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2011 College World Series Preview – Florida vs South Carolina

This preview is a little bit different because I focused only on the potential pro upside of the players on each side. Even though there is often tremendous overlap in the two categories, there is a distinction between a “really good college player” and a “really good pro prospect” that people miss when trying to wrap their minds around the difficult transition from college ball to pro ball. To see that in action, check out the pitching comparison between the two teams. South Carolina has an excellent college staff, loaded with pitchability arms designed to get consistent outs every weekend in the SEC. Florida has guys like that, no doubt, but they also have over a half dozen pitchers with pro velocity. I think Florida is the more talented group, but am uneasy predicting “Florida in two” like I want to because of South Carolina’s crazy postseason voodoo. I’m typically the first to dismiss intangibles as any meaningful reason for liking a player or a team over another, but this South Carolina team has one heck of a track record of winning big games against strong odds.

I’ll stick with my preseason prediction and my enduring belief that talent wins out…Florida in two.

*****

South Carolina SR C Robert Beary
Florida SO C Mike Zunino

Prospect Advantage: Florida (by a long shot)

Christian Walker’s wrist injury could cause a shakeup here, but we’re going with the assumption of good enough health at this point. Some possible scenarios: Beary is healthy and locked in at either C or 1B, Walker will either be at 1B or out of the lineup entirely, Brady Thomas will either continue to DH or (if healthy) move to C, or the injured Walker and the banged up Thomas could both stay off the field (Thomas would still DH) while Beary catches and Michael Roth plays first base.

I actually like Beary a lot as a ballplayer — good power and useful positional versatility — but 30 scouting departments weren’t so kind to the undrafted senior. It is still probably too early to make such a pronouncement, but I can’t see any catcher in the 2012 draft class overtaking Zunino for the top spot. The Florida catcher is a big league catcher defensively already, and his bat should make him one of the better hitting catchers in pro ball before long. No mention of Zunino and this year’s College World Series without providing this unbelievable clip:

Pretty sure I reacted to seeing that live in much the same way I would have if aliens had just landed on the field. My mouth involuntarily popped open and wouldn’t shut for a good two minutes afterwards. Just watching the replay again elicited the same response.

South Carolina SO 1B Christian Walker
Florida JR 1B/OF Preston Tucker (16.498 – Colorado Rockies)

Prospect Advantage: South Carolina (closer than expected)

Really interesting prospect comparison here between two players that are likely to be on the board as potential early round 2012 power bat picks. Next year’s college first base class looks a lot stronger than 2011’s, and Walker is a big reason why. He is a similar player to fellow rising junior Jayce Boyd (Florida State) in that he is a really gifted natural hitter — his is a legit plus hit tool for me — who just so happens to have a swing and body capable of driving the ball out of the park with regularity. In other words, Walker is a great hitting prospect who also hits for loads of power; the slight distinction between that type of hitter and a pure power hitter is worth pointing out, I think. Of course, the wrist injury could render all of the Walker discussion moot, at least until next season.

Preston Tucker may have slipped to the 16th round, but his drop was more about signability than talent level. I’ve written about him a lot — first here and later here — but have now settled into thinking his range of pro outcome lies somewhere between Brett Wallace (not bad at all) and David Cooper (not nearly as exciting). I think it was Kyle Peterson — who really should be the lead color guy on all these college games, by the way — who compared him to Matt Stairs. Pretty interesting comp there, as well.

South Carolina SR 2B/SS Scott Wingo (11.344 – Los Angeles Dodgers)
Florida SR 2B/SS Josh Adams (13.403 – Florida Marlins)

Prospect Advantage: South Carolina (by the slimmest of margins)

I won’t spend as much time breaking down the prospects who are already, for all intents and purposes, professional players. I underrated Wingo all year long, and feel pretty guilty about it now. He had an excellent year at the plate (.329/.463/.419 – 45 BB/31 K – 7/8 SB – 222 AB) and is an outstanding defender at second. I overrated Adams last year, but have been impressed with the way he bounced back as a senior after his bout with draftitis in 2010. Adams doesn’t have the plate discipline of Wingo, but offers more usable power. Both Wingo and Adams play second for their college teams, but only because of the presence of superior defenders ahead of them at the depth chart at short; it is likely both players will see plenty of time at shortstop early on in their pro careers.

South Carolina SR 3B Adrian Morales (49.1476 – Kansas City Royals)
Florida SO 3B Cody Dent

Prospect Advantage: Florida

Arguably the least sexy prospect matchup between the two teams comes down to two similar players who fit best at second but have been forced into duty at third base due to circumstances outside of their control. Morales’ best tool is probably his defense, but a lack of offensive upside slots him in as an organizational player at the next level. With continued development, the sophomore Dent has a better chance to surpass Morales as a prospect. He is a pro-ready defender as an infielder with a solid approach to hitting and good speed that haven’t yet translated to exciting results.

South Carolina JR SS Peter Mooney (21.649 – Toronto Blue Jays)
Florida SO SS Nolan Fontana

Prospect Advantage: Florida

As much as I like Mooney — and as proud as I am to have been on him since February — the Florida sophomore and expected very early round 2012 draft pick gets the clear win here. Before we get into Fontana, here’s what I had on Mooney from before the draft:

Mooney plays a mean shortstop for the defending champs, at times drawing the rare and beautiful “plus-plus” distinction for his glovework. Heard an amusing — probably because I’m a Phillies fan — Freddy Galvis comp on him that got me wondering about where the many age appropriate Latin American prospects who have already been in pro ball for years would be drafted if eligible in 2011. After about 20 minutes of trying to incorporate them into some kind of Alternate Reality Mock Draft, I gave up and came back to Mooney. The Gamecocks shortstop isn’t big (5-7, 150) or toolsy (besides his defense and a strong arm), but he could make it as a defense-first eight- or nine-hole hitter somewhere, someday.

Fontana plays the same kind of defense Mooney plays, but provides much more upside at the plate. Actually, that first part last sentence is a lie; Fontana plays really good defense, much like Mooney does, but goes about it in a totally different way. Mooney can seemingly make any play up the middle, but is far more erratic in his ability to do so. Fontana, on the other hand, won’t wow you with tremendous physical gifts in the field, but the guy just makes every darn play imaginable. My notes on him describe that pretty well: “really, really good defender without elite defense tools or athleticism.” I’m not sure Fontana has a clear plus physical tool — maybe the hit tool, but even that’s probably a stretch — but the sum of his parts far exceed the whole package here. I know I run the risk of overusing this already nebulous phrase, but, much like fellow sophomore Mike Zunino, Fontana already plays the game like a big league ballplayer.

