2010 MLB Draft – Day One Quick Recap
FAVORITE DAY ONE DRAFTS (Multiple Picks)
Toronto Blue Jays
- RHP Deck McGuire | RHP Aaron Sanchez | RHP Noah Syndergaard | RHP Asher Wojciechowski
Tampa Bay Rays
- OF Josh Sale | C Justin O’Conner | OF Drew Vettleson
Boston Red Sox
- 2B Kolbrin Vitek | OF Bryce Brentz | RHP Anthony Ranaudo
Detroit Tigers
- 3B Nick Castellanos | RHP Chance Ruffin
Colorado Rockies
- OF Kyle Parker | RHP Peter Tago
I know it’s probably a mistake to assume each player will have a successful big league career, but I have a hard time looking at Toronto’s quartet of righthanders and not seeing at least two above-average starting pitchers and one dominant reliever. A success rate like that would have the brains behind the Blue Jays thrilled. Tampa and Boston went in totally different directions, but achieved similarly fantastic results. The Rays added three plus prep bats (Sale and O’Conner were both at the top of their respective positions within the prep class) while the Red Sox took two advanced college hitters and a potential top of the rotation collegiate starting pitcher. I’ve noted the similarities between Vitek and Brentz in this space on more than one occasion, so it’s funny to see the two of them wind up with the same big league franchise. Now the question will be whether or not the two ever share the same outfield at Fenway or if Boston gives Vitek an honest shot at sticking in the infield. I don’t love the Ruffin pick by the Tigers (spending a top 50 pick on a college reliever without a dominant pitch?), but the upside of Castellanos more than makes up for it. Will he sign? What are his demands? Is it really possible for the Tigers to get this late in the draft without drafting a fireballing righthanded pitcher? So many questions, precious few answers. Actually, to go back to Ruffin for a minute, armed with the knowledge that fast tracking him in the bullpen would always be there as a safety net, I’d seriously consider giving him a shot in the rotation first. Colorado went for some serious upside with their first two selections. Parker in the Coors Field outfield is a scary thought, but it’s possible he was drafted with the idea he’d follow in Todd Helton’s footsteps at first after his contract is up. I’ve got a really strong intuitive feeling with Parker, but I’ve been wrong before so who knows. Tago had a first round grade from me, so picking him up earns the Rockies big points in my book.
FAVORITE DAY ONE 2010 MLB DRAFTS (One and Done)
Pittsburgh Pirates
- RHP Jameson Taillon
San Diego Padres
- RHP Karsten Whitson
Minnesota Twins
- RHP Alex Wimmers
Chicago White Sox
- LHP Chris Sale
Cincinnati Reds
- C Yasmani Grandal
Milwaukee Brewers
- RHP Dylan Covey
I wouldn’t normally give a team credit for taking the second best player in the draft with the second overall pick, but Pittsburgh did the absolute right thing by taking Taillon over Machado or the mystery college pitcher they were considering. Every other pick listed above represents the best value for the spot in the round that each team could have conceivably imagined heading into draft day. I’d argue the biggest winner of the group is Chicago taking Sale at 13. That’s some serious value.
LEAST FAVORITE DAY ONE 2010 MLB DRAFTS (Multiple Picks)
Los Angeles Angels
- 3B Kaleb Cowart | RHP Cameron Bedrosian | OF Chevy Clarke | SS Taylor Lindsey | OF Ryan Bolden
Texas Rangers
- OF Jake Skole | C Kellin Deglan | RHP Luke Jackson | 3B Mike Olt
Houston Astros
- 2B Delino DeShields | RHP Mike Foltynewicz | C Michael Kvasnicka
I’m a big Bedrosian supporter, but the other four players drafted by the Angels all have big enough question marks to give me pause. I should probably give them the benefit of the doubt after snagging Mike Trout (a player I was not very high on) with their first pick last year, but their choices just didn’t seem to follow any kind of logical pattern to me. Texas did what they had to do because of their tight finances, but that’s a relatively weak haul on paper. The Astros continue to confound me with their draft day choices. They followed through on their desire to build up the middle defensively with the addition of DeShields, but I’ve got a hunch this pick will be remembered in much the same way Buffalo’s selection of Donte Whitner is held up as an unnecessary overdraft. That may not be the best example, but it’s the first that came to mind. Sorry, Bills fans. Anyway, the comparison may not even be fair because you have to believe the Astros had some kind of insider knowledge that another team was hot on DeShields in the middle of the first. Or not. You’re call. Either way, weird pick. Kvasnicka, too. A great deal of his value is tied up in his becoming a regular catcher, something that Houston probably hopes never happens on their watch with Jason Castro in the pipeline.
LEAST FAVORITE DAY ONE 2010 MLB DRAFTS (One and Done)
New York Yankees
- SS Cito Culver
Arizona Diamondbacks
- RHP Barret Loux
Chicago Cubs
- RHP Hayden Simpson
Florida Marlins
- 1B/OF Christian Yelich
San Francisco Giants
- OF Gary Brown
None of the above picks are “bad” per se, they are just some of my least favorites. That’s a tiny disctinction to some, but it means a lot to me. Culver and Simpson will both go down as examples of extreme overdrafts and rightfully so; a potential defensive-first utility player and an above-average big league reliever should not be targeted in the first round of the draft. Loux will forever be compared with similarly talented (and, presumably, priced) righthanded college pitching prospects like Jesse Hahn, Addison Reed, and Asher Wojchiechowski. I need a plus bat out of a prep 1B/corner OF, and Christian Yelich just doesn’t have it. Brown started the year as one of my favorite semi-sleeper prospects (I thought for a long time he might go within spitting distance of his more publicized teammate, Christian Colon), but somehow managed to turn me off while hitting .438. Go figure. It’s just so darn hard finding any amateur prospect with a walk rate as low as Brown’s having any kind of sustained big league success. He could be a major outlier as the rare no patience/little power player to succeed professionally, but that’s not something I’m willing to bet a first round pick on finding out.
Complete listing of supplemental first round selections after the jump…
2010 MLB Draft Day Two Big Board
- Oviedo HS (FL) RHP AJ Cole
- Harvard Westlake HS (CA) OF Austin Wilson
- St. Edward HS (OH) RHP Stetson Allie
- Texas JR RHP Brandon Workman
- San Diego JR RHP Kyle Blair
- LHP James Paxton
- San Diego SO LHP Sammy Solis
- Arkansas JR RHP/OF Brett Eibner
- Aliso Niguel HS (CA) C Stefan Sabol
- Torrance HS (CA) OF Angelo Gumbs
- Barbe HS (LA) 3B Garin Cecchini
- Tattnall Square HS (GA) RHP DeAndre Smelter
- Tulane JR 3B Rob Segedin
- Florida State JR OF Tyler Holt
- Bonanza HS (NV) 3B Kris Bryant
- Pineview HS (UT) 3B Marcus Littlewood
- Martin HS (TX) OF Brian Ragira
- Georgia Tech JR 3B Derek Dietrich
- Virginia Tech JR OF Austin Wates
- Wabash Valley JC FR OF Mel Rojas
- Lakeland HS (FL) 3B Yordy Cabrera
- Fullerton Union HS (CA) 3B Dominic Ficociello
- San Diego State JR RHP Addison Reed
- Auburn JR OF Trent Mummey
- Louisville SO OF Stewart Ijames
- UCLA JR LHP Rob Rasmussen
- Community College of Southern Nevada RHP Donnie Roach
- Virginia Tech JR RHP Jesse Hahn
- Indiana State JR RHP Jake Petricka
- Rafael Lopez Landron HS (PR) OF Eddie Rosario
- Rancho Buena Vista HS (CA) 2B Tony Wolters
- Spanish Fork HS (UT) RHP Adam Duke
- Redwood Christian HS (CA) RHP AJ Vanegas
- Sierra Vista HS (NV) RHP Nick Kingham
- Upland HS (CA) RHP Scott Frazier
- Ohio JR OF Gauntlett Eldemire
- West Virginia JR 2B Jedd Gyorko
- Portland JR RHP Zach Varce
- Texas Tech JR RHP Chad Bettis
- Heritage HS (GA) C Tyler Austin
- Charlotte Christian HS (NC) Ty Linton
- Fullerton Union HS (CA) OF Michael Lorenzen
- Germantown Academy (PA) 2B Sean Coyle
- Wando HS (SC) RHP Drew Cisco
- Arizona State SO RHP/C Jordan Swagerty
- Oregon State JR LHP Josh Osich
- Grants Pass HS (OR) 3B Brandon Drury
- La Porte HS (TX) OF Kendrick Perkins
- Mater Dei HS (CA) OF Cory Hahn
- Wetumpka HS (AL) OF Reggie Golden
- St. Edward HS (OH) C Alex Lavisky
- La Costa Canyon HS (CA) C Will Swanner
- Cloverdale HS (CA) RHP Robby Rowland
- Hanahan HS (SC) RHP Bryce Hines
- Glendora HS (CA) RHP Adam Plutko
- Capistrano Valley HS (CA) RHP Brandon Brennan
- St. Paul HS (CA) RHP Gabriel Encinas
- Don Bosco Prep (NJ) RHP Eric Stevens
- Royal HS (CA) RHP Cody Buckel
- Heritage HS (TX) RHP Austin Kubitza
- Kansas State JR SS Carter Jurica
- Arkansas JR 1B Andy Wilkins
- Louisiana State JR C Micah Gibbs
- UCLA SO RHP Dan Klein
- Charleston Southern JR RHP/OF Tyler Thornburg
- Villanova SO C Matt Szczur
- West Oklahoma State JC SO OF Randolph Oduber
- South Carolina JR RHP Sam Dyson
- Chipola JC FR 2B LeVon Washington
- UC Riverside SO C Rob Brantly
- Auburn JR 1B Hunter Morris
- Pittsburgh JR 3B Joe Leonard
- Marina HS (CA) 3B Chad Lewis
- South Forsythe HS (GA) 2B Zach Alvord
- Virginia JR OF Jarrett Parker
- Louisiana State JR OF Leon Landry
- Jacksonville State JR OF Todd Cunningham
- St. Petersburg CC SO RHP Austin Wood
- Howard JC RHP Burch Smith
- Georgia JR RHP Justin Grimm
- Lakeland HS (FL) 1B Eric Arce
- Pepperdine SO RHP Cole Cook
- West Orange HS (FL) SS Mason Williams
- Archbishop Mitty HS (CA) SS James Roberts
- Richton HS (MS) SS Jacoby Jones
- Perpetuo Socorro HS (PR) SS Dickie Thon
- Oklahoma City JR 3B Matt Presley
- Stanford JR 2B Colin Walsh
- Duke JR SS Jake Lemmerman
- Flower Mound HS (TX) LHP Zak Adams
- Ashland HS (OR) RHP Ian Kendall
- Roswell HS (GA) RHP Andrew Smith
- Louisville SO 3B Phil Wunderlich
- UNC Wilmington JR C Cody Stanley
- Arkansas SO LHP Drew Smyly
- Louisville SR 1B Andrew Clark
- Texas JR C Cameron Rupp
- Kansas JR 3B Tony Thompson
- San Diego JR 3B Victor Sanchez
- Vanderbilt JR C Curt Casali
- Tennessee JR C Blake Forsythe
- Long Beach State JR SS Devin Lohman
- Felix Varela HS (FL) RHP John Barbato
- Bishop O’Dowd HS (CA) RHP Eric Jaffe
- Bullard HS (TX) RHP Nick Rumbelow
- Brazoswood HS (TX) RHP Tyler Green
- College Park HS (TX) RHP John Simms
- Blue Valley HS (KS) RHP Ryne Stanek
- Nitro HS (WV) RHP JR Bradley
- West Springfield HS (VA) RHP Bobby Wahl
- Suffern HS (NY) RHP Robbie Aviles
- Garey HS (CA) Vincent Velasquez
- Jefferson HS (IA) 2B Kellen Sweeney
- Wake Forest JR OF Steven Brooks
- Carl Albert HS (OK) C JT Realmuto
- Louisville SR 2B Adam Duvall
- Virginia JR 2B Phil Gosselin
- Barron Collier HS (FL) C Tyler Ross
- San Jacinton JC FR LHP Miguel Pena
- Bishop Eustace HS (NJ) C Greg Brodzinski
- Oregon State JR 3B Stefen Romero
- Fresno City College FR 3B David Rohm
- Coastal Carolina JR OF Rico Noel
- University HS (LA) 1B Austin Southall
- Elk Grove HS (CA) C Jake Rodriguez
- St. Mary’s Prep (MI) OF Korey Hall
- Carmel HS (IN) OF Conrad Gregor
- Michigan JR OF Ryan LaMarre
- Carroll HS (IN) OF Justin Glass
- Key West HS (FL) OF Michael Arencibia
- Los Osos HS (CA) C Jake Hernandez
- Miami JR LHP Chris Hernandez
- Florida JR LHP Kevin Chapman
- Alabama JR 2B Ross Wilson
- Alabama JR SS Josh Rutledge
- Mississippi State SR 1B Connor Powers
- Virginia Tech JR SS Tim Smalling
- Wichita State FR 3B Johnny Coy
- Texas State JR 3B Jason Martinson
- North Carolina State JR 3B Russell Wilson
- James Madison JR RHP Kevin Munson
- Oregon State JR OF Adalberto Santos
- Coastal Carolina JR 3B Scott Woodward
- Rice JR SS Rick Hague
- Tennessee JR LHP Bryan Morgado
- San Clemente HS (CA) C Aaron Jones
- Monterey HS (TX) C Tyler Pearson
- Bishop Moore HS (FL) LHP Jimmy Hodgskin
- Chandler HS (OK) RHP Jonathan Gray
- Bartlett HS (TN) RHP Taylor Morton
- Northwood HS (CA) RHP Zach Weiss
- Blue Valley Northwest HS (KS) RHP Jason Adam
- Pequannock Township HS (NJ) RHP Jordan Tabakman
- Jesuit HS (CA) RHP Dan Child
- TC Robertson HS (NC) SS Joel McKeithan
- Tennessee Tech JR 1B AJ Kirby-Jones
- Santana HS (CA) RHP Kyle Hayes
- Covington HS (LA) RHP Randy LeBlanc
- Grandview HS (CO) RHP Kevin Gausman
- Clearwater HS (FL) SS Sean O’Brien
- Cerritos CC SO 2B Joe Terry
- Brentwood HS (TN) LHP Robbie Ray
- Defiance HS (OH) RHP Dace Kime
- Centennial HS (NV) RHP Michael Wagner
- Northwood HS (NC) RHP Austin Brice
- Germantown Academy (PA) RHP Keenan Kish
- Catawba SR OF Wade Moore
- Catawba SR OF Craige Lyerly
- Yavapai JC SO DeMarcus Tidwell
- Granite City (IN) C Jake Depew
- Tampa Catholic HS (FL) C Shane Rowland
- Orangefield HS (TX) C Jacob Felts
- James Madison JR SS David Herbek
- Riverdale HS (FL) OF Kyle Waldrop
- San Jacinto SO OF Randall Thorpe
- Miami-Dade SO OF Jabari Blash
- Virginia JR OF Dan Grovatt
- Martin Luther King HS (GA) OF Trey Griffin
- Fayette County HS (GA) Niko Goodrum
- North Gwinnett HS (GA) OF Chris Hawkins
- Union Grove HS (GA) OF Jordan Akins
- Northside HS (GA) OF Kevin Jordan
- Oregon State JR LHP Tanner Robles
- North Carolina State JR RHP Jake Buchanan
- Virginia SR SS Tyler Cannon
- Azusa Pacific SR 3B Ryan Delgado
- Florida Southern JR 2B Wade Kirkland
- California JR 2B BJ Guinn
- Georgia Tech JR RHP Kevin Jacob
- Ball State SO RHP Perci Garner
- Northeast Texas CC SO RHP Zach Cates
- SUNY Oneonta JR RHP Dave Filak
- The Lakes HS (IN) LHP DJ Snelten
- Farragut HS (TN) RHP Nick Williams
- Dowling Catholic HS (IA) RHP Jonathan Musser
- Legacy HS (CO) RHP Kevin Walter
- Effingham HS (IN) RHP Chad Green
- Linden HS (CA) RHP Aaron Judge
- Poway HS (CA) RHP Evan Thomas
- Terry HS (MS) OF Deshun Dixon
- University HS (FL) LHP Justin Nicolino
- South Harrison HS (MO) LHP Jordan Shipers
- South Doyle HS (TN) 3B Matt Kirkland
- Pope HS (GA) 2B Steve Wilkerson
- Whitewaster HS (GA) 2B D’Monte Grissom
- Brooks-DeBartolo HS (FL) 2B JD Williams
- Great Oak HS (CA) 2B Brad Salgado
- Burbank HS (CA) 2B Lonnie Kauppila
- Floyd Central HS (IN) RHP Jeff Thompson
- Mount Zion HS (IN) RHP Ryan Hartman
- Weathernford HS (OK) LHP Dillon Overton
- Tampa Jesuit HS (FL) LHP Daniel Gibson
- Redlands East Valley HS (CA) LHP Griffin Murphy
- Amherst Regional HS (MA) LHP Kevin Ziomek
- South City North HS (IA) 3B Damek Tomscha
- Lower Columbia FR RHP Jeff Ames
- Michigan JR RHP Tyler Burgoon
- Coastal Carolina SR C Jose Iglesias
- Santa Clara SR C Tommy Medica
- Kent Denver HS (CO) C Paul Donahue
- Scripps Ranch HS (CA) C Wynston Sawyer
- Lassiter HS (GA) C Brandon Stephens
- Chaparral HS (AZ) SS James McDonald
- Severna Park HS (MD) SS Kyle Convissar
- Wayne County HS (MS) SS DeMarcus Henderson
- Wheeler HS (GA) OF DK Carey
- Mahwah HS (NJ) OF Anthony D’Alessandro
- Silverado HS (NV) OF Drew Robinson
- Boonville HS (MO) OF Chuckie Jones
- Portsmouth HS (NH) 1B Mike Montville
- East Carolina SR 1B Kyle Roller
- Gahr HS (CA) OF Brenton Allen
- Copiah Academy (MS) C Hunter Renfroe
- Joliet Township HS (IN) C Mike Hollenbeck
- Eastside Catholic HS (WA) RHP Sam Lindquist
- Kempner HS (TX) RHP Trevor Teykl
- Hopkinsville HS (KY) RHP Justin Hageman
- Mill Creek HS (GA) RHP Matt Grimes
- Xavier HS (IA) RHP Jon Keller
- Hueneme HS (CA) RHP Jesus Valdez
- Oxnard FR OF Harper White
- Rutgers JR 2B Brandon Boykin
- Tennessee JR 3B Matt Duffy
- Kansas SR 2B Robby Price
- Kentucky JR 2B Chris Bisson
- Texas Tech JR RHP Bobby Doran
- Houston SO RHP Michael Goodnight
- Virginia Tech SO RHP Mathew Price
- Texas Christian SR C Bryan Holaday
- Clemson JR OF Jeff Schaus
- Bowling Green JR RHP Brennan Smith
- Wichita State SO RHP Jordan Cooper
- Georgia State JR RHP David Buchanan
- Eloisa Pascual HS (PR) C Roberto Pena
- George Washington HS (NY) SS Mike Antonio
- North Hunterdon HS (NJ) OF Tom Zengel
- Eldorado HS (NM) OF Sam Wilson
- Galena HS (NV) OF Brian Pointer
- Red Bank Regional HS (NJ) OF Jake Kalish
- Highline HS (UT) OF Ryan Brett
- Graham HS (NC) C Matt Roberts
- Nebraska City HS (NE) LHP Logan Ehlers
- Santa Margarita HS (CA) LHP Kyle Richter
- Rancho Cucamonga HS (CA) RHP Austin Reed
- Rocky Mountain HS (CO) Marco Gonzales
- Pennsauken HS (NJ) LHP Rolando Gautier
- Oak Hills HS (OH) LHP Joel Bender
- Sinclair HS (Ontario) LHP Evan Grills
- Hillcrest HS (AL) C Case Nixon
- Rutgers JR OF Pat Biserta
- California JR OF Mark Canha
- Florida Southern JR RHP Daniel Tillman
- Texas Christian SR 1B Matt Curry
- Georgia Tech SR 1B Tony Plagman
- Louisiana State SR 1B Blake Dean
- Charlotte Christian HS (NC) 3B Jake Watson
- Pinnacle HS (AZ) 1B TC Mark
- Poquoson HS (VA) SS Chad Pinder
- Clemson JR RHP Josh Thrailkill
- Alabama SR 1B Clay Jones
- Washington JR 1B Troy Scott
- Clemson SO 3B John Hinson
- Missouri SR OF Aaron Senne
- Arizona State SO SS Drew Maggi
- Southern JR 2B Curtis Wilson
- Turner Ashley HS (VA) 2B Ty McFarland
- East Carolina JR OF Devin Harris
- Texas JR OF Kevin Keyes
- Auburn JR OF Kevin Patterson
- Pacific JR OF Nick Longmire
- Murrieta Valley HS (CA) RHP Sebastian Santos
- Sahuaro HS (AZ) RHP Jake Cole
- Florida State JR LHP John Gast
- Rutgers JR OF Jaren Matthews
- Auburn JR OF Brian Fletcher
- Ohio JR OF Robert Maddox
- Forrest City HS (AR) RHP Barrett Astin
- Nebraska JR RHP Michael Mariot
- Sam Houston State JR RHP Dallas Gallant
- Texas-Arlington JR RHP Rett Varner
2010 MLB Draft Live Blog
7:05 PM
And so it begins. I’m working on approximately zero hours worth of sleep since waking up early Sunday morning and about ten total since late last week, so this version of the live blog should come with about 70% more delirious fun!
1.1 Washington – Bryce Harper
1.2 Pittsburgh – Jameson Taillon
1.3 Baltimore – Manny Machado
1.4 Kansas City – Yasmani Grandal
1.5 Cleveland – Chris Sale? Drew Pomeranz? Stetson Allie? No clue at this point, but I’ll go Sale for now…
7:08 PM
As for Harper’s eventual position with Washington, well, I don’t personally see how they can not at least give him the chance to start out behind the plate. I get the positives that come with moving him to the outfield right out of the box (speeding up his timetable, keeping him healthy, allowing him to focus on hitting above all else), but the positional advantage, at least through his first few big league seasons, is too tempting for me to ignore. Then again, I’m perfectly alright with moving him to RF for the reasons listed above. I mean, come on, it’s Bryce Harper…you can’t lose either way.
7:15 PM
Before going into the Pittsburgh pick, I’m going to quickly bring back what I consider a pretty good comp for Harper’s upside and timetable to the big leagues. I promise I won’t be quoting myself all night long, but, hey, I liked the comp then and I still like it now:
The outside the box comparison for Bryce Harper that I’m pretty happy with, in terms of certain amateur scouting similarities (prodigious power, underrated athleticism, familiarity with being under the spotlight from an early age), potential professional developmental paths (September debut three years after draft year, ready to play every day in subsequent season), and ultimate big league upside (40+ homers, .270ish batting average with another 100 points or so worth of OBP): Prince Fielder.
7:20 PM
Boom! Jameson Tallion to Pittsburgh. Had a strong feeling on this one all along, as noted in the most recent mock. I’ve read already that Pittsburgh has basically come out and said Taillon was just too good to pass up, or something to that extent. That’s what I was getting at with the bolded part here:
The Pirates surprised everybody last season by going with the signable Tony Sanchez over more expensive, more exciting options. This year, they’ll surprise everybody once again by going with the expensive, exciting Jameson Taillon over more signable options. I can’t profess to having any insider information to back up this assertion, but I do have a whole bunch of unfounded opinions, which, let’s be honest, are more fun anyway. First, and I know many disagree with this point, the Greg Smith-Neal Huntington-Frank Coonelly-Bob Nutting leadership team in Pittsburgh simply hasn’t been together long enough to make any kind of firm declaration about the draft tendencies. To say that they will go with a signable college guy just because they did it last year seems like specious logic to me. Then again, to say they’ll go with a potential big money prep player because there isn’t enough of a track record to judge them is probably an equally unfounded guess. That’s the beauty of an opinion-based exercise such as this, I suppose. Another reason why I think the Pirates will go with Taillon is for the simple fact that he’s just that far ahead of the field. Again, it’s just one man’s opinion, but I like Taillon significantly more than whoever is going to wind up going third, and believe he is a better prospect than any of the prep arms the Pirates passed on last year, Tyler Matzek included. I think the Pirates will come around to this line of thinking, perhaps after reading my love letter to Taillon from last December. The recent string of nagging injuries for many of the top college pitching options helps the cause. Lastly, and this may be the biggest stretch of the three, the Pirates need hope. Struggling teams in the National League could always take solace in the fact that no matter how bad things got, the Nationals would always be there to take the brunt of the poorly run organization criticism. A competitive start combined with some anxiously awaited reinforcements up from the minor leagues make Washington one of the most talked about stories of the early season. They’ve got hope. An organization like Pittsburgh, despite doing a good job in the beginning stages, needs the big splash that the consensus top player (non-Harper division) in the draft could bring.
Speaking of that love letter to Taillon, here’s the money part of that scouting report:
To take it a step further, Taillon’s scouting profile reminds me a little bit of what scouts said about Josh Johnson as he was coming up through Florida’s system. While I’m not brave enough to claim Taillon will ever have a pro season quite like the one Johnson just had, I have no problem pointing out that Taillon is currently a better prospect than Johnson ever was. Taillon has a better overall fastball, better secondary offering (though Johnson’s slider has turned into a real weapon professionally), and eerily similar command, makeup, and mound presence. The light clearly went on for Johnson enough to turn him from a good prospect to a great pitcher, a perfect example of how different developmental paths can be for different players. There’s no telling what kind of path Taillon will actually take, but the fact that he even has the chance to follow in the footsteps of a guy like Johnson is darn exciting.
I like Taillon because he’s going to move closer to a college pitcher than a high school pitcher, but still maintain the ace upside more typically associated with the typical projectable prep first round arm. His lack of physical projection might be a red flag for some, but I like the fact that he’s got the body of a man already. He’s ready to go.
7:26 PM
Christian Colon to the Royals? Talk about going back and making some early 2010 mocks look super smart, Kansas City. I read something on Colon a long time ago that always stuck with me…I’ll surely butcher it here, but it was something along the lines of “he has just enough power to get himself into trouble.” Could this be the start of a Yasmani Grandal slide? Or does he go to Cleveland like some have speculated? That pick never made any sense to me, but stranger things have happened, right?
