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2018 MLB Draft Profile – UMBC

3B/2B AJ Wright is/was a FAVORITE for his high-contact approach and underrated athleticism, but his draft year has been more down than up. That’s probably putting it nicely, especially considering my original notes on his 2018 were just one word: “disaster.” The lack of power has been an ongoing concern with Wright, but the belief here was that his discerning eye at the plate would make him an effective enough overall player to compensate. Small samples abound, but the trend in BB/K for Wright over the years is not moving the way you’d like to see. Wright has gone from 25 BB/20 K to 20 BB/24 K to his current 8 BB/16 K. That’s troubling. His ISO has ticked up a bit — moving from .127 to .120 to .144 currently — but not enough to justify the backslide in on-base ability. It’s probably best for all involved to run it back in 2019 and hope a big senior season breakout gets Wright back on the draft radar. That’s where C Zack Bright hangs out currently as a potential senior-sign catcher with just enough pop and patience (though not so much in 2018…what’s going with these UMBC hitters this year?) to parlay his passion into a path to the pros.

I don’t have much on RHP Stephen Schoch, a redshirt-sophomore transfer from Appalachian State, but the big (6-5, 235) righthander has been a revelation on the mound for the Retrievers in 2018. How does a 13.26 K/9 and 2.80 BB/9 in 35.1 relief innings of 2.04 ERA ball sound? What if I also told you he had a very good Twitter account, pitched well in a short run on the Cape (and ridiculously well in a longer stint in the Ripken League before that), and throws from a wicked submarine angle (his favorite player: Darren O’Day) that no doubt helps explain his great success without great velocity? I’m not sure Schoch is signable with two years of eligibility remaining past this one and an expressed desire to earn a college degree, but whenever he’s ready for pro ball he’d have a spot on my team.

RHP Matt Chanin held some appeal coming into the season as an upper-80s fastball guy with plus command, but getting picked now would rely on a team valuing his overall body of work far more than a draft season where he’s only pitched 6.2 innings to date. Some guys get the benefit of the doubt when they miss time. I’m not sure Chanin is one of those guys. He is, however, a member of the 2015 College Baseball Jewish Sports Review All-America team, so that’s cool. The things you find when trying to research whether or not a guy is injured…

SR RHP Matt Chanin (2018)
JR LHP David Lyskawa (2018)
rSR RHP Chase Bailey (2018)
rSO RHP Stephen Schoch (2018)
rSR 2B/SS Matt Campbell (2018)
rSR 3B Mitchell Carroll (2018)
SR OF Collin Stack (2018)
SR C Zack Bright (2018)
JR 3B/2B AJ Wright (2018)
JR OF Raven Beeman (2018)
SO RHP Mitchell Wilson (2019)
SO 3B Christian Torres (2019)
SO 1B Dalton Stewart (2019)
FR RHP Nick Trabacchia (2020)
FR C Dmitri Floyd (2020)
FR INF Joey Goodwin (2020)


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