control; good athlete; 5-10, 180 pounds

2012: 11.42 K/9 | 3.22 BB/9 | 2.63 FIP | 67 IP

353. Rice rSO RHP Chase McDowell: 87-93 FB; potential plus CB; shows CU; good athlete; interesting power upside as a two-way prospect who also plays the outfield; Tommy John survivor; injuries have kept his overall innings down (42.2 total IP in parts of three season), but arm strength and ability to spin a breaking ball make him an interesting late-round flier if signable; 6-3, 185 pounds

2011: 6.43 K/9 | 28 IP
2012: 8.10 K/9 | 0.90 BB/9 | 4.09 FIP | 10 IP

354. Miami-Dade (FL) JC rSO RHP Michael Heller: 88-92 FB, 94-96 peak; good hard CB; recovering from torn ACL; iffy command; good athlete; 6-2, 190 pounds

355. North Carolina JR RHP Chris Munnelly: 88-91 FB; above-average CU; good breaking ball; plus command; has enough diversity in stuff to continue starting in pro ball, but disappointing junior year could steer him back to college; 6-2, 190 pounds

2011: 7.81 K/9 | 70.1 IP
2012: 4.66 K/9 | 5.05 BB/9 | 4.22 FIP | 46.1 IP

356. Miami SR LHP Eric Erickson: 88-90 FB; CB; CU; 6-0, 190 pounds

2012: 7.34 K/9 | 1.07 BB/9 | 3.70 FIP | 76 IP

357. Houston rSR RHP Jared Ray: 90-92 FB, 93-95 peak; above-average 78-83 SL, flashes plus; have also heard SL at 86, but unconfirmed and, based on the source, somewhat dubious; iffy 81 CU; two strong pitches makes him a potential middle reliever, but he’ll have to move quick (turned 23 this past February); encouraged to see a return to health and effectiveness in 2012, despite high ERA (6.42 as of 5/15/12); 6-3, 200 pounds

2011: 4.74 K/9 | 24.2 IP
2012: 7.74 K/9 | 3.59 BB/9 | 3.00 FIP | 47.2 IP

358. Wake Forest JR LHP Brian Holmes: pitchability lefthander who leans on 86-88 FB with above-average sink; could have a little more on fastball in future; good CU; shows SL; overall, has a four-pitch mix that he commands well; better college arm than professional prospect, but has put up impressive strikeout totals without a particularly hot fastball; 6-3, 205 pounds

2011: 9.13 K/9 | 69 IP
2012: 9.09 K/9 | 5.25 BB/9 | 2.83 FIP | 70.1 IP

359. North Carolina State JR RHP Ryan Wilkins: 86-91 FB; good splitter; average SL; junior college transfer who did a nice job in first year with NC State; 6-2, 220 pounds

2012: 9.35 K/9 | 3.12 BB/9 | 3.96 FIP | 34.2 IP

360. Florida State SR RHP Hunter Scantling: 87-90 FB, 91 peak; emerging SL that is still too inconsistent an offering; average CU; good athlete for his size; speaking of his size, Scantling’s physical stature has long been enticing for scouts who have waited for his talent to catch up – at this point in his development, I think it is fairly safe to say that what you see is what you get with Scantling; 6-8, 270 pounds

2011: 7.82 K/9 | 58.2 IP
2012: 7.52 K/9 | 2.43 BB/9 | 4.89 FIP | 40.2 IP

361. South Florida rSR RHP Derrick Stultz: 93-94 peak FB; 6-3, 190 pounds

2012: 6.36 K/9 | 2.52 BB/9 | 4.92 FIP | 75 IP

362. Tulane rSO RHP Kyle McKenzie: looked like a future star when I saw him in high school: mid-90s FB with a really good CB; injuries have slowed his development, but he could shoot way up draft boards if he returns to Tulane (as expected) and puts together another full, injury-free season; below-average present control; 6-0, 170 pounds

2011: 10.03 K/9 | 23.1 IP
2012: 6.34 K/9 | 4.70 BB/9 | 3.59 FIP | 44 IP

363. Arizona JR RHP Tyler Hale: 88-93 FB; two strong secondary pitches in a curve and change; made the note “iffy control” last season and it continues to be what holds him back; 5-10, 170 pounds

2011: 7.11 K/9 | 55.2 IP
2012: 10.80 K/9 | 6.75 BB/9 | 2.64 FIP | 20 IP

364. LSU rJR RHP Joey Bourgeois: 90-92 FB, 93-94 peak; good CU; much improved 73-79 CB; has come back strong from last year’s Tommy John surgery; 6-1, 190 pounds

2012: 10.32 K/9 | 3.44 BB/9 | 2.65 FIP | 34 IP

365. Santa Fe (FL) CC JR RHP Felix Roque: plus 88-92 FB with late sink; plus SL; shows both CU and CB; NC State transfer; 6-4, 220 pounds

366. Princeton JR RHP Zak Hermans: 87-90 FB, 92 peak; good 82-84 SL; cutter; shows CU; 6-2, 185 pounds

2011: 7.00 K/9 | 70.2 IP
2012: 8.57 K/9 | 3.14 BB/9 | 4.62 FIP | 63 IP

367. Samford SR RHP Kyle Putkonen: 90-91 FB; good CU; good 83-84 cutter

2011: 7.17 K/9 | 80.1 IP
2012: 7.47 K/9 | 3.10 BB/9 | 3.86 FIP | 78.1 IP

368. Hillsborough CC (FL) SO LHP Tyler Alexander: 88-92 FB with sink; good CB; good sinking CU that he relies on; good command; below-average control; great athlete; really rough spring hurts his draft stock, but stuff remains intriguing; 6-1, 180 pounds

369. Samford SR RHP Josh Martin: low-90s FB; very good CB

2011: 6.90 K/9 | 58.2 IP
2012: 7.85 K/9 | 2.78 BB/9 | 4.01 FIP | 110 IP

370. Yale SR RHP Pat Ludwig: upper-80s FB, 91 peak; has enough of a SL to profile as late-round middle relief prospect

2011: 8.87 K/9 | 47.2 IP
2012: 9.05 K/9 | 3.30 BB/9 | 3.04 FIP | 62.2 IP

371. Tennessee-Martin JR RHP Alec Mills: 88-92 FB; average breaking ball; new CU; plus FB command; 6-4, 170 pounds

2011: 7.50 K/9 | 66 IP
2012: 7.48 K/9 | 2.63 BB/9 | 4.39 FIP | 89 IP

372. Nova Southeastern (FL) JR RHP Cody Stiles: 90-94 FB; SL with potential; really good CB; shows CU; below-average control; transfer from UNC; 6-2, 185 pounds

373. Louisiana-Lafayette JR LHP Jordan Harrison: all I technically have on him is the following – “battles every at bat, lefty who keeps the ball down, groundball machine”; 6-1, 180 pounds

2012: 8.10 K/9 | 5.76 BB/9 | 4.93 FIP | 50 IP

374. Miami (OH) JR RHP Brooks Fiala: 89-92 FB; average CB; plus CU; also mixes in SL; 6-2, 190 pounds

2011: 6.06 K/9 | 81.2 IP
2012: 6.42 K/9 | 2.49 BB/9 | 4.55 FIP | 68.2 IP

375. Sam Houston State rSR RHP Justin Jackson: 88-91 FB, 93 peak; good 73-76 CB; 78-81 CU; also throws SL; TJ survivor; 6-4, 200 pounds

2012: 6.12 K/9 | 2.69 BB/9 | 4.16 FIP | 97 IP

376. Delaware JR RHP Matt Soren: 88-92 FB, 94 peak; potential plus low-80s breaking ball; iffy command; coming off 2012 season he’ll want to forget, so very likely to return for one last chance in 2013; 6-4, 200 pounds

2011: 8.92 K/9 | 37.1 IP
2012: 6.75 K/9 | 6.75 BB/9 | 5.68 FIP | 14.2 IP

377. UNC-Wilmington JR RHP Blaze Tart: missed entire 2012 season after undergoing TJ surgery, but his low- to mid-90s FB could get him drafted late by a team willing to work with him through his recovery; 6-3, 190 pounds

2011: 6.21 K/9 | 33.1 IP

378. Catawba (NC) SR RHP Jordan Jankowski: 90-92 FB; plus SL

379. The Master’s (CA) SR RHP Charles Gillies: 88-92 FB with plus sink; plus command; good CU; 6-2, 200 pounds

380. College of the Canyons (CA) rSO RHP Cory Jones (2012): 90-95 FB, 97 peak; average 80-83 CB; good command; shows CU; Pepperdine transfer; 6-5, 220 pounds