7:38 PM
Drew Pomeranz to Cleveland is another one of those picks from the early set of mock drafts that seemed to hold steady for months until recent injury concerns and a dip in performance started causing some to drop him down the board.
Barret Loux to Arizona has been one of the hot picks over the past week or so. I like Loux, but am definitely not feeling this pick. I had him ranked 13th out of all of the college righthanded pitchers in this draft and he winds up going 6th overall. What a country! Here’s the quick scouting report on Barret Loux:
Texas A&M JR RHP Barret Loux: 90-92 FB, peak at 93-94 while starting; has hit peak of 98 coming out of bullpen; good command of above-average 83-86 CU; SL with some promise; KCB with above-average potential if he can ever learn to consistently command it; 6-5, 220 (3.07 FIP; 12.75 K/9; 2.81 BB/9)
Streamline the repertoire down to FB/CU/KCB (the new hip pitch it seems) and you could be on to something, but any way you want to spin it, this pick is still a major reach. It’ll be interesting to see if taking a more signable guy early on will enable them to target prep players who fall in the mid- to late-rounds.
7:48 PM
Best Available Time! Now that Matt Harvey is off the board to the Mets (a very rude pick considering I sat on my couch reciting “don’t be Harvey, don’t be Harvey, don’t be Harvey” over and over again), the best available players left according to yours truly include:
- Oviedo HS (FL) RHP AJ Cole
- Chipley HS RHP Karsten Whitson
- Harvard Westlake HS (CA) OF Austin Wilson
- Archbishop McCarthy HS (FL) 3B Nick Castellanos
- St. Edward HS (OH) RHP Stetson Allie
I’m really stubborn about the prep guys I like. I think there is some value in sticking with the guys who have showed their worth on the early prep showcase circuits all the way through draft day rather than jumping in on some of the helium guys that seem to pop up in mid-May every year.
Is Houston really going to take Delino DeShields here? I refuse to believe it…
8:10 PM
Houston, you’ve done it again! DeShields is an absurdly quick runner and he should have plus range in center eventually (needs to work on his reads), but the bat is still a major question mark for me. I know he finished the season strong, but betting on such a limited sample of improvement at pick number eight seems really dangerous. This feels like the kind of pick a fans can talk themselves into liking over time, but it must be a bitter pill to swallow for Astros fans hoping to make a serious splash in 2010.
Karsten Whitson to San Diego is a darn fine pick. The improvements he made from the summer after his junior year to the start of his senior year were astounding. I likened him to the good version of Max Scherzer because of his plus FB, plus mid-80s SL, and CU that could be the difference between struggling as a starter, succeeding as a starter, or settling into a dominating relief role. I think option B is most likely, especially now that he’ll have the benefit of Petco behind him.
Michael Choice to Oakland is the kind of pick that gets me dreaming about one crazy potential future lineup. Chris Carter, Mike Taylor, and Michael Choice as the heart of your lineup would be a lot of fun to watch.
Not once had I heard Deck McGuire to Toronto as a possibility, so it’s cool to actually see it happen. It makes a lot of sense when you stop and think about the type of righthanded starting pitchers the Blue Jays have targeted in recent years. Really nice pick.
8:15 PM
The Matt Harvey/Mets comment from up thread had to do with me being a Phillies fan (and therefore not a fan of the Mets) and me being a huge fan of Matt Harvey. Saw Harvey pitch extensively in high school and in his freshman year at Carolina, and always came away impressed. The way he reinvented himself, ditching his once awesome CB for a now awesome SL, really impressed me. Matt Harvey’s scouting report:
North Carolina JR RHP Matt Harvey: 92-96, peak FB 98; low-90s two-seamer with crazy sink; 83-85 SL that flashes plus; sinking 79-83 CU with promise; teams might be willing to bet that plus high-70s CB from high school could come back; 6-5, 225 pounds (3.65 FIP; 10.10 K/9; 3.00 BB/9)
8:20 PM
Three straight phenomenal picks, I think. McGuire to Toronto, Yasmani Grandal to Cincinnati, and Chris Sale to the Chicago White Sox are all outstanding value for this point in the round. Some quick thoughts on the picks in reverse order…
I think Chris Sale is going to have a better pro career than Drew Pomeranz. The quick scouting report on Chris Sale:
89-92 with plus sink on FB,95-96 peak; very good to plus 77-80 CU; average 77-78 SL that works a bit slurvy; gets big edge over Pomeranz in FB command; big ground ball pitcher (65+% in 2010); Andrew Miller body comp; 6-6, 185 pounds; signature win (8 IP 4 H 2 ER 2 BB 10 K) against Clemson (2.98 FIP; 13.02 K/9; 1.22 BB/9)
Grandal to the Reds has me wondering about a potential logjam down the line with former first round pick Devin Mesoraco, now in AA after tearing it up for Lynchburg. It’s not quite analogous to the Yonder Alonso/Joey Votto situation, but there are some similarities there. The presence of Mesoraco is absolutely no reason to pass on Grandal, but it does create an interesting situation to watch going forward.
The Deck McGuire quick scouting report:
Georgia Tech JR RHP Deck McGuire: heavy 89-92 FB, peaking 93-94; 82-86 SL with plus potential; low-70s CB with plus potential; average low-80s CU; pinpoint command on just about everything (4.18 FIP; 10.06 K/9; 2.58 BB/9)
I think I like his two breaking pitches way more than most, but it’s his superb command, a massively underrated component to good pitching, that’ll help him have a long big league career. Good pick.
8:25 PM
Seriously, how good is Jim Callis? He’s the reason I didn’t even bother doing a mock draft in the two weeks leading up to the draft because, if we’re all being 100% honest here, there’s literally nobody that does it better than he does. Any mock I would do would either be a) totally wrong because I’m just pulling things out of my backside, or b) a blatantly plagiarized rip-off of his latest mock with just enough dumb changes to throw the unobservant fan off the scent. Blessed Trinity HS (GA) OF Jake Skole, the 119th best prep player in the nation according to me, is now property of the Rangers, as called by Callis earlier in the day. Incredible.
8:32 PM
We’ll get back to Milwaukee taking Dylan Covey in a minute, but, wow, how about the Cubs? I may not agree with a lot of their early round selections, but I give them credit for believing in their scouts and sticking to their boards. Shades of Tyler Colvin, this pick. Here’s the quick scouting report on the newest Cub, Hayden Simpson:
Southern Arkansas JR RHP Hayden Simpson: 88-94 FB, peaking at 96; nice CB; 6-0, 175 pounds
I had him ranked 94th on my list of top draft-eligible righthanded college pitchers, but it’s easy to see what the Cubs see in him. The FB/CB combo both work as plus pitches at times. I’m a little scared that the Cubs see him as a reliever only, but, if that’s the case, then how about a young, talented, expensive (in picks, resources, and bonuses, not salary) bullpen of Andrew Cashner, Jay Johnson, and Hayden Simpson. Throw in Jeff Samardzija and you’ve got a party!
8:38 PM
Josh Sale to Tampa is a fit that makes me really happy for some reason. I think I like it because it runs counter to a lot of the “toolsy, upside, athleticism, speed, defense!” talk that crops up around Tampa draft season every year. Tampa just flat picks the best player on the board, regardless of position or organizational fit or public perception.
9:05 PM
Time to catch up a bit.
1.14 Milwaukee – RHP Dylan Covey
1.15 Texas – OF Jake Skole
1.16 Chicago Cubs – RHP Hayden Simpson
1.17 Tampa – OF Josh Sale
1.18 Los Angeles Angels – 3B Kaleb Cowart
1.19 Houston – RHP Mike Foltynewicz
Here’s my beef with the Skole pick. First, let me preface this by saying I’m not entirely sure of the bonus demands being floated by any of the players heading into the draft because a) they never really interested me, and b) I tend to believe about 95% of all bonus talk prior to the draft is pure poppycock, plain and simple. I realize Texas is in a uniquely difficult financial position and that the pick in question was unprotected, but will the bonus difference between Skole and, say, a player like Sale really wind up being all that different? I’m honestly asking, I don’t know. If so, disregard this paragraph and take it on faith that the Rangers scouts know what they are doing in identifying Skole as a quality player that’ll only cost a slot or below bonus. If not, I’m confused. Maybe I shouldn’t judge them too harshly until they make a few more of their early round picks…
On second thought, was the pick all about (well, not all about, but you know what I mean…) Skole’s football scholarship to Georgia Tech? That scholarship will allow Texas to spread out the bonus over a five year period. Interesting.
I’m not nearly as high as Foltynewicz as many seem to be, but it’s a more justifiable pick than the earlier DeShields selection. More on him later…
Here’s a quick scouting report on Dylan Covey:
RHP Dylan Covey (Maranatha HS, California): low- to mid-90s FB, mostly 90-93, peak 95-96; low-80s SL with plus potential; promising 80-83 CU and 77-79 CB with legit above-average upside, but in need of polish; clean mechanics; command comes and goes ; reminds me a little bit of San Diego draft prospect Kyle Blair, but more commonly compared to John Lackey; 6-2, 200 pounds – somewhat stocky build, but surprisingly athletic for his size
9:17 PM
1.20 Boston – 2B Kolbrin Vitek
1.21 Minnesota – RHP Alex Wimmers
1.22 Texas – C Kellin Deglan
My guy! Been all aboard the Vitek bandwagon dating back to January, starting with this quick scouting report:
Vitek’s tools all grade out similarly to fellow small school sensation Bryce Brentz. They both have plus bat speed, good plate discipline, and plus power potential. They are also both two-way players who have had success on the mound collegiately, though only Vitek could actually pull of the trick of being a legit draft prospect as either a hitter or pitcher. In addition to a glove/arm combination that will definitely play at third professionally, Vitek does all the little things well that make scouts (and wannabe’s like me) very happy. He is a sensational base runner, works deep counts, and has one of the coolest names this side of Yordy Cabrera. Vitek’s utter dominance of the Great Lakes League this past summer sealed the deal for me. He may not be a first rounder in June, but he is as good a bet as any college hitter in the 2010 to be an impact player in the big leagues.
I think he’s good enough in the infield to play either 2B or 3B, but it sounds like the Red Sox will be moving him to the outfield.
Alex Wimmers to the Twins is a really good pick. A rotation with Wimmers and Kyle Gibson sitting right smack dab in the middle is one that will help win you a lot of games. Here’s the Alex Wimmers scouting report:
Ohio State JR RHP Alex Wimmers: 88-92 FB; has touched 94; plus-plus potential with mid-70s CB, but pitch should be above-average professionally at minimum; good to plus upper-70s CU with sink; can nibble too much at times, but great command allows him to get away with it; 6-2, 195 pounds (2.66 FIP; 10.73 K/9; 2.84 BB/9)
In mentioning the former catching surplus in Texas, Peter Gammons made a good point about how quickly organizational depth can disappear or, in happier times, appear out of nowhere. There is so much fluidity to the developmental curves of minor leaguers that there really is no sense in drafting for organizational need.
1.24 Florida – OF/1B Christian Yelich
Nothing against Christian Yelich, but I was deathly afraid he’d be the Phillies pick at 27. Thank you, Florida. If the Phils take either Nick Castellanos or Austin Wilson, I may go streaking…
9:30 PM
1.25 San Francisco – OF Gary Brown
Brown’s strengths and weaknesses are pretty darn obvious. He’s an absolute burner with a plus hit tool who should be a plus defender in center. However, his completely allergic to watching pitches fly by him untouched, so his offensive value will always be almost 100% batting average dependent. The combination of no patience and little power just about negates those three plus tools mentioned above. If he’s going to succeed, however, it makes sense that it’ll be in a place like San Francisco.
1.26 Colorado – OF Kyle Parker
Stunner. Massive upside, massively scary signability concerns. As mentioned on the telecast, it’s interesting to see a franchise well-versed in drafting college QBs (Todd Helton, Seth Smith) take a chance on the first ever collegiate athlete to throw 20 TDs and hit 20 HRs in a single year. The only difference with Parker is that he has never played behind a Manning brother.
Time to update the best available player list! Here’s who we’ve got…
3. Oviedo HS (FL) RHP AJ Cole
5. Harvard Westlake HS (CA) OF Austin Wilson
6. Archbishop McCarthy HS (FL) 3B Nick Castellanos
7. St. Edward HS (OH) RHP Stetson Allie
9. Texas JR RHP Brandon Workman
11. Cowan HS (IN) C Justin O’Conner
It’ll be Jesse Biddle for the Phillies here, I think. Too much connected them to him in the past two weeks to think they’d pass him up now…
9:58 PM
1.27 Philadelphia – LHP Jesse Biddle
Quick scouting report on the newest member of the Phillies family, Jesse Biddle:
89-92 FB with good late movement, peaking 93-94; above-average potential with upper-70s SL; interesting mid-70s CU; slow low-70s CB; has thrown cutter in past; some concern about closely lumped together velocities (all secondary offerings in 70s); 6-6, 225 pounds
Shadow Draft Pick = OF Austin Wilson, signability be damned!
1.28 Los Angeles Dodgers – RHP Zach Lee
Conspiracy theory alert! Lee, considered one of the toughest signs in the entire draft, is a very, very, very curious pick for a team reportedly short on funds. Could he have been picked with the intention of never actually signing him?
1.29 Los Angleles Angels – RHP Cam Bedrosian
Won myself a cool ten dollar bet from about a year ago thanks to Bedrosian sneaking into the back end of the first round. I’d offer to split it with him, but I get the feeling he won’t be needing to snag five bucks from me anytime soon. Quick scouting report on Cameron Bedrosian:
RHP Cameron Bedrosian (East Coweta HS, Georgia): 90-93 FB, peak 95-96; potential plus 75-79 CB; average mid-70s CU; excellent 88-91 SF; 6-0, 195
1.30 Los Angeles Angels – OF Chevez Clarke
Not to paint Clarke with the classic toolsy prep outfielder brush, but…yeah, that’s exactly what he is. Four average or better tools including a plus arm and above-average speed, but the bat is a definite question mark. Sounds about right.
1.31 Tampa – C Justin O’Conner
I firmly believe that O’Conner could also succeed as either a regular shortstop or a starting pitcher, he’s just that talented. I’ve got a lot to say about Tampa’s first day, but I’m going to hold off and use it for a separate piece. I’ll leave it at this for now – I’m jealous of the fans who get to root for the Rays front office.
1.32 New York Yankees – SS Cito Culver
And the Yankees conclude the first round by taking a player from upstate New York who profiles best as a defensive first utility infielder. Did not see this one coming at all.
2010 MLB Draft Day One Big Board
- Community College of Southern Nevada FR C Bryce Harper
- The Woodlands HS (TX) RHP Jameson Taillon
- Oviedo HS (FL) RHP AJ Cole
- Chipley HS RHP Karsten Whitson
- Harvard Westlake HS (CA) OF Austin Wilson
- Archbishop McCarthy HS (FL) 3B Nick Castellanos
- St. Edward HS (OH) RHP Stetson Allie
- North Carolina JR RHP Matt Harvey
- Florida Gulf Coast LHP Chris Sale
- Texas JR RHP Brandon Workman
- Georgia Tech JR RHP Deck McGuire
- Cowan HS (IN) C Justin O’Conner
- Brito Private HS (FL) SS Manny Machado
- Bishop Blanchet HS (WA) OF Josh Sale
- San Diego JR RHP Kyle Blair
- LHP James Paxton
- Ohio State JR RHP Alex Wimmers
- San Diego SO LHP Sammy Solis
- Mississippi JR LHP Drew Pomeranz
- Maranatha HS (CA) RHP Dylan Covey
- Texas Arlington JR OF Michael Choice
- Arkansas JR RHP/OF Brett Eibner
- Louisiana State JR RHP Anthony Ranaudo
- Ball State JR 2B Kolbrin Vitek
- Miami JR C Yasmani Grandal
- The Citadel JR RHP Asher Wojchiechowski
- Cook County HS (GA) 3B Kaleb Cowart
- Aliso Niguel HS (CA) C Stefan Sabol
- Torrance HS (CA) OF Angelo Gumbs
- Barbe HS (LA) 3B Garin Cecchini
- East Coweta HS (GA) RHP Cameron Bedrosian
- Dana Hills HS (CA) RHP Peter Tago
- Tattnall Square HS (GA) RHP DeAndre Smelter
- Germantown Friends HS (PA) LHP Jesse Biddle
- Henderson HS (TX) RHP Tyrell Jenkins
- Tulane JR 3B Rob Segedin
- Arkansas SO 3B Zack Cox
- Florida State JR OF Tyler Holt
- Bonanza HS (NV) 3B Kris Bryant
- Pineview HS (UT) 3B Marcus Littlewood
- Marietta HS (GA) OF Chevez Clarke
- Martin HS (TX) OF Brian Ragira
- Westlake HS (CA) 1B Christian Yelich
- Georgia Tech JR 3B Derek Dietrich
- Virginia Tech JR OF Austin Wates
- Cal State Fullerton JR SS Christian Colon
- Wabash Valley JC FR OF Mel Rojas
- Lakeland HS (FL) 3B Yordy Cabrera
- Fullerton Union HS (CA) 3B Dominic Ficociello
- Yucaipa HS (CA) RHP Taijuan Walker
- McKinney HS (TX) RHP Zach Lee
2010 MLB Draft: Top 201 College Prospects
I have no idea how I decided to stop at 200, but I figured at some point lists like this get unwieldy. Check the post right below for the matching list for prep players and be sure to read later on to see the complete board…
- Community College of Southern Nevada FR C Bryce Harper
- North Carolina JR RHP Matt Harvey
- Texas JR RHP Brandon Workman
- Georgia Tech JR RHP Deck McGuire
- San Diego JR RHP Kyle Blair
- LHP James Paxton
- Ohio State JR RHP Alex Wimmers
- San Diego SO LHP Sammy Solis
- Mississippi JR LHP Drew Pomeranz
- Texas Arlington JR OF Michael Choice
- Arkansas JR RHP/OF Brett Eibner
- Louisiana State JR RHP Anthony Ranaudo
- Ball State JR 2B Kolbrin Vitek
- Miami JR C Yasmani Grandal
- The Citadel JR RHP Asher Wojchiechowski
- Tulane JR 3B Rob Segedin
- Arkansas SO 3B Zack Cox
- Florida State JR OF Tyler Holt
- Georgia Tech JR 3B Derek Dietrich
- Virginia Tech JR OF Austin Wates
- Cal State Fullerton JR SS Christian Colon
- Wabash Valley JC FR OF Mel Rojas
- San Diego State JR RHP Addison Reed
- Auburn JR OF Trent Mummey
- Louisville SO OF Stewart Ijames
- Middle Tennessee State JR OF Bryce Brentz
- UCLA JR LHP Rob Rasmussen
- Community College of Southern Nevada RHP Donnie Roach
- Virginia Tech JR RHP Jesse Hahn
- Indiana State JR RHP Jake Petricka
- Texas A&M JR RHP Barret Loux
- Ohio JR OF Gauntlett Eldemire
- West Virginia JR 2B Jedd Gyorko
- Portland JR RHP Zach Varce
- Texas Tech JR RHP Chad Bettis
- Clemson JR OF Kyle Parker
- Minnesota JR C Mike Kvasnicka
- Arizona State SO RHP/C Jordan Swagerty
- Oregon State JR LHP Josh Osich
- Kansas State JR SS Carter Jurica
- Arkansas JR 1B Andy Wilkins
- Louisiana State JR C Micah Gibbs
- UCLA SO RHP Dan Klein
- Charleston Southern JR RHP/OF Tyler Thornburg
- Villanova SO C Matt Szczur
- West Oklahoma State JC SO OF Randolph Oduber
- South Carolina JR RHP Sam Dyson
- Chipola JC FR 2B LeVon Washington
- UC Riverside SO C Rob Brantly
- Auburn JR 1B Hunter Morris
- Pittsburgh JR 3B Joe Leonard
- Virginia JR OF Jarrett Parker
- Louisiana State JR OF Leon Landry
- Jacksonville State JR OF Todd Cunningham
- St. Petersburg CC SO RHP Austin Wood
- Howard JC RHP Burch Smith
- Georgia JR RHP Justin Grimm
- Arizona State JR RHP Seth Blair
- Pepperdine SO RHP Cole Cook
- Oklahoma City JR 3B Matt Presley
- Stanford JR 2B Colin Walsh
- Duke JR SS Jake Lemmerman
- Louisville SO 3B Phil Wunderlich
- UNC Wilmington JR C Cody Stanley
- Arkansas SO LHP Drew Smyly
- Louisville SR 1B Andrew Clark
- Texas JR C Cameron Rupp
- Kansas JR 3B Tony Thompson
- San Diego JR 3B Victor Sanchez
- Connecticut JR 3B Mike Olt
- Vanderbilt JR C Curt Casali
- Tennessee JR C Blake Forsythe
- Long Beach State JR SS Devin Lohman
- Wake Forest JR OF Steven Brooks
- Louisville SR 2B Adam Duvall
- Virginia JR 2B Phil Gosselin
- San Jacinton JC FR LHP Miguel Pena
- Oregon State JR 3B Stefen Romero
- Fresno City College FR 3B David Rohm
- Coastal Carolina JR OF Rico Noel
- Cal State Fullerton JR OF Gary Brown
- Michigan JR OF Ryan LaMarre
- Miami JR LHP Chris Hernandez
- Florida JR LHP Kevin Chapman
- Alabama JR 2B Ross Wilson
- Alabama JR SS Josh Rutledge
- Mississippi State SR 1B Connor Powers
- Virginia Tech JR SS Tim Smalling
- Wichita State FR 3B Johnny Coy
- Texas State JR 3B Jason Martinson
- North Carolina State JR 3B Russell Wilson