South Carolina JR OF Jackie Bradley (1.40 – Boston Red Sox)
South Carolina SO OF Evan Marzilli
South Carolina JR OF Jake Williams
Florida SR OF Bryson Smith (34.1045 – Cincinnati Reds)
Florida JR OF Daniel Pigott
Florida JR OF Tyler Thompson (46.1387 – Washington Nationals)

Prospect Advantage: South Carolina (similar depth, but star upside of JBJ puts USC over the top)

I think Bradley will hit at the next level, but I know for damn sure he’ll keep on playing his position in center as well as anybody in the game. If he hits, he could look a little bit like Shane Victorino. If he doesn’t, he could be Peter Bourjos. I’m very bullish on Marzilli heading into next year. I think he could be an above-average hitter and a potential plus defender in an outfield corner. Jake Williams is less exciting as a prospect, but works nicely in a college lineup as a guy willing to take a pitch who also plays solid defense.

Though the Gators have three quality performers in their outfield, none of the Florida guys do much for me from a pro standpoint. I remember writing that Smith was a prime candidate to return for a senior season last year, but could get squeezed out of his own college lineup by all of the emerging talent Kevin O’Sullivan and his staff have brought in since taking over. Never in a million years would I have guessed the former third baseman would reinvent himself as a center field prospect, and I give him a ton of credit for pulling off such an impressive feat. Pigott is a much better current ballplayer than Thompson, but Thompson got himself drafted based largely on his plus speed, great athleticism, and intriguing long-range upside. Neither player looks to me to be much more than low-level minor league roster filler.

South Carolina SR DH Brady Thomas
Florida SO DH/LHP Brian Johnson

It may be taking the whole lefthanded pitching two-way prospect thing too far, but I think there are some similarities between the Danny Hultzen of last season and this year’s Brian Johnson. He’ll hit this weekend, but his ultimate home is on the mound. His ceiling as a pitcher does not compare to Hultzen’s (i.e. don’t go penciling in Johnson as the 2012 second overall pick now or ever), but I see first round stuff (88-92 fastball, good upper-70s curve that flashes plus, much improved low-80s change, and a raw but promising slider) in Johnson’s four-pitch mix. Brady Thomas is a decent college hitter who could be pressed into duty behind the plate this series if certain dominoes fall into place.

Prospect Advantage: Florida 

*****

South Carolina JR OF Adam Matthews (23.695 – Baltimore Orioles)
Florida JR C Ben McMahan (23.701 – Milwaukee Brewers)

Not a prospect battle because neither it is likely that neither player will get into game action this weekend, but both Matthews and McMahan deserve some attention as solid junior performers who showed enough this year to get drafted. As a speed guy first and foremost, Matthews’s battles with hamstring injuries all season long were a shame to see. McMahan’s biggest obstacle this year wasn’t injury, but the presence of Mike Zunino. There is still a part of me that thinks McMahan could surface a few years down the line as a big league backup, based largely on the strength of his plus defensive tools.

*****

South Carolina FR RHP Forrest Koumas
South Carolina SO RHP Colby Holmes
South Carolina JR LHP Michael Roth (31.938 – Cleveland Indians)
Florida SO RHP Hudson Randall
Florida FR RHP Karsten Whitson
Florida JR LHP Alex Panteliodis (9.282 – New York Mets)

Prospect Advantage: Florida

Koumas is the rare young pitcher that I actually would put in the bullpen from the start with the simple instruction “just let it fly.” As a starter his stuff is good — 88-92 FB, good sinker, flashes plus slider — but his fastball has looked so explosive in shorter stints (easy 95 peak) that I think his eventual destination will be the ‘pen. His opening night opposition will be Hudson Randall. Randall’s upside isn’t in the same league as many of his sophomore year contemporaries, but his average across the board raw stuff is underrated by many. Maybe he is a sinker/slider reliever long-term, but there could be some teams that value his plus command and his ability to keep four different pitches at or below the knees consistently enough to keep him as a starter.

There is still some growth left in Holmes’ game, despite the fact he is a dreaded short righthander. An adjustment to his delivery could help unlock a few ticks on his fastball, bringing it up to a more suitable low-90s sitting velocity. His upside is dwarfed by Florida’s game two starter, Karsten Whitson. Whitson is on the short list of first overall pick in 2013 candidates due to his plus fastball (sits 93-95, hits 97) and a well above-average slider that shows plus-plus when he cranks it up to the upper limits of its 82-87 MPH range.

Roth could presently be the lefty version of what Randall hopes to evolve into next year. He may not have a knockout pitch, but the way he works each batter’s eye level is a sight to behold. He faces off against the Florida lefthander Panteliodis, another pitcher without overpowering stuff but with good enough command and solid complementary stuff (CU/CB) to get by.

*****

South Carolina SO RHP Matt Price (6.184 – Arizona Diamondbacks)
South Carolina SR RHP John Taylor (22.663 – Seattle Mariners)
South Carolina SR RHP Jose Mata
South Carolina SO LHP Tyler Webb (48.1465 – Cincinnati Reds)
South Carolina JR LHP/OF Steven Neff (41.1257 – San Francisco Giants)
South Carolina JR LHP Bryan Harper (30.907 – Washington Nationals)

Florida JR RHP Tommy Toledo (11.341 – Milwaukee Brewers)
Florida JR LHP Nick Maronde (3.104 – Los Angeles Angels)
Florida SO RHP/1B Austin Maddox
Florida JR RHP Greg Larson (29.885 – Los Angeles Angels)
Florida SO LHP Steven Rodriguez
Florida JR RHP Anthony DeSclafani (6.199 – Toronto Blue Jays)
Florida SR RHP Matt Campbell (24.751 – Philadelphia Phillies)

Prospect Advantage: Florida

South Carolina leans very heavily on the first two arms on the list. Matt Price, a sixth rounder of Arizona, is the ultimate college closer who manages to combine all kinds of big game guile with legit big league late inning stuff. I like him a lot less than many of the experts, but still think his solid fastball, good low-80s slider, and underrated changeup should work well either as a back of the rotation arm or as a 7th/8th inning setup type. Taylor and Mata are seniors who get by on their funky deliveries more than overwhelming stuff. Webb’s stuff is good enough that he is likely unsignable as a 48th round draft-eligible sophomore. Neff has had a weird, injury-plagued season, but has found a way to contribute as a power bench bat even after getting shut down on the mound. If signable, his low-90s fastball could help make him a steal for the Giants. Harper to Washington was the easiest pick to predict in the whole draft; with him, it was merely a matter of when, not if.

