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2016 MLB Draft Follow Lists – Conference USA
Nothing against Conference USA, but putting this together was a lot more fun than it had any right to be. Looking at some of the individual teams had me putting this off for a bit, but it turns out that Conference USA has some really cool prospects this year. Case in point: the top tier hitting prospects – we’ll loosely define that as the first five, but it could be expanded to around nine if so inclined – all have clear top ten round upside. CJ Chatham is an intriguing modern shortstop who has opened eyes throughout the game with his huge start to 2016. In no means is it a direct comparison, but what he’s doing so far is similar to what Kyle Lewis has done at Mercer. Chatham, like Lewis, has done everything possible to turn a perceived weakness (approach) into a strength. Going from a 8 BB/39 K as a freshman and 10 BB/28 K as a sophomore to his draft year 10 BB/7 K ratio is something worth getting excited about. With Chatham’s seemingly improved approach, scouts can now freely focus on the other positives in his game (above-average range, above-average to plus arm, a 6-4, 185 pound frame to dream on) and begin forecasting a big league regular out of the overall package. In a class with a serious talent void at the top of the college shortstop rankings, Chatham has emerged as a legit contender to be the very first off the board and a top hundred pick. He’s that good.
Riley Delgado does it with far less size (and, for many, projection), but there’s no denying his consistent ability to grind out extended at bats that ultimately (more often than not) end with him on base. An approach like his matched with sneaky pop and steady defense makes him an easy draft target for me. Delgado gives me a lot of the same positive vibes that I felt with Dylan Bosheers last season. While I still hold out hope for Bosheers in 2016 and beyond, I think Delgado is both the better draft prospect and long-term professional player.
I believe in the bat of Nick Walker, so his prospect stock will come down more to learning more about his defensive future than anything else. The former shortstop is seen as a future outfielder by many, but if he can take the positive traits that made shortstop work for him in the first place – athleticism, arm strength, high baseball IQ – and turn into an above-average or better outfielder, then he remains plenty interesting as a prospect. A pair of senior-signs round out the top five in the persons of Danny Hudzina and Tim Lynch. I’ve long coveted the raw power of Lynch, one of this class’s most impressive hitters by any measure. His hot start to 2016 just makes me believe he’s even more underrated than I did a month ago; senior or not, all he does is crush baseballs.
Hudzina is a similarly talented hitter – more hit than power if we’re comparing him head-to-head with Lynch – who gets the edge because of his fascinating defensive versatility. I asked a few smart people about his long-term defensive home and each response gave me a new position to consider. Most preferred him at his present position of third base, a spot where he is really good already. Others thought he was athletic enough to handle short in a pinch, thus making his future position “utility infielder” more so than any one permanent spot. I also heard second base more than once, which made sense considering he has prior experience there. He also has experience behind the plate, so speculation that he’ll one day return to the catcher position will always be there. That was the most intriguing response, not only because of the idea itself (hardly a novel thought) but because of the conviction the friend who suggested it presented the thought (i.e., it wasn’t like he said that’s what should happen with him, he was saying that a switch to catcher will happen to him in the pros). Despite the certainty of that one friend, I’m still on the third base bandwagon with the idea of him being athletic enough to handle any infield spot (including third catcher duties) in play. All in all, offensively and defensively (wherever he may wind up), I think Hudzina has a big league skill set.
The run of Florida Atlantic prospects really begins just outside the top five. Chatham is the headliner now, but Stephen Kerr, Esteban Puerta, and Christian Dicks are all serious draft prospects in their own right. Kerr is a burner with plus to plus-plus speed and really intriguing defensive tools. Lack of a big-time arm might keep him at second rather than short as a professional, but the physical ability to be plus there in time helps soften the blow of a permanent position switch. A strong case could be made that Kerr is at least average or better in four of the five classic tools: in order, they’d go speed, glove (above-average to plus at second), hit tool (chance for above-average), and arm (plays up enough to call it average). The one obvious thing he lacks is power. Whether or not he continues to find ways to drive the occasional mistake pitch to keep the opposition honest could determine if his ceiling is honest big league regular or up-and-down utility guy. I’m bullish on his future.
Puerta is a fine young hitter with just the right blend of power and patience to make a mark on pro ball. Dicks doesn’t have a carrying tool, but has a card full of tools flirting in and around the average mark. He’s a well-rounded ballplayer with good athleticism and a track record of quality production. Further down the list is another Florida Atlantic product, Billy Endris. Endris is a good college player who has built a decent case over the last year plus that he’s got enough to warrant a late look in the draft.
Esteban Tresgallo, a Miami transfer, has seen his plate discipline indicators go backwards in the early going, but has enough of a track record, prospect pedigree, and favorable scouting notes (steady glove, nice power, enough athleticism) to deserve a mid- to late-round pick. Logan Sherer is a power bat who might finally be tapping into every bit of his 6-3, 250 pound frame. Taylor Love, Zach Rutherford, and Geonte Jackson all intrigue me as potential bat-first bench contributors capable of playing a multitude of defensive spots.
You’ll notice the cluster of Rice guys near the bottom of the hitter list. I did what I could to separate them, but no matter how often I left the list and came back to it, they always clumped together. Quite honestly, I’m sure what to say about that lineup right now. None of the 2016 draft-eligible guys are hitting. It’s ugly. They are like the anti-Florida Atlantic. No player exemplifies the frustration of what’s gone down with the Rice hitters as well as Hunter Kopycinski, a fine defender who came into the season with just enough of an offensive track record to get some late-round senior-sign org catcher love. He’s currently off to an oh-for-thirty start. Charlie Warren’s lack of pop clouds his pro future. Grayson Lewis and Conor Tekyl have the gloves to succeed, but time is running out on their bats. If you’re looking for a bat out of Rice good enough to contribute professionally, then you’re much better off waiting on Ryan Chandler (2017) and Ford Proctor (2018).