- James Madison JR RHP Kevin Munson
- Oregon State JR OF Adalberto Santos
- Coastal Carolina JR 3B Scott Woodward
- Rice JR SS Rick Hague
- Tennessee JR LHP Bryan Morgado
- Tennessee Tech JR 1B AJ Kirby-Jones
- Cerritos CC SO 2B Joe Terry
- Catawba SR OF Wade Moore
- Catawba SR OF Craige Lyerly
- Yavapai JC SO DeMarcus Tidwell
- James Madison JR SS David Herbek
- San Jacinto SO OF Randall Thorpe
- Miami-Dade SO OF Jabari Blash
- Virginia JR OF Dan Grovatt
- Oregon State JR LHP Tanner Robles
- North Carolina State JR RHP Jake Buchanan
- Virginia SR SS Tyler Cannon
- Azusa Pacific SR 3B Ryan Delgado
- Florida Southern JR 2B Wade Kirkland
- California JR 2B BJ Guinn
- Georgia Tech JR RHP Kevin Jacob
- Ball State SO RHP Perci Garner
- Northeast Texas CC SO RHP Zach Cates
- SUNY Oneonta JR RHP Dave Filak
- Lower Columbia FR RHP Jeff Ames
- Michigan JR RHP Tyler Burgoon
- Coastal Carolina SR C Jose Iglesias
- Santa Clara SR C Tommy Medica
- East Carolina SR 1B Kyle Roller
- Oxnard FR OF Harper White
- Rutgers JR 2B Brandon Boykin
- Tennessee JR 3B Matt Duffy
- Kansas SR 2B Robby Price
- Kentucky JR 2B Chris Bisson
- Texas Tech JR RHP Bobby Doran
- Houston SO RHP Michael Goodnight
- Virginia Tech SO RHP Mathew Price
- Texas Christian SR C Bryan Holaday
- Clemson JR OF Jeff Schaus
- Bowling Green JR RHP Brennan Smith
- Wichita State SO RHP Jordan Cooper
- Georgia State JR RHP David Buchanan
- Rutgers JR OF Pat Biserta
- California JR OF Mark Canha
- Florida Southern JR RHP Daniel Tillman
- Texas Christian SR 1B Matt Curry
- Georgia Tech SR 1B Tony Plagman
- Louisiana State SR 1B Blake Dean
- Clemson JR RHP Josh Thrailkill
- Alabama SR 1B Clay Jones
- Washington JR 1B Troy Scott
- Clemson SO 3B John Hinson
- Missouri SR OF Aaron Senne
- Arizona State SO SS Drew Maggi
- Southern JR 2B Curtis Wilson
- East Carolina JR OF Devin Harris
- Texas JR OF Kevin Keyes
- Auburn JR OF Kevin Patterson
- Pacific JR OF Nick Longmire
- Florida State JR LHP John Gast
- Rutgers JR OF Jaren Matthews
- Auburn JR OF Brian Fletcher
- Ohio JR OF Robert Maddox
- Nebraska JR RHP Michael Mariot
- Sam Houston State JR RHP Dallas Gallant
- Texas-Arlington JR RHP Rett Varner
- San Jacinto JC RHP Clay Schrader
- Virginia JR RHP Tyler Wilson
- Louisville JR RHP Thomas Royse
- South Florida JR RHP Randy Fontanez
- Fresno State JR SS Danny Muno
- Cal State Fullerton JR 2B Corey Jones
- North Carolina JR C Jesse Wierzbicki
- Boston College JR 1B Mickey Wiswall
- Canisius JR 2B Steve McQuail
- Clemson SR 2B Mike Freeman
- Miami SR 2B Scott Lawson
- Mt. Hood CC SO 1B Taylor Ard
- Tampa JR OF Jared Simon
- Sonoma State JR OF Kyle Jones
- Florida Southern SR OF Trae Gore
- North Carolina JR RHP Colin Bates
- Eastern Illinois JR RHP Josh Mueller
- Minnesota JR RHP Seth Rosin
- East Carolina JR SS Dustin Harrington
- Alabama SR 3B Jake Smith
- Georgia Southern SR 2B AJ Wirnsberger
- College of Charleston SR 2B Joey Bergman
- Florida JR 2B Josh Adams
- San Diego SR RHP AJ Griffin
- Mississippi SR RHP Aaron Barrett
- Vanderbilt JR RHP Taylor Hill
- Oregon SR RHP Justin LaTempa
- Oregon State JR RHP Greg Peavey
- Georgia SO RHP Michael Palazzone
- Central Florida SR OF Chris Duffy
- Furman JR 3B Brian Harrison
- San Francisco JR 3B Stephen Yarrow
- James Madison JR RHP Turner Phelps
- Missouri JR RHP Nick Tepesch
- Long Beach State JR RHP Jake Thompson
- Loyola Marymount SO RHP Martin Viramontes
- California SO RHP Dixon Anderson
- Boston College JR LHP Pat Dean
- Bucknell SR OF Andrew Brouse
- North Carolina State JR C Chris Schaeffer
- Nebraska-Omaha JR OF Ryan Hook
- Oklahoma SO 3B Garrett Buechele
- Lewis-Clark State JR C Kawika Emsley-Pai
- Community College of Southern Nevada SO RHP Tyler Hanks
2010 MLB Draft: Top 200 High School Prospects
- The Woodlands HS (TX) RHP Jameson Taillon
- Oviedo HS (FL) RHP AJ Cole
- Chipley HS RHP Karsten Whitson
- Harvard Westlake HS (CA) OF Austin Wilson
- Archbishop McCarthy HS (FL) 3B Nick Castellanos
- St. Edward HS (OH) RHP Stetson Allie
- Cowan HS (IN) C Justin O’Conner
- Brito Private HS (FL) SS Manny Machado
- Bishop Blanchet HS (WA) OF Josh Sale
- Maranatha HS (CA) RHP Dylan Covey
- Cook County HS (GA) 3B Kaleb Cowart
- Aliso Niguel HS (CA) C Stefan Sabol
- Torrance HS (CA) OF Angelo Gumbs
- Barbe HS (LA) 3B Garin Cecchini
- East Coweta HS (GA) RHP Cameron Bedrosian
- Dana Hills HS (CA) RHP Peter Tago
- Tattnall Square HS (GA) RHP DeAndre Smelter
- Germantown Friends HS (PA) LHP Jesse Biddle
- Henderson HS (TX) RHP Tyrell Jenkins
- Bonanza HS (NV) 3B Kris Bryant
- Pineview HS (UT) 3B Marcus Littlewood
- Marietta HS (GA) OF Chevez Clarke
- Martin HS (TX) OF Brian Ragira
- Westlake HS (CA) Christian Yelich
- Lakeland HS (FL) 3B Yordy Cabrera
- Fullerton Union HS (CA) 3B Dominic Ficociello
- Yucaipa HS (CA) RHP Taijuan Walker
- McKinney HS (TX) RHP Zach Lee
- Palo Alto HS (CA) OF Joc Pederson
- Rafael Lopez Landron HS (PR) OF Eddie Rosario
- Rancho Buena Vista HS (CA) 2B Tony Wolters
- Calvary Christian HS (FL) RHP Luke Jackson
- Spanish Fork HS (UT) RHP Adam Duke
- Barstow HS (CA) RHP Aaron Sanchez
- Redwood Christian HS (CA) RHP AJ Vanegas
- Sierra Vista HS (NV) RHP Nick Kingham
- Upland HS (CA) RHP Scott Frazier
- Heritage HS (GA) C Tyler Austin
- Charlotte Christian HS (NC) Ty Linton
- Fullerton Union HS (CA) OF Michael Lorenzen
- Germantown Academy (PA) 2B Sean Coyle
- Wando HS (SC) RHP Drew Cisco
- Grants Pass HS (OR) 3B Brandon Drury
- Langley, British Columbia C Kellin Deglan
- La Porte HS (TX) OF Kendrick Perkins
- Woodward Academy (GA) 2B Delino DeShields
- Mater Dei HS (CA) OF Cory Hahn
- Wetumpka HS (AL) OF Reggie Golden
- St. Edward HS (OH) C Alex Lavisky
- La Costa Canyon HS (CA) C Will Swanner
- Cloverdale HS (CA) RHP Robby Rowland
- Hanahan HS (SC) RHP Bryce Hines
- Glendora HS (CA) RHP Adam Plutko
- Minooka Community HS (IL) RHP Mike Foltynewicz
- Capistrano Valley HS (CA) RHP Brandon Brennan
- St. Paul HS (CA) RHP Gabriel Encinas
- Don Bosco Prep (NJ) RHP Eric Stevens
- Royal HS (CA) RHP Cody Buckel
- Heritage HS (TX) RHP Austin Kubitza
- Marina HS (CA) 3B Chad Lewis
- South Forsythe HS (GA) 2B Zach Alvord
- McKinney HS (TX) 2B Matt Lipka
- Lakeland HS (FL) 1B Eric Arce
- West Orange HS (FL) SS Mason Williams
- Archbishop Mitty HS (CA) SS James Roberts
- Richton HS (MS) SS Jacoby Jones
- Perpetuo Socorro HS (PR) SS Dickie Thon
- Flower Mound HS (TX) LHP Zak Adams
- Ashland HS (OR) RHP Ian Kendall
- Roswell HS (GA) RHP Andrew Smith
- Felix Varela HS (FL) RHP John Barbato
- Bishop O’Dowd HS (CA) RHP Eric Jaffe
- Bullard HS (TX) RHP Nick Rumbelow
- Brazoswood HS (TX) RHP Tyler Green
- College Park HS (TX) RHP John Simms
- Blue Valley HS (KS) RHP Ryne Stanek
- Nitro HS (WV) RHP JR Bradley
- West Springfield HS (VA) RHP Bobby Wahl
- Suffern HS (NY) RHP Robbie Aviles
- Garey HS (CA) Vincent Velasquez
- Jefferson HS (IA) 2B Kellen Sweeney
- Carl Albert HS (OK) C JT Realmuto
- Barron Collier HS (FL) C Tyler Ross
- Bishop Eustace HS (NJ) C Greg Brodzinski
- University HS (LA) 1B Austin Southall
- Elk Grove HS (CA) C Jake Rodriguez
- St. Mary’s Prep (MI) OF Korey Hall
- Carmel HS (IN) OF Conrad Gregor
- Carroll HS (IN) OF Justin Glass
- Key West HS (FL) OF Michael Arencibia
- Los Osos HS (CA) C Jake Hernandez
- San Clemente HS (CA) C Aaron Jones
- Monterey HS (TX) C Tyler Pearson
- Bishop Moore HS (FL) LHP Jimmy Hodgskin
- Chandler HS (OK) RHP Jonathan Gray
- Bartlett HS (TN) RHP Taylor Morton
- Northwood HS (CA) RHP Zach Weiss
- Blue Valley Northwest HS (KS) RHP Jason Adam
- Pequannock Township HS (NJ) RHP Jordan Tabakman
- Jesuit HS (CA) RHP Dan Child
- TC Robertson HS (NC) SS Joel McKeithan
- Santana HS (CA) RHP Kyle Hayes
- Covington HS (LA) RHP Randy LeBlanc
- Grandview HS (CO) RHP Kevin Gausman
- Clearwater HS (FL) SS Sean O’Brien
- Brentwood HS (TN) LHP Robbie Ray
- Defiance HS (OH) RHP Dace Kime
- Centennial HS (NV) RHP Michael Wagner
- Northwood HS (NC) RHP Austin Brice
- Germantown Academy (PA) RHP Keenan Kish
- Granite City (IN) C Jake Depew
- Tampa Catholic HS (FL) C Shane Rowland
- Orangefield HS (TX) C Jacob Felts
- Riverdale HS (FL) OF Kyle Waldrop
- Martin Luther King HS (GA) OF Trey Griffin
- Fayette County HS (GA) Niko Goodrum
- North Gwinnett HS (GA) OF Chris Hawkins
- Madison Central HS (MS) OF Ryan Bolden
- Blessed Trinity HS (GA) OF Jake Skole
- Union Grove HS (GA) OF Jordan Akins
- Northside HS (GA) OF Kevin Jordan
- The Lakes HS (IN) LHP DJ Snelten
- Farragut HS (TN) RHP Nick Williams
- Dowling Catholic HS (IA) RHP Jonathan Musser
- Legacy HS (CO) RHP Kevin Walter
- Effingham HS (IN) RHP Chad Green
- Linden HS (CA) RHP Aaron Judge
- Poway HS (CA) RHP Evan Thomas
- Terry HS (MS) OF Deshun Dixon
- University HS (FL) LHP Justin Nicolino
- South Harrison HS (MO) LHP Jordan Shipers
- South Doyle HS (TN) 3B Matt Kirkland
- Pope HS (GA) 2B Steve Wilkerson
- Whitewaster HS (GA) 2B D’Monte Grissom
- Brooks-DeBartolo HS (FL) 2B JD Williams
- Great Oak HS (CA) 2B Brad Salgado
- Burbank HS (CA) 2B Lonnie Kauppila
- Floyd Central HS (IN) RHP Jeff Thompson
- Mount Zion HS (IN) RHP Ryan Hartman
- Weathernford HS (OK) LHP Dillon Overton
- Tampa Jesuit HS (FL) LHP Daniel Gibson
- Redlands East Valley HS (CA) LHP Griffin Murphy
- Amherst Regional HS (MA) LHP Kevin Ziomek
- South City North HS (IA) 3B Damek Tomscha
- Kent Denver HS (CO) C Paul Donahue
- Scripps Ranch HS (CA) C Wynston Sawyer
- Lassiter HS (GA) C Brandon Stephens
- Chaparral HS (AZ) SS James McDonald
- Severna Park HS (MD) SS Kyle Convissar
- Wayne County HS (MS) SS DeMarcus Henderson
- Wheeler HS (GA) 2B DK Carey
- Desert Mountain HS (AZ) OF Taylor Lindsey
- Mahwah HS (NJ) OF Anthony D’Alessandro
- Silverado HS (NV) OF Drew Robinson
- Boonville HS (MO) OF Chuckie Jones
- West Irondequoit HS (NY) SS Cito Culver
- Portsmouth HS (NH) 1B Mike Montville
- Gahr HS (CA) OF Brenton Allen
- Copiah Academy (MS) C Hunter Renfroe
- Joliet Township HS (IN) C Mike Hollenbeck
- Eastside Catholic HS (WA) RHP Sam Lindquist
- Kempner HS (TX) RHP Trevor Teykl
- Hopkinsville HS (KY) RHP Justin Hageman
- Mill Creek HS (GA) RHP Matt Grimes
- Xavier HS (IA) RHP Jon Keller
- Hueneme HS (CA) RHP Jesus Valdez
- Eloisa Pascual HS (PR) C Roberto Pena
- George Washington HS (NY) SS Mike Antonio
- North Hunterdon HS (NJ) OF Tom Zengel
- Eldorado HS (NM) OF Sam Wilson
- Galena HS (NV) OF Brian Pointer
- Red Bank Regional HS (NJ) OF Jake Kalish
- Highline HS (UT) OF Ryan Brett
- Graham HS (NC) C Matt Roberts
- Nebraska City HS (NE) LHP Logan Ehlers
- Santa Margarita HS (CA) LHP Kyle Richter
- Rancho Cucamonga HS (CA) RHP Austin Reed
- Rocky Mountain HS (CO) Marco Gonzales
- Pennsauken HS (NJ) LHP Rolando Gautier
- Oak Hills HS (OH) LHP Joel Bender
- Sinclair HS (Ontario) LHP Evan Grills
- Hillcrest HS (AL) C Case Nixon
- Charlotte Christian HS (NC) 3B Jake Watson
- Pinnacle HS (AZ) 1B TC Mark
- Poquoson HS (VA) SS Chad Pinder
- Turner Ashley HS (VA) 2B Ty McFarland
- Murrieta Valley HS (CA) RHP Sebastian Santos
- Sahuaro HS (AZ) RHP Jake Cole
- Forrest City HS (AR) RHP Barrett Astin
- Will C. Wood HS (CA) LHP Jordan Haseltine
- Osseo HS (MN) LHP Thomas Windle
- Jay HS (OK) LHP Cayle Shambaugh
- Harpeth HS (TN) LHP Nate Foriest
- Gilbert HS (AZ) 3B DJ Peterson
- Brooks County HS (GA) OF Aaron Shipman
- Fairhope HS (AL) RHP Daryl Norris
- Van Buren HS (AR) RHP Brandon Moore
- St. Joseph’s HS (Ontario) LHP Evan Rutckyj
- St. Mary’s Catholic HS (Ontario) LHP Brian Smith
- Bryant HS (AR) RHP Ben Wells
2010 MLB Draft: Top 100 College Pitching Prospects
Expanded lists for both RHPs and LHPs with quick scouting profiles can be found here (RHP) and here (LHP). The top 100 are below…
1. North Carolina JR RHP Matt Harvey
2. Texas JR RHP Brandon Workman
3. Georgia Tech JR RHP Deck McGuire
4. San Diego JR RHP Kyle Blair
5. Kentucky/Grand Prairie AirHogs SR LHP James Paxton
6. Ohio State JR RHP Alex Wimmers
7. San Diego SO LHP Sammy Solis
8. Mississippi JR LHP Drew Pomeranz
9. Arkansas JR RHP/OF Brett Eibner
10. Louisiana State JR RHP Anthony Ranaudo
11. The Citadel JR RHP Asher Wojchiechowski
12. San Diego State JR RHP Addison Reed
13. UCLA JR LHP Rob Rasmussen
14. CC of Southern Nevada RHP Donnie Roach
15. Virginia Tech JR RHP Jesse Hahn
16. Indiana State JR RHP Jake Petricka
17. Texas A&M JR RHP Barret Loux
18. Portland JR RHP Zach Varce
19. Texas Tech JR RHP Chad Bettis
20. Arizona State SO RHP/C Jordan Swagerty
21. Oregon State JR LHP Josh Osich
22. UCLA SO RHP Dan Klein
23. Charleston Southern JR RHP/OF Tyler Thornburg
24. South Carolina JR RHP Sam Dyson
25. St. Petersburg CC SO RHP Austin Wood
26. Howard JC (TX) RHP Burch Smith
27. Georgia JR RHP Justin Grimm
28. Arizona State JR RHP Seth Blair
29. Pepperdine SO RHP Cole Cook
30. Arkansas SO LHP Drew Smyly
31. San Jacinto JC FR LHP Miguel Pena
32. Miami JR LHP Chris Hernandez
33. Florida JR LHP Kevin Chapman
34. James Madison JR RHP Kevin Munson
35. Tennessee JR LHP Bryan Morgado
36. Oregon State JR LHP Tanner Robles
37. North Carolina State JR RHP Jake Buchanan
38. Georgia Tech JR RHP Kevin Jacob
39. Ball State SO RHP Perci Garner
40. Northeast Texas CC SO RHP Zach Cates
41. SUNY Oneonta JR RHP Dave Filak
42. Lower Columbia FR RHP Jeff Ames
43. Michigan JR RHP Tyler Burgoon
44. Texas Tech JR RHP Bobby Doran
45. Houston SO RHP Michael Goodnight
46. Virginia Tech SO RHP Mathew Price
47. Bowling Green JR RHP Brennan Smith
48. Wichita State SO RHP Jordan Cooper
49. Georgia State JR RHP David Buchanan
50. Florida Southern JR RHP Daniel Tillman
51. Clemson JR RHP Josh Thrailkill
52. Florida State JR LHP John Gast
53. Nebraska JR RHP Michael Mariot
54. Sam Houston State JR RHP Dallas Gallant
55. Texas-Arlington JR RHP Rett Varner
56. San Jacinto JC RHP Clay Schrader
57. Virginia JR RHP Tyler Wilson
58. Louisville JR RHP Thomas Royse
59. South Florida JR RHP Randy Fontanez
60. North Carolina JR RHP Colin Bates
61. Eastern Illinois JR RHP Josh Mueller
62. Minnesota JR RHP Seth Rosin
63. San Diego SR RHP AJ Griffin
64. Mississippi SR RHP Aaron Barrett
65. Vanderbilt JR RHP Taylor Hill
66. Oregon SR RHP Justin LaTempa
67. Oregon State JR RHP Greg Peavey
68. Georgia SO RHP Michael Palazzone
69. James Madison JR RHP Turner Phelps
70. Missouri JR RHP Nick Tepesch
71. Loyola Marymound SO RHP Martin Viramontes
72. California SO RHP Dixon Anderson
73. Boston College JR LHP Pat Dean
74. Lynn SO RHP Tommy Kahnle
75. CC of Southern Nevada SO RHP Tyler Hanks
76. Elon JR RHP Thomas Girdwood
77. Iowa SR LHP Zach Robertson
78. Auburn JR LHP Cole Nelson
79. Lee SR RHP Scott Swinson
80. Chipola JC LHP Austin Wright
81. CC of Southern Nevada SO RHP Joe Robinson
82. Navarro JC SO RHP Chris Marlowe
83. Cornell JR RHP Corey Pappel
84. Florida Southern JR LHP Max Russell
85. UC Santa Barbara JR LHP Kevin Gelinas
86. Tampa SR LHP Carmine Giardina
87. Coastal Carolina JR LHP Cody Wheeler
88. Arkansas SR RHP Mike Bolsinger
89. Missouri State SO LHP Mike Kickham
90. College of Charleston JR RHP Heath Hembree
91. Georgia SR LHP Alex McRee
92. Rice JR LHP Matt Evers
93. Hawaii JR LHP Sam Spangler
94. Miami JR LHP Eric Erickson
95. Elon JR LHP Jimmy Reyes
96. Rhode Island SR RHP Tim Boyce
97. Alabama Birmingham JR RHP Ryan Woolley
98. Toledo JR RHP Matt Suschak
99. Texas Christian JR RHP Steven Maxwell
100. LSU-Eunice SO RHP Tony Dischler
2010 MLB Draft: Top 250 College Righthanded Pitching Prospects
1. North Carolina JR RHP Matt Harvey: 92-96, peak FB 98; low-90s two-seamer with crazy sink; 83-85 SL that flashes plus; sinking 79-83 CU with promise; teams might be willing to bet that plus high-70s CB from high school could come back; 6-5, 225 pounds (3.65 FIP; 10.10 K/9; 3.00 BB/9)
2. Texas JR RHP Brandon Workman: low-90s FB with serious sink, peak 95-97; plus high-70s CB; sinking CU with legit promise; usable low-80s SL; two biggest issues out of high school (mechanics and poor control) both ironed out after three years in Austin; 6-5, 225 pounds (4.30 FIP; 9.43 K/9; 1.89 BB/9)
3. Georgia Tech JR RHP Deck McGuire: heavy 89-92 FB, peaking 93-94; 82-86 SL with plus potential; low-70s CB with plus potential; average low-80s CU; pinpoint command on just about everything (4.18 FIP; 10.06 K/9; 2.58 BB/9)
4. San Diego JR RHP Kyle Blair: great command of 90-93 FB; two-seamer 86-87; outstanding mid-70s CB that is a plus pitch; interesting 81-83 CU that will be average big league pitch at worst; usable SL that could be average or better in time; 6-3, 200 pounds; (2.91 FIP; 12.45 K/9; 2.59 BB/9)
5. Ohio State JR RHP Alex Wimmers: 88-92 FB; has touched 94; plus-plus potential with mid-70s CB, but pitch should be above-average professionally at minimum; good to plus upper-70s CU with sink; can nibble too much at times, but great command allows him to get away with it; 6-2, 195 pounds (2.66 FIP; 10.73 K/9; 2.84 BB/9)
6. Arkansas JR RHP/OF Brett Eibner: easy 92-94 FB with sink; has hit up to 96 in relief; hard 85-88 SL flashes plus, should be consistently solid offering at worst; average low-80s CU made significant progress in 2010; has thrown slow CB and cutter in past; desire to play outfield rather than pitch obviously complicates things; untapped potential on mound; 6-3, 205 pounds; (2.69 FIP; 9.28 K/9; 1.33 BB/9)
7. Louisiana State JR RHP Anthony Ranaudo: 90-93 FB, peak 94-95; has hit 97 in past; flashes plus 78-83 KCB that should be at worst above-average professionally; average at worst 80-82 CU with really good arm action; good command of all three pitches; reminds me of current minor leaguer Trevor May in many ways; (5.12 FIP; 9.26 K/9; 4.34 BB/9)
8. The Citadel JR RHP Asher Wojchiechowski: 90-94 FB, peaking at 96; good, hard upper-70s SL with curve-like break that flashes plus; developing CU, but hasn’t had to use it often to date (3.67 FIP; 11.12 K/9; 2.27 BB/9)
9. San Diego State JR RHP Addison Reed: 89-93 starting FB; holds velocity deep into games as a starter; up to 95-96 out of bullpen; plus low-80s SL; average to slightly above-average low-80s CU, thanks to Eric Valenzuela (3.77 FIP; 10.55 K/9; 1.82 BB/9)
10. CC of Southern Nevada RHP Donnie Roach: 90-94 FB, touching 96; plus 74-77 CB that has really come on since high school; good cutter; above-average but sparingly used 82 MPH splitter that works as CU (roughly 11.5 K/9 in 2010)
11. Virginia Tech JR RHP Jesse Hahn: 91-94 FB, peak 95-96 as starter; 96-99 FB out of bullpen; average 83-84 CU with above-average upside; decent mid- to upper-70s CB; has thrown SL and cutter in past, but hasn’t gone back to either in 2010; 6-5, 195 pounds (3.95 FIP; 10.03 K/9; 2.44 BB/9)
12. Indiana State JR RHP Jake Petricka: 92-94 FB, peaking 97-98; above-average CB; CU with promise; 6-4, 180 pounds (3.13 FIP; 9.66 K/9; 4.38 BB/9)
13. Texas A&M JR RHP Barret Loux: 90-92 FB, peak at 93-94 while starting; has hit peak of 98 coming out of bullpen; good command of above-average 83-86 CU; SL with some promise; KCB with above-average potential if he can ever learn to consistently command it; 6-5, 220 (3.07 FIP; 12.75 K/9; 2.81 BB/9)
14. Portland JR RHP Zach Varce: 88-91 FB, peak of 93-95; plus 76-78 SL that moves like a cutter; very good CB; usable low-80s splitter; superior command; 6-0, 190 pounds (3.16 FIP; 10.55 K/9; 2.42 BB/9)
15. Texas Tech JR RHP Chad Bettis: mid- to upper-90s FB, peaking at 97-98; power mid-80s SL that shows plus at times; needs refining on CU, but pitch has become effective over time (3.49 FIP; 11.77 K/9; 3.15 BB/9) ***
16. Arizona State SO RHP/C Jordan Swagerty: 88-92 FB, peak at 93-94; plus potential with upper-70s CB; solid CU that has been underused coming out of pen (3.11 FIP; 12.44 K/9; 2.73 BB/9) ***
17. UCLA SO RHP Dan Klein: coming off of shoulder surgery; low-90s FB, peaking at 94 with plus command; near plus mid-80s SL; average CB; workable CU (3.69 FIP; 11.06 K/9; 1.49 BB/9) ***
18. Charleston Southern JR RHP/OF Tyler Thornburg: 91-93 FB, peak 94-95 in relief; above-average 78-82 CU; average high-70s CB; very athletic; Tim Lincecum style throwing motion; 5-11, 190 pounds (3.21 FIP; 10.57 K/9; 3.79 BB/9)
19. South Carolina JR RHP Sam Dyson: sits 93-95 with FB, peaks 96-97; holds velocity deep into starts; 78-82 potential plus hammer CB; 80-82 CU work in progress, but coming along quickly in 2010; first round arm, fifth round medicals (3.63 FIP; 9.69 K/9; 1.74 BB/9)
20. St. Petersburg CC SO RHP Austin Wood: sits low-90s, 97 peak FB; SL with promise; decent CU; 6-4, 220 pounds
21. Howard JC (TX) RHP Burch Smith: low-90s FB, peak 95; low-80s SL that flashes plus; consistently solid CU that should be slightly above-average big league pitch; 6-4, 195 pounds
22. Georgia JR RHP Justin Grimm: 92-93 FB; peaked at 96; mid-80s cutter; potential plus upper-70s CB; good low- to mid-70s CU with good arm action; questionable mechanics; 6-4, 195 pounds (4.50 FIP; 9.35 K/9; 3.74 BB/9)