381. Texas Wesleyan JR RHP Derek Vaughn: low-90s FB, mid-90s peak; good breaking ball; Oklahoma transfer; 6-1, 190 pounds

382. Northern Kentucky JR RHP Mike Nastold: 90-92 FB, 94 peak; lots of FB movement; hard SL; coming off Tommy John and command is iffy; Louisville transfer; 6-4, 210 pounds

383. LSU-Shreveport SR RHP Matt Lackie: 90-93 FB with sink; SL; CU; 6-3, 225 pounds

384. Missouri State JR RHP Grant Gordon: 88-92 FB; good CB; iffy control; 6-0, 180 pounds

2011: 6.59 K/9 | 69.2 IP
2012: 8.29 K/9 | 4.05 BB/9 | 3.13 FIP | 46.2 IP

385. Fresno State SR LHP Tom Harlan: 86-90 FB; good command

2011: 6.54 K/9 | 63.1 IP
2012: 7.34 K/9 | 1.35 BB/9 | 3.16 FIP | 106.2 IP

386. Miami JR RHP Eric Nedeljkovic: good sinking FB, 92 peak; good SL; 6-0, 175 pounds

2012: 7.08 K/9 | 2.66 BB/9 | 3.16 FIP | 20.1 IP

387. Texas Tech rJR LHP Rusty Shellhorn: 87-91 FB; good 71-72 CB; shows 80 CU; good overall command of all three pitches; unconventional frame (5-9, 185 pounds) to go with unconventional name, but decent enough numbers (below) to potentially warrant some lefthanded relief attention

2012: 8.18 K/9 | 2.29 BB/9 | 4.74 FIP | 55 IP

388. East Carolina rSO LHP Tyler Joyner: 88-91 FB, 92-93 peak; above-average breaking ball; good cutter; shows CU; iffy command of FB, but spots secondary stuff well; 5-9, 185 pounds; had him at 6-9, 185 pounds in my notes for the longest time…seeing him for the first time in person blew my mind (note: he’s now listed at 5-11, 195 pounds)

2012: 6.90 K/9 | 1.07 BB/9 | 4.46 FIP | 92.2 IP

389. Oregon rSO RHP Jeff Gold: 85-89 FB, can reach back and hit low-90s peak at times; plus 72-75 CB; good CU; has three pitches and a frame to put on some muscle in the pros, but lackluster performances and questionable signability as a redshirt sophomore will likely keep him in school at least another season; 6-3, 170 pounds

2011: 12.66 K/9 | 10.2 IP
2012: 5.67 K/9 | 2.65 BB/9 | 4.84 FIP | 74.2 IP

390. VCU JR LHP Ryan Farrar: 88-93 FB; 78-80 CB; shows CU; deception in delivery; 6-2, 180 pounds

2011: 8.22 K/9 | 23 IP
2012: 6.62 K/9 | 3.36 BB/9 | 3.79 FIP | 88.1 IP

391. UNC-Wilmington JR LHP Tyler DeLoach: 87-90 FB, 92 peak; breaking ball is potential plus pitch; 6-7, 240 pounds

2012: 10.80 K/9 | 6.38 BB/9 | 3.85 FIP | 36.2 IP

392. Troy JR LHP Shane McCain: mid-80s FB with projection; very good CB; above-average CU; plus command; missed entire 2012 after having surgery on his arm, but should be back to 100% in 2013; 6-1, 200 pounds

2011: 9.11 K/9 | 52.1 IP

393. Arkansas State SR RHP Brandon Farley: 89-92 FB, 94-95 peak; 6-2, 200 pounds

2012: 9.64 K/9 | 3.38 BB/9 | 3.73 FIP | 37.1 IP

394. La Salle JR RHP Pat Christensen: 89-91 FB; good SL; 6-4, 205 pounds

2011: 8.92 K/9 | 38.1 IP
2012: 10.84 K/9 | 1.64 BB/9 | 3.07 FIP | 44 IP

395. Stetson JR RHP Kurt Schluter: 87-92 FB, 94 peak; above-average CB; also shows CU and cutter; 6-3, 185 pounds

2011: 8.90 K/9 | 57.2 IP
2012: 7.18 K/9 | 3.59 BB/9 | 4.89 FIP | 67.2 IP

396. Presbyterian SR RHP Gabe Grammar: low-90s FB, 95 peak; good SL; shows CU

2012: 8.69 K/9 | 3.10 BB/9 | 4.93 FIP | 29 IP

397. Tampa JR LHP Ben O’Shea: 88-92 FB; emerging CU; iffy breaking ball; tried to transfer to Maryland, but credits fell through; unsigned 10th rounder in 2011; also passed through Santa Fe CC; plus command of FB; good deception; leans on FB; 6-6, 250 pounds

398. Western Carolina rSO RHP Taylor Sandefur: low-90s FB, 94-96 peak; mid-80s cutter; slow CB; missed entire 2012 season due to shoulder surgery; 6-2, 245 pounds

2011: 8.24 K/9 | 43.2 IP

399. Kennesaw State SR RHP Josh Carr: 94 peak

2011: 7.32 K/9 | 82.1 IP
2012: 7.13 K/9 | 3.31 BB/9 | 3.90 FIP | 89.2 IP

400. Appalachian State SR RHP Ryan Arrowood: 87-89 FB, touching 90; good FB command; good CB; solid CU; 6-3, 180 pounds

2011: 7.92 K/9 | 94.1 IP
2012: 8.52 K/9 | 3.53 BB/9 | 3.66 FIP | 99.1 IP

401. VCU JR RHP Kyle Haynes: upper-80s FB, 90-92 peak; good low-80s SL; solid CU; control has been an issue in the past, but has made big improvements in this area in 2012; 6-2, 185 pounds

2011: 6.39 K/9 | 80.1 IP
2012: 7.16 K/9 | 2.90 BB/9 | 3.94 FIP | 93 IP

402. Eastern Oklahoma State JC SO RHP Logan Taylor: 89-92 FB, 94 peak; good 78-80 CB; inconsistent control; Arkansas transfer; 6-5, 235 pounds

403. San Diego State SR RHP Mike Hachadorian: 90-92 FB; good CB

2011: 12.31 K/9 | 22.2 IP
2012: 8.88 K/9 | 4.81 BB/9 | 3.89 FIP | 24.1 IP

404. Missouri State JR RHP Clay Murphy: 82-87 FB with sink; good 78-80 SL; average CB; average CU; will likely need another strong season to prove to scouts that a short righthander without a big fastball is worthy of a draft spot; 5-10, 170 pounds

2011: 9.07 K/9 | 44.2 IP
2012: 8.69 K/9 | 2.75 BB/9 | 2.91 FIP | 59 IP

405. Gonzaga SR RHP Andy Hunter: 87-90 FB, 92 peak; velocity down as starter (86-88), so pro bullpen role should suit him well; good SL; raw CU; can also hit a little bit; 6-6, 220 pounds

2011: 7.78 K/9 | 39.1 IP
2012: 6.84 K/9 | 2.37 BB/9 | 3.70 FIP | 98.2 IP

406. Long Beach State JR RHP Matt Anderson: 87-90 FB, 91-92 peak; has hit as high as 94 in past, but didn’t show it in 2012; average low-80s CU; slightly above-average 75-79 CB; can also mix in an interesting SL; 6-1, 220 pounds

2012: 6.54 K/9 | 3.69 BB/9 | 3.89 FIP | 85.1 IP

407. Spartanburg Methodist (SC) JC FR RHP Jonathan Pulley: 90-93 FB with good sink; good breaking ball; 6-2, 215 pounds

408. Portland JR RHP Chris Johnson: 88-92 FB, 93 peak; good sink on FB; good SL; good command; similar to teammate Kyle Kraus (both could be sinker/slider relievers professionally), but better across the board; 6-4, 200 pounds

2011: 6.26 K/9 | 83.1 IP
2012: 6.87 K/9 | 2.49 BB/9 | 4.10 FIP | 76 IP

409. Texas A&M-Corpus Christi JR RHP Tim Keller: 92-93 FB; plus SL; iffy command; 6-0, 180 pounds

2012: 6.70 K/9 | 5.17 BB/9 | 3.16 FIP | 47 IP

410. Stony Brook SR RHP Tyler Johnson: mid-80s sinking FB; good SL; very good CU; 6-0, 180 pounds

2011: 6.78 K/9 | 78.1 IP
2012: 4.32 K/9 | 2.70 BB/9 | 4.96 FIP | 100 IP

411. UC Irvine rSR RHP Crosby Slaught: 88-90 FB with good sink; usable SL and CU; good command; 6-4, 200 pounds

2011: 6.29 K/9 | 68.2 IP
2012: 6.58 K/9 | 4.31 BB/9 | 4.17 FIP | 79.1 IP

412. Everett (WA) CC FR RHP Keone Kela: 88-92 FB, 95 peak; average breaking stuff; iffy control; great athlete; 6-1, 200 pounds