The good news for Rice is that their ace is very clearly the best pitching prospect in the conference. Jon Duplantier is awesome. There are only so many college baseball and draft writers out there and there are a ton of quality players to write about, but it still surprises me that Duplantier has managed to go (kind of) under the radar this spring. I mean, of course Duplantier has been written about plenty and he’s regarded by almost anybody who matters as one of the top college arms in this class – not to mention I’m guilty of not writing about him until now myself – but it still feels like we could all be doing more to spread the word about how good he really is. Here’s what I wrote about him in his draft capsule last year…
175. Rice SO RHP Jon Duplantier: 87-94 FB, 95 peak; good CU; good 73-75 CB; average 82-85 SL, flashes above-average when harder; good command; great athlete; fascinating draft case study as a hugely overlooked injured arm that one scout described to me as “every bit as good as Dillon Tate when on” and another said his injury was a “blessing in disguise” because it saved him from further abuse at the hands of Coach Graham; 6-4, 210 pounds
His fastball has since topped out as high as 97-98 and more consistently sits in the mid- to upper-band of that velocity range (90-94). His command has continued to improve and his breaking balls are both showing more consistency. I’ve heard his change has backed up some – more of a future average pitch at 82-84 than anything – but seeing as that’s just one of three usable offspeed pitches, it’s not the end of the world. Duplantier is big, athletic, and getting better by the day. I don’t know if that all adds up to a first round selection in this class, but it is damn close if not.
After Duplantier, you can pretty much put the next dozen or so names in a hat and hope for the best. I like the big arm of Nick Hartman (FB up to 96, good 76-78 CB), the projection left for Cody Crouse (6-6, 215 pounds with an intriguing split-change), and the potentially quick-moving reliever profiles of Garrett Ring, Adam Atkins, and David McKay. Sean Labsan is a good prospect as both a lefty pitcher and an outfielder with power; if nothing else, he deserves attention as one of the college game’s best true two-way players.
Ben Morrison does a lot of things really well – 90-94 FB, low-80s SL that flashes plus, shows both athleticism and deception in his delivery – but hasn’t had the chance to show it off in 2016. The curious case of Andrew Dunlap continues to leave me with more questions than answers about his pro future. The two-way prospect hasn’t had the chance to get back on the mound yet and is now listed solely as a DH on the Rice team site. I’m not sure whether it’s health-related or just stalled development, but my old notes on him and a fastball that flirted with triple-digits seem less relevant by the day. His teammate, the veteran Blake Fox, has been effective over the years despite not missing a ton of bats. The chance that he’ll begin to do so after making the switch to relief in the pros makes him an enticing mid- to late-round gamble. It wasn’t my intent to close out with so many Rice prospects; I guess it’s just a team filled with interesting – they may not be great, but they are certainly interesting – prospects. Josh Pettite falls into that very category. He’s recovering from a UCL injury that will force him to the bench all year long, but I could see a team doing their homework on his signability all the same. His freshman season was up and down, but the ups were enough when combined with his solid stuff and pro bloodlines to temp a team into taking him late if he’s ready to move on to pro ball.
Hitters
- Florida Atlantic JR SS/RHP CJ Chatham
- Middle Tennessee State JR SS Riley Delgado
- Old Dominion JR OF/SS Nick Walker
- Western Kentucky SR 3B Danny Hudzina
- Southern Mississippi SR 1B Tim Lynch
- Florida Atlantic JR 2B/SS Stephen Kerr
- Florida Atlantic rJR 1B/OF Esteban Puerta
- Florida Atlantic SR OF Christian Dicks
- UAB rSR C Esteban Tresgallo
- Charlotte JR 1B/RHP Logan Sherer
- Louisiana Tech rSR OF/SS Taylor Love
- Old Dominion SO SS Zach Rutherford
- Florida International JR C JC Escarra
- Middle Tennessee State JR OF Brad Jarreau
- Marshall JR OF Corey Bird
- Florida Atlantic SR OF Billy Endris
- Texas-San Antonio SR 3B/OF Geonte Jackson
- Texas-San Antonio SR C/OF Kevin Markham
- Texas-San Antonio SR OF Matt Hilston
- Florida International rJR C Zack Soria