23. Arizona State JR RHP Seth Blair: low-90s FB with late life and serious sink; plus CU; solid CB; SL needs polish; good arm action; 6-2, 190 pounds (4.43 FIP; 9.50 K/9; 2.10 BB/9)
24. Pepperdine SO RHP Cole Cook: 90-93, peak 94 FB with late life; plus 83-84 CU with drop; hard 77-78 SL/CB that could be plus pitch; command needs work, especially with breaking ball; loses velocity as game drags on; pro body; 6-6, 215 (3.55 FIP; 7.76 K/9; 1.98 BB/9)
25. James Madison JR RHP Kevin Munson: 93-94 FB; has peaked at 96-97; solid to plus 80-83 SL; 6-2, 200 pounds (3.32 FIP; 11.78 K/9; 3.76 BB/9) ***
26. North Carolina State JR RHP Jake Buchanan: 87-90 FB; 74-77 near plus CB; nice 76-80 SL; very good 76-79 CU; impressive showing on Cape; 6-0, 205 pounds (4.21 FIP; 8.55 K/9; 2.32 BB/9)
27. Georgia Tech JR RHP Kevin Jacob: 96-97; topping out at 98-99; power upper-80s SL; good command, but inconsistent at times; very funky mechanics; 6-6, 225 (3.72 FIP; 12.19 K/9; 5.23 BB/9) ***
28. Ball State SO RHP Perci Garner: easy 96-97 peak FB; sits 92-95; near plus mid-80s CB; usable SL and splitter that works as CU; 6-2, 225 pounds (3.29 FIP; 10.46 K/9; 4.38 BB/9)
29. Northeast Texas CC SO RHP Zach Cates: very easy low-90s FB, peak 97; plus CU; raw breaking ball
30. SUNY Oneonta JR RHP Dave Filak: has really come on with the FB, from sitting 90-92 with a peak of 93 over the summer to sitting mid-90s (94ish) now; solid hard CB that would be a plus pitch with better command; 6-5, 220 pounds
31. Lower Columbia FR RHP Jeff Ames: low-90s FB, 96 peak; above-average SL; good CU; will slow the slow upper-60s CB on occasion; 6-5, 210 pounds
32. Michigan JR RHP Tyler Burgoon: sits low-90s with FB, but can run it up to 96; 83-87 plus SL; 5-10, 160 pounds (3.50 FIP; 10.56 K/9; 2.72 BB/9) ***
33. Texas Tech JR RHP Bobby Doran: hits 93-94 FB in relief; plus SL; solid CU; command needs work, very inconsistent game to game; clean mechanics; 6-6, 225 pounds (4.10 FIP; 9.00 K/9; 2.12 BB/9)
34. Houston SO RHP Michael Goodnight: 90-93 FB; plus CU; solid SL; plus athlete (4.57 FIP; 10.30 K/9; 5.25 BB/9)
35. Virginia Tech SO RHP Mathew Price: 91-94; potential plus 78-79 SL; 81-82 CU, iffy control, projectable (4.19 FIP; 9.28 K/9; 2.56 BB/9)
36. Bowling Green JR RHP Brennan Smith: 88-92 FB, 94 peak; above-average to plus splitter; good CB and solid CU; FAVORITE (5.03 FIP; 8.15 K/9; 5.47 BB/9)
37. Wichita State SO RHP Jordan Cooper: 88-92 FB; also throws two-seamer; above-average SL; well above-average CU; plus command (4.17 FIP; 8.13 K/9; 1.68 BB/9)
38. Georgia State JR RHP David Buchanan: sits low-90s, 96 peak FB; potential plus CB; quickly emerging CU; iffy command (4.36 FIP; 8.30 K/9; 4.23 BB/9)
39. Florida Southern JR RHP Daniel Tillman: 91-94 sinking FB; hard SL; 6-1, 185 pounds; dominant K numbers out of bullpen (56 K’s in 39.2 IP) ***
40. Clemson JR RHP Josh Thrailkill: mid-90s peak FB; solid CB; decent CU (3.97 FIP; 10.24 K/9; 0.93 BB/9) ***
41. Nebraska JR RHP Michael Mariot: 91-92 FB; very good CB; average at best CU; good FB command; 6-0, 175 pounds (4.83 FIP; 8.37 K/9; 2.63 BB/9)
42. Sam Houston State JR RHP Dallas Gallant: strong performance on the Cape; 91-94 FB; 12-6 CB that flashes plus; 6-3, 195 (4.46 FIP; 8.79 K/9; 4.07 BB/9)
43. Texas-Arlington JR RHP Rett Varner: low-90s FB with good command; sharp slurve; above-average CU; clean delivery; 6-4, 190 pounds (4.18 FIP; 8.59 K/9; 2.00 BB/9)
44. San Jacinto JC (TX) RHP Clay Schrader: 92-94 FB; plus SL; average CB; very highly thought of by area scouts; 6-0, 190 pounds ***
45. Virginia JR RHP Tyler Wilson: 89-92 FB; quality 81-82 SL; good 78 CU; easy arm action; good athlete; plus command; 6-2, 185 pounds (4.19 FIP; 10.57 K/9; 3.58 BB/9) ***
46. Louisville JR RHP Thomas Royse: 90-93 FB with plus life; plus FB command; 6-5 (4.36 FIP; 9.00 K/9; 2.18 BB/9)
47. South Florida JR RHP Randy Fontanez: 88-91 sinking FB; quality CB and SL; splitter (3.82 FIP; 9.05 K/9; 2.12 BB/9)
48. North Carolina JR RHP Colin Bates: sinking 90-92 FB; average 78 CB; good SL; good command (4.28 FIP; 9.49 K/9; 3.21 BB/9) ***
49. Eastern Illinois JR RHP Josh Mueller: 90-93 FB; good CB; solid CU; 6-4, 215 (4.15 FIP; 10.40 K/9; 3.95 BB/9)
50. Minnesota JR RHP Seth Rosin: 88-92 FB, peak 94; solid mid-70s CB; emerging low-80s CU; good command; 6-6, 245 (5.21 FIP; 8.53 K/9; 1.14 BB/9)
51. San Diego SR RHP AJ Griffin: 86-90 FB with plus command; can get it up to the 92-93 on occasion; good mid-70s SL; well above-average 78-79 CU; improving slow 66-68 CB; 6-5, 215 pounds (4.10 FIP; 10.95 K/9; 2.40 BB/9)
52. Mississippi SR RHP Aaron Barrett: 89-93 FB, peaking at 94; good CU; very good at times 82-85 SL; 6-4, 205 pounds (4.15 FIP; 10.35 K/9; 4.47 BB/9)\
53. Vanderbilt JR RHP Taylor Hill: 88-93 FB with sink; 80-82 plus SL; very good 78-79 sinking CU; mechanics need smoothing out; 6-4, 225 pounds (4.86 FIP; 6.73 K/9; 1.94 BB/9)
54. Oregon SR RHP Justin LaTempa: sat 92-94 FB, touched 95-96; developing CU; flashes plus SL; shoulder injury shelved him in 2009 (4.77 FIP; 7.62 K/9; 1.85 BB/9)
55. Oregon State JR RHP Greg Peavey: 94 peak FB; flashes plus SL; CU needs work; command comes and goes (3.76 FIP; 6.90 K/9; 2.62 BB/9)
56. Georgia SO RHP Michael Palazzone: 92 peak FB; plus CU; solid CB (4.75 FIP; 7.92 K/9; 3.38 BB/9)
57. James Madison JR RHP Turner Phelps: 89-91 FB; good CU; solid CB (4.73 FIP; 8.13 K/9; 5.88 BB/9)
58. Long Beach State JR RHP Jake Thompson: 91-93 FB; 95 FB peak; holds velocity very well; good FB command; above-average potential with CU that is now a near-plus pitch; doesn’t use the CU enough at present; inconsistent SL/CB at 77 that needs a lot of work (3.97 FIP; 7.54 K/9; 2.18 BB/9)
59. Missouri JR RHP Nick Tepesch: 91-94 FB, peak at 96; flashes above-average SL (3.17 FIP; 7.21 K/9; 2.37 BB/9)
60. Loyola Marymount SO RHP Martin Viramontes: 96 peak FB; sits 90-94; power CB that flashes plus; flashes plus CU; 6-4, 210 (4.60 FIP; 7.53 K/9; 4.65 BB/9)
61. California SO RHP Dixon Anderson: 92-94 FB; 96 FB peak; very good low-80s SL; splitter; 6-5, 225 pounds (4.89 FIP; 5.68 K/9; 3.55 BB/9)
62. Lynn (FL) SO RHP Tommy Kahnle: sits low-90s, can get it up to 95-96 with some regularity; ultimate high end peak FB of 98-99; solid low-80s SL; CU needs work, but has average big league upside; 6-0, 225 pounds ***
63. CC of Southern Nevada SO RHP Tyler Hanks: 92-94 FB, peak 97; plus 81-84 SL; 6-2, 195 pounds ***
64. Elon JR RHP Thomas Girdwood: low- to mid-90s FB (92-95); plus 82-84 SL (5.74 FIP; 8.67 K/9; 3.67 BB/9) ***
65. Lee (TN) SR RHP Scott Swinson: upper-80s FB while at Maryland, but reports are his FB is now sitting low-90s, peaking at 94; solid CU; quickly emerging 12-6 CB; uses SL sparingly; plus command; 6-2, 185 pounds
66. CC of Southern Nevada SO RHP Joe Robinson: 89-92 FB, peak 95; compact delivery; flashed a nice SL and CU
67. Navarro JC SO RHP Chris Marlowe: big FB; plus CB; huge K numbers; 6-1, 175 pounds ***
68. Cornell JR RHP Corey Pappel: upper-80s FB, 91-92 peak; good cut fastball; above-average SL; 6-6, 205 pounds (3.28 FIP; 9.18 K/9; 4.24 BB/9)
69. Arkansas SR RHP Mike Bolsinger: sits 88-90, hits 92-93 with FB; good to plus low-80s SL; decent CU; 6-2, 210 pounds (2.82 FIP; 9.04 K/9; 2.02 BB/9)
70. College of Charleston JR RHP Heath Hembree: 95-97 FB; good SL (4.18 FIP; 13.50 K/9; 6.07 BB/9) ***
71. Rhode Island SR RHP Tim Boyce: 88-92 FB; good slow CB; hard SL; moving CU; plus command; 6-2, 190 pounds (4.24 FIP; 7.90 K/9; 1.87 BB/9)
72. Alabama Birmingham JR RHP Ryan Woolley: 90-91, topping at 92 with FB; has been up to 93-96 with FB; good 12-6 75-77 SL; power 82-83 CU; 6-1, 195 pounds (4.87 FIP; 6.75 K/9; 4.64 BB/9)
73. Toledo JR RHP Matt Suschak: 92-95; high-70s slurve; still trying to harness his stuff; 6-3, 205 pounds (3.93 FIP; 8.70 K/9; 3.25 BB/9) ***
74. Texas Christian JR RHP Steven Maxwell: Tommy John surgery survivor; 88-94 FB; above-average power 78-82 CB (4.61 FIP; 7.89 K/9; 2.93 BB/9)
75. LSU-Eunice SO RHP Tony Dischler: big jump in FB velocity in last year; sits low-90s comfortably, peaks at 96; secondary stuff still extremely raw; 6-4, 200 pounds
76. Oregon State SO RHP Taylor Starr: recovering from complications stemming from earlier Tommy John surgery; 94-95 FB, peak 97
77. Oral Roberts SO RHP Drew Bowen: 88-91 FB; good cutter; plus SL; 6-3, 180 (6.09 FIP; 7.50 K/9; 4.88 BB/9)
78. Rice SR RHP Mike Ojala: when healthy has been able to sit in the low-90s FB, peaking at 93; sitting in the upper-80s now, but plus command of pitch remains; plus CB; coming back from June 2009 Tommy John surgery (4.44 FIP; 10.08 K/9; 3.42 BB)
79. Florida SO RHP Tommy Toledo: coming back from arm injury last season and a line drive off the face in 2010; 88-91 FB before, back sitting 91-93 as he rounds back into shape; above-average SL; CU with promise (4.02 FIP; 9.85 K/9; 2.55 BB/9)
80. Louisiana State JR RHP Austin Ross: decent sinker (4.17 FIP; 10.91 K/9; 1.98 BB/9)
81. Chandler-Gilbert JC SO RHP Devyn Rivera: 92-93 FB, 94 peak; plus SL; iffy mechanics; 6-2, 180 pounds
82. Gulf Coast CC SO RHP Andrew Morris: 88-92 FB; plus SF; CB; easy mechanics; 6-3, 180 pounds (11.92 K/9; 4.66 BB/9)
83. Alabama JR RHP Jimmy Nelson: 88-92; 80-82 above-average big league SL; CU; 6-6, 235 pounds (4.83 FIP; 8.94 K/9; 2.21 BB/9)
84. CC of Southern Nevada SO RHP Aaron Kurcz: very easy 91-94 FB, peak 97; solid 76-77 slurve ***
85. Baylor JR RHP Shawn Tolleson: upper-80s FB; decent SL; CU needs work; still on mend from Tommy John surgery, so return of above-average stuff from his prep days is still possible (3.82 FIP; 10.85 K/9; 3.21 BB/9)
86. William & Mary JR RHP Logan Billbrough: 89-90 FB; plus slider; projectable (3.66 FIP; 8.95 K/9; 5.34 BB/9
87. Virginia JR RHP Kevin Arico: lacks big fastball of traditional closer, but plus 80-84 SL will be serious weapon professionally (2.42 FIP; 13.34 K/9; 1.95 BB/9) ***
88. Oklahoma State SO RHP/SS Randy McCurry: 94-95 FB; SL, CB, CU; plus arm strength
89. Western Carolina SR RHP Jason Sullivan: 88-91 sinking FB; good SL; 6-1, 205 pounds (4.45 FIP; 10.35 K/9; 4.06 BB/9)
90. Western Kentucky SR RHP Matt Ridings: 91 peak FB; average CB; good CU; recent TJ surgery (3.99 FIP; 9.13 K/9; 1.55 BB/9)
91. Eastern Illinois JR RHP Mike Recchia: 90 FB peak; plus mid-70s CB (3.93 FIP; 9.21 K/9; 4.08 BB/9)
92. Western Oklahoma State FR SS/RHP Andrelton Simmons: plus defender at SS, but his best tool is his plus-plus arm; many prefer him as a position player, but his mid-90s FB and weak bat make him this year’s version of Mychal Givens for me; 6-1, 165 pounds
93. Chipola JC FR RHP Rodney Quintero: 88-93 FB; 77-78 SL; low-70s CB; 6-2, 200 pounds
94. Southern Arkansas JR RHP Hayden Simpson: 88-94 FB, peaking at 96; nice CB; 6-0, 175 pounds
95. South Carolina Upstate SR RHP Matt Branham: 92-94 FB; above-average SL; CU; 6-6, 210 pounds (4.59 FIP; 9.47 K/9; 2.47 BB/9)
96. Notre Dame JR RHP Evan Danieli: out for 2010 with arm injury; mid-90s peak FB; hard SL that should be plus pitch with more reps; 6-7, 230
97. Tennessee Tech JR RHP Stephen Pryor: low-90s FB (3.13 FIP; 16.02 K/9; 5.05 BB/9) ***
98. Texas JR RHP Chance Ruffin: 87-89, breaking ball, CU; good control (2.48 FIP; 14.50 K/9; 2.62 BB/9) ***
99. Lipscomb SR RHP Josh Smith: high-80s FB, touches 92; SL, CB, CU; 6-3, 210 pounds (3.69 FIP; 11.13 K/9; 3.28 BB/9)
100. Valparaiso JR RHP Bryce Shafer: low-90s FB (3.84 FIP; 9.83 K/9; 4.61 BB/9)
101. George Washington JR RHP Eric Cantrell: 88-90 FB; good command (4.62 FIP; 9.66 K/9; 2.59 BB/9)
102. Southern Illinois Edwardsville SR RHP Spencer Patton: 89-91, 92 peak FB; strike thrower; above-average SL; solid CU; 6-1, 175 pounds (2.68 FIP; 8.62 K/9; 6.32 BB/9)
103. Hawaii JR RHP Josh Slaats: 88-92 FB, peak 94-95; plus 80-82 SL; CU (3.20 FIP; 9.41 K/9; 3.84 BB/9)
104. Virginia JR RHP Robert Morey: 88-92; peak 94-94; quality low-80s SL; below-average 75-78 CB (4.25 FIP; 7.90 K/9; 3.40 BB/9)
105. Michigan JR RHP Matt Miller: low-90s FB, peak 94; good low-80s SL; command needs work; 6-6, 215 pounds (4.16 FIP; 7.52 K/9; 3.25 BB/9)
106. Texas JR RHP Cole Green: plus slider; solid fastball (4.96 FIP; 6.36 K/9; 2.00 BB/9)
107. Virginia Commonwealth JR RHP/3B Joe Van Meter: plus arm; 90-92 FB; 95-97 at one point in past; near-plus low-80s CB; 6-3, 200 pounds (5.79 FIP; 5.01 K/9; 4.24 BB/9) ***
108. Houston JR RHP Jared Ray: 93-95 peak FB; above-average SL, flashes plus; decent CU; shoulder injury keeps stock way down
109. Kansas JR RHP Brett Bochy: 91-93 sitting FB; 94 peak FB; really good SL; Bruce’s son; Tommy John surgery mid-season 2010 (1.89 FIP; 14.48 K/9; 2.74 BB/9) ***
110. Minnesota JR RHP Scott Matyas: 94 peak FB; good breaking ball; good command (3.47 FIP; 14.07 K/9; 3.73 BB/9) ***
111. Florida Atlantic JR RHP Mike Gipson: excellent FB command; big, looping breaking ball; 6-1, 190 pounds (4.43 FIP; 8.15 K/9; 3.23 BB/9)
112. Washington State JR RHP Chad Arnold: 88-91 FB with great sink; plus 80-81 SL; iffy CB; CU; command needs work; 6-4, 205 pounds (3.93 FIP; 6.84 K/9; 3.92 BB/9)
113. Georgia SR RHP Jeff Walters: power sinker; good SL; good athlete (4.39 FIP; 7.90 K/9; 4.87 BB/9)
114. Kansas State SO RHP Justin Lindsey: 88-90 two-seam FB with great sink; 92 peak FB; solid SL; CU needs polish; 6-3, 170 pounds (6.55 FIP; 6.41 K/9; 3.13 BB/9)
115. Indiana SR RHP Chris Squires: 91-94 FB; command needs work; really nice arm action on high-70s CU; splitter looks good; KCB work in progress; 6-2, 185 pounds (3.70 FIP; 11.18 K/9; 4.15 BB/9) ***
116. Maine SO RHP Kyle Benoit: 93-95 FB; plus breaking ball; solid CU; coming back from Tommy John surgery very slowly
117. Notre Dame JR RHP Brian Dupra: straight 91-95 FB; 88-91 cutter; good 79-81 SL; CU; 6-3, 205 pounds (5.41 FIP; 5.88 K/9; 2.40 BB/9)
118. Baylor JR RHP Craig Fritsch: 90-92 FB, peak 94; average at worst SL; decent CU (4.20 FIP; 8.39 K/9; 2.94 BB/9)
119. UNC-Wilmington JR RHP Justin Bradley: 88-91 FB; average SL; average CU; good command; 6-3, 195 pounds (4.28 FIP; 9.16 K/9; 4.76 BB/9)
120. Western Kentucky SO RHP Rye Davis: 93-94 FB; good SL; 6-5, 250 pounds (2.23 FIP; 11.96 K/9; 3.44 BB/9) ***
121. Tennessee SR RHP Stephen McCray: 88-91, touched 93-94 with FB; SL, CB, CU; good command; good athlete; 6-3, 230 pounds (5.34 FIP; 6.68 K/9; 2.75 BB/9)
122. Northern Iowa JR RHP Lucas O’Rear: 88-91 FB with loads of sink; quality basketball player for UNI squad that knocked off Kansas this year; intriguing potential with SL; one year left of basketball eligibility and UNI dropping baseball both cloud his future, but raw talent is undeniable; 6-7, 250
123. St. John’s SO RHP Dan Burawa: 93-95 FB; average 75-78 slurve; developing CU, but pitch is currently very green; 6-3, 215 pounds (2.87 FIP; 11.91 K/9; 4.76 BB/9) ***
124. Cal Poly JR RHP Steven Fischback: hoped to return in 2010 after surgery to repair labrum damage, but hasn’t gotten clean bill of health; 90-94 FB; potential plus 81-84 SL; emerging CU
125. Texas Christian JR RHP Greg Holle: sat 90-91 with FB; 94 FB peak; potential plus CB; great athlete; repeats mechanics very well; 6-8, 210 pounds (4.70 FIP; 9.79 K/9; 2.03 BB/9) ***
126. Oregon State JR RHP Tyler Waldron: low-90s FB; good command; four-pitch mix (4.61 FIP; 9.20 K/9; 1.84 BB/9) ***
127. St. Mary’s JR RHP Alex Schmarzo: low-90s FB, topping out at 95; plus SL; 6-3, 185 pounds (2.47 FIP; 9.56 K/9; 2.81 BB/9) ***
128. Oregon JR RHP Drew Gagnier: 90-95, potential plus 83 SL (3.51 FIP; 9.74 K/9; 4.87 BB/9) ***
129. Oregon State JR RHP Kevin Rhoderick: 89-94 FB; good SL that he uses often (3.91 FIP; 10.86 K/9; 4.11 BB/9) ***
130. Coastal Carolina SR RHP Austin Fleet: 88-92 FB 94 peak; flashes good to plus mid-80s SL (3.29 FIP; 9.17 K/9; 2.67 BB/9) ***Nova Southeastern JR RHP Sean Albury: 89-93 FB; big mid-70s CB; 5-11, 185 pounds ***
131. Weatherford JC (TX) SO RHP Zach Nuding: 90-94 FB, peak 95-96 out of bullpen; hard SL with above-average potential; good splitter; iffy command; 6-4, 250 pounds ***
132. Northwestern State JR RHP Chad Sheppard: 92-95 FB; also throws a nasty two-seamer; good SL; 6-4, 210 pounds ***
133. South Carolina JR RHP/DH Parker Bangs: 88-92 FB; quality SL; power potential with bat (3.93 FIP; 14.49 K/9; 5.93 BB/9) ***
134. Wichita State JR RHP/OF Mitch Caster: peak FB 92; flashed plus SL; above-average athlete; very little power; plus arm; 6-2, 175 pounds
135. Cincinnati JR RHP Dan Jensen: 90 FB peak, but has hit 92 in the past; promising SL; command needs work; 6-7, 225 pounds (4.78 FIP; 7.21 K/9; 3.02 BB/9)
136. UC Irvine SR RHP Christian Bergman: sinking 89-91 FB; above-average SL; CU; 6-1, 180 pounds (4.29 FIP; 7.08 K/9; 1.40 BB/9)
137. St. John’s SR RHP Bruce Kern: upper-80s FB; very good CB (5.16 FIP; 7.70 K/9; 3.57 BB/9)
138. Illinois JR RHP Lee Zerrusen: 91-93 FB, 95 peak; quality CF and CU; good command; 6-3, 190 pounds (6.06 FIP; 4.65 K/9; 5.10 BB/9)
139. Charleston Southern JR RHP Anthony Markham: generates lots of weak contact with 2-seam 88-90 FB; peak velocity of FB is 92; good sinking CU; above-average SL; good control; 6-3, 180 pounds (5.91 FIP; 5.65 K/9; 3.68 BB/9)
140. Bloomsburg SR RHP Grant Kernaghan: 90-92 FB; average SL; average CU; 6-3, 200 pounds
141. Furman JR RHP Brian Dudzinski: 88-90 FB, but straight; potential plus SL; promising circle CU; 6-5, 210 pounds (6.75 FIP; 7.15 K/9; 3.97 BB/9)
142. Marshall JR RHP Ian Kadish: 88-91 FB; solid 81-82 SL; sinking CU; good command; 6-1, 210 pounds (5.59 FIP; 6.39 K/9; 5.68 BB/9)
143. Central Michigan JR RHP Jake Sabol: 90 FB with good sink; good SL; improving CU; good command; 6-5, 220 pounds (6.20 FIP; 5.02 K/9; 2.21 BB/9)
144. Virginia Commonwealth SR RHP Robbie Andrews: 89-91 FB; strike thrower; plus SL; 6-3, 170 pounds (3.62 FIP; 6.88 K/9; 3.71 BB/9) ***
145. UNC-Greensboro JR RHP Blake Hassebrock: 90-93 FB, touching 96; CB and CU both need work; 6-5, 185 pounds (5.06 FIP; 7.40 K/9; 5.55 BB/9)
146. San Diego SR RHP Matt Thomson: 93 FB peak (2.81 FIP; 12.73 K/9; 2.41 BB/9) ***
147. South Florida JR RHP Kevin Quackenbush: big FB; trouble commanding CB at times (3.46 FIP; 13.90 K/9; 4.81 BB/9) ***
148. Youngstown State JR RHP Phil Klein: 86-89 FB; very good FB command; SL with real potential; good athlete; 6-7, 205 pounds (5.13 FIP; 7.62 K/9; 3.74 BB/9)
149. Wright State JR RHP Max Friedman: 88-93 FB with sink; good CU; quality SL (6.45 FIP; 5.68 K/9; 4.62 BB/9)
150. Bradley JR RHP Patrick Cooper: low-90s FB; good 84 SL (3.73 FIP; 7.84 K/9; 3.34 BB/9)
151. Florida International JR RHP Danny DeSimone: 88-92 FB; good SL (4.83 FIP; 7.90 K/9; 3.30 BB/9) ***
152. Wichita State JR RHP Tim Kelley: 86-88 FB; average to good CU; strike thrower; plus command; 6-6, 215 pounds (3.94 FIP; 7.69 K/9; 2.34 BB/9)
153. CC of Southern Nevada SO RHP Kenny McDowall: 90-92 FB with good sink; solid SL
154. Notre Dame SO RHP Ryan Sharpley: 94 peak FB; good SL; great athlete; coming off of shoulder surgery (4.59 FIP; 9.39 K/9; 7.63 BB/9)
155. Michigan SR RHP/OF Alan Oaks: low- to mid-90s FB (90-94); very raw pitching prospect; 6-3, 230 pounds (4.88 FIP; 6.95 K/9; 4.11 BB/9)
156. West Virginia JR RHP Jarryd Summers: 92 peak FB; 6-5 (4.70 FIP; 6.93 K/9; 5.15 BB/9)
157. Notre Dame JR RHP Cole Johnson: 88-92 FB; good SL (4.69 FIP; 5.46 K/9; 3.16 BB/9)
158. Wofford JR RHP John Cornley: peak FB 93-95; hard 83-84 SL that shows plus promise; 6-1, 180 pounds (4.69 FIP; 8.91 K/9; 5.95 BB/9)
159. Southern Mississippi JR RHP Todd McInnis: 88-92 FB; very good 12-6 CB; hard SL; decent CU; slight frame (4.18 FIP; 8.40 K/9; 3.05 BB/9)
160. Dayton SO RHP Burny Mitchem: missed 2009 season after ACL tear; 88-92 FB, peak 94; 6-6, 260 (4.07 FIP; 8.89 K/9; 2.82 BB/9)
161. Baylor SR RHP Willie Kempf: upper-80s heavy FB; good sinker; good SL (3.66 FIP; 9.20 K/9; 3.11 BB/9)
162. North Carolina JR RHP Patrick Johnson: 90-92 FB; good SL; CU; 5-11, 170 (4.63 FIP; 8.22 K/9; 3.31 BB/9)
163. Wright State SR RHP Alex Kaminsky: very good CU; great command; signature outing against UVA (5.12 FIP; 8.19 K/9; 1.46 BB/9)
164. Maryland JR RHP Brett Harman: 88-90 FB; good command; SL; CU (4.25 FIP; 10.26 K/9; 2.41 BB/9)
165. Kansas JR RHP TJ Walz: 91-94 FB; CU; CB (3.96 FIP; 9.06 K/9; 2.31 BB/9)
166. New Mexico SR RHP Willy Kesler: 94 peak FB; solid breaking ball (3.92 FIP; 8.87 K/9; 2.17 BB/9)
167. Cal State Fullerton JR RHP Daniel Renken: 87-90 FB with plus command; quality upper-70s CU; splitter; iffy SL (4.17 FIP; 8.29 K/9; 3.09 BB/9)
168. Oklahoma JR RHP Zach Neal: 87-90 sinking FB, can run it up to 91-93 after some adjustments to mechanics; plus control; 6-2, 205 (4.59 FIP; 8.21 K/9; 1.95 BB/9)