The only conclusion I can come to after looking over these rosters is that the Florida Gators are basically a minor league team at this point. When the bullpen alone features six pro quality arms (not counting Campbell, a 24th round pick this year), you’re doing something very right. Toledo’s rebounded nicely from a line drive to the face last year and is back to his low-90s fastball ways. Maronde, my 20th ranked college pitcher in the 2011 draft, has the stuff to start at the next level but will have to settle on dominating out of the bullpen for another week. Larson is a 6-8, 225 pound giant with limbs so long it looks like he is placing the ball in the catcher’s mitt from the mound. DeSclafani brings a fastball with plus life and an above-average slider to the table.

Maddox, a huge wild card, returns from injury to pump low- to mid-90s fastballs early in the count, late in the count, and any time in between. Rodriguez isn’t quite as talented as Maronde, but is similar in the way he may have stuff suited for starting down the line. Lefties with plus fastball movement and above-average velocity (88-91 FB, 93 peak) and the potential for a plus change aren’t often left in the bullpen for long.

2012 MLB Draft: All-ACC Prospect Team (Position Players)

Somebody just asked me who my favorite 2012 MLB Draft prospects at each position across the ACC were last night. Alright, that’s a total lie…but here they are anyway:

Virginia Tech SO C Chad Morgan | .237/.333/.360 – 16 BB/34 K – 139 AB

Morgan was a favorite heading into 2011 because of his big power upside, plus arm strength, and well above-average defensive skills. His sophomore year numbers don’t exactly scream early round candidate heading into 2012, but the big tools remain.

Florida State SO 1B Jayce Boyd | .339/.423/.519 – 36 BB/30 K – 233 AB

Despite the change in bats, Boyd put up a nearly identical stat line in 2011 (2010 numbers: .341/.413/.528 – 28 BB/36 K – 214 AB) with the biggest exception being his improved plate discipline. The most difficult players to project – for me, anyway – are the prospects who are destined for bat-first positions (i.e. first base and corner outfield) because the margin for error is so slight. Boyd has a bat I believe in. Watching him hit reminds you of the difference between a good power hitter and a good hitter who hits for power. Boyd is squarely in the latter category; his plus raw power and outstanding collegiate production are byproducts of his special hit tool. I’d caution against thinking that his likely inability to stick at third base at the next level equates to below-average athleticism and negative defensive value. Yeah, it’s true that he may be too stiff to man the hot corner professionally, but his solid athleticism, soft hands, and great baseball instincts make him a plus defender at first base.

Florida State SO 2B Devon Travis | .336/.462/.523 – 43 BB/28 K – 5/9 SB – 220 AB

Travis will head into the 2012 season duking it out with North Carolina’s Tommy Coyle for the honor of first second baseman picked out of the ACC. I like the rising Florida State junior to be the first off the board because of his exciting mix of future tools and current skills. As his 2011 hitting line shows, his bat fits well as a potential pro leadoff hitter, offering that almost ideal blend of patience and little man (5-9, 180 pounds) pop. He has also shown above-average speed along with plus defensive tools at second, though his on-field output in both areas (only 10 steals in two years and up and down performances in the field) has been inconsistent to date.

Virginia SO SS Stephen Bruno | .240/.269/.320 – 0 BB/7 K – 0/1 SB – 25 AB

I wrote about Bruno a bit back in the day…

FR SS Stephen Bruno (2012) was one of the rarest of the rare coming out of high school – a prep player actually expected to stay at shortstop as a pro. We always hear about how pretty much every worthwhile big leaguer was the star shortstop/pitcher of his high school team, but it never registered how often these players were forced to move off the position after signing that first pro deal. I mean, Jim Thome was a shortstop in high school* because, let’s be honest, that’s just where you put the best athlete at that level. I remember watching Billy Rowell play shortstop in high school. He positioned himself about 3 steps out on the outfield grass, basically admitting to all in attendance he had no range and instead relying exclusively on his rocket arm to gun people down at first. Rowell wasn’t a pro prospect as a shortstop, but he played shortstop on his high school team because, quite simply, if he didn’t, then who would? Bruno was a top ten round talent in 2009 who fell to the Yankees in the 26th round due to a very strong commitment to Virginia. He’ll stick at shortstop throughout his career due to his plus range, slightly above-average speed, and Speedy Gonzalez quick hands. He has flashed present power, launching a couple of 450 bombs his senior year of school, but lacks the overall strength to do it on a consistent basis. That last point may not seem like a huge deal for a middle infield prospect, but it does speak to the general concerns about Bruno’s future. Some players are projects based on the development of their tools, an area that Bruno grades out fairly well across the board (in addition to the aforementioned defensive skills, he has a 55 arm), but other players are projects based on their physical development. That’s where Bruno is at right now. He has worked his tail off to improve in each of the five tools (most notably speed and arm strength), but it’ll be the way is body fills out (keeping in mind he is 5-9, 165) that will make him into either a first round caliber guy or not.

It really is a shame that an injured hamstring has held back Bruno in 2011 because, when healthy, he can really, really play. He should get his chance next season, though it remains to be seen if he’ll get the opportunity to unseat the incumbent Chris Taylor or have to put his strong arm and good athleticism to use elsewhere on the diamond. As good as Taylor has been at short for the Cavaliers, I think Bruno’s defensive upside is even higher.

North Carolina State SO 3B Danny Canela | .267/.349/.443 – 17 BB/26 K – 131 AB

This may be a little bit of a cheat seeing how Canela’s likeliest defensive home at the next level is probably behind the plate, but a little bit of creative licensing gets him the job at the hot corner on our list. He is probably talented enough to play at least average defense at either position, but his, shall we say, “compact” 5-10, 230 pound frame gives him the look of a future pro backstop. Canela’s signature tool is probably his raw arm strength – no surprise considering his two defensive positions – but his quick bat and power upside are nearly as appealing positives.

Georgia Tech SO OF Brandon Thomas | .322/.434/.449 – 38 BB/40 K – 20/23 SB – 205 AB

It’s easy to see why Thomas has drawn favorably comparisons (by me) to former Georgia Tech outfielders Charlie Blackmon and Danny Payne. A quick rundown of his biggest positives: above-average range in a corner spot, an arm strong enough for right field, good speed that he knows how to use, gap power with a chance for more, excellent athleticism, and a pro ready body (6-3, 205 pounds). It can sometimes be difficult to pinpoint a good prospect a year ahead of the draft, but tools like that combined with really strong production at an outstanding college program make this whole prognostication thing a lot easier.