- Southern Mississippi JR C Chuckie Robinson
- Old Dominion SR OF Connor Myers
- Louisiana Tech SR OF Bryce Stark
- Texas-San Antonio SR 3B/SS Tyler Straub
- Florida International SR 2B Austin Rodriguez
- Marshall SR 2B/3B Aaron Bossi
- UAB rSR OF Griffin Gum
- Florida Atlantic rSO OF Jose Bonilla Traverso
- Charlotte rJR 2B/SS Luke Gibbs
- Middle Tennessee State rSO 2B Aaron Aucker
- Southern Mississippi SR OF/3B Chase Scott
- Old Dominion rSR SS Jason McMurray
- Rice JR OF Charlie Warren
- Rice JR OF Dayne Wunderlich
- Rice SR 2B/3B Grayson Lewis
- Rice SR C Hunter Kopycinski
- Rice SR 1B Connor Tekyl
- Old Dominion rSR 3B/SS Nick Lustrino
Pitchers
- Rice rSO RHP Jon Duplantier
- Old Dominion JR RHP Nick Hartman
- Florida International JR RHP Cody Crouse
- Middle Tennessee State SR RHP Garrett Ring
- Florida Atlantic JR LHP/OF Sean Labsan
- Louisiana Tech SR RHP Adam Atkins
- Florida International JR RHP Williams Durruthy
- Florida Atlantic rSO RHP David McKay
- Florida Atlantic JR RHP Colyn O’Connell
- Western Kentucky JR RHP Ben Morrison
- Marshall SR RHP Chase Boster
- Marshall SR RHP JD Hammer
- UAB JR LHP Thomas Lowery
- Rice rSO RHP/C Andrew Dunlap
- Marshall JR RHP Burris Warner
- Southern Mississippi rSR LHP Cody Livingston
- Rice SR LHP Blake Fox
- Southern Mississippi SR RHP Jake Winston
- Marshall JR LHP Parker Danciu
- Rice SR LHP Austin Solecitto
- Charlotte SR RHP Micah Wells
- UAB rJR RHP Cory Eller
- Southern Mississippi SR RHP Nick Johnson
- Western Kentucky rJR RHP Kevin Elder
- Southern Mississippi SR RHP Connor O’Brien
- UAB rJR LHP Dylan Munger
- Old Dominion JR RHP Sam Sinnen
- Charlotte rJR LHP Sean Geoghegan
- Southern Mississippi rSR LHP Luke Lowery
- Charlotte rJR RHP Brandon Casas
- Middle Tennessee State rSO RHP Reid Clements
- Middle Tennessee State SR RHP Nate Hoffmann
- Middle Tennessee State JR RHP/OF Caleb Smith
- Rice SO RHP Josh Pettite
- Florida International rSR RHP Robby Kalaf
- Southern Mississippi rSR RHP Cord Cockrell
- Western Kentucky SR RHP Josh Bartley
- Old Dominion JR RHP Adam Bainbridge
Charlotte
rJR RHP Brandon Casas (2016)
rJR LHP Sean Geoghegan (2016)
SR RHP Micah Wells (2016)
rJR LHP JD Prochaska (2016)
SR RHP Nate Traugh (2016)
JR RHP Brandon Vogler (2016)
JR 1B/RHP Logan Sherer (2016)
rJR C Nick Daddio (2016)
rJR 2B/SS Luke Gibbs (2016)
JR OF TJ Nichting (2016)
JR C Derek Fritz (2016)
JR OF/1B Zach Jarrett (2016)
SO LHP Matt Horkey (2017)
SO LHP Jacob Craver (2017)
SO LHP Josh Maciejewski (2017)
SO 2B/OF Brett Netzer (2017)
FR OF Reese Hampton (2018)
High Priority Follows: Brandon Casas, Sean Geoghegan, Micah Wells, Luke Gibbs
Florida Atlantic
JR RHP Colyn O’Connell (2016)
SR RHP Robbie Coursel (2016)
SR LHP Brandon Rhodes (2016)
rSO RHP David McKay (2016)
rSR LHP Devon Carr (2016)
JR LHP/OF Sean Labsan (2016)
JR RHP/C Cameron Ragsdale (2016)
JR SS/RHP CJ Chatham (2016)
SR OF Billy Endris (2016)
SR OF Christian Dicks (2016)
rJR 1B/OF Esteban Puerta (2016)
SR 2B/1B Brett Lashley (2016)
rSO OF Jose Bonilla Traverso (2016)
JR C Kevin Abraham (2016)
JR 2B/SS Stephen Kerr (2016)
SO RHP Alex House (2017)
SO RHP Mark Nowatnick (2017)
SO RHP Marc Stewart (2017)
FR RHP Kyle Marman (2018)
High Priority Follows: Colyn O’Connell, David McKay, Devon Carr, Sean Labsan, Cameron Ragsdale, CJ Chatham, Billy Endris, Christian Dicks, Esteban Puerta, Brett Lashley, Jose Bonilla Traverso, Stephen Kerr
Florida International
JR RHP Cody Crouse (2016)
rSR RHP Robby Kalaf (2016)
JR RHP Williams Durruthy (2016)
JR RHP Chris Mourelle (2016)
JR RHP Michael Agis (2016)
JR LHP Alex Demchak (2016)
rJR C Zack Soria (2016)
SR SS/2B Rey Perez (2016)
JR C JC Escarra (2016)
JR 2B/SS Irving Lopez (2016)
JR OF Christian Khawam (2016)
JR OF Kenny Meimerstorf (2016)
JR INF Zack Files (2016)
JR 1B/3B Nick Day (2016)
SO RHP Garrett Cave (2017)
SO RHP Andres Nunez (2017)
SO OF Jack Schaaf (2017)
FR RHP Nate Pearson (2018)
High Priority Follows: Cody Crouse, Robby Kalaf, Williams Durruthy, Michael Agis, Alex Demchak, Zack Soria, Austin Rodriguez, Rey Perez, JC Escarra, Irving Lopez
Louisiana Tech
rJR LHP Phillip Diehl (2016)
SR RHP Adam Atkins (2016)
SR RHP Adam Derouen (2016)
JR LHP Mark Baughman (2016)
JR LHP Braden Bristo (2016)
SR LHP Tyler Clancy (2016)
JR LHP Jorge Flores (2016)
rSR OF/SS Taylor Love (2016)
SR OF Bryce Stark (2016)
SR OF JD Perry (2016)
SR 3B Mason Paxton (2016)
JR 2B Chandler Hall (2016)
JR 1B Marshall Boggs (2016)
JR C Jonathan Washam (2016)
JR INF Jordan Washam (2016)
rJR OF Sean Ullrich (2016)
SO C Brent Diaz (2017)