413. Cumberland (TN) JR LHP Chipper Smith: 88-91 FB, 94 peak; good 81 CU

414. Long Beach State SR RHP Matthew Johnson: scrapes 90 with FB, sits mostly upper-80s; plus SL; plus command; reliever who can go multiple innings; 6-3, 200 pounds

2011: 8.75 K/9 | 48.1 IP
2012: 6.52 K/9 | 2.12 BB/9 | 3.90 FIP | 59.1 IP

415. Portland rSR RHP Owen Jones: 89-91 FB; solid CB; also uses CU; Tommy John survivor; 6-1, 180 pounds

2011: 6.40 K/9 | 90 IP
2012: 9.62 K/9 | 2.79 BB/9 | 2.56 FIP | 29 IP

416. George Mason rSO RHP Anthony Montefusco: 88-92 FB; good SL; better CU; average cutter; good overall command; TJ surgery in 2011; 6-0, 185 pounds

2012: 6.59 K/9 | 2.34 BB/9 | 3.72 FIP | 84.2 IP

417. Old Dominion SR RHP Ben Tomchick: 87-91 FB; good CU; 6-5, 200 pounds

2011: 7.98 K/9 | 91.1 IP
2012: 8.34 K/9 | 1.65 BB/9 | 2.99 FIP | 82 IP

418. Florida Gulf Coast SR RHP Jason Forjet: upper-80s FB, low-90s peak; CB; CU; very good command; good athlete; 6-2, 200 pounds

2011: 7.08 K/9 | 67.2 IP
2012: 8.18 K/9 | 1.98 BB/9 | 3.57 FIP | 95.2 IP

419. John A. Logan (IL) JC FR LHP Derek Thompson: 88-92 FB; plus CU; 6-4, 190 pounds

420. Chapman (CA) JR RHP Brian Rauh: 88-92 FB; good SL; average CB; average CU; 6-1, 200 pounds

421. Columbia SR RHP Pat Lowery: upper-80s FB

2011: 6.84 K/9 | 48.2 IP
2012: 7.71 K/9 | 3.19 BB/9 | 3.79 FIP | 53.2 IP

422. College of Charleston JR RHP Dre Watts: 87-91 sinking FB; solid CB; solid CU; iffy control; good athlete

2011: 8.17 K/9 | 25.1 IP
2012: 7.65 K/9 | 4.95 BB/9 | 3.34 FIP | 20 IP

423. VMI JR RHP Coby Cowgill: 87-91 FB; good SL

2011: 7.47 K/9 | 72.1 IP
2012: 7.43 K/9 | 3.91 BB/9 | 4.40 FIP | 69 IP

424. Oral Roberts rJR RHP Drew Bowen: 88-91 FB; good cutter; plus SL; 6-3, 180 pounds

2011: 7.05 K/9 | 67.2 IP
2012: 6.98 K/9 | 2.16 BB/9 | 4.11 FIP | 87.2 IP

425. Stetson SR RHP Lindsey Caughel: high-80s FB, 91 peak; average CB; plus command; 6-3, 195 pounds

2011: 7.76 K/9 | 62.2 IP
2012: 8.32 K/9 | 1.83 BB/9 | 3.91 FIP | 88.2 IP

426. Lipscomb SR RHP Connor Sinclair: upper-80s FB, 91 peak; sitting 87-88 in summer 2011; good sinker; SL; CU

2011: 8.90 K/9 | 88 IP
2012: 7.37 K/9 | 3.19 BB/9 | 4.17 FIP | 90.1 IP

427. Portland SR RHP Kyle Kraus: mid- to upper-80s FB (85-89); lots of two-seamers; average SL; average CU; good command; could have future as middle reliever who throws predominantly sinkers and sliders; 5-11, 180 pounds

2011: 5.17 K/9 | 102.2 IP
2012: 5.03 K/9 | 1.14 BB/9 | 3.96 FIP | 111 IP

428. Michigan SR RHP Brandon Sinnery: 86-89 FB, 91 peak; above-average breaking ball; plus command; 6-5, 165 pounds

2011: 6.22 K/9 | 68 IP
2012: 5.15 K/9 | 2.13 BB/9 | 4.97 FIP | 101.1 IP

429. Marshall SR LHP Mike Mason: upper-80s FB, 91-92 peak; solid CB; also throws CU; college workhorse capable of soaking up innings professionally; 6-1, 200 pounds

2011: 7.58 K/9 | 78.1 IP
2012: 6.83 K/9 | 2.91 BB/9 | 4.42 FIP | 80.1 IP

430. Louisiana Tech JR RHP Trevor Petersen: 92-95 FB; iffy control; relies on FB almost exclusively, secondary stuff weak at present; 6-3, 220 pounds

2011: 4.86 K/9 | 83.1 IP
2012: 6.11 K/9 | 6.79 BB/9 | 4.72 FIP | 53 IP

431. William & Mary JR RHP John Farrell: upper-80s FB, can run it up to 93 in short bursts; shows plus SL from time to time; 6-2, 210 pounds

2011: 10.64 K/9 | 22 IP
2012: 8.65 K/9 | 2.95 BB/9 | 3.18 FIP | 42.2 IP

432. Albany SR RHP Zach Kraham: 94 peak; good CB; 6-4, 210 pounds

2011: 6.89 K/9 | 82.1 IP
2012: 6.12 K/9 | 5.08 BB/9 | 4.28 FIP | 78 IP

433. Arkansas rJR LHP Trent Daniel: lefties with arm strength typically get noticed and Daniel has hit 94 in the past; 6-2, 200 pounds

2011: 10.59 K/9 | 43.1 IP
2012: 7.58 K/9 | 3.34 BB/9 | 3.71 FIP | 29.2 IP

434. Lackawanna (PA) JC SO LHP Chris Kirsch: 92 peak; good breaking ball; command has improved, but control remains iffy; 6-3, 190 pounds

435. Grayson County (TX) JC SO RHP Luke Moran: 89-93 FB, 94-95 peak; iffy breaking ball; TJ survivor; Houston transfer; good athlete; 6-2, 220 pounds

436. Thomas Nelson JC (VA) SO RHP Cody Cox: 90-92 FB, 93 peak; solid CB; 6-7, 200 pounds

437. Lee (TN) JR RHP Vince Spilker: 91-94 FB, 95 peak

438. Lee (TN) SO RHP Andy Hillis: 94 peak FB; Tennessee transfer; 6-7, 220 pounds

439. Cal State San Marcos JR RHP James Dykstra: 94-95 peak; good athlete; 6-3

440. Oxnard (CA) CC FR RHP Cody Kurz: 89-93 FB, 95 peak; intriguing SL; raw CU; great athlete; 6-4, 220 pounds

441. LSU-Eunice JC FR RHP Dakota Freese: 88-90 FB, 92 peak; good CB; academically ineligible in 2012 and will play for Des Moines Area CC if he doesn’t sign; 6-4, 190 pounds

442. Marietta (OH) SR RHP Austin Blaski: 88-92 FB, 94 peak; good 79-81 SL; shows occasional CU; iffy command; iffy control; 6-4, 200 pounds

443. South Carolina JR LHP Tyler Webb: 87-90 FB, 92 peak; improving CU; 6-6, 225 pounds

2011: 7.50 K/9 | 36 IP
2012: 9.34 K/9 | 2.02 BB/9 | 3.10 FIP | 35.2 IP

444. Middle Tennessee State JR RHP Daniel Palo: 94-96 peak FB; solid CB; below-average control; good athlete; two-way player who hasn’t shown enough of his good stuff for the scouts to go where his ability warrants; 6-4, 215 pounds

2011: 6.30 K/9 | 75.2 IP
2012: 5.85 K/9 | 4.18 BB/9 | 5.86 FIP | 32.1 IP

445. South Carolina JR LHP Nolan Belcher: 87-91 FB; average 74 CB; missed 2011 season with torn UCL; on the smaller side at 5-8, 155 pounds

2012: 10.59 K/9 | 3.76 BB/9 | 5.27 FIP | 26.1 IP

446. San Diego State JR RHP Travis Pitcher: 87-90 FB; knows how to pitch; good overall command of three-pitch mix; name is a tad too on the nose for a true 80 grade, but it is a good one; 6-4, 200 pounds