North Carolina State SO OF Tarran Senay | .271/.401/.388 – 26 BB/38 K – 0/1 SB – 129 AB

Senay is probably the least toolsy of the outfielders listed, so the “bat or bust” risk factor typified by future first basemen/left fielders is magnified. Injuries knocked his numbers down in 2011 (check his freshman season line: .304/.456/.571 – 28 BB/29 K – 112 AB), but the plus raw power keeps him squarely on the 2012 draft map.

Virginia SO OF Reed Gragnani | .293/.410/.361 – 19 BB/13 K – 1/3 SB – 133 AB

A little bit of Gragnani appreciation written by me (though with too much information lifted from here…I feel bad about that, so sorry Mr. Kolenich…I’ve gotten better at attributing sources since then) prior to his freshman year…

FR SS Reed Gragnani (2012) is yet another talented young prospect expected to see significant time in a loaded Virginia infield. His game right now revolves largely around his well above-average speed, excellent athleticism, and impressive range up the middle, but he is no slouch with the bat either. Early comps include Brian Roberts (if he develops as is) and Ryan Zimmerman (if he bulks up and gains power). Gragnani’s brother, Robbie, grew four inches during his college tenure at Virginia Commonwealth, so that Ryan Zimmerman developmental path isn’t totally out of the question. That’s not to say that the only thing standing in the way between Gragnani and future big league All-Star status is a couple of inches and some muscle, but he’s a good player with high round talent all the same.

I still believe in Gragnani as a middle infielder, but also think he has the tools to play a mean center field if given the chance. I also still believe in his bat. While it is true that his power hasn’t come on like many (myself included) had hoped, he still has the chance to hit for a high average and gap power at the next level.

2012 MLB Draft: All-ACC Prospect Team (Honorable Mentions)

I really wanted to finish up those College World Series previews in time for the weekend, but pesky real work obligations got in the way. They wound up being a lot more time consuming than I had anticipated, so with great regret I’m ditching the rest of the time-sensitive stuff and instead focusing on a more general 2012 approach going forward. In an effort to spotlight some interesting names heading into next year, I’ll be putting together preseason All-Conference (2012 Draft) teams throughout the summer. Like much of the content you’ll see over the next ten weeks there is no schedule, so be sure to check in early and often to see if your favorite conference has gotten any love.

To start off, here are 5 interesting ACC infielders who didn’t actually make the cut for my preseason All-ACC (2012 Draft) team…

Source: leebecker.com

Clemson SO C Spencer Kieboom | .300/.382/.382 – 23 BB/12 K – 170 AB

There is a lot to like about Spencer Kieboom. First, he’s got a good approach at the plate. Next up, there is his even better defense behind the plate. Finally, and best of all, there is his name, Spencer Kieboom. The first two may be more important with respect to his future in baseball, but I’d say that last quality alone is more than enough to get him on every early 2012 watch list.

Wake Forest SO 1B Matt Conway |.272/.361/.451 – 27 BB/31 K – 195 AB

Conway has the size (6-7, 250 pounds), plus raw power, and solid approach to hitting that help make him Wake Forest’s best prospect since Allan Dykstra in 2008. He also dabbles on the mound for the Demon Deacons; that’s both a terrifying thought for an opposing batter (not sure I’d be feeling 6-7, 250 pound lefty heat coming at me…) and a feat worth noting to highlight Conway’s better than you’d think athleticism and arm strength.

Clemson SO 1B Richie Shaffer | .333/.459/.613 – 47 BB/50 K – 222 AB

It was incredibly difficult to leave Shaffer off the big boy list, but tough decisions sometimes come with the job. If we were to smartly ignore the artificial restraints that such a list presents, however, we could focus less on the list itself and more on Shaffer the good defender with plus to plus-plus raw power and a plus throwing arm capable of hitting the low-90s from the mound. We could also talk about his outstanding sophomore year – who couldn’t love a sophomore who slugged over .600 while going up against the likes of Virginia, North Carolina, Miami and Florida State? – as well as his above-average defense, solid athleticism, pro frame speedy recovery from a broken hamate bone.

North Carolina SO 2B Tommy Coyle | .337/.429/.451 – 37 BB/21 K – 19/25 SB – 255 AB

Coyle has above-average speed and athleticism, a really solid line drive swing, and an outstanding batting eye. It is still really early in the process, but I think we’re looking at a player with the ceiling of a big league regular with the possibility of a utility future a realistic backup option. The similarities between Tommy and his Red Sox prospect brother Sean are striking, with the younger Sean holding the slight advantage as a prospect because of a touch more power upside. How cool is it to think that there is a chance both Tommy and Sean could be big league starting second baseman some day?

Virginia SO SS Chris Taylor | .320/.397/.426 – 25 BB/39 K – 10/14 SB – 256

As an unheralded – though still heralded enough to land at UVA — high school recruit, Chris Taylor has had to work his way up the depth chart over time. He now finds himself firmly entrenched as the Cavaliers starting shortstop and leadoff hitter. His athleticism, defensive versatility, and plus arm are what really set him apart from the field at this point in his development.

2011 College World Series Preview: Vanderbilt Commodores

The second team to get the full College World Series preview is your Vanderbilt Commodores. The setup up for this is about as simple as can be: first category is for players drafted in 2011, second category is for players eligible for the 2012 draft, and the last category is for, you guessed it, players eligible for the 2013 draft. 

1.18 JR RHP Sonny Gray (Oakland Athletics) | 7th ranked prospect overall

plus FB in mid-90s (92-97) with excellent movement; currently rarely dips below 93-96 with nice sink; 81-85 plus to plus-plus CB; average command that comes and goes; 84-87 SL can be a weapon in time; 82-85 CU slow to emerge, but now a weapon more often than not; plus athlete; 5-11, 180

While everybody was making — and wisely subsequently dismissing — Tim Lincecum comps for UCLA’s Trevor Bauer, the closest thing to the Giants star pitcher in this year’s class has always been Sonny Gray. Of course, Gray isn’t really anything like Lincecum (really, who is?), but the three biggest knocks on Lincecum coming out of Washington — control, size, and an unorthodox delivery — are all also questions that Gray will have to answer to at the next level. The inconsistent control and violence in his delivery are a tad worrisome — his size doesn’t concern me in the least — but when you have raw stuff like Gray’s, you get lots of opportunities to work through your other issues. The realistic floor here is a dominant yet occasionally frustrating to watch shutdown reliever; the ceiling is a first division top of the rotation arm. Gray reminds me a little bit of Braves starter Tommy Hanson, give or take seven inches and forty pounds. I’ve also heard a slightly more size appropriate comp (still forty pounds off, but only about a four inch height difference) of Yovani Gallardo.