FR OF/RHP J’Mar Smith (2018)
High Priority Follows: Adam Atkins, Taylor Love, Bryce Stark, JD Perry
Marshall
SR RHP Chase Boster (2016)
SR RHP JD Hammer (2016)
SR LHP Caleb Ross (2016)
JR RHP Burris Warner (2016)
JR LHP Parker Danciu (2016)
SR RHP Heston Van Fleet (2016)
SR LHP Sam Hunter (2016)
rSO RHP Fernando Guerrero (2016)
JR OF Corey Bird (2016)
SR 1B Ryne Dean (2016)
JR C Sam Finfer (2016)
SR 2B/3B Aaron Bossi (2016)
rSO OF Cory Garrastazu (2016)
rJR OF Billy Sager (2016)
SR OF DJ Gee (2016)
SO 3B Tyler Ratliff (2017)
FR LHP Josh Shapiro (2018)
High Priority Follows: Chase Boster, JD Hammer, Caleb Ross, Burris Warner, Parker Danciu, Heston Van Fleet, Corey Bird, Ryne Dean, Aaron Bossi
Middle Tennessee State
SR RHP Garrett Ring (2016)
SR RHP Nate Hoffmann (2016)
SR RHP Sam Alton (2016)
SR LHP Tyler Troutt (2016)
rSO RHP Reid Clements (2016)
JR RHP/OF Caleb Smith (2016)
rSO 2B Aaron Aucker (2016)
JR SS Riley Delgado (2016)
JR OF Brad Jarreau (2016)
JR 1B Kevin Dupree (2016)
SO RHP Blake Stansbury (2017)
SO LHP Jake Wyrick (2017)
SO 2B Kevin Sullivan (2017)
FR RHP AJ Spencer (2018)
FR OF Austin Dennis (2018)
High Priority Follows: Garrett Ring, Nate Hoffmann, Reid Clements, Caleb Smith, Aaron Aucker, Riley Delgado, Brad Jarreau
Old Dominion
rJR LHP Jake Josephs (2016)
SR RHP Thomas Busbice (2016)
JR RHP Nick Hartman (2016)
JR LHP Turner Bishop (2016)
JR RHP Sam Sinnen (2016)
JR LHP Joey Benitez (2016)
JR RHP Adam Bainbridge (2016)
JR OF/SS Nick Walker (2016)
SR OF Connor Myers (2016)
SO SS Zach Rutherford (2016)
rSR 3B/SS Nick Lustrino (2016)
rSR SS Jason McMurray (2016)
JR C/1B Kurt Sinnen (2016)
JR C Kyle Beam (2016)
SO RHP Culver Lamb (2017)
SO LHP Nate Matheson (2017)
SO OF Justin Hayes (2017)
FR RHP Brett Smith (2017)
FR 3B Seth Woodard (2018)
FR OF Will Morgan (2018)
High Priority Follows: Nick Hartman, Sam Sinnen, Adam Bainbridge, Nick Walker, Connor Myers, Zach Rutherford, Nick Lustrino, Jason McMurray
Rice
rSO RHP Jon Duplantier (2016)
SR LHP Blake Fox (2016)
SR LHP Austin Solecitto (2016)
SO RHP Josh Pettite (2016)
rSO RHP/C Andrew Dunlap (2016)
SR 1B Connor Tekyl (2016)
JR OF Charlie Warren (2016)
SR 2B/3B Grayson Lewis (2016)
JR OF Dayne Wunderlich (2016)
SR C Hunter Kopycinski (2016)
SO RHP/3B Dane Myers (2017)
SO RHP Glenn Otto (2017)
SO RHP Ricky Salinas (2017)
SO RHP Willy Amador (2017)
SO OF Ryan Chandler (2017)
SO SS/OF Tristan Gray (2017)
FR RHP Zach Esquival (2018)
FR RHP Brent Schwarz (2018)
FR SS Ford Proctor (2018)
FR INF Kendal Jefferies (2018)
FR C Dominic DiCaprio (2018)
FR C Gavin Johnson (2018)
FR RHP Jackson Parthasarathy (2018)
High Priority Follows: Jon Duplantier, Blake Fox, Austin Solecitto, Josh Pettite, Andrew Dunlap, Connor Tekyl, Charlie Warren, Grayson Lewis, Dayne Wunderlich, Hunter Kopycinski
Southern Mississippi
rSR RHP Cord Cockrell (2016)
rSR LHP Luke Lowery (2016)
rSR LHP Cody Livingston (2016)
SR RHP Jake Winston (2016)
SR RHP Nick Johnson (2016)
SR RHP Connor O’Brien (2016)
SR 1B Tim Lynch (2016)
JR C Chuckie Robinson (2016)
SR OF/3B Chase Scott (2016)
SR 2B Nick Dawson (2016)
JR OF/1B Dylan Burdeaux (2016)
SO LHP Kirk McCarty (2017)
SO 3B/RHP Taylor Braley (2017)
SO OF Daniel Keating (2017)
rFR 1B Hunter Slater (2017)
FR RHP Walker Powell (2018)
High Priority Follows: Cord Cockrell, Luke Lowery, Cody Livingston, Jake Winston, Nick Johnson, Connor O’Brien, Tim Lynch, Chuckie Robinson, Chase Scott
UAB
rJR LHP Dylan Munger (2016)
rJR RHP Cory Eller (2016)
JR LHP Thomas Lowery (2016)
rJR LHP Adam Lamar (2016)
rSR C Esteban Tresgallo (2016)
rSR OF Griffin Gum (2016)
SR C Mitch Williams (2016)
SR 2B/3B Evan Peterson (2016)
SR 2B/SS Adam Smith (2016)
SO LHP Ryan Ruggles (2017)
FR RHP Tanner Graham (2018)
FR RHP Garrett Whitlock (2018)
FR RHP Kyle Davis (2018)
High Priority Follows: Dylan Munger, Cory Eller, Thomas Lowery, Esteban Tresgallo, Griffin Gum
Texas-San Antonio
SR RHP Patrick Herbelin (2016)
JR RHP Andre Shewcraft (2016)
SR LHP Nolan Trabanino (2016)
SR RHP Aaron Burns (2016)
SR 3B/OF Geonte Jackson (2016)
SR 3B/SS Tyler Straub (2016)
SR C/OF Kevin Markham (2016)
SR OF Matt Hilston (2016)
JR 3B/SS CJ Pickering (2016)
JR OF JT Gilmore (2016)
SO RHP Chance Kirby (2017)
SO INF/RHP Ben Brookover (2017)
SO OF Trent Bowles (2017)
High Priority Follows: Patrick Herbelin, Geonte Jackson, Tyler Straub, Kevin Markham, Matt Hilston, CJ Pickering, JT Gilmore
Western Kentucky
SR LHP John Harman (2016)
SR LHP Austin King (2016)
rJR RHP Kevin Elder (2016)
SR RHP Josh Bartley (2016)
JR RHP Cody Coll (2016)
JR RHP Sam Higgs (2016)