169. Gonzaga JR RHP Cody Martin: 88-90 FB; decent slurve (4.87 FIP; 9.31 K/9; 3.68 BB/9)
170. Tulane SO RHP Robby Broach: returning from elbow injury; 88-92 FB (4.25 FIP; 8.92 K/9; 3.05 BB/9)
171. West Virginia SR RHP Chris Enourato: solid SL; good athlete (4.48 FIP; 8.59 K/9; 1.99 BB/9)
172. UCLA SR RHP Garrett Claypool: 89-91 FB (4.60 FIP; 8.77 K/9; 2.05 BB/9)
173. UNC-Wilmington JR RHP Daniel Cropper: two years off of Tommy John surgery, stuff slowly coming back (4.31 FIP; 7.11 K/9; 1.56 BB/9)
174. East Carolina JR RHP Seth Maness: plus CU (4.66 FIP; 8.35 K/9; 1.33 BB/9)
175. South Carolina SR RHP Blake Cooper: good command (4.52 FIP; 7.96 K/9; 2.42 BB/9)
176. Nyack (NY) JR RHP Phil Messerian: 90 peak FB; CB; CU; SF; max-effort delivery; 6-2, 190 pounds
177. Denison (OH) SR RHP Aiden Lucas: low-90s FB; forkball; SL; CU; 6-2, 220 pounds
178. UNC-Wilmington SR RHP Seth Frankoff: 88-91 FB; plus breaking ball; 6-5, 210 (4.95 FIP; 11.18 K/9; 4.15 BB/9) ***
179. Texas Christian SR RHP Eric Marshall: 90 sinking FB, very impressive CB (3.80 FIP; 11.12 K/9; 5.56 BB/9) ***
180. Arkansas SR RHP Jeremy Heatley: 92 peak FB; good SL (2.51 FIP; 11.08 K/9; 2.54 BB/9) ***
181. UCLA SO RHP Erik Goeddel: 90-92 sinking FB; good CB (3.66 FIP; 11.66 K/9; 3.89 BB/9) ***
182. Southern JR RHP Cody Hall: 95 FB peak; (2.96 FIP; 11.51 K/9; 7.94 BB/9) ***
183. Jacksonville State SR RHP Alex Jones: mid-80s FB; 90-91 FB pre-surgery; coming back from TJ surgery; plus-plus SL; 6-6, 190 pounds (2.25 FIP; 10.80 K/9; 6.66 BB/9) ***
184. Oklahoma JR RHP Ryan Duke: plus SL; plus command (4.06 FIP; 10.50 K/9; 3.30 BB/9) ***
185. Southeastern Louisiana SR RHP Chris Franklin: 95 peak FB; plus SL (4.28 FIP; 8.35 K/9; 3.06 BB/9) ***
186. Michigan JR RHP Kolby Wood: 88-93 FB with late movement; nasty SL; very good mid-80s SF; good command; 6-6, 210 pounds (4.46 FIP; 8.20 K/9; 0.96 BB/9) ***
187. Alabama SO RHP Tyler White: 90-92, touches 93 with sink; above-average big league CB; 6-2, 210 pounds (4.04 FIP; 10.74 K/9; 3.99 BB/9) ***
188. Ohio State JR RHP Drew Rucinski: 87-88, CU (4.15 FIP; 7.23 K/9; 3.55 BB/9)
189. Embry-Riddle (FL) SR RHP Jonathan Kountis: 92-93 FB; inconsistent, but potential plus SL; poor command; 6-3, 225 pounds
190. Michigan State JR RHP AJ Achter: 88-91 FB; CB; SL; good CU; 6-5, 205 pounds (4.14 FIP; 6.57 K/9; 3.38 BB/9)
191. Virginia JR RHP Cody Winiarski: 88-92 FB; power SL; 6-4, 200 (5.86 FIP; 5.72 K/9; 2.79 BB/9)
192. New Mexico State SR RHP/OF Steven Anderson: plus athlete; intriguing raw tools; more potential as pitcher (5.59 FIP; 7.50 K/9; 4.50 BB/9) ***
193. Winthrop JR RHP Robert Lake: 89-91 FB with good command; 6-2, 185 pounds (5.11 FIP; 7.18 K/9; 2.11 BB/9)
194. Missouri State SR RHP Pat Doyle: low-90s FB; good cutter (4.77 FIP; 7.04 K/9; 3.04 BB/9)
195. Duquesne JR RHP/3B Andrew Heck: 88-89 sinking FB; good SL; great command of strike zone; great athlete; 6-2, 205 pounds (5.56 FIP; 5.88 K/9; 1.34 BB/9)
196. Southeastern Louisiana JR RHP Brandon Efferson: sits high-80s, 92 peak FB; good cutter; CB; CU (4.86 FIP; 5.00 K/9; 2.40 BB/9)
197. Nicholls State SR RHP Tyler Minto: 87-89 FB, topping at 91; good command; smooth mechanics; SL; CU; 6-1, 195 pounds (4.72 FIP; 6.41 K/9; 2.14 BB/9)
198. San Francisco SR RHP Doug Murray: 86-88 power sinker; solid SL (4.10 FIP; 6.09 K/9; 1.11 BB/9)
199. Richmond SR RHP Ian Marshall: 92-93, touching 94 with FB; inconsistent command of CB; 6-3, 210 pounds (4.23 FIP; 6.69 K/9; 1.96 BB/9) ***
200. Utah SR RHP Jordan Whatcott: 89-92 FB; average SL; missed two years on Mormon mission (4.94 FIP; 6.81 K/9; 3.74 BB/9)
201. Southern JR RHP Kyle Wahl: three average pitches (4.69 FIP; 5.37 K/9; 3.58 BB/9)
202. Furman SR RHP Nick Karow: 93 FB peak; above-average 83-84 SL; 6-2, 200 pounds (9.13 FIP; 6.94 K/9; 3.86 BB/9) ***
203. Miami SR RHP Jason Santana: good CU (4.17 FIP; 8.63 K/9; 3.50 BB/9)
204. Southern California SO RHP Andrew Triggs: 94-95 peak FB (3.67 FIP; 8.53 K/9; 2.42 BB/9)
205. Vanderbilt SR RHP Drew Hayes: 95 peak FB (5.18 FIP; 9.41 K/9; 3.48 BB/9) ***
206. Miami SR RHP Taylor Wulf: coming back from Tommy John surgery; 90 FB, above average CB (3.74 FIP; 12.33 K/9; 4.11 BB/9) ***
207. Gonzaga SR RHP Jake Hiatt: 89-92 FB; sharp SL; 6-1, 180 pounds (5.76 FIP; 10.57 K/9; 5.87 BB/9) ***
208. Kent State JR RHP/3B Brett Weibley: 92-95 FB; 96 FB peak; average SL; occasional promising CU; 6-3, 220 pounds (4.04 FIP; 8.59 K/9; 5.65 BB/9) ***
209. Texas JR RHP Kendal Carrillo: very athletic; smooth mechanics; good command; 88-92 FB; advanced CU; 6-0, 190 pounds (5.53 FIP; 8.50 K/9; 1.00 BB/9) ***
210. Boston College JR RHP Kevin Moran: 94-96 peak FB (3.89 FIP; 5.58 K/9; 6.84 BB/9) ***
211. San Diego SR RHP Matt Hauser: 88-92 FB with plus movement; promising 80-82 SL; 81-83 SFCU; 79-80 SL; 6-3, 190 pounds (3.44 FIP; 8.56 K/9; 1.76 BB/9) ***
212. Washington State SR RHP Seth Harvey: heavy sink on 90-94 FB; solid SL; improving command; violent delivery; 6-1, 210 pounds (5.00 FIP; 8.67 K/9; 3.00 BB/9) ***
213. Nebraska SO RHP Sean Yost: 95 peak FB; 6-7, 190 pounds (5.49 FIP; 6.75 K/9; 4.32 BB/9) ***
214. Texas A&M SR RHP Shane Minks: 85-88 FB with sink; above-average SL; occasional CU; 6-3, 205 pounds (3.70 FIP; 7.75 K/9; 4.28 BB/9) ***
215. San Diego State SR RHP Drew Leary: 89-91 FB, touching 93-94; FB has good sink; inconsistent SL; 6-4, 225 pounds (3.46 FIP; 8.89 K/9; 4.13 BB/9) ***
216. Maryland SR RHP Ian Schwalenberg: 88-92 FB; solid SL; good command; 6-3, 210 pounds (5.31 FIP; 8.37 K/9; 2.56 BB/9) ***
217. Louisville JR RHP Gabriel Shaw: 92 peak FB; good SL; good athlete (4.72 FIP; 8.47 K/9; 1.58 BB/9) ***
218. Tulane JR RHP Nick Pepitone: low- to mid-90s sinking FB; 6-7 (3.85 FIP; 8.72 K/9; 4.36 BB/9) ***
219. Florida State JR RHP Geoff Parker: 94-95 peak FB (4.62 FIP; 8.37 K/9; 4.56 BB/9) ***
220. Mississippi JR RHP Trent Rothlin: 88-92 FB with sink, has hit 94; 77-80 above-average SL; CU; 6-3, 195 pounds (4.59 FIP; 7.05 K/9; 3.22 BB/9) ***
221. Iowa JR RHP Zach Kenyon: low-90s FB; erratic CB; solid CU; 6-6, 220 (4.91 FIP; 6.27 K/9; 4.02 BB/9) ***
222. North Carolina State JR RHP Rey Cotilla: 95-96 with FB in relief; drafted last three years; 6-4, 195 (5.06 FIP; 5.91 K/9; 1.69 BB/9) ***
223. North Carolina JR RHP Nate Striz: 95 peak FB; good but inconsistent SL (2.43 FIP; 9.72 K/9; 6.48 BB/9) ***
224. Purdue SR RHP Matt Bischoff: low on projection, high on pitchability (4.45 FIP; 8.62 K/9; 1.42 BB/9)
225. Rhode Island JR RHP Gardner Leaver: 86-89 FB, topping at 90; solid CU; good SL; 6-2, 190 pounds (5.05 FIP; 9.09 K/9; 3.63 BB/9) ***
226. UNC-Wilmington JR RHP Stephen Harrold: 90-93 FB, has hit 96; average at best SL (3.60 FIP; 10.98 K/9; 2.97 BB/9) ***
227. Texas State SR RHP Garret Carruth: 87-89, 90 FB peak; has been at 90-93 in past; two impressive CBs, one slower and one sharper; SL; average at best CU; 6-4, 220 pounds (3.43 FIP; 9.76 K/9; 3.18 BB/9) ***
228. Miami SR RHP David Gutierrez: 87-89 with sink; 73-74 more slurve than CB, inconsistent but good low-80s CU; skinny but long legs (3.67 FIP; 9.00 K/9; 3.57 BB/9) ***
229. New Mexico SR RHP Eddie Carl: 89-91 FB; decent CU; up and down CB; 6-0, 200 pounds (3.92 FIP; 10.07 K/9; 4.71 BB/9) ***
230. Texas A&M JR RHP/OF Nick Fleece: sat low-90s (88-92 with great sink), 96 peak FB; hard SL; max-effort delivery; 6-2, 200 pounds (4.71 FIP; 5.45 K/9; 1.91 BB/9) ***
231. Stanford JR RHP Alex Pracher: high-80s FB; touches low-90s; solid SL and CU; 6-3, 175 pounds (4.09 FIP; 5.91 K/9; 3.74 BB/9) ***
232. Baylor SO RHP/OF Brooks Pinckard: 95 peak FB; plus speed; strong arm; 6-1, 175 pounds (4.79 FIP; 5.22 K/9; 4.60 BB/9) ***
233. Arizona State JR RHP Kyle Brule: 92-93 FB; hard SL; 6-2, 205 pounds
234. Texas A&M JR RHP/OF Joaquin Hinojosa: heavy sinker at 89-92; good 85 SL; 5-11, 195 pounds
235. Rice SR RHP Jared Rogers: 87-89 with sink (5.26 FIP; 5.70 K/9; 1.25 BB/9)
236. Ohio State JR RHP Dean Wolosiansky: high-80s; 86-88, slider, good command (4.40 FIP; 6.42 K/9; 3.02 BB/9)
237. Ashland (OH) SR RHP AJ Meyer: 89-91 FB from multiple angles; average CU; plus command; 6-7, 180 pounds
238. SW Oklahoma State SR RHP Jason Stover: low-90s FB, peak 93; solid SL; 6-3, 200 pounds
239. Millersville JR RHP/1B Derek Kline: 90-92 FB, peaking at 94; plus SL
240. Pittsburgh-Johnstown JR RHP Kaleb Fleck: 90-92 FB with life, peaking at 96
241. Albright SR RHP Casey Lawrence: 90 FB peak; above-average SL; average at best CU; good command; 6-2, 170 pounds
242. Shenandoah (VA) JR RHP Greg Van Sickler: 88-90 FB; good CU; plus command; 6-1, 190 pounds
243. North Park (IL) SR RHP Mike Giovenco: 89-91 FB, 94-95 peak; poor command; straight with FB; good low-80s SL with good command; nice CU; 6-6, 235 pounds
244. St. Louis SR RHP Bryant Cotton: 89-91 FB; clean delivery; 6-2, 185 pounds (4.13 FIP; 6.86 K/9; 2.29 BB/9)
245. Nebraska JR RHP Mike Nesseth: mid-90s FB with sink, peak velocity at 96-97; SL is wild; 6-5, 220 (4.59 FIP; 7.07 K/9; 3.86 BB/9) ***
246. Southern Mississippi SR RHP Collin Cargill: 82-85 FB; sidearm makes his stuff play up (3.45 FIP; 6.52 K/9; 2.33 BB/9) ***
247. Louisiana State JR RHP Daniel Bradshaw: decent sinker (6.07 FIP; 5.98 K/9; 2.12 BB/9) ***
248. Louisiana State JR RHP Mitch Mormann: power arsenal (4.45 FIP; 5.97 K/9; 4.71 BB/9) ***
249. East Carolina JR RHP Mike Anderson: 91 peak FB; CB with potential; 6-4, 230 pounds (6.69 FIP; 6.30 K/9; 7.20 BB/9) ***
250. Southern Mississippi JR RHP Seth Hester: 90-93 FB; nasty SFCU; occasional SL; 6-3, 200 pounds (7.21 FIP; 4.71 K/9; 6.00 BB/9) ***
2010 MLB Draft: Top 250 College Position Player Prospects
The list doesn’t follow exactly along with earlier position-by-position rankings (check the links on the left side of the page for more info) because I’ve done some tweaking over the past few weeks. College RHPs (I think I’m going 250 deep on that list…) and combined college pitcher rankings should be up either later today or tomorrow. High school rankings will be pumped out pretty consistently over the course of the weekend, so check back over the next 48 hours for that. In the meantime, here are some college guys. Oh yeah, one last thing – the recommendations on guys I missed left in the comments section or via email were all excellent. I’ve always been slow to make decisions, so give me another day or two to mull everything over before I’m ready to begin inserting a few of the players into the position-by-position rankings and, in the case of a few players, into the list below…
6/5/2010 EDIT: With apologies to Southern Mississippi SR C Travis Graves (bumped from the list) and previously jilted Rutgers fans (I kid) alike, Pat Biserta cracks the list at number 85. Thanks to all who left comments alerting me to his omission. This may sound really corny, but I’m sort of proud to know there are so many knowledgeable readers willing to go to bat for their guy out there. I’m lucky that instead of having one person who edits my stuff for me, I have any number of the X amount of viewers who stop by here on a daily basis who do the job for free. Thanks, again.
- Community College of Southern Nevada FR C Bryce Harper
- Texas Arlington JR OF Michael Choice
- Ball State JR 2B Kolbrin Vitek
- Miami JR C Yasmani Grandal
- Tulane JR 3B Rob Segedin
- Arkansas SO 3B Zack Cox
- Florida State JR OF Tyler Holt
- Georgia Tech JR 3B Derek Dietrich
- Virginia Tech JR OF Austin Wates
- Cal State Fullerton JR SS Christian Colon
- Wabash Valley JC FR OF Mel Rojas
- Auburn JR OF Trent Mummey
- Louisville SO OF Stewart Ijames
- Middle Tennessee State JR OF Bryce Brentz
- Ohio JR OF Gauntlett Eldemire
- West Virginia JR 2B Jedd Gyorko
- Clemson JR OF Kyle Parker
- Minnesota JR C Mike Kvasnicka
- Kansas State JR SS Carter Jurica
- Arkansas JR 1B Andy Wilkins
- Louisiana State JR C Micah Gibbs
- Villanova SO C Matt Szczur
- West Oklahoma State JC SO OF Randolph Oduber
- Chipola JC FR 2B LeVon Washington
- UC Riverside SO C Rob Brantly
- Auburn JR 1B Hunter Morris
- Pittsburgh JR 3B Joe Leonard
- Virginia JR OF Jarrett Parker
- Louisiana State JR OF Leon Landry
- Jacksonville State JR OF Todd Cunningham
- Oklahoma City JR 3B Matt Presley
- Stanford JR 2B Colin Walsh
- Duke JR SS Jake Lemmerman
- Louisville SO 3B Phil Wunderlich
- UNC Wilmington JR C Cody Stanley
- Louisville SR 1B Andrew Clark
- Texas JR C Cameron Rupp
- Kansas JR 3B Tony Thompson
- San Diego JR 3B Victor Sanchez
- Connecticut JR 3B Mike Olt
- Vanderbilt JR C Curt Casali
- Tennessee JR C Blake Forsythe
- Long Beach State JR SS Devin Lohman
- Wake Forest JR OF Steven Brooks
- Louisville SR 2B Adam Duvall
- Virginia JR 2B Phil Gosselin
- Oregon State JR 3B Stefen Romero
- Fresno City College FR 3B David Rohm
- Coastal Carolina JR OF Rico Noel
- Cal State Fullerton JR OF Gary Brown
- Michigan JR OF Ryan LaMarre
- Alabama JR 2B Ross Wilson
- Alabama JR SS Josh Rutledge
- Mississippi State SR 1B Connor Powers
- Virginia Tech JR SS Tim Smalling
- Wichita State FR 3B Johnny Coy
- Texas State JR 3B Jason Martinson
- North Carolina State JR 3B Russell Wilson
- Oregon State JR OF Adalberto Santos
- Coastal Carolina JR 3B Scott Woodward
- Rice JR SS Rick Hague
- Tennessee Tech JR 1B AJ Kirby-Jones
- Cerritos CC SO 2B Joe Terry
- Catawba SR OF Wade Moore
- Catawba SR OF Craige Lyerly
- Yavapai JC SO DeMarcus Tidwell
- James Madison JR SS David Herbek
- San Jacinto SO OF Randall Thorpe
- Miami-Dade SO OF Jabari Blash
- Virginia JR OF Dan Grovatt
- Virginia SR SS Tyler Cannon
- Azusa Pacific SR 3B Ryan Delgado
- Florida Southern JR 2B Wade Kirkland
- California JR 2B BJ Guinn
- Coastal Carolina SR C Jose Iglesias
- Santa Clara SR C Tommy Medica
- East Carolina SR 1B Kyle Roller
- Oxnard FR OF Harper White
- Rutgers JR 2B Brandon Boykin
- Tennessee JR 3B Matt Duffy
- Kansas SR 2B Robby Price
- Kentucky JR 2B Chris Bisson
- Texas Christian SR C Bryan Holaday
- Clemson JR OF Jeff Schaus
- Rutgers JR OF Pat Biserta
- California JR OF Mark Canha
- Texas Christian SR 1B Matt Curry
- Georgia Tech SR 1B Tony Plagman
- Louisiana State SR 1B Blake Dean
- Alabama SR 1B Clay Jones
- Washington JR 1B Troy Scott
- Clemson SO 3B John Hinson
- Missouri SR OF Aaron Senne
- Arizona State SO SS Drew Maggi
- Southern JR 2B Curtis Wilson
- East Carolina JR OF Devin Harris
- Texas JR OF Kevin Keyes
- Auburn JR OF Kevin Patterson
- Pacific JR OF Nick Longmire
- Rutgers JR OF Jaren Matthews
- Auburn JR OF Brian Fletcher
- Ohio JR OF Robert Maddox
- Fresno State JR SS Danny Muno
- Cal State Fullerton JR 2B Corey Jones
- North Carolina JR C Jesse Wierzbicki
- Boston College JR 1B Mickey Wiswall
- Canisius JR 2B Steve McQuail
- Clemson SR 2B Mike Freeman
- Miami SR 2B Scott Lawson
- Mt. Hood CC SO 1B Taylor Ard
- Tampa JR OF Jared Simon
- Sonoma State JR OF Kyle Jones
- Florida Southern SR OF Trae Gore
- East Carolina JR SS Dustin Harrington
- Alabama SR 3B Jake Smith
- Georgia Southern SR 2B AJ Wirnsberger
- College of Charleston SR 2B Joey Bergman
- Florida JR 2B Josh Adams
- Central Florida SR OF Chris Duffy
- Furman JR 3B Brian Harrison
- San Francisco JR 3B Stephen Yarrow
- Bucknell SR OF Andrew Brouse
- North Carolina State JR C Chris Schaeffer
- Nebraska-Omaha JR OF Ryan Hook
- Oklahoma SO 3B Garrett Buechele
- Lewis-Clark State JR C Kawika Emsley-Pai
- Rutgers JR OF Michael Lang
- Dallas Baptist SR OF Ryan Enos
- Old Dominion SR SS Jake McAloose
- Lake Sumter CC FR 1B Bryan Hill
- Arizona State JR C Xorge Carrillo
- Missouri JR C Brett Nicholas
- Virginia JR C Kenny Swab
- Georgia Tech JR C Cole Leonida
- Truett-McConnell SO OF Terrell Jones
- Gonzaga SR OF Drew Heid
- Murray State SR OF Wes Cunningham
- Vanderbilt JR OF Aaron Westlake
- Eastern Kentucky JR 3B Jayson Langfels
- Hawaii SR 1B Kevin Macdonald
- Cal State Northridge JR 1B Dominic D’Anna
- Central Arizona FR SS Sam Lind
- Holy Cross SR 3B Matt Perry
- South Carolina JR OF Whit Merrifield
- Central Florida JR 2B Derek Luciano
- St. John’s JR 2B Greg Hopkins
- Francis Marion SR SS Barrett Kleinknecht
- Virginia Military Institute JR SS Sam Roberts
- CC of Southern Nevada SO OF Trevor Kirk
- UC Irvine JR 3B Brian Hernandez
- Florida JR 3B Bryson Smith
- Fort Hays State JR OF Jordan Payne
- Chipola JC SO OF Joey Rapp
- Iowa JR OF Kurtis Muller
- Georgia Tech SR OF Jay Dantzler
- Carson-Newman SR 1B Jeff Lockwood
- Arizona JR 2B Rafael Valenzuela
- Western Kentucky JR C Matt Rice
- Southern Illinois SR C Tyler Bullock
- Embry-Riddle SR C Austin Goolsby
- Oklahoma State JR C Kevin David
- Rice SR C Diego Seastrunk
- Ohio State JR C Dan Burkhart
- Chipola JC SO 1B Cody Martin
- Tennessee JR 1B Cody Hawn
- Central Florida SR OF Shane Brown
- Michigan State SR OF Eli Boike
- Texas Tech JR C Jeremy Mayo
- New Mexico JR C Rafael Neda
- Louisville SR C Jeff Arnold
- Mississippi JR 1B Matt Smith
- Pittsburgh JR OF John Schultz
- North Carolina SR 2B Dallas Poulk
- South Carolina SR 1B Nick Ebert
- Oklahoma State JR 1B Dean Green
- Connecticut JR 2B Pierre LePage
- Pittsburgh JR C Kevan Smith
- Manhattan JR OF Mike McCann
- James Madison SR OF Matt Browning
- Florida State JR OF Mike McGee
- Florida State JR 3B Stuart Tapley
- San Francisco SR Derek Poppert
- Middle Tennessee State SR 1B Blake McDade
- Kent State JR 2B Jared Humphreys
- Nebraska SR OF Adam Bailey
- Texas SR OF Russell Moldenhauer
- Creighton JR SS Elliot Soto
- North Carolina State SR OF Kyle Wilson
- Florida SR OF Matt Den Dekker
- Louisville JR OF Josh Richmond
- Washington SO OF Caleb Brown
- Indiana State SR OF Ryan Strausborger
- San Diego State JR OF Cory Vaughn
- Bowling Green SR 3B Derek Spencer
- Arizona State SR 1B Kole Calhoun
- Sam Houston State JR 2B Braden Riley
- Pacific JR 2B JB Brown
- Howard JC SO 2B Marcellous Biggins
- Georgia State SO OF Joey Wood
- Stanford JR OF Kellen Kiilsgaard
- Sonoma State JR OF Tillman Pugh
- Samford SR OF David Schulze
- Dallas Baptist JR OF Jason Krizan
- Cal Poly SR OF Luke Yoder
- Georgia Tech JR OF Chase Burnette
- Texas JR OF Tant Shepherd
- Wright State SR OF Casey McGrew
- Virginia Tech SR OF Steve Domecus
- Texas A&M SR OF Brodie Greene
- Ohio State SR OF Zach Hurley
- Sam Houston State JR OF Mark Hudson
- Rice SR 1B Jimmy Comerota
- Long Beach State SO 1B Joey Terdoslavich
- Auburn SR C Ryan Jenkins
- Mississippi JR C Miles Hamblin
- Western Michigan SR OF Chris Lewis
- Georgia Tech JR OF Jeff Rowland
- Rice JR OF Michael Fuda
- Virginia JR OF John Barr
- Florida Gulf Coast JR OF Josh Chester
- Richmond SR 3B Cameron Brown
- Mississippi State JR C Wes Thigpen
- Chipola FR 3B Michael Revell
- East Carolina JR OF Trent Whitehead
- UCLA JR OF Brett Krill
- Clemson JR OF Addison Johnson
- Clemson SR OF Wilson Boyd
- Siena SR OF Anthony Giansanti
- Auburn JR OF Justin Fradejas
- Kentucky SO OF Navarro Hall
- Xavier JR OF John McCambridge
- Mississippi JR OF Tim Ferguson
- Louisiana Lafayette SR OF Kyle Olasin
- Rice JR OF Chad Mozingo
- San Diego JR OF Kevin Muno
- Boston College JR OF Robbie Anston
- Ohio State SR OF Michael Stephens
- Kennesaw State SR SS Tyler Stubblefield
- Central Florida JR 1B Jonathan Griffin
- New Orleans JR OF Michael Petello
- Rutgers SR C Jayson Hernandez
- Minnesota SR C Kyle Knudson
- Florida Atlantic JR SS Nick DelGuidice
- Delaware SR 1B Ryan Cuneo
- Community College of Southern Nevada SO 1B Trent Cook
- Houston SR C Chris Wallace
- Fresno Pacific SR C Wes Dorrell
- North Carolina SR SS Ryan Graepel
- Cal State Fullerton SR C Billy Marcoe
- Vanderbilt SR C Andrew Giobbi
2010 MLB Draft: Top 30 College Third Base Prospects (Complete List)
Somebody emailed and asked, everybody receives. See how easy that is? The complete list of the top 30 draft-eligible college third basemen, previously broken up into three separate chunks, now all in one handy, easily searchable post. Can you feel the excitement? Next up, hopefully later today, the complete college position player big board and, with luck, the start of the high school position lists. The college righthanded pitching list is a whopper of a post, so I’m trying to be sure I’m 100% happy with it before letting it see the right of day. Right now, I’m only about 95%. Soon, though, soon…
30. Bowling Green SR 3B Derek Spencer
Spencer won’t wow you with his tools or outstanding collegiate production, but his skills are good enough when taken in altogether to get himself on a professional roster. He’s the classic well-rounded, hard working, good enough senior sign who doesn’t do any one thing exceptionally well, but does everything so wonderfully competently that he profiles as an organizational player with backup upside. Three of his tools have average upside or better (power, speed, glove), so it’s no stretch to see him sneak him onto a big league bench someday.