1.59 JR LHP Grayson Garvin (Tampa Bay Rays) | 79th ranked prospect overall

started 87-89 FB, 90-91 peak; sitting 89-92 now, 93-95 peak; good FB command; 70-73 CB with upside if thrown harder; now up to 73-75 and above-average pitch; average 77-80 CU with room for improvement, could be plus in time; cutter; SL; good athlete; outstanding control; 6-6, 220

Garvin is a classic pitchability lefty (love his FB command and overall control) who has just so happened to grow into above-average velocity from the left side. He doesn’t have a pitch that is a consistent out pitch, but both his curve and change flash above-average enough to give him the upside of a back of the rotation arm.

2.64 JR 3B Jason Esposito (Baltimore Orioles) | 55th ranked prospect overall

Esposito’s defense is big league ready, and his hit tool, raw power, and speed all grade out as average future tools at the next level. I swear I was ready to mention Matt Dominguez as a potential comp before reading Baseball America beat me to the punch, but it is a good enough comp that I don’t mind repeating it.

If my instincts count for anything, allow me to go on record as a believer in Esposito. As impressive a college career as he has had so far, I think he goes on to show more at the next level with the bat. Additionally, while his glove at third may not be Adrian Beltre good, he has the chance to be a top five defensive third baseman in the big leagues in very short order. That glove alone will give him very good value for a Baltimore team stocked with a bunch of interesting young arms.

3.99 JR RHP Jack Armstrong (Houston Astros) | 49th ranked prospect overall

91-93 FB sitting, 94-97 peak; 80-82 flashes plus CU; 81-82 CB with promise but slow to develop due to injuries; clean mechanics; finally healthy, CB better than ever; 6-7, 230 pounds

Sometimes it really is as simple as throwing away the performance aspect and looking at raw stuff. Armstrong’s track record on the mound doesn’t make him a top 100 pick (or a top 50 prospect on my pre-draft list), but his raw stuff ranks up there with almost anybody’s. Injury concerns could have Houston looking at Armstrong as a future reliever, but I’d love to see the big guy get a chance to start.

3.106 SR 1B Aaron Westlake (Detroit Tigers) | 126th ranked prospect overall

Westlake is going to hit as a professional, I’m sure of that much. Will he hit enough to hold down an everyday job at first? That’s the million dollar question, I suppose. He should be able to hit well enough against righthanded pitchers to at least work his way into a platoon role down the line. It could also be possible that his drafting team gets creativity with him, and tries him at a few different spots (corner OF, maybe a little third, perhaps some time behind the plate) a la Baltimore’s Jake Fox.

There isn’t much to add about Westlake that hasn’t already been said. He has one clear big league tool (power), but is held back by the position he plays. If he hits, he’ll make it. If he doesn’t, he won’t. There is no safety net. In the meantime, sit back and watch Westlake terrorize college pitching one last time in Omaha.

3.117 SO LHP Corey Williams (Minnesota Twins)

Williams as a top ten round pick would have surprised me, so his selection in the third had me perplexed. He has a good arm with the chance to consistently hit the mid-90s with some added strength, but it takes a pretty big leap of faith to use a third rounder on an untested relief prospect. As someone who knows a thing or two about jacked up kneecaps, I’ll definitely be rooting for Williams from now on. The question of whether or not I’ll be rooting him on as a member of the Twins organization or as a student at Vanderbilt remains to be answered. There is no reason to think he wouldn’t sign this year — hard to see him rising above third round money next year — but I only count six certainties on next year’s Vanderbilt pitching staff. The opportunity to come back and perhaps pitch in a more prestigious role could appeal to him.

6.187 SR RHP Taylor Hill (Washington Nationals) | 224th ranked prospect overall

88-91 FB with plus sink, 93-94 peak that I’ve seen with my own two eyes, have heard rumors of him hitting 95; 79-85 plus SL; very good 78-83 sinking CU also called a splitter; mechanics need smoothing out; 6-4, 225 pounds

Read that quick scouting report of Taylor Hill above and then check out where I ranked him on my pre-draft board. Pretty low for a pitcher of this caliber, right? Part of that can be explained by the unusually strong draft class, especially in terms of pitching depth. However, part of it can also be explained by me underrating one heck of a quality prospect.

6.206 SR RHP Mark Lamm (Atlanta Braves)

My notes on Lamm were short and sweet: 90-94 FB; Tommy John survivor. The development of a pair of above-average offspeed pitches — a slider and a change — got him drafted way ahead of where I would have guessed. He’s up there as one of the top senior signs around and could be a quick mover through the system.

10.317 SR C Curt Casali (Detroit Tigers) | 87th ranked prospect overall

Every game Casali plays is one game further removed from 2009 Tommy John surgery. The difference it has made in his defense behind the plate (more than just big league ready – he’d be in the upper half defensively of pro catchers) and his offense at the plate (near-plus raw power and a phenomenal whole field approach) give him the look of a future big leaguer to me. It is a rare senior that warrants draft consideration before round five, but Casali is an exception. Love this guy.

If I was a betting man, I’d be happy to put down a cool five bucks on Curt Casali reaching the big leagues in some capacity before too long. There are some really iffy big league catchers This will be the last time I open up the old SEC catcher debate from earlier in the year, so let me get this last shot in: Casali will have a better professional career than the catcher the Tigers first 2011 draft selection, Arkansas C James McCann.

14.446 JR RHP Navery Moore (Atlanta Braves) | 131st ranked prospect overall

92-96 plus FB, 99 peak; plus 81-84 SL that comes and goes; flashes plus CB; iffy control; Tommy John survivor; very occasional CU; “Intergalactic” is his closer music; has the stuff to start, but teams might not risk it from a health and delivery standpoint; 6-2, 205

Moore’s velocity was down late in the year. That’s a significant problem when your most marketable skill is a big fastball. That said, I still think he’s a good bet to settle in as a big league reliever some day due to his good athleticism and above-average raw stuff. The drop in velocity has to be addressed, however, whether or not it turns to be a mere matter of fatigue (treatment: rest, rest, more rest…and perhaps a tweak or two to his delivery) or a more serious health concern (treatment: shut him down, get him to a top surgeon, and hope he comes out healthy on the other side).

30.928 SO RHP Will Clinard (Minnesota Twins)

Clinard is similar to Corey Williams in that both are redshirt sophomore pitchers drafted by the Minnesota Twins. Clinard’s numbers across the board were more impressive than Williams, but you can’t just beat a high velocity lefthander, I suppose. I’m personally not so sure that I don’t prefer the big (6-4, 225) athletic righthander with the low-90s fastball and potential plus breaking ball. While it seems likely Williams will be offered enough to forgo his last two seasons of college eligibility, Clinard would probably need overslot money to head to the pros. If one of Ziomek, Pecoraro, or Selman get hurt and/or pitch below expectations, Clinard has the stuff to potentially sneak into a weekend starter’s gig.