JR RHP Ben Morrison (2016)
JR LHP Ryan Thurston (2016)
SR 3B Danny Hudzina (2016)
rJR 3B/SS Leiff Clarkson (2016)
rJR 1B Thomas Peter (2016)
rJR OF Zach Janes (2016)
JR C Hunter Wood (2016)
JR OF Paul Murray (2016)
rSO OF Harrison Scanlon (2016)
SO OF Kaleb Duckworth (2017)
SO INF Steven Kraft (2017)
FR SS Steven DiPuglia (2018)
High Priority Follows: Kevin Elder, Josh Bartley, Cody Coll, Ben Morrison, Danny Hudzina, Leiff Clarkson
2015 MLB Draft Prospects – Conference USA Follow List
Charlotte
JR RHP Brandon Casas (2015)
rSO LHP Sean Geoghegan (2015)
JR RHP Micah Wells (2015)
JR RHP Nate Traugh (2015)
rSO LHP JD Prochaska (2015)
SR 2B/OF Brad Elwood (2015)
SR SS Derek Gallelo (2015)
rSO C Nick Daddio (2015)
rSO 2B/SS Luke Gibbs (2015)
SO RHP/1B Logan Sherer (2016)
SO OF TJ Nichting (2016)
SO INF Zach Jarrett (2016)
SO OF Eric Eason (2016)
SO RHP Brandon Vogler (2016)
FR INF Brett Netzer (2017)
Florida Atlantic
JR OF/2B Brendon Sanger (2015)
SR SS Ricky Santiago (2015)
JR OF Billy Endris (2015)
JR OF Christian Dicks (2015)
JR OF Roman Collins (2015)
rSO 1B Esteban Puerta (2015)
JR RHP Seth McGarry (2015)
SR RHP Cody Mizelle (2015)
SR RHP Drew Jackson (2015)
SR RHP Reily Monkman (2015)
rSR LHP Bo Logan (2015)
JR LHP Brandon Rhodes (2015)
JR RHP Kyle Miller (2015)
JR RHP Robbie Coursel (2015)
SO 2B/SS Stephen Kerr (2016)
SO LHP Sean Labsan (2016)
rFR RHP David McKay (2016)
SO OF Jose Bonilla Traverso (2016)
SO C Kevin Abraham (2016)
SO SS/RHP CJ Chatham (2016)
FR C Ryan Miller (2017)
Florida International
SR SS Julius Gaines (2015)
JR 3B/2B Edwin Rios (2015)
JR OF Brandon Cody (2015)
JR C Zack Soria (2015)
SR OF/1B Brian Portelli (2015)
rSR 3B Josh Anderson (2015)
rSO RHP Gianni Zayas (2015)
JR LHP Charles Cormier (2015)
JR LHP Brandon Diaz (2015)
JR RHP Dillon Maya (2015)
rJR RHP Robby Kalaf (2015)
JR RHP Danny Dopico (2015)
JR RHP Maleko Galusha (2015)
SO C JC Escarra (2016)
SO OF Brandon Gomez (2016)
SO RHP Cody Crouse (2016)
SO RHP Williams Durruthy (2016)
SO RHP Chris Mourelle (2016)
FR RHP Garrett Cave (2017)
FR 3B/1B Mitchell Robinson (2017)
FR OF Jack Schaaf (2017)
FR RHP Andres Nunez (2017)
FR OF/1B Spencer Levine (2017)
FR RHP David Lee (2017)
Louisiana Tech
rJR SS/2B Taylor Love (2015)
SR 3B/1B Bre’shon Kimbell (2015)
rSR OF Colby Johnson (2015)
JR OF Bryce Stark (2015)
SR OF/LHP Steven Blanchard (2015)
SR RHP Phil Maton (2015)
SR RHP Austin Greer (2015)
JR LHP Phillip Diehl (2015)
rSR RHP Laetten Galbraith (2015)
SO LHP Mark Baughman (2016)
SO 2B Chandler Hall (2016)
SO LHP Braden Bristo (2016)
FR C Brent Diaz (2017)
Marshall
JR RHP Chase Boster (2015)
rSR RHP Kolin Stanley (2015)
JR RHP Michael Taylor (2015)
SR RHP Matt Margaritonda (2015)
rJR RHP Lance Elder (2015)
rSR RHP Josh King (2015)
SR RHP Clint Wilson (2015)
JR RHP JD Hammer (2015)
JR LHP Alex Thackston (2015)
JR LHP Caleb Ross (2015)
JR LHP Sam Hunter (2015)
SR 2B/SS Andrew Dundon (2015)
rSR 1B TJ Diffenderfer (2015)
JR 1B Ryne Dean (2015)
SR SS Sergio Leon (2015)
SO OF Corey Bird (2016)
SO OF Cory Garrastazu (2016)
FR INF Tyler Ratliff (2017)
Middle Tennessee State
JR OF Ronnie Jebavy (2015)
SR C/RHP Michael Adkins (2015)
SR OF Jared Allen (2015)
SR 3B/OF Jake Ingold (2015)
SR SS Dustin Delgado (2015)
SR SS Austin Bryant (2015)
JR RHP/OF Heath Slatton (2015)
SR LHP Johnathan Frebis (2015)
rSR RHP Keaton Baker (2015)
rJR LHP Brandon Zajac (2015)
rSR LHP Nathan Foriest (2015)
SR RHP Kooper Kessler (2015)
JR RHP Garrett Ring (2015)
JR RHP Nate Hoffman (2015)
SO RHP/OF Caleb Smith (2016)
FR RHP Blake Stansbury (2017)
Old Dominion
SR OF/1B Taylor Ostrich (2015)
rJR 3B/SS Nick Lustrino (2015)
rJR SS Jason McMurray (2015)
SR OF Josh Eldridge (2015)
SR C Mike Perez (2015)
JR 3B PJ Higgins (2015)
JR OF Connor Myers (2015)
JR LHP Jake Josephs (2015)
rSR RHP Victor Diaz (2015)
JR RHP Thomas Busbice (2015)
JR RHP Kyle Majette (2015)
JR LHP Jared Koenig (2015)
SO RHP Nick Hartman (2016)
SO LHP Turner Bishop (2016)
SO RHP Sam Sinnen (2016)
SO LHP Joey Benitez (2016)
SO C/1B Kurt Sinnen (2016)
SO SS/OF Nick Walker (2016)
FR LHP Nate Matheson (2017)
Rice
SO RHP Jon Duplantier (2015)
rJR RHP Matt Ditman (2015)
JR RHP Kevin McCanna (2015)
rJR RHP Jordan Stephens (2015)
JR LHP Blake Fox (2015)
JR RHP Ryan McCarthy (2015)
JR RHP Austin Orewiler (2015)
SR RHP Trevor Teykl (2015)
rFR RHP/C Andrew Dunlap (2015)
JR 1B/RHP Connor Tekyl (2015)
SR C John Clay Reeves (2015)
JR C Hunter Kopycinski (2015)
SR OF John Williamson (2015)
JR SS/OF Leon Byrd (2015)
SR 2B/SS Ford Stainback (2015)