29. Florida JR 3B Bryson Smith
Smith has a big league body, intriguing pop, useful positional versatility, but has been held back by injuries in 2010. Injury induced subpar seasons for mid- to late-round underclassman prospects are normally a recipe for a senior season return engagement, but Smith may be a victim of his own college team’s success. Playing time in 2011 looks to be very hard to come by on a young, stacked Florida starting nine, so Smith may try his luck professionally if a team is willing to bet that a return to health will bring him closer to the player he was at junior college than he was as a Gator.
28. UC Irvine JR Brian Hernandez
Hernandez has a similar scouting profile as Derek Spencer, but gets the edge because of better plate discipline and more balanced swing mechanics. Like Spencer, he’s your typical “whole is greater than the sum of his parts” kind of prospect, with the upside of a big league bench bat if everything breaks right.
27. Chipola FR 3B Michael Revell
Revell has really impressive tools across the board, but his production in 2010 didn’t reflect his true talent level. His plus bat speed, strong arm, good athleticism, and 20 homer lefthanded power upside will keep him on many follow lists despite his struggles. The down year will probably keep him at Chipola for a sophomore season; disappointing, sure, but perhaps a good thing for his long-term draft stock. Revell has the tools to succeed, but is raw enough that the extra relatively low pressure junior college at bats could help turn his substantial promise into production. It’s rare to see a player capable of starting in the big leagues so low on a prospect list like this, but it’s an acknowledgement of the wide gap between what Revell could be versus what he currently is. He makes the list as more of a token 2011 name to watch than a realistic 2010 draft target.
26. Holy Cross SR 3B Matt Perry
Is it sad that one of the first things I thought about when looking at my notes on Perry was “gee, I bet Bill Simmons would get a kick out of having a fellow Holy Cross guy show up on some anonymous internet nobody’s top 30 college third base prospect list…”? Perry is one of my favorite 2010 senior signs because of his advanced strike zone knowledge, good defensive tools, and renowned drive to succeed. It’s a rare college senior who plays in the big leagues, so sometimes it’s alright to dig deep to find a small something extra about a player that you think sets him apart. Perry’s steady four year progression, strong performance under pressure as a legacy at Holy Cross, and success with wood in the summer makes me think he’s a guy worth gambling on.
25. Eastern Kentucky JR 3B Jayson Langfels
Langfels came into the season with a reputation as a total hacker at the plate, but curbed his swinging and missing ways just enough to finally unlock his good raw power in game situations. I’ve gotten mixed reports on his defense this year, but his hands in the past have gotten him into some trouble at third. It ranges anywhere from somewhat possible to very likely that he’ll wind up as more of a power hitting four-corners utility type than a starting third base candidate; either way, there’s value enough in the bat.
24. Toledo JR 3B Jared Hoying
Hoying’s an interesting scouting, coaching, and prospect development test case. His swing is ugly, but his bat speed is exceptional. Knowing that, do you a) let Hoying be Hoying and go with what works, b) attempt to make slight alterations while preserving the integrity of the swing, or c) work to maintain Hoying’s great bat speed while simultaneously trying to reinvent his swing mechanics? More to the point, how exactly do you go about coaching the kid up? What coaches in the organization do you assign to help him? How much time and energy should be spent working with a mid-round draft prospect? Hoying’s swing isn’t the only intriguing, but raw part of his game. He’s an obviously raw defender, but the tools, most notably a plus arm and athleticism equally suited up the middle, are there for him to succeed anywhere in the infield in a pinch. His high strikeout rate is absolutely a concern, but the aforementioned bat speed, plus arm, and above-average base running give him the look of a potential above-average utility infielder in the mold of former Ranger, Indian, Cub, Brave, Brewer, Rockie, Cub again, Pirate, Dodger, Indian again, Pirate again, and Phillie Jose Hernandez.
23. Oklahoma SO 3B Garrett Buechele
And so begins a stretch of players with starting caliber upside, but high bust potential. Buechele has one of the stronger pure hit tools of this college third base class, and his quickly emerging power make him one to watch. His defense is plenty good enough to stick at third, so the only thing that realistically stands in the way of Buechele succeeding professionally (you know, besides all of the other things that can get in the way for any player drafted) will be high strikeout totals. He’s not as talented as Zack cox, so don’t take this as a direct comparison, but it seems that Buechele would be best served returning to school to work on honing his pitch recognition skills like the top player on this list managed to do in his sophomore season.
22. San Francisco JR 3B Stephen Yarrow
Yarrow’s basic story is very similar to Garrett Buechele’s in that both prospects have legit plus power potential and a strong overall hit tool. Going against Yarrow is his tendency to pull darn near everything, below-average tools outside of the batter’s box, and a long-term future as a four-corners type of player, not an everyday third baseman.
21. Furman JR 3B Brian Harrison
Harrison is a good, good player. Case in point, Harrison has a good arm, is a good defender, and has a good hit tool, with good power potential. He’s a really good athlete, perhaps too good to be “wasted” at third if there’s really a team out there willing to try him in centerfield as rumored. I wish he would have gotten more at bats on the Cape this past summer, but, as too often the case with Harrison, injuries limited his playing time. Get him healthy, get him a regular defensive home, and get a good, good player with starter upside past round ten. Good bargain. The relatively low ranking is more about the players ahead of him than the above-average (or, in other words, “good”) overall talent package that Harrison brings to the table.
20. Alabama SR 3B Jake Smith
Players coming off of more accomplished collegiate seasons precede Smith on this list, so take this aggressive ranking as a show of good faith that the Alabama senior’s tools will trump his up-and-down college career when it comes to his success or failure in the pros. Hey, speaking of aggressive, one of Smith’s biggest current issues is a tendency to get too aggressive at the plate, jumping out at pitches before they reach his happy zone. He’s gotten away with it to some extent in college, but hacking at anything 16 inches (give or take) off, up, or away from the plate is no way to advance up the minor league ladder in the enlightened age of baseball we’re lucky to be living in. Smith’s tremendous raw power and excellent defensive tools play in any era of baseball, but he’s been slow to recover from a serious ankle injury. I get the feeling based on all of the above that we’re talking about another four-corners backup type here. Fun fact: Replace “serious ankle injury” with “labrum injury” and you’ve got a very similar situation to what the number eight overall prospect on this list is dealing with. Any guesses about the identify of our mystery prospect?
19. Clemson SO 3B John Hinson
John Hinson was a tough player to rank because of his status as a redshirt and thus draft-eligible sophomore and his positional versatility across the infield. He was an easy guy to rank this high because of the really nice things that anybody who has seen him play this year had to say about him. Hinson was a highly touted prospect out of high school who was considered advanced enough after his freshman year to be asked to play for Hyannis in the Cape Cod League. Back surgery cost him all of his 2009 season, but the fully recovered version of Hinson put up a 2010 statistical line that reads a lot like Pittsburgh’s Joe Leonard’s work this season. A plus hit tool combined with above-average speed and power will get you far professionally, but people smarter than myself that I talked with told me some teams question his ability to play any one particular spot in the infield with the consistency needed of a regular. Based on the limited looks of Hinson that I’ve seen, I can’t say that I necessarily agree with that assessment, but his defensive skillset (good athlete, iffy arm) may make him better suited for second base than third. At either spot, he’s got the bat to make him a potential regular with a couple breaks along the way.
18. Tarleton State JR 3B Chris Casazza
Like Jayson Langfels and Jake Smith before, and Jason Martinson and Mike Olt after, Chris Casazza’s biggest deficiency is a long swing with holes in it that winds up waving and missing at the ball far too often. Like Martinson a few spots ahead of him, Casazza’s good batting eye and sneaky power upside should keep his secondary statistics afloat even when the K’s are trying to drag his prospect stock below the surface. In many ways he’s quite simply the better version of Alabama’s Jake Smith, especially at the plate – more power, more patience, less strikeouts, and better all-around bat. Definite sleeper to watch.
17. Tennessee JR 3B Matt Duffy
Duffy was a deep sleeper top five rounds candidate of mine heading into the season, so you know his underwhelming, but still solid, junior season won’t downgrade his stock too much for me. The Vermont transfer has all of the defensive tools to play a decent shortstop professionally, but profiles better as a potential plus defender at the hot corner. For Duffy, a Jack Hannahan (with more raw power) or Andy LaRoche (with less raw power) type of career is possible.
16. Azusa Pacific SR 3B Ryan Delgado
Delgado earned his way on the list because of his ridiculous power numbers over the years, but it certainly doesn’t hurt that Azusa Pacific has one of the most fun college names to say out loud. Try it, you won’t be disappointed. Besides the cool college name and plus power potential, Delgado has a true plus arm and a well above-average overall hit tool. His defense at third isn’t currently at the level where you could project him as above-average professionally, but the tools are there for him at least wind up a decent defensive player at least through his twenties. If it doesn’t work at third, however, there’s a backup plan that I know for a fact is actually Plan A for some teams. Delgado’s future for some teams might be donning the tools of ignorance behind the plate every day. It’s a stretch and it’s based largely on the 3B/C future that could be in store, but I can’t shake the Jake Fox comp for Delgado that I heard way back when.
15. Coastal Carolina JR 3B Scott Woodward
It’s very easy to envision Scott Woodward playing in the big leagues someday. He’s got an outstanding approach to hitting, a discerning batting eye, and a really good idea of his fundamental strengths and weaknesses at the plate. Woodward ably uses his plus-plus speed to leg out infield hits, turn balls driven to the gaps into triples, and steal bases at a tremendous success rate (46 steals in 52 tries). Home runs will likely never be a big part of his game, but his is a game based more on speed and plate discipline anyway. He could have the type of career many once projected for former Dodgers prospect Joe Thurston. Another comp that I like a lot is Phillies minor leaguer Tyson Gillies, a comparison made more interesting due to the fact both players are hearing impaired, but one not at all dependent on that fact as the basis of the comp. When I first thought of it a few weeks ago the connection didn’t even occur to me, but the two players share enough distinct offensive similarities to make it work.
14. North Carolina State JR 3B Russell Wilson
Betting on Wilson is betting on upside, a worthy risk to take when you are considering which mid-round college hitter to gamble on. See, the sad little truth about lists like this are that the players, while undeniably impressive and accomplished and talented, are more than likely never going to play in the big leagues. Heck, many of them won’t see AA. Once you get past the top two or three names on any of these college lists, it’s all a big guessing game. Educated guessing, to be sure, but guessing all the same. To make a long intro slightly less long, if you’re are going to bet on a mid-round college player, go for the rare guy with untapped potential. That’s Wilson. Here’s why…
I tend to overuse this word when writing about draft prospects, but it applies to Wilson so well here that I can’t help myself. Wilson is an interesting prospect. More than one team affiliated employee I spoke to used that word to describe Wilson in some way – “interesting upside,” “interesting bat,” and “interesting future.” Watch him for just a couple of innings and you’ll see evidence of all five tools right away. His bat is, well, interesting, and his power, while mostly to the gaps at this point, could top out with homer totals in the teens professionally. As a former quarterback unafraid to take off with the ball when needed, it comes as no surprise that his speed rates as an easy 60, with startlingly quick acceleration. Defensively he may have the speed, instincts, and athleticism to play up the middle (2B or CF), but his presence on this particular list is a bet on his plus arm playing best at third base over the long run. Wilson’s numbers this year were solid across the board, but his performance must be judged with his lack of college ball experiences prior to 2010 in mind. He needs more reps on the diamond, but if a team is patient with him they could be rewarded with a player who closely mirrors the Melvin Mora developmental path, something that will no doubt interest a big league club or two come draft day.
13. Texas State JR 3B Jason Martinson
The more I do this, the more I begin to gain an appreciation for the way certain college programs recruit and develop talent. The job Ty Harrington has done in San Marcos is nothing short of spectacular. I relate it to a college football team with very specific offensive and defensive schemes recruiting not based on consensus overall talent levels, but rather best fits for the program. You’d think these less talented players would succeed mainly due to the system in college, but then, lo and behold, draft day comes and teams start taking these supposed system talents left and right. Turns out that players overlooked in high school can turn out to be pretty valuable prospects after three years of quality college coaching. I suppose that’s really just my long way of saying that even though it’s common the best high school players sign out of high school, and even though it’s common the best unsigned high school players go to the big name schools in Texas, it’s still possible to have some really talented players wind up at non-traditional baseball schools. Schools like that often have coaching staffs more familiar with coaching guys up than allowing them to coast by on natural abilities they may or may not have.
Martinson is a plus athlete with very good defensive tools who, similar to Tennessee’s Matt Duffy, may be good enough with the leather to stick up the middle (either shortstop or second base) in some organizations. For me, however, his hands, range, and arm all play best at third, a position where he could eventually be a decidedly above-average defender. Offensively the rap on Martinson coming into the year was that he swung and miss too often to ever hit for an acceptable average professionally. That may or may not be true going forward — his 2010 performance has been very similar to his 2009 — but his quick wrists and above-average plate discipline should help keep his on-base percentage up even when he is striking out more often than you’d like. Teams will worry less about the low contact rate if Martinson can begin to tap into some of the long awaited above-average raw power that hasn’t really showed up through three seasons of college ball. If he can begin to apply some of his brute physical strength into homerun power professionally, he’s got a chance to be a starter. If not, his best chance of earning the big bucks will be in the good defender/patient pinch hitter role.
12. Wichita State FR 3B Johnny Coy
Coy has taken a long, strange trip to get to this point, but the eventual payoff could very well make it all worth it. Coy’s story began as a two-sport high school star, regarded by many as a better basketball prospect than baseball. After getting drafted by the Phillies in the 7th round, protracted and sometimes testy (allegedly) negotiations between player and team led to the two sides opting to go their separate ways. Coy’s older brother was reportedly heavily involved with negotiations, strongly pushing his bro to either a) get every last penny from the Phillies as possible (making him a greedy villain to many) or b) go to school and get a quality education (a far more admirable position, some might say). Coy wound up enrolling at Arizona State, but never made it to baseball season. He left the Sun Devils to move closer to home after his father suffered a stroke in late 2008. That led him to Wichita State. As a Shocker, Coy has been able to focus on honing his considerable baseball skills. All of his raw tools grade out as average or better – 55 speed, 60 arm, 65-70 raw power, average hit tool, and, perhaps most controversially, above-average upside with the glove at third. I remember not believing for a second that he’d ever stick at third after seeing video of him in high school, but all of the noise regarding his defensive progress coming out of Wichita has been positive. I’m a big believer in the big (6-8, 210 pound) righthanded freshman. As mentioned, Coy was a 7th round pick by the Phillies back in 2008. The questions concerning his signability will probably keep him from hitting that mark here in 2010, but his true talent level makes him a top ten round candidate worth pursuing if he even begins to hint that he’ll consider signing.
11. Fresno City College FR 3B David Rohm
Rohm hits and hits and hits. He can also steal a bag when left unattended (great instincts on the bases), smack a ball the other way (very mature hitting style), and crank it out of the ballpark when the mood strikes (above-average present power). Mostly though, he hits. His defense ranks in the bottom third of players here in the top 30, but he still has a better than 50/50 shot to stick at the position through his first six years of big league control. Ah, the defense update is appreciated, you’re thinking, but, wait, can the guy hit? Excellent question; yes, David Rohm can hit.
10. Oregon State JR 3B Stefen Romero
Romero is arguably the best present defender on the top ten list. He makes all the plays on balls hit at him, and has proven more than capable of ranging to both his left and right when needed. What really makes his draft stock pop in comparison to some other names on the list is his performance with wood last summer on the Cape. The raw numbers don’t jump right out at you, but all of the reports from the summer were positive. Romero kept the momentum going this spring by displaying a steady dose of good defense, above-average power, and decent athleticism. A few area scouts that have seen him play way more than I have seem to like him a lot more than I do, so take his placement on the list as a rare example of me trusting people smarter than myself. Rare not because I’m trusting them, but because there are people out there actually smarter than I am. Hard to believe, I know. Romero’s upside is a good four-corners bench bat for me, something true of the majority of the players on this list no matter how rosy a picture I try to paint of their ultimate super duper best case scenario big league ceilings.
9. Connecticut JR 3B Mike Olt
I’ve toyed with the idea of standardizing these quick scouting capsules, but always wind up just doing the rambling paragraph or two synopses you see up and down the page. Seems like all of those standardized reports have some sort of strengths/weaknesses attached somewhere, so let’s try it out with a personal favorite, Mike Olt:
Strengths: three above-average or better tools (65 raw power, 55 speed, and 65 arm), plus athleticism, and a big league ready frame
Weaknesses: present tool most need in work is his bat, due in large part to a largely unrefined approach and inconsistent swing mechanics
So, will Olt make enough consistent hard contact to put his other tools to use professionally? I think any one of the guys on one of the deepest top ten college position lists I can remember in the long, storied history of this site has the upside of an every day player if the circumstances allow it. That comes out as a cop-out, but it’s true; this is a really, really deep year for college third basemen.
8. San Diego JR 3B Victor Sanchez
My support of Victor Sanchez goes back to his prep days, so it’s hard for me to be completely objective when trying to evaluate his current draft stock. The memory of the potential plus defender with equally exciting power potential and a mature beyond his years approach to every single at bat may be just that, a memory. Sanchez’s slow recovery from labrum surgery has knocked his prospect stock way down, but I’m enthused by the perhaps misguided hope that his depressed draft standing will give him the chip on his shoulder (not literally) needed to prove all the teams that passed on him wrong. Talent doesn’t disappear, but it can get lost in the fog of injuries. Teams willing to take the chance that Sanchez will someday recovery 100% from his shoulder injury are betting that the fog will soon lift.
7. Kansas JR 3B Tony Thompson
If he sticks at third, you’ve got a real player on your hands. If he’s a first baseman long-term, the bat will need to go up a level or two before you could realistically consider him a potential regular at the spot. For now, I think he’s got nimble enough feet to stick at third through his mid-twenties. Thompson’s successful return to health after an early season injury has allowed him time to showcase the plus arm and plus power that should get him drafted in the first five rounds no matter what teams think about his defense.
6. Louisville SO 3B Phil Wunderlich
Makeup is one of the easiest scouting terms to throw around as a positive or a negative for any given prospect because anonymous internet sources (like mine!) are never asked to truly qualify what the word means. Here’s what I mean when I say Wunderlich’s makeup is off the charts: In an completely fictional, but totally possible survey of college coaches and players, Wunderlich would win the “most likely to manage” poll going away. He’s that kind of player. Intangibles aside, Wunderlich is an underrated athlete with legit plus power and amazing patience at the plate. He may not be a natural defender at third, but he’s also not the type of player you’d bet against working his tail off until he is at least a decent big league defensive player.
5. Oklahoma City JR 3B Matt Presley
A trio of haikus, one offensive, one defensive, and one summing it all up, to describe draft sleeper Matt Presley…
Strikeouts are scary
But bat gives pitchers nightmares
Power is special
Not Schmidt with leather
Still, strong arm and high effort
Might fit best in right
Star in Sooner state
Not quite on Durant’s level
Better nickname, though
In summary: Easy to fall in love with his bat, but hard to realistically see him ever being average or better at third. Also, I suck at haikus.
4. Pittsburgh JR 3B Joe Leonard
Leonard has gotten a ton of positive press over the past few weeks, all of it well earned. He came into the season as one of the best college hitting prospects and one of the few collegiate position players projected to be productive enough both at the plate and in the field to start every day in the big leagues. The one question that scouts had about his game was his power upside. Leonard has answered the bell by hitting for over 30 extra base hits and slugging well over .600. He’s a good athlete with a plus arm and great big league size for a third baseman. Defensively he’s presently skilled enough to be considered big league average at the position, and continued development ought to get him up above-average during his best defensive seasons.
Neither his offense nor his defense will ever quite approach the level of peak years Scott Rolen (a really underrated player by many, I think), but if you squint really hard you can begin to see Leonard as perhaps developing into that type of player – exciting defenders, strong physiques, and often mischaracterized as power hitters first and foremost. In fact, after looking at the numbers some, I’d compare Leonard’s upside as a hitter to something around what Rolen did his rookie season (.283/.377/.469) with the Phillies. That kind of upside is substantial, clearly, so it may very well be that Leonard’s placement on this list is a mistake that I’ll have to rectify before June 7th hits.
3. Georgia Tech JR 3B Derek Dietrich
I’m part of the small but vocal minority that seems to think Dietrich could play a decent shortstop professionally if given the chance, but, seeing as its highly unlikely he’ll ever get that opportunity, we’ll judge him here on the basis of his potential well above-average glove and plus arm at third. There’s very little mystery as to what kind of player a team will get if they take Dietrich early on; he’ll hit with both above-average contact and home run numbers (consistent 20 homer upside, I think), play solid to plus defense (as mentioned), and consistently work hard to improve his overall game. I’m no fan of writers/analysts/scouts/Larry Browns who fall back on the tired cliché “he plays the game the right way,” but, hypocrite that I am, Derek Dietrich simply plays the game the way it was meant to be played. He won’t be a sexy pick, but he’s as good a bet as any player on this list to contribute in some capacity in the big leagues.
2. Arkansas SO 3B Zack Cox
Easily confused fellow that I am, I don’t quite understand the negativity surrounding Cox’s power potential that has come to the surface this season. It seems to me that he can’t really win with some people. Last year people oohed and aahed as he flashed prodigious raw power, but disappointed in the plate discipline department. This year he’s taken a much more patient, contact-oriented approach, but is getting heat for not hitting for the same power as he did his freshman year. I realize slugging .600+ and socking 20 extra base hits in college (like Cox has done so far in 2010) isn’t quite the feat it appears to be at first blush, but it’s still a decent indicator that the guy hasn’t been reduced to a singles only hitter this year. Now imagine the possibility that good professional coaching can help Cox unlock the secret of maintaining his gains in plate discipline and a high contact rate while simultaneously helping him rediscover the big power stroke of his first collegiate season. Sounds pretty good, right?
As arguably the draft’s top position player prospect, much has already been written about Cox’s toolset. The cliff notes version is this: potential plus bat, above-average present power but plus projection, 45/50 runner, plus arm, good defender. His worst tool is probably his speed, and, as you can see, even that project to be around average. I think Cox’s ceiling is below that of your typical top half of the first round college bat, but he’s still a relatively safe pick to be an above-average regular third baseman for a first division club.
1. Tulane JR 3B Rob Segedin
I had Segedin as the 47th best draft-eligible player in the nation heading into the year, so it’s nice to see him succeed in 2010 for totally selfish reasons alone. Sure, it’s also nice to see a hard working young man work his way back from a season lost to injury to put himself in a position for a well earned big paycheck and chance at chasing his dream of professional baseball, but, really, it’s all about me, me, me! Anyway, Segedin has a gorgeous righthanded stroke that’s so pretty to look at it’s almost a surprise when he makes contact and the ball doesn’t fly to an unattended gap somewhere. Defensively, he’ll stick at third at least in the short-term (steady hands, limited range), but could become a rightfielder with average range and a cannon arm if needed. It’ll be the bat that makes him the big bucks, and it’s got all the makings of a special one. At the plate, Segedin is a professional player trapped in the college game. Rare plate discipline, gap power that’s finally beginning to round into over-the-fence pop, and impressive bat control make him a hitter with a big future going forward. When your floor is a lefty mashing four-corners utility guy, then you’d better believe the ceiling is much, much higher.
2010 MLB Draft: Top 101 College Outfielders
A few quick thoughts before we get to the ranking of the 2010 MLB Draft’s Top 100 College Outfield Prospects™. I may add to this throughout the week as random thoughts pop into my head, but we’ll start off with some quick justifications for players at the top of the list, an explanation about the relatively low rankings of two much ballyhooed prospects, and a general overview of how I pieced together the list. I may also tweak this list here and there in the next week, both near the top (3-11 are all really, really close for me) and closer to the bottom (a few pop-up guys I heretofore haven’t paid enough attention to deserve one last look), but those changes will probably be reflected when the college position player big board is revealed tomorrow.
Michael Choice has five solid or better tools (solid: speed, defense, bat; better: arm and power) and the potential to hit 30+ homers or more playing every day in the big leagues. Tyler Holt’s fantastic approach, stellar base running, and plus defense should help keep him employed as an everyday leadoff hitting centerfielder (at best) or a reserve outfielder (at worst) for a long, long time. Wates has no glaring weakness to his game and profiles as an above-average regular who should move quickly through the minors after signing. Mummey came into the year as a prospect who relied on plus speed, plus defense, and enough pop to keep pitchers honest. Well, one 2010 slugging percentage north of .800 and the highest of praise for his defense later, it seems like he’s taken what he’s done well and amplified it.