46.1384 JR OF Joe Loftus (Arizona Diamondbacks)

Not sure how signable Loftus is as a 46th rounder because his blend of arm strength, athleticism, and untapped raw power make him an unusually talented late round pick. If he returns to school, he could easily jump up 25+ rounds with a big senior season.

*****

JR C Drew Fann (2012)

Fann isn’t an early round candidate, but the demand for quality catch-and-throw prospects could get him drafted as a late round senior sign in 2012. The Vanderbilt catching job is up for grabs heading into next year, and it would come as no surprise if Fann took the job with a strong fall. I should point out that I’ve read that Fann is a senior who is exhausted his eligibility on a few Vanderbilt-specific sites, but the official Vandy website has him listed as a redshirt junior. In other words, I don’t know what’s going on with Fann, but the possibility exists that I just spent 117 words on an undrafted player without any more college eligibility .

JR 2B Riley Reynolds (2012) | .356/.407/.403 – 11 BB/19 K – 4/4 SB – 149 AB

I’m really surprised that Reynolds didn’t get drafted based on the strength of his solid freshman and junior seasons. His sophomore season was disappointing, no doubt, but at his best he has shown himself to be an average middle infield bat with a very steady glove at second. If he can play competently on the left side of the diamond — something that remains to be seen — then he’ll profile as a potential 2012 late round utility prospect.

SO SS Sam Lind (2012) | .239/.315/.391 – 3 BB/10 K – 46 AB

Lind has bounced from Missouri to Central Arizona to Vanderbilt. Alright, that’s a lie. He was draft eligible this past year, but didn’t hear his name called on the conference call. A second year in one place should do the middle infield with a strong arm and above-average hit tool some good. He was a personal favorite of mine heading into the year (15th on my preseason college shortstop list), so the pressure will really be on if he wants to get back into my good graces. That is what these guys are playing for, right? My approval? Not the fame, money, girls, and love of the game, but the respect of some nobody on the internet that they’ll never meet? Alright, good, just making sure.

SO LHP Sam Selman (2012)

There are way too many teams and players for me to keep track of everybody and everything quite the way I’d like to. The case of Sam Selman exemplifies the limits of my coverage. In doing research for this very piece, I checked out Selman’s 2011 stats, excited to see what kind of numbers a player with a potential plus fastball (mid-90s peak), plus slider, and promising changeup (per my notes) put up. Selman threw a whopping 6.1 innings last year. Based on the reports I had on him from his high school/early Vanderbilt days, some major injury must have popped up for Selman in 2011 to limit his innings that drastically, I thought. Not so fast, my friend. Selman’s lack of work can be traced to an overcrowded (in the best possible way) Vanderbilt pitching staff and a somewhat disappointingly slow transition to the college game, most notably from a strength standpoint. His string bean 6-3, 170 pound physique has not yet proven to be reliable enough to handle any kind of real innings workload and his control has kept him from being able to effectively utilize his array of promising pitches.

Even with all of those negatives disclosed, I’m still pleased to go on record as a huge Sam Selman fan. The fact I think he has the talent to rocket up from 6.1 innings as a sophomore to the 2012 first round pretty much says it all. Command and conditioning issues aside, there has been no degradation of Selman’s pro quality three-pitch arsenal. If he can lock down a weekend job this fall, watch how high he’ll fly up draft boards next spring.

SO OF Connor Harrell (2012) | .288/.354/.492 – 13 BB/38 K – 7/7 SB – 177 AB

As a legit five-tool player with pro size teetering on the edge of solid defensive center fielder and plus defensive corner outfielder, Harrell has a little Mikie Mahtook in his game. That probably won’t be the only time I use the Mahtook comp this upcoming year — Stanford’s Jake Stewart is another player cut from a similar toolsy free wheeling tweener cloth — and it isn’t the most instructive comparison in the world, but it is both a point of reference for Harrell’s style of play and a way to share my generally positive view of what I think he is capable of doing next spring. I’m a huge fan of Harrell’s plus arm, good range, well above-average raw power, and opportunistic ways on the base paths. If he can turn those ugly plate discipline ratios around, he’ll vault close to the top of the 2012 college outfield class.

SO OF Michael Yastrzemski (2012) | .311/.445/.388 – 44 BB/35 K – 23/26 SB – 206 AB

After already typing Michael Yastrzemski’s last name out incorrectly more than a few times, I can appreciate the first brilliant person who called his more famous grandfather “Yaz.” The younger Yaz is another five-tool talent, though more of a speed/defense/leadoff hitter type than his more powerful outfield wingman Connor Harrell. I swear it isn’t because of the similarly impressive lineage (or at least not only because), but I think of Michael Yastrzemski as a similar ballplayer as Orioles eighth round pick Johnny Ruettiger.

SO SS Anthony Gomez (2012) | .350/.366/.408 – 8 BB/12 K – 7/9 SB – 260 AB

What Gomez lacks in tools, he makes up for in his ability to make a crazy amount of contact. The contact is nice, but the unimpressive tool set keeps him from being much more than a marginal pro prospect. To wit, his defense up the middle isn’t yet good enough to have anybody believing his glove will carry him, and his foot speed is average at best.

SO OF Regan Flaherty (2012)

Never bet against a Flaherty, I always say. Actually I’ve never said that before just now, but it’s still true. The biggest problem facing Flaherty heading into next season will be finding playing time in a crowded Commodores outfield; he could see some time at first or designated hitter to get his bat in the lineup.

FR LHP Keenan Kolinsky (2012): 6-1, 210

Kolinsky, a redshirt freshman, hasn’t done a whole lot yet with Vanderbilt, but could see major innings out of the bullpen in 2012. He throws a solid upper-80s fastball and is a good athlete, so, hey, he’s got that going for him.

*****

FR LHP Kevin Ziomek (2013) | 9.67 K/9 – 2.82 BB/9 – 3.40 FIP – 44.2 IP

I’m not so bold to say Ziomek is going to follow in the footsteps of previous Vanderbilt lefthanders David Price (1st overall) and Mike Minor (7th overall) and land in the draft’s top ten, but the fact that the thought even crossed my mind in the first place tells you plenty about Ziomek’s upside. Ziomek is predominantly a fastball/changeup pitcher, throwing the former between 91-94 MPH and the latter in the low-80s. His much improved curve and slider run into each other a bit too much velocity-wise now that that his curve has gained some heat, but right now the slider is the better pitch and a potential above-average big league offering. The whole package — good fastball, potential plus change, above-average slider, an interesting curve, and good athleticism — is first round quality.