2012: 7.90 K/9 | 6.61 BB/9 | 3.32 FIP | 49 IP

447. Wake Forest rJR RHP Daniel Marrs: at his best has sat 92-94 FB, peaked at 97, but injuries have left his velocity all over the place; good splitter that works as CU; solid two-seam action; shows SL; still on the long road back as he recovers from labrum surgery – has pitched just over 20 innings in last two seasons; when I saw him in high school he reminded me of Jarred Cosart; major control issues; uncertain health status makes his draft day pretty simple: if a team likes his medicals, he’ll be drafted; 6-3, 215 pounds

2011: 4.30 K/9 | 14.2 IP
2012: 7.94 K/9 | 6.35 BB/9 | 2.83 FIP | 5.2 IP

448. Air Force JR RHP Sean Carley: 88-92 FB, 95 peak; saved a woman after a car accident while on his way to church this past spring; will retain two seasons of eligibility after taking an administrative turnback in 2012 after March Tommy John surgery; 6-4, 230 pounds

2011: 6.78 K/9 | 82.1 IP

449. Wake Forest JR RHP Justin Van Grouw: 92 peak; plus SL; ugly year-to-year ERAs, but size and two above-average pitches could get him drafted; 6-7, 225 pounds

2011: 6.10 K/9 | 41.1 IP
2012: 6.63 K/9 | 2.68 BB/9 | 3.17 FIP | 57 IP

450. Wake Forest SR RHP Michael Dimock: 90-91 FB; near plus SL; shows occasional average CU; wish he threw a little bit harder because his slider is a legit big league pitch; reminds me a little bit of former Virginia reliever and current Reds farmhand Kevin Arico; 6-2, 200 pounds

2011: 9.85 K/9 in 53 IP
2012: 8.60 K/9 | 3.82 BB/9 | 2.84 FIP | 37.2 IP

451. St. John’s JR RHP Jerome Werniuk: high-80s FB, 92 peak; inconsistent 76-78 SL; developing CU; below-average control; big-time high school recruit from the Great White North who hasn’t put it together at college level – could rise way up as senior sign in 2012; 6-5, 220 pounds

2011 (at Le Moyne): 7.26 K/9 in 31 IP
2012: 4.97 K/9 | 7.82 BB/9 | 4.91 FIP | 12.2 IP

452. Lipscomb JR LHP Chris Nunn: 91-93 peak; control issues; 6-5, 200; iffy control

2011: 7.39 K/9 | 52.1 IP
2012: 9.00 K/9 | 6.37 BB/9 | 3.91 FIP | 41 IP

453. Gardner-Webb JR RHP Brock Wilson: low-90s FB; plus SL; 6-6, 210

2011: 7.04 K/9 | 46 IP
2012: 6.50 K/9 | 4.53 BB/9 | 3.89 FIP | 45.2 IP

454. Texas A&M-Kingsville SR RHP Jaden Dillon: 90-92 FB, 93-95 peak; good but inconsistent SL; 5-11, 170 pounds

455. Middle Georgia JC FR RHP JB Wendelken: 92-95 FB; mixes in CB and CU; 6-1, 225 pounds

456. UAB SR RHP Dillon Napoleon: low-90s FB, 94 peak, holds velocity well; very good CU; solid SL; great athlete; lots of ground balls; good command; came into year as high priority senior sign, but lack of production has him on the draft bubble – drafting him is a bet that he’ll be a better pro than college pitcher; 6-4, 220 pounds

2011: 6.17 K/9 | 84.2 IP
2012: 4.58 K/9 | 2.77 BB/9 | 5.35 FIP | 74.2 IP

457. Arizona State SR RHP Joseph Lopez: low-90s FB; plus CB; had him pegged as a breakout senior sign candidate for 2012, but results on field haven’t matched reports of his plus two-pitch attack; 5-10, 180 pounds

2012: 5.57 K/9 | 4.29 BB/9 | 4.88 FIP | 21 IP

458. Howard JC (TX) SO RHP Kyle Hayes: 90-92 FB with good sink, 94 peak; strong CB; emerging CU; San Diego State transfer

459. Palm Beach State (FL) CC SO RHP Ronald Pena: 89-92 FB, 94 peak; mixes in CB and CU; 6-3, 200 pounds

460. Texas-Arlington SR LHP Adam Westbrook: upper-80s FB, low-90s peak; good CB; 6-3, 225 pounds

2011: 4.50 K/9 | 20 IP
2012: 6.11 K/9 | 3.06 BB/9 | 4.67 FIP | 35.1 IP

461. Appalachian State SR RHP Seth Grant: 88-90 FB, 92 peak; nice cutter; 6-4, 230 pounds

2011: 6.83 K/9 | 87 IP
2012: 6.17 K/9 | 3.04 BB/9 | 3.99 FIP | 100.2 IP

462. Wright State SR RHP Michael Schum: plus SL; sidewinding delivery

2011: 6.66 K/9 | 52.2 IP
2012: 7.69 K/9 | 2.81 BB/9 | 4.30 FIP | 48 IP

463. Elon rSO RHP Jim Stokes: plus CB; 6-6, 180

2012: 7.57 K/9 | 7.57 BB/9 | 4.48 FIP | 35.2 IP

464. Bradley JR RHP John Nasshan: 87-89 FB, 91-92 peak; average but improving 78-82 CU; average at best 73-77 CB that he doesn’t use all that much; best offspeed is his above-average 81-87 SL; 6-6, 240 pounds

2011: 4.15 K/9 | 89 IP
2012: 5.08 K/9 | 3.81 BB/9 | 5.58 FIP | 28.1 IP

465. Georgia JR RHP Tyler Maloof: 92-95 FB; good SL; emerging CU; injuries wiped out his 2012; iffy control; 6-1, 185 pounds

2011: 8.78 K/9 | 27.2 IP

466. Middle Tennessee State JR RHP Hunter Adkins: 88-91 FB, 93 peak; average breaking ball; emerging CU; iffy command; 6-4, 200 pounds

2011: 4.40 K/9 | 86 IP
2012: 6.93 K/9 | 3.52 BB/9 | 4.79 FIP | 76.2 IP

467. Southern Cal SR RHP Brandon Garcia: has been clocked as high as 94 in the past; solid two-way college player who should be a good hitting pitcher in the pros if he gets the chance – had a better year as an outfielder than as a pitcher in 2012; 6-1, 200 pounds

2011: 8.45 K/9 | 33 IP
2012: 5.23 K/9 | 5.65 BB/9 | 4.73 FIP | 43 IP

468. Maryland JR LHP Jimmy Reed: valuable college swingman with a plus 80-82 SL that could conceivably get big league lefties out already; 6-0, 175 pounds

2011: 9.45 K/9 in 33.1 IP
2012: 8.10 K/9 | 2.25 BB/9 | 3.59 FIP | 60 IP

469. Oklahoma State SR LHP Kyle Ottoson: 85-88 FB; 76-79 KCB; low-70s CU; transfer from ASU; 6-4, 160 pounds

2011: 8.61 K/9 | 53.1 IP
2012: 6.00 K/9 | 4.14 BB/9 | 4.54 FIP | 63 IP

470. Oregon State SR RHP Ryan Gorton: 89-93 FB; potential plus SL; has sinker/slider middle relief upside; likely drafted as a hitter, but I prefer he continue to explore his untapped potential on the mound; as a catcher he has interesting tools, including a predictably strong arm and better than expected approach, but he’s a raw defender who will need plenty of reps and good pro coaching to fulfill expectations (backup backstop?); 6-2, 190 pounds

2012: 9.64 K/9 | 0.96 BB/9 | 3.09 FIP | 9.1 IP

471. Southern Cal rSR RHP Andrew Triggs: 86-91 sinking FB, once hit higher but hasn’t seen those days in years; good 70-75 CB; shows CU; 2012 update: loses velocity early in starts, sits 84-86 by middle innings; 6-3, 210 pounds

2011: 7.54 K/9 | 90.2 IP
2012: 7.58 K/9 | 1.62 BB/9 | 3.74 FIP | 105.2 IP

472. Northwest Florida State CC SO LHP Conner Kendrick: 90-91 FB; plus CB; emerging CU; Georgia Tech transfer

473. Denison (OH) SR RHP Tyler Vaske: 87-91 FB; good CB; sinking CU; good command; smart pitcher; 6-2, 200 pounds

474. Palomar (CA) JC SO RHP Nick Carmichael: 94 peak

475. Diablo Valley (CA) JC RHP Nick Pasquale: 94 peak; St. Mary’s transfer

476. Ithaca College SR RHP Tucker Healy: 93 peak; 6-2, 210 pounds

477. Pima (AZ) JC SO RHP Jake Cole: 92-93 FB with good sink; good mid-70s SL; UNC transfer

478. Southern Cal rSR RHP Jordan Hershiser: has hit 94 in past; Tommy John survivor; only pitched 5.1 innings this past year, but the flashes of past velocity and last name make him worth remembering on draft day; 6-8, 245 pounds