Gary Brown and Ryan LaMarre were both initially lower than even their current modest standing (tying up so much value in batting average terrifies me), but, after running the rough copy of this by a few people way smarter than I am, I moved each guy up five spots or so. Then, realizing that just because I always lump the two players together in my head, I took a step back and only left one player up in the rankings. Brown stayed up high because, if nothing else, he has the floor as one the league’s best fly catchers in center and a true base stealing threat off the bench. LaMarre’s skill set is nothing to sneeze at, don’t get me wrong, but the lack of a premium tool to fall back on lumps him back in with other well-rounded potential outfield tweener types like Todd Cunningham, Parker, and Santos.
At the top, big bats with below-average corner outfield defense were penalized. In the middle, my old love of hitting won out because, and this is more of a personal draft philosophy quirk than anything, at a certain point in the draft you have to start taking players you acknowledge do not have starting upside and instead focus on players with one or two definite big league tools. Whether it’s the power to contribute off the bench in a pinch (e.g. Patterson, Wes Cunningham, Bailey) or the defense/speed to hang on for a long time as a fifth outfielder (Den Dekker is the most obvious example of this), the player needs to show a clearly defined big league tool to make his mark. I think the former has more traditional value in the game (perhaps deservedly so), but the latter is a) easier to project, b) very much en vogue these days, and c) pretty darn important in its own right. I tried to weigh all of these factors into the list accordingly.
One last important note before we go on – the scouting reports, so much as they can be called scouting reports, are wholly incomplete for a handful of reasons I’ll hopefully be able to announce at a later date. If you’ve got something to add, something to ask, something that needs clarification…leave a comment or drop me an email. I’m more than happy to go into more detail about any player. Alright, time for the list…
1. Texas Arlington JR OF Michael Choice (good speed; good arm; solid in center, but best in right; strong hit tool; serious power potential)
2. Florida State JR OF Tyler Holt (fantastic approach; above-average runner; great baserunner; legitimately great defender; big hit tool)
3. Virginia Tech JR OF Austin Wates (gap power; good athlete; good to plus speed (70); capable defender in CF; may be tried at 2B; good turn on Cape; 6-1, 174 pounds
4. Auburn JR OF Trent Mummey (plus speed; legendary defender; solid pop; 5-10, 176 pounds)
5. Wabash Valley JC FR OF Mel Rojas (tons of projection; plus speed; plus power potential from both sides of plate; good defender in CF; weak arm may relegate him to LF; 6-3, 195 pounds)
6. Louisville SO OF Stewart Ijames (great bat speed; big power potential; good approach; decent speed; should be average or better defender in corner spot, likely right; good arm; 6-1, 205 pounds)
7. Middle Tennessee State JR OF Bryce Brentz (plus bat speed; easy 65 power; above-average runner; plus arm; legit five-tool talent; great athlete; 89-92 FB off of mound)
8. Ohio JR OF Gauntlett Eldemire (above-average to almost plus speed (70); plus power potential; very good defender)
9. Clemson JR OF Kyle Parker (plus raw power; plus arm strength, but lacks accuracy; knocked for stiff movements and only being able to hit mistake pitches)
10. West Oklahoma State JC SO OF Randolph Oduber (good raw power; above-average to plus speed; good athlete; little to no plate discipline, but improving in this area; very raw; below-average arm; 6-2, 200 pounds)
11. Cal State Fullerton JR OF Gary Brown (plus speed (70); good bat control; plus defender in CF; average arm; puts ball in play at very high rate, but inability to take a walk makes his overall offensive value very much dependent on batting average; 6-0, 180 pounds)
12. Jacksonville State JR OF Todd Cunningham (quick bat; good approach at plate; little present power, but flashes raw plus power during batting practice; could just be gap power as professional; good defender; average arm; good speed; performed well with wood on Cape; danger of being labeled a tweener; 6-1, 205 pounds)
13. Virginia JR OF Jarrett Parker (plus power potential; very good defender; above-average arm; plus speed; all five tools are there; struggled with wood on Cape; Lastings Milledge comp; 6-3, 190 pounds)
14. Louisiana State JR OF Leon Landry (plus speed; plus athlete; raw in all phases; big power potential; legit defensive tools, but extremely inconsistent tracking balls in the air; 5-11, 195 pounds)
15. Wake Forest JR OF Steven Brooks (evidence of all five tools present; plus raw speed, solid defensively in center; raw power potential is there, but inconsistent with in-game power)
16. Coastal Carolina JR OF Rico Noel (above-average speed, but plus runner because of great base stealing instincts; plus defender in center)
17. Oregon State JR OF Adalberto Santos (above-average to plus speed; good plate discipline; versatile defender; gap power)
18. Michigan JR OF Ryan LaMarre (good knowledge of strike zone despite hacktastic 2010; plus power potential; good to plus (60) speed)
19. Catawba SR OF Wade Moore (very good defender in CF; plus speed; some gap power; leadoff man profile; 6-0, 200 pounds)
20. Catawba SR OF Craige Lyerle (leadoff man profile; very good arm; excellent speed; some pop; utility player future; can also play 3B; 6-0, 180 pounds)
21. Yavapai JC SO DeMarcus Tidwell (plus speed; plus athlete; above-average with all tools except power; 6-1, 190 pounds)
22. San Jacinto SO OF Randall Thorpe (plus speed; plus range in CF; average power potential; average arm strength; 6-1, 175 pounds)
23. Miami-Dade SO OF Jabari Blash (plus runner; solid-average arm; huge raw power potential, but has never been able to consistently show it in game situations; not a good defender; 6-5, 220 pounds)
24. Oxnard FR OF Harper White (present gap power with homerun potential with tweaks to swing; above-average runner; 6-6, 200 pounds)
25. Virginia JR OF Dan Grovatt (patient approach; gap power; average fielder; above-average to plus arm strength, good enough for RF; average speed; 6-1, 175 pounds)
26. Meridian SO OF Corey Dickerson (above-average bat; above-average raw power; average speed; above-average arm; good size; nice swing)
27. Weatherford SO OF Bryson Myles (plus speed; good bat; power a definite question)
28. Clemson JR OF Jeff Schaus (pretty swing; good natural hitter; average power; average speed; stuck in LF)
29. Rutgers JR OF Pat Biserta (iffy defender in left field who may profile best at first or DH, but his numbers have been so strong in 2010 — park and schedule adjusted line of .440/.502/.812; 28 BB/28 K; 43 extra base hits; 5/6 SB — that you’re at least getting a guy with big league bench bat potential)
30. California JR OF Mark Canha (poor defender in the outfield who may have to play first base professionally; above-average to plus arm; interesting hit tool; 6-2, 195 pounds)
31. Missouri SR OF Aaron Senne (advanced idea of strike zone; good power)
32. East Carolina JR OF Devin Harris (60 power, 65 arm, 60 speed; great athlete, but really inconsistent college career)
33. Texas JR OF Kevin Keyes (plus power potential; slow; average arm)
34. Auburn JR OF Kevin Patterson (big raw power, but too many swings and misses)
35. Pacific JR OF Nick Longmire (above-average athlete; good range in outfield; added strength in 2010; 6-2, 210 pounds)
36. Rutgers JR OF Jaren Matthews (unrefined approach prior to 2010, but concerted effort to take better at bats impressed; plus defensive possibilities at first base (natural position), but a good enough athlete to be average or better in the outfield; to that end, good enough speed and instincts for outfield make the conversion likely to happen; 6-2, 215 pounds)
37. Auburn JR OF Brian Fletcher (aggressive at plate, in both a good and bad way; good athlete; good defender; strong arm; plus power; 6-4, 195 pounds)
38. Tampa JR OF Jared Simon (very pretty swing; too aggressive at plate; 1B or LF professionally, so defense is certainly an issue; will have to hope bat carries him; 6-1, 210 pounds)
39. Sonoma State JR OF Kyle Jones (above-average speed; good arm; likely limited to LF as a pro because of iffy instincts; 6-0, 195 pounds)
40. Florida Southern SR OF Trae Gore (decent arm; average at best speed; good base runner; some power potential; LF professionally; 6-0, 215 pounds)
41. Central Florida SR OF Chris Duffy (plus hit tool; average raw power; above-average arm strength; good athlete and underrated speed)
42. Bucknell SR OF Andrew Brouse (good athlete; above-average speed; good arm; above-average defender; 6-2, 205 pounds)
43. Nebraska-Omaha JR OF Ryan Hook (peak 95 FB off of mound; nice approach; good pop; above-average speed; good range in CF and RF; plus arm; 6-2, 190 pounds)
44. Ohio JR OF Robert Maddox (good strength; good runner; quick enough bat; can hold down any of the three outfield spots)
45. Rutgers JR OF Michael Lang (intriguing power/speed combo; above-average speed; should stick as average CF as pro; strong arm; good athlete; no plus tool, but well-rounded; 5-11, 180 pounds)
46. Dallas Baptist SR OF Ryan Enos (plus speed; good range; good athlete)
47. Truett-McConnell SO OF Terrell Jones (gap power; good approach)
48. Gonzaga SR OF Drew Heid (great track record with wood; slightly above-average speed; decent range in CF; playable arm; only plus tool is bat; 5-9, 175 pounds)
49. Murray State SR OF Wes Cunningham (plus speed; poor defender stuck in corner; good arm)
50. Vanderbilt JR OF Aaron Westlake (smooth swing; capable of playing average at best defense behind plate if called upon; four-corners potential; 6-4, 230 pounds)
51. South Carolina JR OF Whit Merrifield (near-plus runner; great instincts on bases; solid tools; mature approach)
52. CC of Southern Nevada SO OF Trevor Kirk (good approach; leadoff hitter profile; good speed)
53. Fort Hays State JR OF Jordan Payne (plus speed; plus CF range; no current power, little projected)
54. Chipola JC SO OF Joey Rapp (powerful swing; bat will make or break him going forward)
55. Iowa JR OF Kurtis Muller (plus speed; little power; good base runner; 5-10, 165 pounds)
56. Georgia Tech SR OF Jay Dantzler (very good athlete)
57. Central Florida SR OF Shane Brown (good bat speed; versatile defender capable of playing 3B)
58. Michigan State SR OF Eli Boike (patient approach; good defender, can play CF; decent power; 6-1, 180 pounds)
59. Pittsburgh JR OF John Schultz (five average tools at best; limited power; good approach; 5-11, 190 pounds)
60. Manhattan JR OF Mike McCann (good strike zone judgment; average speed; average arm; 5-10, 175 pounds)
61. James Madison SR OF Matt Browning (gap power; has played some 3B in past)
62. Florida State JR OF Mike McGee (great approach; average speed; could be tried on mound)
63. Nebraska SR OF Adam Bailey (undisciplined bat; plus arm; big power; 6-0, 190 pounds)
64. Texas SR OF Russell Moldenhauer (poor runner; good power; professional bat)
65. North Carolina State SR OF Kyle Wilson (plus athlete; versatile defender; can play center; above-average speed; questions about bat translating to wood)
66. Florida SR OF Matt Den Dekker (plus speed; great base stealer; outstanding defender)
67. Louisville JR OF Josh Richmond (good power; average speed; good range; good arm)
68. Washington SO OF Caleb Brown (extremely raw; too many empty swings; legit speed, arm, and defense in CF; many believe in his bat, but needs results; 6-2, 220 pounds)
69. Indiana State SR OF Ryan Strausborger (plus speed; good range in CF; decent arm; leadoff hitter profile, patient with pop; smart base runner; has experience up the middle in the infield; 6-0, 180 pounds)
70. San Diego State JR OF Cory Vaughn (plus raw power; arm and speed limit him to LF; terrible plate discipline; poor swing mechanics; fastball hitter only)
71. Georgia State SO OF Joey Wood (plus hit tool)
72. Stanford JR OF Kellen Kiilsgaard (plus athlete; plus power potential; plus speed; should be above-average defender; questionable arm; weird 2010 season; 6-2, 225 pounds)
73. Sonoma State JR OF Tillman Pugh (plus speed; plus defender in CF; huge tools, but very raw; 6-0, 190 pounds)
74. Samford SR OF David Schulze (average speed; weak arm; LF professionally; 6-2, 210 pounds)
75. Dallas Baptist JR OF Jason Krizan (gap power)
76. Cal Poly SR OF Luke Yoder (good speed; leadoff hitter profile; some power developing; solid tools across board)
77. Georgia Tech JR OF Chase Burnette (good power)
78. Texas JR OF Tant Shepherd (average runner)
79. Wright State SR OF Casey McGrew (played well for Team USA)
80. Virginia Tech SR OF Steve Domecus (good arm, decent defender, good athlete, power potential; strong hit tool; can play behind plate when needed)
81. Texas A&M SR OF Brodie Greene (great athlete; versatile defender with experience all over the diamond; good speed; some power)
82. Ohio State SR OF Zach Hurley (solid speed; good defense; good arm; good baserunner)
83. Sam Houston State JR OF Mark Hudson (pretty swing; plus bat speed; legit power potential; solid-average speed; strong CF arm; 6-2, 200 pounds)
84. Western Michigan SR OF Chris Lewis (good plate discipline; big hit tool; poor body and no other above-average tools; 6-1, 205 pounds)
85. Georgia Tech JR OF Jeff Rowland (some pop; plus speed; good defender)
86. Rice JR OF Michael Fuda (good gap power; plus speed; good defender; versatile defender; strong arm; great athlete; 6-0, 190 pounds)
87. Virginia JR OF John Barr (plus speed; plus range in corner, but not suited for CF)
88. Florida Gulf Coast JR OF Josh Chester (solid arm; interesting power)
89. East Carolina JR OF Trent Whitehead (good pop; above-average speed; plus range)
90. UCLA JR OF Brett Krill (power potential, but underwhelmed in three college seasons)
91. Clemson JR OF Addison Johnson (good speed)
92. Clemson SR OF Wilson Boyd (average power; average speed)
93. Siena SR OF Anthony Giansanti (nice swing; intriguing hit tool; average speed; strong arm; good athlete; 5-10, 195 pounds)
94. Auburn JR OF Justin Fradejas (plus speed; plus arm; above-average bat speed; 6-0, 190 pounds)
95. Kentucky SO OF Navarro Hall (leadoff profile; patient approach; plus speed; plus range; weak arm; infrequent at bats in 2010; 6-1, 180 pounds)
96. Xavier JR OF John McCambridge (above-average speed; little power; great athlete; leadoff man profile; good defense in CF; 6-2, 205 pounds)
97. Mississippi JR OF Tim Ferguson (good hit tool; some pop; above-average speed; good range)
98. Louisiana Lafayette SR OF Kyle Olasin (plus runner; plus range in CF; above-average tools except power; 5-10, 175 pounds)
99. Rice JR OF Chad Mozingo (good power; good range; doesn’t have a cannon for an arm, but unusually accurate)
100. San Diego JR OF Kevin Muno (plus runner; good range)
101. Boston College JR OF Robbie Anston (plus speed; very good defender; leadoff hitter profile)
2010 MLB Draft: Top 75 College Lefthanded Pitching Prospects
Three things before we get to the rankings of the top 75 (!) college lefthanded pitching prospects…
(1) It is absolutely my intent, time permitting, to explain some of these choices in greater depth, but my time management skills have bitten me in the butt again and now I’m trying to focus first and foremost on just getting all of the rankings out there before draft day. Love the rankings, hate the rankings…it’s all good, and I’m happy to debate on any particular placement, but, for now, hopefully they can serve as a handy resource if nothing else.
(2) If you’ve made a comment on or emailed me about any of the previous college player rankings, thank you. Seriously, thanks. I love comments and I’m being 100% truthful when I say I’ve yet to get an uninformed one since starting this site a little over a year ago. I apologize for not giving responses in a timely manner, but I’ve got a quick feature based on a few of the comments/emails that I think will at least partially make up for it.
(3) The rankings of top college outfielders should be published on Wednesday, followed by the complete 2010 MLB Draft college position player big board. Thursday should bring the top 100 (give or take) college righthanded pitching prospect list, followed by the complete 2010 MLB Draft college pitching big board. Then it’ll be a flurry of high school lists before culminating in the last pre-draft big board and, maybe, a final stab at a mock. This is going to be a fun week.
Alright, enough of that. Apologies for the ugly formatting, but I couldn’t figure out a way to lay everything out so that it was any easy to read than this. Enjoy.
1. Florida Gulf Coast JR LHP Chris Sale
89-92 with plus sink on FB,95-96 peak; very good to plus 77-80 CU; average 77-78 SL that works a bit slurvy; gets big edge over Pomeranz in FB command; big ground ball pitcher (65+% in 2010); Andrew Miller body comp; 6-6, 185 pounds; signature win (8 IP 4 H 2 ER 2 BB 10 K) against Clemson (2.98 FIP; 13.02 K/9; 1.22 BB/9)
2. Kentucky/Grand Prairie AirHogs SR LHP James Paxton
90-94 FB, peaks at 97; plus CB; CU needs work, but enough there to believe it’ll be average with work; 6-4, 215 pounds
3. San Diego SO LHP Sammy Solis
90-92 FB pre-injury, now sitting more regularly 87-89, but pitch maintains serious late life through zone; plus 77-78 CU; excellent 71-75 CB when on; 76-78 mystery pitch that has been identified as either a harder CB with bite or the beginnings of a SL; coming back from ruptured disc in back; 6-5, 228 pounds; (4.07 FIP; 9.88 K/9; 2.09 BB/9)
4. Mississippi JR LHP Drew Pomeranz
90-92 FB, can get it up to 94-95; good to plus KCB at 79-81; improving 80-83 CU that is now considered potential average big league offering; 6-5, 235 pounds (2.85 FIP; 13.45 K/9; 4.23 BB/9)
5. UCLA JR LHP Rob Rasmussen
89-92 FB; touched 93-94 on Cape; low-70s CB that can be plus pitch, but should be above-average at worst; 82-85 SL has potential; 81-82 CU needs more reps; easy mechanics, but can get out of whack at times; interesting JP Howell comp; 5-11, 170 pounds (3.56 FIP; 11.77 K/9; 2.65 BB/9)
6. Oregon State JR LHP Josh Osich
missed 2010 season after having Tommy John surgery; 93-96 FB, peak 98; plus CB; CU with plus potential; gambling on him past round 5 seems like it’s worth a shot, but that’s without any inside information on whether he’d even consider signing or how his rehab is going
7. Arkansas SO LHP Drew Smyly
88-92 FB with sink; has hit 93-94 in past; good low-80s SL; CB; CU; 6-3, 190 pounds (2.55 FIP; 10.65 K/9; 2.69 BB/9)
8. San Jacinto JC FR LHP Miguel Pena
87-90 FB, peak 92; hard thrower with right hand as well; really good CU; plus control; lots of positive word of mouth has me sold, but admittedly little is still known about Pena relative to other names on list
9. Miami JR LHP Chris Hernandez
86-89 FB; plus mid-80s cutter; good CU; usable SL (3.78 FIP; 10.78 K/9; 2.83 BB/9)
10. Florida JR LHP Kevin Chapman
92-95 FB; plus SL; emerging CU that has been underutilized; 6-4, 215 pounds (3.85 FIP; 9.84 K/9; 1.37 BB/9) ***
11. Tennessee JR LHP Bryan Morgado
90-92, peak 94 FB; up to 96 in relief; 78-80 average SL; average 78-81 CU; nasty CB that was rarely seen this spring; 6-3, 205 pounds (4.40 FIP; 10.27 K/9; 4.48 BB/9)
12. Oregon State JR LHP Tanner Robles
88-92 FB with really good sink, but has peaked at 94-95 FB in past; 73-75 CB that could be plus pitch in time; CU is the question; very good athlete; 6-4, 205 (3.97 FIP; 9.71 K/9; 3.08 BB/9)
13. Florida State JR LHP John Gast
low-90s FB; high-70s CB; extremely up and down with stuff; (4.30 FIP; 8.33 K/9; 3.55 BB/9)
14. Boston College JR LHP Pat Dean
87-90 FB, peak 93; plus FB command; above-average CU; average CB and SL; plus control; overuse a concern (3.06 FIP; 7.76 K/9; 1.51 BB/9)
15. Iowa SR LHP Zach Robertson
mid-to-upper 80s FB, peaking at 87-88; very good CU with great deception; 55ish CB; smooth, clean, easily repeatable delivery; 6-1, 195 pounds (4.21 FIP; 10.15 K/9; 3.78 BB/9)
16. Auburn JR LHP Cole Nelson
91-93 FB; really good SL; good athlete; 6-7, 230 pounds (4.06 FIP; 9.29 K/9; 3.48 BB/9)
17. Chipola JC LHP Austin Wright
89-93 FB; SL and CB with real potential; CU; poor FB command has held him back; control an ongoing issue; big raw talent, but still waiting to put it all together
18. Florida Southern JR LHP Max Russell
upper-80s FB; good CB
19. UC Santa Barbara JR LHP Kevin Gelinas
90-94 FB; improving command; CB; CU; 6-5, 230 pounds
20. Tampa SR LHP Carmine Giardina
87-89 FB, peaking 91-92; has sat a tick or two higher in 2010; above-average 79-82 SL; good slow low-70s CB; decent upper-70s CU; clean mechanics; 6-3, 215 pounds
21. Coastal Carolina JR LHP Cody Wheeler
87-92 FB, peak 94; sharp 77-82 SL; good 81-83 CU; loses velocity as game goes on; (3.63 FIP; 10.05 K/9; 2.96 BB/9)
22. Missouri State SO LHP Mike Kickham
89-92 FB; 94 peak; good SL; decent CU; CB (4.48 FIP; 10.03 K/9; 2.72 BB/9)
23. Georgia SR LHP Alex McRee
89-92 with above average movement; up to mid-90s out of bullpen; 81-83 average SL; CU and CB should be average; similar delivery to BJ Ryan; 6-6, 230 pounds (3.38 FIP; 16.93 K/9; 11.69 BB/9)
24. Rice JR LHP Matt Evers
89-91 FB with plus movement, peaking at 92-93; plus cutter; 81-83 above-average SL; 82-83 above-average CU; command is improving, but still an issue; 6-3, 220 pounds ***
25. Hawaii JR LHP Sam Spangler
88-91, topping at 93-94 with FB; good hard CB; plus CU; LOOGY floor; 6-1, 190 pounds (3.12 FIP; 8.02 K/9; 3.88 BB/9)
26. Miami JR LHP Eric Erickson
coming back from Tommy John surgery; below-average FB; average CB; plus control (4.24 FIP; 8.55 K/9; 1.01 BB/9)
27. Elon JR LHP Jimmy Reyes
88-91 FB; above-average SL and CU, but both pitches are hurt by inconsistent command; 5-10, 194 pounds (3.85 FIP; 9.25 K/9; 1.89 BB/9)
28. UC Santa Barbara JR LHP Mario Hollands
heavy upper-80s FB, peaking at 92-93 on occasion; 84-85 SL; CU (4.35 FIP; 7.22 K/9; 2.57 BB/9)
29. Missouri State JR LHP Aaron Meade
upper-80s FB, peaking at 91-92 on his best day; very good to plus CU; good to plus command; (3.45 FIP; 8.96 K/9; 4.54 BB/9)
30. UC Irvine SR LHP Daniel Bibona
86-88 FB; plus CU; good cutter; SL; plus command; Randy Flores comp seems like a really strong one; similar to Manno, but better control gives him boost; 6-0, 170 (3.36 FIP; 10.30 K/9; 1.50 BB/9)
31. Duke SR LHP Chris Manno
more at 85-89 now with FB now, but has touched 90-91 in the past; quality mid-70s SL that has been inconsistent of late; plus CU; great command of FB; 6-2, 160 pounds (2.23 FIP; 11.19 K/9; 4.63 BB/9)
32. Old Dominion JR LHP Kyle Hald
85-87 FB, peak 88; plus-plus SFCU; sharp SL; CB; great fielder, great pickoff move; clean mechanics; 5-11, 175 pounds (4.26 FIP; 8.37 K/9; 2.70 BB/9)
33. San Jacinto JC SO LHP David Rollins
upper-80s FB, peak 92; solid CB; solid CU; smooth delivery; recovering from injury to non-throwing shoulder; 6-2, 185 pounds
34. Dayton SO LHP Cameron Hobson
87-91 FB with movement; good SL; solid CB; developing CU with potential; plus makeup; 6-1, 205 pounds (4.45 FIP; 7.28 K/9; 3.81 BB/9)
35. Clemson JR LHP Casey Harman
86-88 FB with good sink; plus high-70s CU; high-70s SL needs work; 6-2, 200 pounds (4.74 FIP; 8.28 K/9; 2.76 BB/9)
36. Kentucky JR LHP Logan Darnell
88-92, peak 93-94 FB; almost a sidearm delivery; good CB; 6-2, 205 pounds (4.60 FIP; 7.33 K/9; 3.18 BB/9)
37. Concordia LHP Ben Whitmore
93 peak FB; plus command
38. Sonoma State JR LHP Scott Alexander
plus FB velocity; good CB; average CU; 6-3, 210 pounds
39. North Carolina State JR LHP Grant Sasser
83-87 FB; plus SL; above-average CU; 6-0, 210 pounds (4.41 FIP; 9 K/9; 3.2 BB/9)
40. Oklahoma SR LHP JR Robinson
93 peak FB (3.88 FIP; 10.29 K/9; 3.67 BB/9)
41. Kansas State JR LHP Thomas Rooke
mid-80s FB; very good CU; CB; 5-11, 190 pounds (3.97 FIP; 12.34 K/9; 3.09 BB/9) ***
42. Oklahoma State SR LHP Tyler Lyons
88-90 FB with sink; plus command; good CB; CU (4.31 FIP; 8.93 K/9; 1.81 BB/9)
43. Oklahoma State JR LHP Thomas Keeling
90-93 FB, 95-96 peak; good 78-82 CB; often relies almost exclusively on FB; 6-3, 184 pounds (4.20 FIP; 13.43 K/9; 5.60 BB/9)
44. Pepperdine JR LHP Matt Bywater
88-89 FB with plus movement; really good slow low-70s SL; high-70s sinking CU; (3.68 FIP; 7.87 K/9; 2.59 BB/9)
45. Gonzaga JR LHP Reedy Berg
88-89 FB with good movement; plus FB command; plus CU; solid CB; 6-2, 205 pounds (4.20 FIP; 5.23 K/9; 3.05 BB/9)
46. Indiana SO LHP Blake Monar
mid- to upper-80s FB, peak at 87-88; plus CB; SL; injury set back progress in 2010; 6-2, 185 pounds
47. College of Southern Nevada LHP Bryan Harper
88-92 FB; solid 76-78 CB; emerging CU; 6-5, 190 pounds
48. Maryland JR LHP Adam Kolarek
upper-80s with FB, peak of 93-94; above-average 83-84 SL; clean delivery; 6-2, 215 pounds (4.06 FIP; 9.34 K/9; 4.79 BB/9)
49. Virginia Tech JR LHP Justin Wright
buddy who loves Virginia Tech baseball told me all I had to write here was the following: “he may be a Hokie, but he’s nothing short of a bulldog out on the mound” (4.27 FIP; 9.04 K/9; 3.01 BB/9)
50. Oklahoma State JR LHP Mike Strong
91-92 FB; holds velocity late; good hammer CB; 6-0, 170 pounds (4.42 FIP; 9.65 K/9; 4.76 BB/9)
51. UCLA JR LHP Mitch Beacom
85-87 FB; could be a LOOGY long-term; 6-8, 240 pounds (3.97 FIP; 11.72 K/9; 1.53 BB/9) ***
52. Oregon State JR LHP Kraig Sitton
93 peak FB; good SL (3.19 FIP; 8.04 K/9; 3.16 BB/9) ***
53. UCLA JR LHP Matt Grace
87-90 FB, peak 92; 78-81 CU (3.86 FIP; 7.30 K/9; 2.55 BB/9) ***
54. Louisiana Tech SO LHP Mike Jefferson
88-93 FB with plus movement; slurve that has flashed plus when closer to true SL; upper-70s CB; great move to first; 6-4, 185 pounds (5.41 FIP; 8.36 K/9; 7.26 BB/9)
55. Manatee JC SO LHP Alex Burgos
89-92 FB; good cutter
56. Arkansas Little Rock SR LHP Adam Champion
87-92 FB with tons of sink; FB sometimes dips to hittable mid-80s; plus SL; CU; 6-7, 220 pounds (4.01 FIP; 6.77 K/9; 3.02 BB/9)
57. Northwestern JR LHP Eric Jokisch
87-89 FB, peak 92; very good CB; solid CU (4.29 FIP; 6.14 K/9; 3.61 BB/9)
58. Texas Tech JR LHP Jay Johnson
89-93 FB; peak 95; FB has good movement, but iffy command; potential plus 78-80 SL; 6-2, 200 pounds (4.28 FIP; 8.46 K/9; 6.83 BB/9) ***
59. Tennessee Tech SR LHP Adam Liberatore
coming off of Tommy John surgery; 94 peak FB; very good CU (4.33 FIP; 8.61 K/9; 3.00 BB/9)
60. Kutztown SR LHP Nate Reed
83-89 FB; has been at 89-92 before; solid CB; good circle CU; control still a major issue; feels like this is the 12th year that Reed’s been draft-eligible; 6-3, 190 pounds
61. Arizona State SR LHP Josh Spence
mid-80s FB, topping at 86; above-average CU, very good CB; variety of arm angles; great command; lost 2010 due to injury
62. Tennessee SO LHP Steven Gruver
89-91 FB with more there; plus command; breaking ball and CU need work; 6-2, 205 pounds (4.90 FIP; 7.45 K/9; 2.33 BB/9)
63. Murray State SR LHP Chris Craycraft
mid- to high-80s FB with sink; good SL; good command; 6-2, 200 pounds (5.00 FIP; 6.72 K/9; 3.57 BB/9)
64. Washington State SO LHP Rusty Shellhorn
88-90 FB; average at best breaking ball and CU; excellent command; 5-10, 180 pounds (5.92 FIP; 8.16 K/9; 3.14 BB/9)
65. Central Florida JR LHP Nick Cicio
mid-80s FB; above-average CU; slurve; below-average control; 5-11, 155 pounds (4.88 FIP; 8.69 K/9; 4.73 BB/9)
66. Kansas JR LHP Walter Marciel
86-87 FB, 88-91 before TJ surgery in early 2008; solid CB; CU; very good command; 6-0, 230 pounds (4.49 FIP; 8.21 K/9; 5.18 BB/9) ***
67. Army SR LHP Matt Fouch
87-91 FB with good command; good CB; emerging CU (5.28 FIP; 5.64 K/9; 2.82 BB/9)
68. Cal Poly JR LHP Matt Leonard
88-90 FB; plus CU with great arm action; CB; improved control; 6-0, 185 pounds (5.07 FIP; 4.91 K/9; 1.84 BB/9)
69. Tulane SR LHP Matt Petiton
mid- to upper-80s FB; good CB; solid CU (5.13 FIP; 5.27 K/9; 3.16 BB/9)
70. Louisville JR LHP Bob Revesz
90 FB; usable SL (3.94 FIP; 6.51 K/9; 3.25 BB/9) ***
71. Illinois Chicago SR LHP Chris Kovacevich
86-88 FB with life; plus CU; 6-5, 220 pounds (5.34 FIP; 5.06 K/9; 3.86 BB/9)
72. Georgia Southern SR LHP Dexter Bobo
90-92 FB; shaky command; poor secondary stuff (4.94 FIP; 6.75 K/9; 3.60 BB/9)
73. Northwestern SR LHP Dave Jensen
mid-80s FB; 6-6, 190 pounds (6.11 FIP; 5.32 K/9; 3.27 BB/9) ***
74. Rice JR LHP Tony Cingrani
88-90 FB; plus CU; above-average at times CB; 6-4, 190 pounds (4.91 FIP; 5.73 K/9; 6.14 BB/9)
75. Wisconsin-Oshkosh SR LHP Ryan Demmin
mid-to-upper 80s FB; plus SL; 6-1, 210 pounds
Draft Prospect Retro – Northeastern’s Adam Ottavino
Busy, busy, busy week ahead. To get things started, a blast from the past in honor of Adam Ottavino’s Saturday big league debut. Ottavino will always have a special place in my heart because he was the starting pitcher of the only no-hitter I have ever witnessed in person. 18,431 baseball games watched in person (estimated), and only one no-hitter. Good story, huh? Anyway, here’s something originally published June 1, 2006 because a) it’s topical, b) it’s an excuse for me to put up that sad excuse for the above live action baseball photo taken by yours truly, c) it’s a holiday and this took me 10 minutes to put together, and d) an easy post like this buys me another day to finish up working on my rankings of top college outfielders and pitchers. Sneaky! Anyway, here it is…
There is a lot to like about Northeastern righthander Adam Ottavino. He’s got a major league body already, throws with a loose and easy arm action, is capable of hitting 93/94 MPH with his fastball (sits at 89-92), and mixes in a plus slider along with an emerging curve. His 6’5”, 215 pound frame and imposing presence on the mound make him look like a major leaguer and his workload this year at Northeastern shows he is capable of becoming a big league innings eater.
