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Mystery Draft 2010 – Undersized Prep Outfielders

No names, no hype, no actual right or wrong answer. Which prospect of the two undersized high school outfielders would you rather see your favorite team draft this June?

Player A

Plus (60) speed, but more quick (great acceleration) than a classic burner; average at best arm (currently about a 45), but projects as a little better than average (probably a 55, give or take); far more power, both present and projected, than his frame (5-9, 160) suggests; profiles as above-average defensively in center or plus in a corner, most likely right; above-average hit tool; aforementioned diminutive frame and a slow start this spring kept his prospect stock down, but upside as a quality big league regular can be reached if he adds strength; also has legitimate potential on mound with plus control of a fastball between 88-91, mid-70s changeup, and above-average soft curveball…

Player B

Above-average runner who is also a plus-plus athlete; present average arm that some see as having plus raw potential, but only after some serious coaching up; easy plus raw power, but has had better luck showing it in batting practice than in-game; contact rates remain low enough that it is difficult to project him as having an average hit tool because of a preponderance of swings and misses, but with more reps (again, he’s extremely raw) anything is possible; when he doesn’t swing and miss, however, the ball goes a very, very long way; despite some concern that he is already maxed out physically at 5-10, 205, prospect offers up some of the highest upside in the 2010 draft class, especially in the power department…

Mystery Draft 2010 – College Righthanders

No names, no hype, no actual right or wrong answer. Which prospect of the three college righthanders listed below would you be happiest to see your favorite team draft this June? Statistically, all three prospects are very similar, with the greatest discrepancy coming in Player A’s higher BB rate.

Player A

  • Fastball: heavy 90-93 pitch, peaking at 94-97 mph
  • Curveball: plus 77-80 mph pitch
  • Change: sinking low-80s mph pitch with legit long-term plus potential
  • Greatest Strengths: fastball explodes out of his hand when on; hard curve combines the best elements of both the traditional curve and a slider
  • Biggest Concerns: command of secondary stuff comes and goes; inconsistent fastball velocity, both in-game and from game-to-game; below-average control
  • Height, Weight: 6-5, 225 pounds

Player B

  • Fastball: sitting 90-92, peaking at 93-94 mph
  • Curveball: plus high-70s mph pitch
  • Slider: mid-80s mph pitch that should be an above-average offering professionally
  • Change: presently a solid pitch with encouraging arm action
  • Biggest Strengths: depth of repertoire and excellent command of secondary pitches
  • Biggest Concern: fastball isn’t overpowering; allegedly tips his pitches unknowingly due to tick in mechanics
  • Height, Weight: 6-6, 220 pounds

Player C

  • Fastball: 92-94 FB with plus life, peaking at 96-99 mph out of bullpen
  • Curveball: decent 75-76 mph pitch with potential to be strikeout offering in time
  • Change: average 83-84 pitch
  • Other: low-80s slider and cutter have both been utilized in past, but haven’t been used in game action this spring
  • Greatest Strengths: fastball alone is enough to get him his big league shot; plenty of projection left on an arm with minimal mileage
  • Biggest Concerns: limited starting experience and lack of current above-average secondary offering
  • Height, Weight: 6-5, 200 pounds
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