479. Stanford JR RHP Dean McArdle: 88-92 FB; good CB; short righthander without knockout stuff who gets by with excellent command guy and high pitching IQ; 5-10, 185 pounds

2011: 4.99 K/9 | 57.2 IP
2012: 7.55 K/9 | 3.40 BB/9 | 4.23 FIP | 47.2 IP

480. Arizona JR RHP Nick Cunningham: 88-92 FB that moves; good breaking ball; solid cutter; decent CU; only pitched 4 innings in 2012, but some team may still take a chance on him late; 6-2, 200 pounds

2011: 5.40 K/9 | 21.2 IP

481. Washington JR RHP Adam Cimber: 86-88 FB with sink, 90 peak; improved SL; sinker/slider bullpen guy with an outside chance of being a late pick; more interestingly to me, he’s living proof of the randomness of HR rates: gave up 10 homers in his freshman year (67 IP), but hasn’t given up any in the two seasons (65.2 IP) since; 6-4, 180 pounds

2011: 6.57 K/9 | 37 IP
2012: 6.91 K/9 | 2.20 BB/9 | 3.26 FIP | 28.2 IP

482. Mississippi State SR RHP Caleb Reed: effective sinker/slider reliever with enough stuff for pro ball; 5-10, 210 pounds

2011: 9.84 K/9 | 64 IP
2012: 8.49 K/9 | 3.24 BB/9 | 3.36 FIP | 58.1 IP

483. Mississippi State rSO RHP Ben Bracewell: gets outs with a really effective low-80s SL; has a chance to move up in a big way in 2013 if he can earn more innings; 6-0, 180 pounds

2012: 9.31 K/9 | 4.19 BB/9 | 2.52 FIP | 19.1 IP

484. Houston SR LHP Mo Wiley: best pitch is an above-average 80-82 CU; gets by on wily lefty tricks – situational lefthander upside; 6-4, 225 pounds

2011: 4.24 K/9 | 70 IP
2012: 10.64 K/9 | 3.12 BB/9 | 2.40 FIP | 34.2 IP

485. Central Michigan JR LHP Dietrich Enns: 88-92 FB; good CU; one of the country’s smartest pitchers and a lot of fun to watch him work; 6-1, 190 pounds

2011: 10.45 K/9 | 41.1 IP
2012: 6.55 K/9 | 3.75 BB/9 | 4.30 FIP | 57.2 IP

486. Liberty SR RHP John Niggli: 86-90 FB, 92 peak; average CU; good command

2011: 4.54 K/9 | 85.1 IP
2012: 5.82 K/9 | 2.60 BB/9 | 4.23 FIP | 103.2 IP

487. St. Joseph’s SR RHP Alex Pracher: 88-90 FB, 92 peak; SL; CU; iffy command; Stanford transfer

2012: 7.48 K/9 | 2.56 BB/9 | 3.55 FIP | 95 IP

488. Bethune-Cookman SR RHP Rayan Gonzalez: 88-92 FB with good movement; 6-4, 210

2011: 9.32 K/9 | 46.1 IP
2012: 7.73 K/9 | 2.15 BB/9 | 3.36 FIP | 92 IP

489. Mercer SR LHP Brandon Love: low-90s FB

2011: 7.43 K/9 | 80 IP
2012: 7.54 K/9 | 3.16 BB/9 | 3.77 FIP | 88.1 IP

490. Davidson SR RHP Ryan Overcash: 91-92 FB; good breaking ball; very good CU; good command

2011: 4.97 K/9 | 58 IP
2012: 5.93 K/9 | 1.74 BB/9 | 4.47 FIP | 88 IP

491. Stetson SR RHP Jake Boyd: 87-90 FB, 92-94 peak; 80-83 SL; 6-3, 200 pounds

2011: 9.54 K/9 | 61.1 IP 2012: 5.72 K/9 | 2.86 BB/9 | 5.65 FIP | 28.1 IP

492. Ohio State JR RHP Brett McKinney: low-90s FB with good life; 6-2, 225 pounds

2011: 6.99 K/9 | 64.1 IP
2012: 6.21 K/9 | 3.04 BB/9 | 4.73 FIP | 71 IP

493. Texas Tech JR RHP Shane Broyles: 88-91 FB; good low- to mid-80s SL; 80 CU; 6-1, 180 pounds

2012: 7.58 K/9 | 3.00 BB/9 | 3.78 FIP | 57 IP

494. Baylor SR RHP Joey Hainsfurther: 88-90 FB, 92 peak; 83-84 SL; 80-82 CU; 76 CB; showed some promise with the bat last season (strong approach) and has always had good defensive tools behind the plate, but the move to the mound made sense for a guy with as strong an arm as he has shown; I’ve personally been impressed with how quickly he picked up a pair of potentially average secondary pitches (SL and CU) and it is easy to like his fresh arm, but a pro team that takes him needs to know they are taking on a project – reminds me of Oregon State RHP/C Ryan Gorton;  5-11, 185 pounds

2012: 7.54 K/9 | 2.92 BB/9 | 4.27 FIP | 37 IP

495. Western Kentucky JR LHP Tanner Perkins: 86-88 FB, 90 peak; typically goes with lots of two-seamers; above-average to plus CU; mixes in SL; good command; strong track record of success, but Tommy John surgery in March 2012 will likely keep him in school another year; 6-3, 200 pounds

2011: 6.91 K/9 | 99 IP
2012: 5.64 K/9 | 2.01 BB/9 | 4.77 FIP | 22.1 IP

496. Oregon State rSR RHP Taylor Starr: has hit as high as 94-95 with FB in the past, but stuff hasn’t quite returned to those levels after undergoing Tommy John surgery; 6-2, 210 pounds

2012: 5.36 K/9 | 3.57 BB/9 | 4.41 FIP | 45.1 IP

497. Texas-San Antonio JR RHP Clint Sharp: mid-90s FB; 6-3, 180 pounds

2012: 5.25 K/9 | 3.71 BB/9 | 4.75 FIP | 70.1 IP

498. UC Irvine rSO RHP Evan Brock: 88-92 FB; really good CU; missed 2011 due to labrum surgery; 6-1, 190 pounds

2012: 6.62 K/9 | 2.91 BB/9 | 3.94 FIP | 34 IP

499. Long Beach State SR RHP Shawn Stuart: 87-89 FB with good sink; throws both a SL and 78-79 CB; 6-3, 210 pounds

2011: 8.88 K/9 | 74 IP
2012: 6.92 K/9 | 3.02 BB/9 | 4.16 FIP | 92.1 IP

500. East Carolina SR LHP Kevin Brandt: high-80s FB; solid CU; throws a pair of usable breaking balls; decent overall command; 6-2, 195 pounds

2011: 6.38 K/9 | 91.2 IP
2012: 6.01 K/9 | 2.20 BB/9 | 3.81 FIP | 106.1 IP

501. Nicholls State JR RHP Jordan McCoy: 88-92 FB; variety of arm angles; 6-3, 185 pounds

2012: 6.51 K/9 | 2.60 BB/9 | 3.69 FIP | 27.2 IP

502. Michigan JR RHP Ben Ballantine: 87-90 FB; good CU; average mid-70s CB; 6-8, 230 pounds

2011: 8.87 K/9 | 47.2 IP
2012: 4.94 K/9 | 4.22 BB/9 | 4.78 FIP | 74.2 IP

503. Nebraska JR RHP Thomas Lemke: 88-93 FB; solid CU; occasional SL that he has moved away from for some reason; strange that a pitcher with his size and stuff did so little with it on the mound in 2012; 6-7, 230 pounds

2011: 7.41 K/9 | 34 IP
2012: 3.97 K/9 | 1.99 BB/9 | 4.52 FIP | 45.1 IP

504. Edmonds (WA) JC SO RHP Aaron Brooks: 88-92 FB; 6-6; Gonzaga transfer

505. Oklahoma City SR RHP Blake Schwartz: 86-91 FB, 92 peak; good FB command; good CB; CU; 6-3, 200 pounds

506. Belhaven College (MS) JR RHP Geoffrey Thomas: 89-91 FB, 93-95 peak; CB with real potential; shows both CU and cutter; command has improved a ton; transfer from Southern Miss; 6-2, 185 pounds