JR 3B Grayson Lewis (2015)
SR OF/1B Kirby Taylor (2015)
SO OF Charlie Warren (2016)
FR RHP Josh Pettite (2016)
SO RHP Austin Orewiler (2016)
FR OF/SS Tristan Gray (2017)
FR RHP Ricky Salinas (2017)
FR RHP Glenn Otto (2017)
FR OF Ryan Chandler (2017)
Southern Mississippi
SR OF Connor Barron (2015)
rSR SS Michael Sterling (2015)
rJR SS/OF Breck Kline (2015)
JR 3B/1B Chase Scott (2015)
JR 2B Nick Dawson (2015)
SR 1B/C Matt Durst (2015)
JR SS/1B Tim Lynch (2015)
SR C Austin Roussel (2015)
rJR RHP/3B James McMahon (2015)
SR RHP Christian Talley (2015)
rJR RHP Cord Cockrell (2015)
rJR LHP Luke Lowery (2015)
rJR LHP Cody Livingston (2015)
JR RHP Jake Winston (2015)
JR RHP Cody Carroll (2015)
SR RHP Ryan Milton (2015)
JR RHP Nick Johnson (2015)
SO INF/OF Dylan Burdeaux (2016)
FR LHP Kirk McCarthy (2017)
UAB
SR OF/1B Jeff Schalk (2015)
rJR OF Griffin Gum (2015)
JR C Mitch Williams (2015)
JR 2B/3B Evan Peterson (2015)
rJR C Esteban Tresgallo (2015)
SR 3B Nathan Vincent (2015)
SR OF/RHP Chase Davis (2015)
rSO LHP Dylan Munger (2015)
rJR RHP James Naile (2015)
SR RHP Alex Luna (2014)
JR RHP Cory Eller (2015)
rSR RHP Johnny Lieske (2015)
JR RHP Adam Lau (2015)
SO LHP Thomas Lowery (2016)
Texas-San Antonio
JR RHP Brock Hartson (2015)
SR RHP Logan Onda (2015)
JR LHP Nolan Trabanino (2015)
SR RHP Boone Mokry (2015)
SR RHP Jeremy Filipek (2015)
JR RHP Nolan Savage (2015)
SR LHP Cody Brannon (2015)
SR C John Bormann (2015)
JR C/OF Kevin Markham (2015)
JR 1B/3B Geonte Jackson (2015)
JR 2B/OF Jesse Baker (2015)
SR 3B/SS Horacio Correa (2015)
JR SS Tyler Straub (2015)
SR C Grant Gibbs (2015)
SO INF/C Mitchell Matulia (2016)
SO OF Logan Kinder (2016)
SO RHP Andre Shewcraft (2016)
Western Kentucky
rSR C Ryan Messex (2015)
SR 1B Ryan Church (2015)
SR OF Philip Diedrick (2015)
SR SS Cody Wofford (2015)
rSO 3B/SS Leiff Clarkson (2015)
JR OF/LHP Anderson Miller (2015)
rSR RHP Tate Glasscock (2015)
JR LHP John Harman (2015)
JR LHP Austin King (2015)
rSO RHP Kevin Elder (2015)
JR RHP Josh Bartley (2015)
SR RHP Brennan Pearson (2015)
SO RHP Cody Coll (2016)
SO RHP Sam Higgs (2016)
SO C Hunter Wood (2016)
SO RHP Ben Morrison (2016)
FR OF Kevin Duckworth (2017)
2013 MLB Draft Conference Preview: Conference USA
Going team by team was fun, but the college season is creeping up way too quickly for me to get as many teams done as I’d like. Instead, we’ll take a larger view and go conference by conference. The only thing that will slow me down at this point is incomplete or missing 2013 rosters…North Carolina, Louisville, South Carolina, Oregon State, you are all on notice. Congratulations to Conference USA for being the second conference I’ve seen with every school’s updated roster. So far so good on the Missouri Valley Conference, so as of now they are the leader for next conference up.
Here’s the key for the player lists:
- Bold = locks to be drafted
- Italics = definite maybes
- Underlined = possible risers
- Plain text = long shots
C
- Central Florida SR C Ryan Breen
- UAB SR C/1B Harry Clark
- Southern Mississippi rJR C Jared Bales
- Central Florida SR C Nick Carrillo
- Southern Mississippi SR C Chase Fowler
Lots of good college catchers, but not much in the way of exciting pro talent. Ryan Breen makes sense to me as a late-round senior sign as he’s a quality defender with a solid approach at the plate.
1B
- East Carolina JR 1B Chase McDonald
- Marshall SR 1B Nathan Gomez
- Rice JR 1B Michael Aquino
- Southern Mississippi SR 1B Blake Brown
- Houston SR 1B Casey Grayson
- Tulane SR 1B Tucker Oakley
- UAB SR 1B John Frost
He’s not in the same class as college slugger or pro prospect, but watching Chase McDonald takes me back to watching Preston Tucker hit for Florida. Like so many college first basemen, he’s in a tough spot where just about all of his future value as a ballplayer will come down to how much he hits. He has loads of raw power from the right side and I like his patient approach, but it’ll take a team falling in love with his bat to get him drafted high enough to forego a senior season at East Carolina. Nathan Gomez could overtake McDonald as the best first base prospect in the conference. Gomez has the edge in athleticism, defense, and hit tool, and his senior sign status could work to his advantage for budget-conscious clubs. Aquino is a better fit for a corner outfield spot, but it remains to be seen if he’s got the foot speed to make a position switch work. If so, his draft stock will get a nice bounce: his hit tool ranks up there among the best in the conference.