FR RHP TJ Pecoraro (2013) | 9.76 K/9 – 2.72 BB/9 – 3.43 FIP – 39.2 IP

The similarities between the 2011 statistical lines of Pecoraro and Ziomek are striking, no? Pecoraro doesn’t quite have the scouting profile of Ziomek — few do — but is no slouch in the raw ability department. He is armed with a really good low-90s fastball (94 peak) with late life and two potential above-average offspeed pitches (curve and change). Short righthanders like Pecoraro will be my favorite undervalued draft asset until those in pro ball catch on. A torn elbow ligament in May puts a damper on his short-term outlook, but he remains a viable early round candidate for 2013.

FR 1B/OF Conrad Gregor (2013) | .351/.454/.464 – 29 BB/23 K – 151 AB

We knew Gregor had huge raw power. We didn’t know his freshman year approach would be so solid. I might seem overly optimistic on all of the players mentioned in the College World Series prospect series, but you have to remember this is an unusually talented CWS group. Gregor has that plus raw power, a potential plus hit tool, outstanding defense at first and average defense in an outfield corner, a strong throwing arm…in other words, just about everything you’d want in a prospect. Aaron Westlake went in the third round this year; it’ll be interesting to see if Gregor, a better player at this point in his development, can improve on that in two years.

FR OF Tony Kemp (2013) | .328/.431/.406 – 33 BB/29 K – 16/20 SB – 229 AB

If any less heralded player is going to steal the spotlight this weekend in Omaha, it’ll be Kemp. The diminutive freshman is a huge fan favorite due to his plus-plus speed, ridiculous range in center field, and keen awareness of the strike zone. I’m really looking forward to seeing how he progresses over the next two seasons, especially at the plate. I mentioned to a guy int he know that Kemp reminded me a bit of Ronnie Richardson, but was told the better comp was Mike Bourn.

FR SS Joel McKeithan (2013)

Objectivity is important, no doubt, but sometimes you just have to throw caution to the wind and just go with a guy you like. Joel McKeithan is that kind of guy for me. He is currently expected to fill a utility infielder role for the 2012 Vanderbilt squad, but I can easily envision his plus speed and plus defensive tools at short earning him time over Anthony Gomez at short. The little bit I saw of him in high school plus the positive college practice reports equal a potential big league starting shortstop in my mind.

FR RHP Robert Hansen (2013)

Hansen was given a redshirt this year to help space out some of Vanderbilt’s young pitching. He has a good low-90s fastball and an emerging low-80s slider.

FR LHP Steven Rice (2013)

Rice’s curve was one of the better breaking balls in the 2010 high school class. That pitch alone makes him an interesting prospect despite a fastball that only sits between 86-88 MPH.

FR C Spencer Navin (2013)

Navin’s glovework and plus arm should get him into the regular lineup as early as next season, but his bat is far from a sure thing.

FR OF Will Johnson (2013)

Johnson is a great athlete who is still working on the finer points of the game. Minimalist commentary like that is why it will forever be free to read this site…

2011 College World Series Preview: North Carolina Tar Heels

The first team to get the full College World Series preview is your North Carolina Tar Heels. The setup up for this is about as simple as can be: first category is for players drafted in 2011, second category is for players eligible for the 2012 draft, and the last category is for, you guessed it, players eligible for the 2013 draft. 

1.30 JR SS Levi Michael (Minnesota Twins) | 34th ranked prospect overall

I’ve mentioned it before, but it is so incredible to me that it bears repeating: Levi Michael graduated high school early to enroll at UNC mid-year, and then went on to tear it up as a freshman playing as a starter in the ACC. Occasionally we’ll see pitchers do this, and last year we had the whole Bryce Harper skipping his senior year to go destroy wood ball junior college ball thing, but it is still pretty rare to see a hitter do what Michael did in the manner he did (repeat: he smashed the ball all over the place back in 2009 as an 18-year-old) that it is worth pointing out over and over again. Michael has plenty of bat speed, double-digit homer upside, and the footwork and instincts to potentially stick at his junior season college position of shortstop.

Big fan of Michael the college player and Michael the new Minnesota Twins first round prospect. He’s a joy to watch as a big play college shortstop and team leader who also projects as a potential above-average regular with plus defensive upside at second. I’ve always been a sucker for guys with the kind of plate discipline that have you wondering if they know the strike zone better than the men in blue actually paid to call balls and strikes.

8.247 SR RHP Greg Holt (Washington Nationals)

Huge raw power, but one of three natural first basemen vying for playing time behind Dustin Ackley on 2009 team; Moneyball listed as favorite book, so he has that going for him

How’s that for a blast from the past? Back in March 2009 Holt was battling Tarron Robinson and Brett Thomas for whatever at bats could be had behind eventual number two overall pick Dustin Ackley. Now Holt is a relief prospect with a fastball that sits 88-91 (93 peak) and a good low-80s slider.

24.730 SR 1B Jesse Wierzbicki (Houston Astros) | 164th ranked prospect overall (2010)

Wierzbicki’s tools grade out as solid across the board, especially if you’re like me and willing to grade a catcher’s running speed on a curve. I tend to think of backup catchers falling into one of three general archetypes. The first group of backups are the sluggers (big raw power, capable of popping an extra base hit or two in that one start a week), the second are the defensive aces (nothing mesmerizes big league coaching staffs more than a catching with a plus arm), and the third are the players that do everything pretty well, but nothing great. Wierzbicki falls squarely in with that last category of player. He’s known for having power to the gaps, a consistent line drive generating swing, and a solid arm. He’s also a tireless worker who knows his own athletic limitations, two of those tricky intangible qualities that either mean a lot to a team or nothing at all.

That was written back in 2010 when I thought Wierzbicki could play behind the plate as a pro. I still think he’s got the athleticism and enough catch-and-throw ability to play back there. As a first baseman, however, I don’t see how his bat will work at all. Hopefully the Astros will be creative and try him in a utility role going forward.

25.768 SR RHP Patrick Johnson (Colorado Rockies)

Starter for UNC in the past, but profiles better as a reliever in the pros; too early to predict, but he could be on the Robert Woodard/Adam Warren four year path; good numbers, but has done it all against inferior mid-week competition; lack of size may doom him to the bullpen long-term, but his performance pitching largely out of the pen this season give hope that his stuff will play

Fairly prescient 2009 prognostication, if I do say so myself. Warren, who has been so much better as a pro than I ever would have imagined, is probably Johnson’s absolute best case scenario at this point. He throws an upper-80s fastball (92 peak), good upper-70s curve, and average change.