507. Bellarmine (KY) JR RHP Kyle Grana: 90-96 FB; good CB; big guy; 6-3, 250 pounds

508. John A. Logan (IL) JC JR RHP Carson Beauchaine: 88-91 FB, 92-93 peak; good SL; good CB; raw CU; good command; 6-3, 210 pounds

509. Johnson County (KS) JC rJR RHP Lee Ridenhour: 88-92 FB, 94 peak; very good SL, working on CU; good command; ankle surgery in 2010; Kansas transfer; 6-4, 200 pounds

510. Michigan State JR RHP Tony Wieber: relies on a good SL and well above-average athleticism (he’s a good hitter and outfielder as well); 6-0, 200 pounds

2011: 8.14 K/9 | 42 IP
2012: 7.31 K/9 | 3.49 BB/9 | 3.95 FIP | 28.1 IP

511. Purdue SR RHP Lance Breedlove: 87-88 FB, 91-92 peak; 78 CU; 80-81 SL; best offspeed pitch is 76-77 CB; 6-1, 180 pounds

2011: 5.92 K/9 | 48.2 IP
2012: 7.21 K/9 | 1.48 BB/9 | 4.01 FIP | 97.2 IP

512. Louisville SR RHP Travis Tingle: 88-92 FB; 6-5, 210 pounds

2011: 7.60 K/9 | 45 IP
2012: 7.58 K/9 | 2.53 BB/9 | 4.12 FIP | 57 IP

513. Louisville SO RHP Chad Green: 88-92 FB; 6-4, 215 pounds

2011: 5.14 K/9 | 42 IP
2012: 9.16 K/9 | 4.34 BB/9 | 3.92 FIP | 37.1 IP

514. Kansas rJR RHP Thomas Taylor: 87-90 FB, 92 peak; improved upper-70s SL; 6-4, 210 pounds

2011: 8.84 K/9 | 57 IP
2012: 7.05 K/9 | 3.28 BB/9 | 4.41 FIP | 90.2 IP

515. Western Michigan SR LHP Casey Webber: 87-90 FB; good CB; plus command; 6-0, 170 pounds

2011: 7.88 K/9 | 88 IP
2012: 5.26 K/9 | 3.71 BB/9 | 4.46 FIP | 87.2 IP

516. Stephen F. Austin State JR RHP Cass Ingvardsen: 90-92 FB, 93-94 peak; CB and CU are both in need of tons of work; FB only pitcher who didn’t miss enough bats to get himself on draft radar, but could do some climbing as 2013 senior sign; 6-1, 210 pounds

2012: 3.46 K/9 | 4.85 BB/9 | 4.63 FIP | 26 IP

517. Georgia JR LHP Patrick Boling: heavy peak 93 FB; secondary stuff with interesting potential; Tommy John surgery in high school; iffy control; 2012 was lost season; 6-3, 200 pounds

2011: 12.00 K/9 | 24 IP

518. Virginia Tech JR LHP Joe Mantiply: 88-90 FB, 92 peak; shows both a SL and a CU; inconsistent command; 6-4, 210 pounds

2011: 7.23 K/9 | 84.2 IP
2012: 5.95 K/9 | 1.98 BB/9 | 4.20 FIP | 81.2 IP

519. Shelton State CC (AL) FR RHP Darren Whatley: low-90s FB, 95 peak; average breaking ball; 6-2, 215 pounds

520. Indiana State JR RHP Ryan Torgerson: 86-89 FB; good CU; usable breaking ball; 6-2, 200 pounds

2012: 5.34 K/9 | 1.47 BB/9 | 4.53 FIP | 86 IP

521. LeMoyne (NY) SR LHP Michael Anarumo: 87-89 FB, 91 peak; solid CU; average mid-70s SL; 6-5, 200 pounds

522. Boston College rSO RHP Matt Alvarez: 89-91 FB, 92-93 peak; good SL; FB moves; iffy control heading into year, but completely fell apart as season progressed – could be more of a FB command issue, as the pitch moves perhaps too much for its own good; 6-1, 185 pounds

2011: 9.62 K/9 | 33.2 IP
2012: 7.88 K/9 | 9.00 BB/9 | 3.03 FIP | 32 IP

523. Illinois State SR RHP Ryan Camp: 87-92 FB, 94-95 peak; above-average SL; decent CU; delivery needs cleaning up and control remains inconsistent, but has the stuff to pitch professionally; 6-3, 220 pounds

2011: 5.33 K/9 | 27 IP
2012: 7.36 K/9 | 5.61 BB/9 | 4.28 FIP | 25.2 IP

524. Eastern Michigan rJR LHP Collin Taylor: 90 FB; good SL; CB; 6-4, 190 pounds; iffy control; 6-4, 190 pounds

2011: 5.68 K/9 | 19 IP
2012: 9.14 K/9 | 5.31 BB/9 | 3.67 FIP | 42.1 IP

525. Nebraska JR RHP Kyle Hander: 88-92 FB; good breaking ball; 6-3, 185 pounds

2012: 6.75 K/9 | 2.70 BB/9 | 3.93 FIP | 33.1 IP

526. Nebraska SR RHP Dexter Spitsnogle: 89-92 FB; good CB; better CU; 6-5, 225 pounds

2012: 6.20 K/9 | 2.66 BB/9 | 5.57 FIP | 20.1 IP

527. Fairfield JR Mark Bordonaro: 92-94 FB; 6-0, 165

2012: 6.33 K/9 | 4.64 BB/9 | 6.68 FIP | 42.2 IP

528. Norfolk State JR RHP Jordan Egan: 89-91 FB; good CB

2011: 9.95 K/9 | 69.2 IP
2012: 6.91 K/9 | 3.45 BB/9 | 3.70 FIP | 57.1 IP

529. Rhode Island SR LHP Anthony Pisani: 88-92 FB; 6-0, 190 pounds

2011: 8.37 K/9 | 52.2 IP
2012: 6.35 K/9 | 3.86 BB/9 | 4.41 FIP | 39.2 IP

530. Columbia JR RHP Tim Giel: 86-88 FB, 90-91 peak; good mid-70s CB; 6-2, 230 pounds

2011: 8.89 K/9 | 26.1 IP
2012: 5.67 K/9 | 2.17 BB/9 | 4.07 FIP | 54 IP

531. Wake Forest JR LHP Niko Spezial: low-90s peak; iffy command; hasn’t lived up to expectations in three years so far, but lefties with velocity often get recognized; 6-3, 230 pounds

2011: 5.93 K/9 | 30.1 IP
2012: 5.91 K/9 | 5.48 BB/9 | 3.56 FIP | 21.1 IP

532. St. John’s JR LHP Sean Hagan: mid-80s FB, can hit 90 with the wind at his back; average CU; good command of a wide variety of offspeed pitches, but lacks the put-away breaking ball to project him as much more than a lefty specialist in the pros; 6-6, 230 pounds

2011: 7.69 K/9 | 66.2 IP
2012: 5.96 K/9 | 1.93 BB/9 | 4.65 FIP | 102.2 IP

533. Texas JR RHP Josh Urban: throws hard (93-95 peak FB) and shows a good CU, but below-average command and control, not to mention his lack of college innings, should keep him in school for another year; 6-4, 215 pounds

2011: 12.71 K/9 | 17 IP

534. Rice rSO RHP Tyler Spurlin: has hit as high as 93 in past; good athlete with a ton of projection left to his game; has shown some interesting power potential as an outfielder; almost certainly will give it another crack at Rice after missing 2012 season due to injury; 6-3, 200 pounds

2011: 7.04 K/9 | 15.1 IP

535. San Diego State JR RHP Ethan Miller: upper-80s FB; good SL; 6-5, 205 pounds

2011: 8.08 K/9 | 55.2 IP
2012: 8.76 K/9 | 4.38 BB/9 | 4.18 FIP | 37 IP

536. Minnesota SR RHP Austin Lubinsky: 87-90 FB; slow CB; 6-1, 210 pounds

2011: 6.54 K/9 | 74.1 IP
2012: 5.92 K/9 | 1.59 BB/9 | 4.36 FIP | 79 IP

537. Seton Hall JR RHP Jon Prosinski: 88-92 FB with good sink; above-average CU; good CB; good command; underrated college arm with enough craftiness and stuff to have a middle relief ceiling, though it is likely that will have to wait until his senior season; 6-3, 180 pounds