2B
- Houston JR 2B Frankie Ratcliff
- Rice SR 2B Christian Stringer
- Tulane SR 2B Brennan Middleton
- Rice SR 2B Michael Ratterree
I’m really excited to see what the toolsy Ratcliff can do given a full season of Division I action. All the reports on his attitude have been positive which has to be considered a really good sign for a guy once dismissed from the team at Miami. I’m especially curious about his bat/plate discipline, as I’m fairly certain he’ll be more than fine when it comes to speed, defense, and even pop. Neither Stringer nor Middleton have tools that will wow you, but both guys are coming off really productive junior seasons. I like Stringer just a bit more with the bat, but prefer Middleton, who can hold his own at shortstop when called upon, with the glove. Ratteree would be higher — maybe second — if I had confidence he was totally over the yips that have plagued him in the past. Aside from that, he’s always impressed with with his range and raw arm strength. Even if he doesn’t cut it at second base in the long run, his positional versatility should remain a strong point in his favor.
3B
- East Carolina JR 3B Zach Houchins
- Rice JR 3B Shane Hoelscher
- Marshall SR 3B Gray Stafford
- Central Florida SR 3B Chris Taladay
- Southern Mississippi SR 3B Travis Creel
- UAB SO 3B Chase Davis
I’m really excited to see what the toolsy Houchins can do given a full season of Division I action. The Louisburg JC transfer is a strong natural hitter with a plus arm and a good approach. He does occasionally get himself into trouble by attacking too early in the count and swinging at pitchers’ pitches. Stafford’s power and arm strength are intriguing, but a less than ideal hit tool and too many misadventures with the glove keep his stock down. Taladay is interesting thanks to his positional versatility (he can also catch and play corner OF), and Creel is worth a mention due to his excellent defense at third.
SS
- East Carolina JR SS Jack Reinheimer
- Tulane SR SS Garrett Cannizaro
- Southern Mississippi SR SS Isaac Rodriguez
- Memphis JR SS Ethan Gross
Reinheimer and Rodriguez are both standout defenders with something to prove as hitters heading into 2013. Cannizaro may be in line for a switch to third base professionally, a move that wouldn’t necessarily kill his value if he a) continues to show progress with the bat, and b) becomes a plus glove at the hot corner.
OF
- Tulane SR OF Brandon Boudreaux
- UAB JR OF Ivan DeJesus
- Marshall rSR OF Isaac Ballou
- Tulane SR OF Blake Crohan
- Tulane SR OF Sean Potkay
- UAB SO OF Jeff Schalk
- Central Florida SR OF Jeramy Matos
- Central Florida rSR OF Erik Hempe
- Houston JR OF Landon Appling
- UAB SR OF Ryan Ussery
- Tulane JR OF Andrew Garner
- Houston SR OF Jake Lueneberg
- Rice JR OF Brian Smith
- Memphis rJR OF Derrick Thomas
- Rice JR OF Keenan Cook
- UAB JR OF Ryan Prinzing
- East Carolina JR OF Ben Fultz
- Houston JR OF Jonathan Davis
- East Carolina SR OF Chris Gosik
- Memphis JR OF Ford Wilson
- East Carolina SR OF Phillip Clark
Conference USA more than holds its own in terms of prospect depth in the infield. That’s the good news. The less good news — also known as bad, but I’m trying to be positive here — is that there’s not much to get worked up about in the outfield. Brandon Boudreaux broke out in a big way last year, going from slugging .333 to .565 from 2011 to 2012. His plate discipline has always been sound — 60 BB/36 K over the past two combined seasons — but he’s now hammering mistakes in a way he didn’t before. All that and we haven’t mentioned his two strongest tools: plus speed and well above-average CF range. Ivan DeJesus brings a better ceiling, but, as so often has it, comes with greater risk. I’ve gotten firsthand reports on him that really bum me out, not because of his ability per se but because of the unfortunate lingering impact of his broken ankle of a couple years ago. DeJesus’ speed was once a carrying tool; now he’s closer to an average speed/average range CF than what he could have been. That said, reports on his physical talent remain largely positive: he’s routinely graded average or better in multiple areas (arm, hit tool, raw power) of his game. His approach, however, continues to limit his offensive production. His plate discipline (30 BB/94 K) has been almost the opposite of Boudreaux’s over the past year, except worse. Maybe his plus-plus speed could have had teams overlook his unrefined swing at everything style of hitting, but now the pressure will be on him to make more skill-based adjustments to his game. I wrote about Ballou before, so I’ll take the lazy man’s way out and just cut/paste: I’ve long been a fan of Ballou, so it should come as no surprise that I think he’s the closest thing to a position player lock as there is on the Marshall roster. He’s a really pesky hitter (.397 OBP in 2011, .450 in 2012) with an approach that fits well at the top of a lineup. He’s got enough speed and instincts to keep the “leadoff hitting CF” narrative alive, and there could be some yet unseen power in his sturdy 6-2, 200 pound frame.
A few rapid fire observations of the rest of the crew…Tulane’s outfield looks pretty strong in paper heading into 2013…the same could be said about Central Florida, especially if the powerful duo of Matos and Hempe can clean up their approaches a bit…if Landon Appling continues to show he can hold his own defensively as a catcher, his stock should climb…Ryan Ussery may or may not make it in pro ball, but he goes down as one of my favorite college players to follow over the years…I know little to nothing about Rice OF Brian Smith other than that he’s supposedly really really strong.