One of my big concerns after watching him pitch is the way his throwing motion differs when he going from his fastball to any of his off-speed stuff – the Hofstra hitters completely sat on his curve in the top of the sixth at the May 5th game I was at. I realize this is an obscure reference and an extremely small sample size, but it is an example of the larger problem I noticed in the three games I scouted him. This is his May 5th six inning breakdown (from the Northeastern website):
Hofstra 6th – Caputo singled to left field (2-2). Caputo advanced to second on a passed ball. Kougasian struck out swinging (3-2). Caputo stole third. Walsh singled up the middle, RBI (1-1); Caputo scored. Stern doubled down the lf line (0-1); Walsh advanced to third. Oliveri singled to right field, 2 RBI (2-2); Stern scored; Walsh scored. Panzarella grounded into double play 3b to 2b to 1b (0-0); Oliveri out on the play. 3 runs, 4 hits, 0 errors, 0 LOB.
In that Hofstra-NEU game, I was able to stand with the scouts behind home plate and get a first hand look at their radar gun readings and pitch charts. His breakdown in that game (again, this is just one game, but it is reflective of Ottavino’s bigger picture as a pitcher):
I’m as high on Ottavino as almost any other righthanded college arm in this draft – he’ll be a major league pitcher someday. Whether he becomes a back of the rotation workhorse innings eater, a late inning setup man, or something bigger and better (maybe a 2/3 starter or closer) remains to be seen. If I was a betting man, I’d say he reaches that high end projection and becomes one of the first few pitchers to reach the major leagues out of this draft.
2010 MLB Draft: Top 30 College Third Base Prospects (10-1)
10. Oregon State JR 3B Stefen Romero
Romero is arguably the best present defender on the top ten list. He makes all the plays on balls hit at him, and has proven more than capable of ranging to both his left and right when needed. What really makes his draft stock pop in comparison to some other names on the list is his performance with wood last summer on the Cape. The raw numbers don’t jump right out at you, but all of the reports from the summer were positive. Romero kept the momentum going this spring by displaying a steady dose of good defense, above-average power, and decent athleticism. A few area scouts that have seen him play way more than I have seem to like him a lot more than I do, so take his placement on the list as a rare example of me trusting people smarter than myself. Rare not because I’m trusting them, but because there are people out there actually smarter than I am. Hard to believe, I know. Romero’s upside is a good four-corners bench bat for me, something true of the majority of the players on this list no matter how rosy a picture I try to paint of their ultimate super duper best case scenario big league ceilings.
9. Connecticut JR 3B Mike Olt
I’ve toyed with the idea of standardizing these quick scouting capsules, but always wind up just doing the rambling paragraph or two synopses you see up and down the page. Seems like all of those standardized reports have some sort of strengths/weaknesses attached somewhere, so let’s try it out with a personal favorite, Mike Olt:
Strengths: three above-average or better tools (65 raw power, 55 speed, and 65 arm), plus athleticism, and a big league ready frame
Weaknesses: present tool most need in work is his bat, due in large part to a largely unrefined approach and inconsistent swing mechanics
So, will Olt make enough consistent hard contact to put his other tools to use professionally? I think any one of the guys on one of the deepest top ten college position lists I can remember in the long, storied history of this site has the upside of an every day player if the circumstances allow it. That comes out as a cop-out, but it’s true; this is a really, really deep year for college third basemen.
8. San Diego JR 3B Victor Sanchez
My support of Victor Sanchez goes back to his prep days, so it’s hard for me to be completely objective when trying to evaluate his current draft stock. The memory of the potential plus defender with equally exciting power potential and a mature beyond his years approach to every single at bat may be just that, a memory. Sanchez’s slow recovery from labrum surgery has knocked his prospect stock way down, but I’m enthused by the perhaps misguided hope that his depressed draft standing will give him the chip on his shoulder (not literally) needed to prove all the teams that passed on him wrong. Talent doesn’t disappear, but it can get lost in the fog of injuries. Teams willing to take the chance that Sanchez will someday recovery 100% from his shoulder injury are betting that the fog will soon lift.
7. Kansas JR 3B Tony Thompson
If he sticks at third, you’ve got a real player on your hands. If he’s a first baseman long-term, the bat will need to go up a level or two before you could realistically consider him a potential regular at the spot. For now, I think he’s got nimble enough feet to stick at third through his mid-twenties. Thompson’s successful return to health after an early season injury has allowed him time to showcase the plus arm and plus power that should get him drafted in the first five rounds no matter what teams think about his defense.
6. Louisville SO 3B Phil Wunderlich
Makeup is one of the easiest scouting terms to throw around as a positive or a negative for any given prospect because anonymous internet sources (like mine!) are never asked to truly qualify what the word means. Here’s what I mean when I say Wunderlich’s makeup is off the charts: In an completely fictional, but totally possible survey of college coaches and players, Wunderlich would win the “most likely to manage” poll going away. He’s that kind of player. Intangibles aside, Wunderlich is an underrated athlete with legit plus power and amazing patience at the plate. He may not be a natural defender at third, but he’s also not the type of player you’d bet against working his tail off until he is at least a decent big league defensive player.
5. Oklahoma City JR 3B Matt Presley
A trio of haikus, one offensive, one defensive, and one summing it all up, to describe draft sleeper Matt Presley…
Strikeouts are scary
But bat gives pitchers nightmares
Power is special
Not Schmidt with leather
Still, strong arm and high effort
Might fit best in right
Star in Sooner state
Not quite on Durant’s level
Better nickname, though
In summary: Easy to fall in love with his bat, but hard to realistically see him ever being average or better at third. Also, I suck at haikus.
4. Pittsburgh JR 3B Joe Leonard
Leonard has gotten a ton of positive press over the past few weeks, all of it well earned. He came into the season as one of the best college hitting prospects and one of the few collegiate position players projected to be productive enough both at the plate and in the field to start every day in the big leagues. The one question that scouts had about his game was his power upside. Leonard has answered the bell by hitting for over 30 extra base hits and slugging well over .600. He’s a good athlete with a plus arm and great big league size for a third baseman. Defensively he’s presently skilled enough to be considered big league average at the position, and continued development ought to get him up above-average during his best defensive seasons.
Neither his offense nor his defense will ever quite approach the level of peak years Scott Rolen (a really underrated player by many, I think), but if you squint really hard you can begin to see Leonard as perhaps developing into that type of player – exciting defenders, strong physiques, and often mischaracterized as power hitters first and foremost. In fact, after looking at the numbers some, I’d compare Leonard’s upside as a hitter to something around what Rolen did his rookie season (.283/.377/.469) with the Phillies. That kind of upside is substantial, clearly, so it may very well be that Leonard’s placement on this list is a mistake that I’ll have to rectify before June 7th hits.
3. Georgia Tech JR 3B Derek Dietrich
I’m part of the small but vocal minority that seems to think Dietrich could play a decent shortstop professionally if given the chance, but, seeing as its highly unlikely he’ll ever get that opportunity, we’ll judge him here on the basis of his potential well above-average glove and plus arm at third. There’s very little mystery as to what kind of player a team will get if they take Dietrich early on; he’ll hit with both above-average contact and home run numbers (consistent 20 homer upside, I think), play solid to plus defense (as mentioned), and consistently work hard to improve his overall game. I’m no fan of writers/analysts/scouts/Larry Browns who fall back on the tired cliché “he plays the game the right way,” but, hypocrite that I am, Derek Dietrich simply plays the game the way it was meant to be played. He won’t be a sexy pick, but he’s as good a bet as any player on this list to contribute in some capacity in the big leagues.
2. Arkansas SO 3B Zack Cox
Easily confused fellow that I am, I don’t quite understand the negativity surrounding Cox’s power potential that has come to the surface this season. It seems to me that he can’t really win with some people. Last year people oohed and aahed as he flashed prodigious raw power, but disappointed in the plate discipline department. This year he’s taken a much more patient, contact-oriented approach, but is getting heat for not hitting for the same power as he did his freshman year. I realize slugging .600+ and socking 20 extra base hits in college (like Cox has done so far in 2010) isn’t quite the feat it appears to be at first blush, but it’s still a decent indicator that the guy hasn’t been reduced to a singles only hitter this year. Now imagine the possibility that good professional coaching can help Cox unlock the secret of maintaining his gains in plate discipline and a high contact rate while simultaneously helping him rediscover the big power stroke of his first collegiate season. Sounds pretty good, right?
As arguably the draft’s top position player prospect, much has already been written about Cox’s toolset. The cliff notes version is this: potential plus bat, above-average present power but plus projection, 45/50 runner, plus arm, good defender. His worst tool is probably his speed, and, as you can see, even that project to be around average. I think Cox’s ceiling is below that of your typical top half of the first round college bat, but he’s still a relatively safe pick to be an above-average regular third baseman for a first division club.
1. Tulane JR 3B Rob Segedin
I had Segedin as the 47th best draft-eligible player in the nation heading into the year, so it’s nice to see him succeed in 2010 for totally selfish reasons alone. Sure, it’s also nice to see a hard working young man work his way back from a season lost to injury to put himself in a position for a well earned big paycheck and chance at chasing his dream of professional baseball, but, really, it’s all about me, me, me! Anyway, Segedin has a gorgeous righthanded stroke that’s so pretty to look at it’s almost a surprise when he makes contact and the ball doesn’t fly to an unattended gap somewhere. Defensively, he’ll stick at third at least in the short-term (steady hands, limited range), but could become a rightfielder with average range and a cannon arm if needed. It’ll be the bat that makes him the big bucks, and it’s got all the makings of a special one. At the plate, Segedin is a professional player trapped in the college game. Rare plate discipline, gap power that’s finally beginning to round into over-the-fence pop, and impressive bat control make him a hitter with a big future going forward. When your floor is a lefty mashing four-corners utility guy, then you’d better believe the ceiling is much, much higher.
2010 MLB Draft: Top 30 College Third Base Prospects (20-11)
20. Alabama SR 3B Jake Smith
Players coming off of more accomplished collegiate seasons precede Smith on this list, so take this aggressive ranking as a show of good faith that the Alabama senior’s tools will trump his up-and-down college career when it comes to his success or failure in the pros. Hey, speaking of aggressive, one of Smith’s biggest current issues is a tendency to get too aggressive at the plate, jumping out at pitches before they reach his happy zone. He’s gotten away with it to some extent in college, but hacking at anything 16 inches (give or take) off, up, or away from the plate is no way to advance up the minor league ladder in the enlightened age of baseball we’re lucky to be living in. Smith’s tremendous raw power and excellent defensive tools play in any era of baseball, but he’s been slow to recover from a serious ankle injury. I get the feeling based on all of the above that we’re talking about another four-corners backup type here. Fun fact: Replace “serious ankle injury” with “labrum injury” and you’ve got a very similar situation to what the number eight overall prospect on this list is dealing with. Any guesses about the identify of our mystery prospect?
19. Clemson SO 3B John Hinson
John Hinson was a tough player to rank because of his status as a redshirt and thus draft-eligible sophomore and his positional versatility across the infield. He was an easy guy to rank this high because of the really nice things that anybody who has seen him play this year had to say about him. Hinson was a highly touted prospect out of high school who was considered advanced enough after his freshman year to be asked to play for Hyannis in the Cape Cod League. Back surgery cost him all of his 2009 season, but the fully recovered version of Hinson put up a 2010 statistical line that reads a lot like Pittsburgh’s Joe Leonard’s work this season. A plus hit tool combined with above-average speed and power will get you far professionally, but people smarter than myself that I talked with told me some teams question his ability to play any one particular spot in the infield with the consistency needed of a regular. Based on the limited looks of Hinson that I’ve seen, I can’t say that I necessarily agree with that assessment, but his defensive skillset (good athlete, iffy arm) may make him better suited for second base than third. At either spot, he’s got the bat to make him a potential regular with a couple breaks along the way.
18. Tarleton State JR 3B Chris Casazza
Like Jayson Langfels and Jake Smith before, and Jason Martinson and Mike Olt after, Chris Casazza’s biggest deficiency is a long swing with holes in it that winds up waving and missing at the ball far too often. Like Martinson a few spots ahead of him, Casazza’s good batting eye and sneaky power upside should keep his secondary statistics afloat even when the K’s are trying to drag his prospect stock below the surface. In many ways he’s quite simply the better version of Alabama’s Jake Smith, especially at the plate – more power, more patience, less strikeouts, and better all-around bat. Definite sleeper to watch.
17. Tennessee JR 3B Matt Duffy
Duffy was a deep sleeper top five rounds candidate of mine heading into the season, so you know his underwhelming, but still solid, junior season won’t downgrade his stock too much for me. The Vermont transfer has all of the defensive tools to play a decent shortstop professionally, but profiles better as a potential plus defender at the hot corner. For Duffy, a Jack Hannahan (with more raw power) or Andy LaRoche (with less raw power) type of career is possible.
16. Azusa Pacific SR 3B Ryan Delgado
Delgado earned his way on the list because of his ridiculous power numbers over the years, but it certainly doesn’t hurt that Azusa Pacific has one of the most fun college names to say out loud. Try it, you won’t be disappointed. Besides the cool college name and plus power potential, Delgado has a true plus arm and a well above-average overall hit tool. His defense at third isn’t currently at the level where you could project him as above-average professionally, but the tools are there for him at least wind up a decent defensive player at least through his twenties. If it doesn’t work at third, however, there’s a backup plan that I know for a fact is actually Plan A for some teams. Delgado’s future for some teams might be donning the tools of ignorance behind the plate every day. It’s a stretch and it’s based largely on the 3B/C future that could be in store, but I can’t shake the Jake Fox comp for Delgado that I heard way back when.
15. Coastal Carolina JR 3B Scott Woodward
It’s very easy to envision Scott Woodward playing in the big leagues someday. He’s got an outstanding approach to hitting, a discerning batting eye, and a really good idea of his fundamental strengths and weaknesses at the plate. Woodward ably uses his plus-plus speed to leg out infield hits, turn balls driven to the gaps into triples, and steal bases at a tremendous success rate (46 steals in 52 tries). Home runs will likely never be a big part of his game, but his is a game based more on speed and plate discipline anyway. He could have the type of career many once projected for former Dodgers prospect Joe Thurston. Another comp that I like a lot is Phillies minor leaguer Tyson Gillies, a comparison made more interesting due to the fact both players are hearing impaired, but one not at all dependent on that fact as the basis of the comp. When I first thought of it a few weeks ago the connection didn’t even occur to me, but the two players share enough distinct offensive similarities to make it work.
14. North Carolina State JR 3B Russell Wilson
Betting on Wilson is betting on upside, a worthy risk to take when you are considering which mid-round college hitter to gamble on. See, the sad little truth about lists like this are that the players, while undeniably impressive and accomplished and talented, are more than likely never going to play in the big leagues. Heck, many of them won’t see AA. Once you get past the top two or three names on any of these college lists, it’s all a big guessing game. Educated guessing, to be sure, but guessing all the same. To make a long intro slightly less long, if you’re are going to bet on a mid-round college player, go for the rare guy with untapped potential. That’s Wilson. Here’s why…
I tend to overuse this word when writing about draft prospects, but it applies to Wilson so well here that I can’t help myself. Wilson is an interesting prospect. More than one team affiliated employee I spoke to used that word to describe Wilson in some way – “interesting upside,” “interesting bat,” and “interesting future.” Watch him for just a couple of innings and you’ll see evidence of all five tools right away. His bat is, well, interesting, and his power, while mostly to the gaps at this point, could top out with homer totals in the teens professionally. As a former quarterback unafraid to take off with the ball when needed, it comes as no surprise that his speed rates as an easy 60, with startlingly quick acceleration. Defensively he may have the speed, instincts, and athleticism to play up the middle (2B or CF), but his presence on this particular list is a bet on his plus arm playing best at third base over the long run. Wilson’s numbers this year were solid across the board, but his performance must be judged with his lack of college ball experiences prior to 2010 in mind. He needs more reps on the diamond, but if a team is patient with him they could be rewarded with a player who closely mirrors the Melvin Mora developmental path, something that will no doubt interest a big league club or two come draft day.
13. Texas State JR 3B Jason Martinson
The more I do this, the more I begin to gain an appreciation for the way certain college programs recruit and develop talent. The job Ty Harrington has done in San Marcos is nothing short of spectacular. I relate it to a college football team with very specific offensive and defensive schemes recruiting not based on consensus overall talent levels, but rather best fits for the program. You’d think these less talented players would succeed mainly due to the system in college, but then, lo and behold, draft day comes and teams start taking these supposed system talents left and right. Turns out that players overlooked in high school can turn out to be pretty valuable prospects after three years of quality college coaching. I suppose that’s really just my long way of saying that even though it’s common the best high school players sign out of high school, and even though it’s common the best unsigned high school players go to the big name schools in Texas, it’s still possible to have some really talented players wind up at non-traditional baseball schools. Schools like that often have coaching staffs more familiar with coaching guys up than allowing them to coast by on natural abilities they may or may not have.
Martinson is a plus athlete with very good defensive tools who, similar to Tennessee’s Matt Duffy, may be good enough with the leather to stick up the middle (either shortstop or second base) in some organizations. For me, however, his hands, range, and arm all play best at third, a position where he could eventually be a decidedly above-average defender. Offensively the rap on Martinson coming into the year was that he swung and miss too often to ever hit for an acceptable average professionally. That may or may not be true going forward — his 2010 performance has been very similar to his 2009 — but his quick wrists and above-average plate discipline should help keep his on-base percentage up even when he is striking out more often than you’d like. Teams will worry less about the low contact rate if Martinson can begin to tap into some of the long awaited above-average raw power that hasn’t really showed up through three seasons of college ball. If he can begin to apply some of his brute physical strength into homerun power professionally, he’s got a chance to be a starter. If not, his best chance of earning the big bucks will be in the good defender/patient pinch hitter role.
12. Wichita State FR 3B Johnny Coy
Coy has taken a long, strange trip to get to this point, but the eventual payoff could very well make it all worth it. Coy’s story began as a two-sport high school star, regarded by many as a better basketball prospect than baseball. After getting drafted by the Phillies in the 7th round, protracted and sometimes testy (allegedly) negotiations between player and team led to the two sides opting to go their separate ways. Coy’s older brother was reportedly heavily involved with negotiations, strongly pushing his bro to either a) get every last penny from the Phillies as possible (making him a greedy villain to many) or b) go to school and get a quality education (a far more admirable position, some might say). Coy wound up enrolling at Arizona State, but never made it to baseball season. He left the Sun Devils to move closer to home after his father suffered a stroke in late 2008. That led him to Wichita State. As a Shocker, Coy has been able to focus on honing his considerable baseball skills. All of his raw tools grade out as average or better – 55 speed, 60 arm, 65-70 raw power, average hit tool, and, perhaps most controversially, above-average upside with the glove at third. I remember not believing for a second that he’d ever stick at third after seeing video of him in high school, but all of the noise regarding his defensive progress coming out of Wichita has been positive. I’m a big believer in the big (6-8, 210 pound) righthanded freshman. As mentioned, Coy was a 7th round pick by the Phillies back in 2008. The questions concerning his signability will probably keep him from hitting that mark here in 2010, but his true talent level makes him a top ten round candidate worth pursuing if he even begins to hint that he’ll consider signing.
11. Fresno City College FR 3B David Rohm
Rohm hits and hits and hits. He can also steal a bag when left unattended (great instincts on the bases), smack a ball the other way (very mature hitting style), and crank it out of the ballpark when the mood strikes (above-average present power). Mostly though, he hits. His defense ranks in the bottom third of players here in the top 30, but he still has a better than 50/50 shot to stick at the position through his first six years of big league control. Ah, the defense update is appreciated, you’re thinking, but, wait, can the guy hit? Excellent question; yes, David Rohm can hit.