2011: 5.44 K/9 | 94.1 IP
2012: 6.94 K/9 | 1.81 BB/9 | 3.55 FIP | 94.2 IP

538. Seton Hall JR RHP Frank Morris: good athlete capable of hitting 94 at his best, but total loss of control likely will earn him another season in Jersey; 6-0, 180 pounds

2011: 6.85 K/9 in 44.2 IP
2012: 5.02 K/9 | 5.97 BB/9 | 4.66 FIP | 28.2 IP

539. LSU JR LHP Chris Cotton: 84-88 FB; relies heavily on good mid-70s CU; solid 73-76 CB; lefty specialist upside; 5-10, 180 pounds

2012: 8.34 K/9 | 1.39 BB/9 | 3.97 FIP | 45.1 IP

540. Jefferson (MO) CC SO LHP Dane Gronewald: 87-91 FB; improved CU; 6-5, 220 pounds

541. Lewis-Clark State (ID) SR RHP Austin Pentacost (2012): 90-93 FB; breaking ball; splitter; 6-2, 200 pounds

542. Rutgers JR LHP Rob Smorol: 88-90 FB; good cutter; good breaking ball; good command; more of a college pitchability innings eater kind of guy than true pro prospect, but it only takes one team to view him as a potential lefty reliever to get drafted late; 6-1, 190 pounds

2011: 6.80 K/9 | 90 IP
2012: 5.09 K/9 | 2.59 BB/9 | 4.63 FIP | 93.2 IP

543. Auburn JR RHP Slade Smith: numbers don’t jump out at you (unless you’re a fan of low-K rates), but Smith’s game is built on groundballs induced by one of college baseball’s finest sinkers; 6-2, 200 pounds

2011: 5.43 K/9 | 66.1 IP
2012: 4.78 K/9 | 2.39 BB/9 | 4.97 FIP | 64 IP

544. Clemson SR RHP David Haselden: hard to square up on his FB; good CU that he uses a ton; 6-4, 240 pounds

2011: 6.10 K/9 | 76.2 IP
2012: 6.81 K/9 | 2.58 BB/9 | 4.12 FIP | 38.1 IP

545. Clemson rSO RHP Mike Kent: 91 peak FB; CB with above-average potential; 78-80 SL with above-average potential; appreciate a young pitcher who can throw two breaking balls, but pro ball doesn’t often look too kindly on short righthanders with short fastballs; 6-0, 200 pounds

2012: 5.20 K/9 | 1.73 BB/9 | 4.40 FIP | 36.1 IP

546. Virginia SR RHP Shane Halley: 89-92 FB; 81-82 CU; had a decision in half of his appearances (9-2 record in 22 games), the majority coming in relief; really good athlete who has some experience in the OF; born in Guantanamo Bay; 6-1, 200 pounds

2012: 8.58 K/9 | 3.22 BB/9 | 3.91 FIP | 50.1 IP

547. Illinois State JR RHP Chris Razo: 88-91 FB; 82-84 cutter; mid-70s breaking ball; 6-0, 200 pounds

2012: 7.57 K/9 | 3.99 BB/9 | 4.11 FIP | 88 IP

548. Tampa SR LHP Sean Bierman: no true out pitch, but diverse enough repertoire that he could continue to start professionally; Tommy John survivor; Vanderbilt transfer

549. Maryland SR RHP David Carroll: upper-80s FB; uses CB, CU, and cutter; biggest appeal to pro teams will likely be his size (6-8, 235 pounds), but he’s still a really long shot to be drafted

2011: 5.06 K/9 | 74.2 IP
2012: 5.80 K/9 | 1.89 BB/9 | 4.09 FIP | 71.1 IP

550. Tennessee JR RHP Nicholas Blount: low-90s FB; CU; good SL; kicked off team in late April 2012 – you need to be really, really talented to overcome certain off-the-field trouble, and I’m not quite sure Blount, an unquestionably solid arm, qualifies; 6-6, 210 pounds

2011: 4.15 K/9 | 47.2 IP
2012: 5.04 K/9 | 1.81 BB/9 | 4.46 FIP | 44.2 IP

551. Illinois JR RHP Kevin Johnson: 87-89 FB, 90 peak; good CU; also throws a CB; 6-3, 190 pounds

2011: 6.03 K/9 | 103 IP
2012: 4.48 K/9 | 2.65 BB/9 | 4.30 FIP | 88.1 IP

552. Tulane JR RHP Alex Byo: only 85-88 with FB, but gets by on savvy and a pair of above-average offspeed pitches including a very good CB and a tick above-average CU; 6-2, 200 pounds

2011: 6.03 K/9 | 59.2 IP
2012: 4.96 K/9 | 1.89 BB/9 | 4.48 FIP | 90.2 IP

553. Arizona JR LHP Vince Littleman: 86-88 FB; good CU; emerging cutter; sidearm delivery makes him really tough to pick up for lefties; long shot to be drafted, but only takes one team to take a liking to a potential lefty specialist like Littleman; 5-11, 180 pounds

2012: 6.26 K/9 | 3.91 BB/9 | 3.85 FIP | 23 IP

554. James Madison JR RHP DJ Brown: mid-80s FB; good SL; good command; missed entire 2012 season due to injury; 6-5, 200 pounds

2011: 8.57 K/9 | 96.2 IP

555. South Carolina JR LHP Adam Westmoreland: 88-91 FB, had been 92-93 pre-injury; good CB; emerging CU; Tommy John survivor; very large human at 6-5, 265 pounds

2011: 7.08 K/9 | 34.1 IP
2012: 6.14 K/9 | 1.64 BB/9 | 4.36 FIP | 22 IP

556. Clemson rJR LHP Joseph Moorefield: throws hard (low-90s FB), but hasn’t pitched enough; 6-1, 200 pounds

2011: 5.87 K/9 | 15.1 IP
2012: 13.50 K/9 | 2.70 BB/9 | 4.44 FIP | 6.2 IP

557. Louisville JR RHP Andy Flett: 91-93 FB; good command; sharp mid-70s CB; CU; has only pitched 2.2 innings in 2012; 6-7, 220 pounds

2011: 6.45 K/9 | 22.1 IP

558. St. John’s JR RHP Anthony Cervone: low-90s FB, 95 peak; good SL; shows CU; iffy control; team will really have to have done their homework on him, as he didn’t pitch much in 2012 (3 innings); 6-4, 235 pounds

2011: 9.95 K/9 | 25.1 IP

559. Clemson JR RHP Jonathan Meyer: FB with good sink; inconsistent SL, but really good when on; long shot who is likely to return to Clemson for one last shot; 6-1, 175 pounds

2011: 8.87 K/9 | 68 IP
2012: 5.87 K/9 | 2.35 BB/9 | 4.35 FIP | 53.2 IP

560. Cal State Northridge JR RHP Alex Muren: has hit as high as 95 in the past, but sitting velocity is inconsistent and not nearly as hot; interesting 82-85 cutter; pitches like a two-way prospect, for better or worse – more of a thrower than a pitcher at this point, but could be molded into something by a patient coaching staff; 6-3, 200 pounds

2011: 4.91 K/9 | 40.1 IP
2012: 4.71 K/9 | 2.75 BB/9 | 4.13 FIP | 91.2 IP

561. BYU SO RHP Adam Miller: 90-93 FB, 97 peak; good CB; emerging CU; electric arm, but still a long way away developmentally after missing time due to his mission; 6-0, 185 pounds

2012: 5.04 K/9 | 11.27 BB/9 | 4.49 FIP | 30.1 IP

562. Northeastern JR RHP Dylan Maki: upper-80s FB; good SL; funky arm action, varies arm slot; rough season all but guarantees he’ll be back in Boston another season; 6-1, 205 pounds

2011: 9.79 K/9 | 26.2 IP
2012: 5.68 K/9 | 3.22 BB/9 | 4.61 FIP | 58.2 IP

563. Florida State SR LHP Brian Busch: average CB; good command; deception in delivery; control issues in 2012 aren’t a good sign for a pitcher with no margin for error; 6-2, 240 pounds