P
- Rice JR RHP Austin Kubitza
- Central Florida JR RHP Ben Lively
- Marshall JR RHP Aaron Blair
- Rice JR RHP John Simms
- Tulane rSO RHP Randy LeBlanc
- Tulane rSO RHP Tony Rizzotti
- Tulane rJR RHP Kyle McKenzie
- Memphis JR LHP Sam Moll
- UAB SO LHP Dylan Munger
- Rice rJR RHP Chase McDowell
- UAB rJR RHP Ruben Tresgallo
- Rice rSO RHP Connor Mason
- Memphis rSR RHP Heith Hatfield
- Tulane SR RHP Tyler Mapes
- Houston JR RHP Daniel Ponce de Leon
- Central Florida rFR RHP Ryan Meyer
- Central Florida rSO RHP Spencer Davis
- East Carolina JR RHP Drew Reynolds
- Southern Mississippi SR RHP Andrew Pierce
- Southern Mississippi rSO LHP Jake Drehoff
- Rice SR RHP Tyler Spurlin
- Southern Mississippi SR LHP Dillon Day
- East Carolina rSR LHP Tyler Joyner
- Southern Mississippi rJR RHP Cameron Giannini
- Marshall JR RHP Josh King
- East Carolina SR RHP Andy Smithmyer
- Central Florida rSR LHP Chris Matulis
- Central Florida SR LHP Brian Adkins
- Tulane SR RHP Alex Byo
- Memphis JR LHP Eric Schoenrock
- East Carolina rJR RHP Tanner Merritt
- Marshall SR LHP Wayland Moore
- East Carolina SR RHP Joseph Hughes
- UAB SR RHP Ben Bullard
- Central Florida SR LHP Jimmy Reed
- Rice SO RHP Evan Rutter
- Southern Mississippi JR RHP Sean Buchholz
- Southern Mississippi JR RHP Conor Fisk
- Tulane JR RHP Alex Facundus
- Memphis rJR RHP Jonathan Van Eaton
- Tulane JR LHP Brady Wilson
- Houston JR RHP Chase Wellbrock
- Houston SR LHP Matt Hernandez
- UAB JR RHP Chase Mallard
- Marshall rJR RHP Ryan Hopkins
- Central Florida JR RHP Danny Davis
- Memphis JR RHP Jon Reed
- Memphis JR LHP Alex Gunn
- Houston SR RHP Austin Pruitt
- Memphis rSR LHP Michael Wills
- Tulane SR LHP David Napoli
- Southern Mississippi JR RHP Boomer Scarborbough
- Memphis rSR RHP Clayton Gant
- Rice SR RHP Jeremy Fant
If Austin Kubitza and John Simms are both healthy throughout the spring, they’ll rank among college baseball’s top 1-2 pitching punches. Kubitza receives most of the accolades — heck, he’s first here after all — but Simms (88-92 FB with big movement, flashes of good mid-70s curve, and nasty splitter) is no slouch. Ben Lively is due for a monster junior season thanks in large part to a fastball that he has learned to command better and better every year. Guys with his frame (6-4, 200 pounds), fastball (great command of 88-93 heat), and multiple usable breaking balls (SL with cutter action and softer mid-70s CB) are fun to watch. At his best, Randy LeBlanc (95 peak FB, flashes above-average CU and CB with more upside than that) has a strong case for the top arm in the conference. Unfortunately, he’s yet to show the durability and command teams look for when monitoring a guy coming off of Tommy John surgery. Now that he’s a full season behind it, watch out. Fellow Tulane redshirt sophomore Tony Rizzotti, a TCU transfer, has a potent FB/SL combination when on. I’m curious to see where Sam Moll’s control is at in 2013: scouting reports are quite favorable, but results (4.05 BB/9 last season) leave something to be desired.
The current middle class of this pitching group offers a lot to like. There are a lot of transfers (Daniel Ponce de Leon and Spencer Davis) and elbow surgery survivors (Chase McDowell and Connor Mason) with plenty to prove in 2013. The number of hard throwers is also impressive. McKenzie, Tresgallo, Ponce de Leon, and Giannini have all hit the mid-90s at one point or another. I’ll be keeping tabs on Tyler Joyner, a quality arm that is unfortunately out of commission in this his last season of college eligibility. Tommy John surgery may have robbed him of his final year of college ball, but I could still see a pro club that has seen him enough of the years giving him a shot late on draft day.
I made the error of omitting four members of the Marshall pitching staff in the original posting. Thanks to Craig for pointing it out to me in the comments. The big name that was skipped over is RHP Aaron Blair. Smarter people than I have him as clearly the best prospect out of this bunch and I certainly reserve the right to change my mind between now and when final rankings come out in about six months, but, for now, I ‘m intrigued enough by the upside of Kubitza (I still see him as the future star I saw firsthand when he was in high school, I guess) and Lively (old comps die hard: I remember reading a Jeff Samardzija comp on him that has always stuck with me) — and for a brief moment Simms, before moving Blair above him — to rank Blair any higher. Of the top tier group, I do think it is fairly evident that Blair has the highest floor, which definitely counts for something. It does seem like there has been a recent uptick of guys who fit his profile seeing jumps in stuff and performance during their junior seasons. I mention Matt Barnes below, but I also get a little bit of a Chris Stratton vibe from at similar points of development. If I could predict he’d go in either of those directions, I’d likely be driving something a little more stylish than a Kia Rio. Realizing I can’t make such assumptions, I hedged my bet and put him third, where at least he’s ahead of another big name in Simms. Anyway, here’s what I wrote on Blair earlier this year:
It may not be the most descriptive adjective around, but the word “good” can be found throughout Blair’s scouting notes in my Word doc: good command of a 87-92 FB (93 peak) with good sink; good 74-78 CB; 81-85 CU thrown with good looking arm action;good, sturdy frame (6-5, 220 pounds); good numbers (8.42 K/9 in 2011, 9.04 K/9 and 3.37 FIP in 2012). If you didn’t know any better, you’d think Blair is a pretty darn good prospect, right? At this moment, he looks like a really strong bet to keep progressing until settling into his eventual role as big league mid-rotation starting pitcher. He’s a safe — well, as safe as any inherently risky amateur prospect can be — prospect, not a sexy one. Good across the board, neither great nor lacking in any one area. I liken him to a sturdier version of former Long Beach State and current Milwaukee Brewer RHP Drew Gagnon, a third round pick back in 2011. His profile also reminds me a little bit of Matt Barnes before Barnes velocity spike. I’m not enough of a scout (or a scout at all, really) to place odds on Blair experiencing a similar increase in stuff — I’m not sure any scout can actually predict this stuff, short of noticing a body desperately in need of better strength and conditioning and/or a major mechanical overhaul — but recognizing the possibility helps me cover myself just in case. Anyway, Blair looks like a good starting pitching prospect with the chance to go pretty good in this June’s draft. Good pitcher, good analysis.