2011: 6.71 K/9 | 63 IP
2012: 7.99 K/9 | 6.08 BB/9 | 3.74 FIP | 23.2 IP

564. Eastern Michigan JR RHP Steve Weber: 88-91 FB, 93 peak; SL; 6-6, 210 pounds

2011: 6.08 K/9 | 71 IP
2012: 5.74 K/9 | 2.07 BB/9 | 4.26 FIP | 95.2 IP

565. South Carolina SR LHP Logan Munson: 90-92 FB; 6-0, 200 pounds

2012: 9.45 K/9 | 2.70 BB/9 | 4.44 FIP | 6.2 IP

566. Northwestern rJR RHP Zach Morton: upper-80s FB, touching 90; good 12-6 CB; shows CU; plus athlete; 6-2, 200 pounds

2012: 5.29 K/9 | 2.81 BB/9 | 3.75 FIP | 83.1 IP

567. Georgia JR LHP Blake Dieterich: 86-88 FB; good CB; average or better CU; 6-2, 200 pounds

2011: 7.19 K/9 | 61.1 IP
2012: 6.46 K/9 | 2.35 BB/9 | 4.18 FIP | 46 IP

568. Southern Poly (GA) JR RHP Casey Shiver: upper-80s FB; mid-70s CB; 6-2, 180 pounds

569. Georgia JR RHP Bryan Benzor: upper-80s FB; SL; CU; splitter; 6-1, 200 pounds

2012: 8.92 K/9 | 2.72 BB/9 | 4.34 FIP | 36.1 IP

570. Kentucky JR RHP Chris Garrison: 88-93 FB; plus SL; good CB; splitter; good athlete; didn’t get a chance to show much in his first year at Kentucky (4 IP); 6-4, 200 pounds

571. Oklahoma JR RHP Chris Burgess: 88-92 FB; average SL; only threw 2 innings in 2012; 6-2, 210 pounds

572. Texas A&M JR LHP Ross Hales: 88-93 FB; missed 2012 season as he recovered from rotator cuff surgery, so very likely to return to school in 2013; 6-3, 200 pounds

573. Mississippi rJR RHP Tanner Bailey: upper-80s FB; 77-80 CU; 83 SL; 6-7, 225 pounds

2012: 10.19 K/9 | 2.20 BB/9 | 3.09 FIP | 32.2 IP

574. Florida State SR RHP Mack Waugh: well-traveled older prospect (already 24) who has overcome multiple arm injuries; upper-80s FB; CB; CU; 6-2, 185 pounds

2011: 7.55 K/9 | 39.1 IP
2012: 7.20 K/9 | 3.60 BB/9 | 3.35 FIP | 25 IP

575. Notre Dame rJR LHP Joe Spano: has flashed low-90s peak in the past; TJ survivor; 5-10, 170 pounds

2012: 5.57 K/9 | 5.57 BB/9 | 3.92 FIP | 21 IP

576. Mississippi State rSO LHP CC Watson: 94 FB peak; good power CB; missed 2012 season due to shoulder surgery, but should be back on the draft radar as a good two-way prospect for 2013; 6-0, 200 pounds

577. Illinois State JR RHP Brad Sorkin: 88-91 FB; good CU; shows CB; good athlete; 6-3, 185 pounds

2011: 4.66 K/9 | 46.1 IP
2012: 5.11 K/9 | 3.40 BB/9 | 5.03 FIP | 79.1 IP

578. LSU JR LHP Brett Bonvillain: 88-90 FB, 92 peak; average 78-79 SL; 6-2, 180 pounds

2012: 8.58 K/9 | 3.49 BB/9 | 4.55 FIP | 28.1 IP

579. James Madison SR RHP Evan Scott: 90-93 FB; good hard CB; iffy control; had a much,  much better season with the bat in 2012, but has enough stuff to warrant late-round consideration as a pitcher; 6-3, 200 pounds

2011: 6.46 K/9 | 69.2 IP
2012: 7.99 K/9 | 8.54 BB/9 | 5.57 FIP | 32.2 IP

580. Notre Dame JR RHP Pat Veerkamp: high-80s FB; developing CB; hasn’t done much in three years but has a chance to be a senior sign in 2013; 6-3, 200 pounds

2012: 5.27 K/9 | 3.95 BB/9 | 5.50 FIP | 27.1 IP

581. Alabama JR RHP Trey Pilkington: 88-91 FB; good 78-84 SL; deceptive delivery; 6-2, 210 pounds

2011: 4.17 K/9 | 45.1 IP
2012: 6.07 K/9 | 2.30 BB/9 | 4.12 FIP | 43 IP

582. Southern Cal SR RHP Ben Mount: at his best he sits 86-89 FB, hitting 92 and commanding it very, very well; also continues the strange trend (that maybe only I care about) of big righthanders that can throw a plus mid-70s CU; iffy low-70s CB; 2012 update: FB down to 82-84; 6-8, 210 pounds

2011: 6.60 K/9 | 43.2 IP
2012: 5.56 K/9 | 3.18 BB/9 | 4.71 FIP | 68 IP

583. Memphis rJR RHP Heith Hatfield: 88-92 FB; good command of five-pitch arsenal though never really had a strong second pitch, let alone a third; injuries have derailed career, but may have showed a team enough at some point in the past to get a late look; 6-3, 205 pounds

2011: 10.22 K/9 | 12.1 IP

584. San Jose State SR RHP Esteban Guzman: 88-91 FB; CU; SL; good command

2011: 8.68 K/9 | 75.2 IP
2012: 5.57 K/9 | 3.21 BB/9 | 4.33 FIP | 42 IP

585. Kent State JR RHP Ryan Bores: 88-92 FB; good SL; diverse enough repertoire to continue starting, but pro team may think his stuff fits better in relief; 6-3, 200 pounds

2012: 5.45 K/9 | 1.46 BB/9 | 4.21 FIP | 110.2 IP

586. Florida Atlantic JR RHP Mike Sylvestri: 93 peak; good CB; former catcher has come a long way on the mound; 5-11, 180 pounds

2012: 8.22 K/9 | 2.64 BB/9 | 4.43 FIP | 30.2 IP

587. UAB rSO RHP Ruben Tresgallo: personally, I enjoy the progression of Tresgallo’s mini-scouting report, from good to not so good: 90-95 FB, 98 peak (good!); FB too straight (not so good); iffy FB command (definitely not good); FB only pitcher (ouch); another year or two of development could help tip the scales in favor of good – young arms with his kind of lightning will get chances going forward; 6-1, 205 pounds

2012: 3.72 K/9 | 7.45 BB/9 | 6.92 FIP | 19.1 IP

588. Truett-McConnell (GA) SR RHP Chuck Ghysels: 89-93 FB, 95 peak; above-average CB; solid 80-81 CU; sweepy slider that isn’t very good; iffy command; control has been an issue in the past; max effort; control issues persist; four schools in four years; good deception; 5-10, 220 pounds

589. Marist JR RHP Brett Houseal: 91-92 FB; low-80s SL; good command; 6-3, 220 pounds

2011: 6.08 K/9 | 40 IP
2012: 5.13 K/9 | 1.75 BB/9 | 3.74 FIP | 72 IP

590. North Dakota State JR RHP Simon Anderson: 88-92; much improved SL; 6-5, 215; iffy control

2011: 6.66 K/9 | 24.1 IP
2012: 5.49 K/9 | 2.06 BB/9 | 3.67 FIP | 39.1 IP

591. Louisiana-Monroe JR RHP Cale Wine: above-average sinker/slider relief-type at next level who has succeeded as workhorse college starter and will likely do so again in 2013; 6-2, 225 pounds

2012: 5.22 K/9 | 3.75 BB/9 | 4.48 FIP | 98.1 IP

592. Long Island JR RHP Justin Topa: 90-93 FB, 94 peak; good command; TJ surgery in 2012 cost him entire season

2011: 6.75 K/9 | 66.2 IP

593. Seattle SR RHP Brandon Kizer: 86-87 FB; good sinker; solid CU; fun to watch college workhorse who will likely have to go the long route to make it in professional ball due to underwhelming fastball and a dangerously low K-rate;

2011: 5.61 K/9 | 77 IP
2012: 4.08 K/9 | 2.43 BB/9 | 4.92 FIP | 92.2 IP

594. William & Mary JR RHP Brett Koehler: relies heavily on good CU; 6-4, 220 pounds

2011: 8.80 K/9 | 59.1 IP
2012: 6.94 K/9 | 1.29 BB/9 | 4.78 FIP | 70 IP

595. Florida Atlantic rSO RHP Kevin Alexander: 87-90 FB; above-average CU; returned from TJ surgery in 2011; 6-1, 160 pounds

2012: 6.75 K/9 | 1.81 BB/9 | 4.54 FIP | 54.2 IP

596. North Carolina State rSR RHP Gary Gillheeney: low-90s FB back in high school helped get him drafted; arrived on campus with considerable hype; in five years at NC State, has only throw 1.2 total innings; almost certainly not healthy enough to continue playing, but worth a spot here at the end in recognition of his natural gifts and the perseverance he has shown battling back over the years; 6-5, 230 pounds

Stats updated: 5/2/12