42.1285 JR C Jacob Stallings (Cincinnati Reds) | 158th ranked prospect overall

There is no question about Stallings’s plus defense; that alone could be his ticket to the show as a backup catcher. Like Kometani, there’s more raw power here than he has shown so far. Stallings isn’t really talked about as a top college catching prospect, but he’s a really talented prospect with a plus-plus arm that could make him an interesting mound conversion if things don’t work out behind the dish.

I won’t lie here. I’m baffled about Stallings falling as low as he did. I suppose acceptance that strange things happen during the draft is the only way to survive in these topsy turvy times. Players with a legit upside of backup catcher/middle reliever are more useful than his draft pick warranted. I haven’t heard anything to back this up, but perhaps his signability is in question.

*****

JR RHP Jimmy Messer (2012) | 10.80 K/9 – 3.60 BB/9 – 5.09 FIP – 10 IP

44th round pick in 2008; favorite foods are sushi and Swiss cake rolls, a winning combination if I ever heard one; fastball sits in the low 90s, above-average (present) curveball with definite plus potential; another top three round candidate

Messer hasn’t quite developed into the player many thought he would, but there is still time for the rising senior. His average fastball (88-90, 92 peak), above-average 75-77 slider, and solid command could make him an attractive mid-round senior sign relief prospect in 2012. If nothing else, we’ll always have that sushi and Swiss cake roll combo…

JR RHP Garrett Davis (2012)

Good size (6-4, 195); currently no spot for him in the rotation, but may be stretched out as starter next year; definitely has the repertoire to start; will be draft eligible next year as a redshirt sophomore, velocity has crept back up after TJ surgery in March 2008, but his command and availability to pitch back-to-back games remain question marks going forward

Deservedly lauded for great raw stuff, Davis has dealt with nagging injuries and bouts of wildness that have limited his college innings. Modern medicine has spoiled us into thinking Tommy John surgery always ends happily; hard as it is to say, we must now entertain the thought that Davis will never return to his high school, pre-injury form. Or we can continue to believe he’ll find a consistent release point and improve his control as a senior. I prefer the latter.

***

SO RHP Michael Morin (2012) | 10.05 K/9 – 2.40 BB/9 – 2.86 FIP – 60 IP

The good news is Morin’s changeup is a true plus pitch. The bad news is…well…there isn’t much bad news. Backed up by his solid fastball (88-92 with room for more), good sinking two-seamer, average curve, above-average athleticism, pro frame (6-4, 180 pounds), and outstanding college production, Morin is one of the best college arms of the 2012 class.

SO RHP Cody Penny (2012) | 10.69 K/9 – 4.50 BB/9 – 2.59 FIP – 16 IP

Penny has the present stuff of a dominant college reliever (mid-90s peak fastball and a really good spike curve), and the future stuff (CU and SL coming on) of a potential pro starter.

SO 2B Tommy Coyle (2012) | .337/.429/.451 – 37 BB/21 K – 19/25 SB – 255 AB

Coyle played his high school ball about fifteen minutes from where I grew up, so I was lucky enough to catch him a couple of times during his senior season. He’s got above-average speed and athleticism, a really solid line drive swing, and an outstanding batting eye. It is still really early in the process, but I think we’re looking at a player with the ceiling of a big league regular with the possibility of a utility future a realistic backup option. I’m looking forward to seeing where he stacks up against the rest of the 2012 college middle infield crop, but I have a feeling he’ll be up there.

SO RHP Cody Stiles (2012) | 7.54 K/9 – 2.92 BB/9 – 3.91 FIP – 37 IP

With two breaking balls with above-average upside, Stiles heads into his junior campaign with a chance to shoot up draft boards. This isn’t a realistic comp for a sophomore coming off a 37 inning regular season, but there is something about Stiles’ repertoire (94 peak FB, promising SL and CB, CU with sink) that reads a little like 2011 first round pick Matt Barnes.

SO LHP RC Orlan (2012) | 12.56 K/9 – 5.65 BB/9 – 3.54 FIP – 14.1 IP

Sometimes good college pitchers are just that. Other times they become good pro pitchers. On rare occasions, they become great pro pitchers. It may be easy to lump Orlan into that first category, but I think he ultimately could fall into the middle grouping. His raw stuff doesn’t jump out at you — upper-80s FB (92 peak), above-average mid-80s cutter, a pair of usable breaking balls — and his slight frame doesn’t scream big leaguer, but his total package is greater than the sum of his individual parts.

SO OF Chaz Frank (2012) | .287/.430/.349 – 43 BB/27 K – 11/14 SB – 209 AB

There may not be a whole lot of raw power here, but Frank has a good approach, above-average speed, and a solid hit tool. His best present tool is probably his defensive range in the outfield.

SO RHP Chris Munnelly (2012) | 7.84 K/9 – 3.73 BB/9 – 4.29 FIP – 70 IP

If I’ve learned one thing in doing this post, it’s that North Carolina’s pitching depth is crazy. I can’t even imagine how they’ll divvy up innings if some of their biggest recruits wind up on campus this fall. One of the top returning pitchers next year will be Chris Munnelly. Munnelly was counted on to throw a lot this past spring for North Carolina, and with good reason. His decent fastball (88-91) plays up because of plus command, and both his advanced change and rapidly improving breaking stuff could be even bigger weapons in time.

*****

FR 3B Colin Moran (2013) | .348/.459/.583 – 48 BB/29 K – 230 AB

When he enrolled at North Carolina last fall, Moran’s name jumped out as the younger brother of former Tar Heels reliever Brian and nephew of former Tar Heel and big league star BJ Surhoff. I also knew he was a well regarded high school prospect out of New York, but, since we’re all pals now and have no reason not to be honest with one another, had assumed that the family legacy bit had way more to do with his scholarship than his ability. Take a look at his freshman year stat line and laugh at how very wrong I was. Moran is the real deal as a prospect, a hitter with legit big league upside, a gorgeous lefthanded stroke, and a great approach at the plate. He is an average defender at present, but there is enough there in the way of tools that makes you think he can become an above-average third baseman in time. Physically, he reminds me a little bit of former Ranger Hank Blalock.

FR LHP Kent Emanuel (2013) | 8.56 K/9 – 2.01 BB/9 – 3.56 FIP – 89.1 IP

Emanuel is another prospect who has far surpassed my expectations as a freshman. One thing I’ve enjoyed about Emanuel’s excellent freshman season has been the answer to the question “What would happen if a Tyler Skaggs/Henry Owens type went to campus instead of turning pro?” Emanuel tacked on over thirty pounds to his 6-4 frame (now up to 205) and upped his sitting fastball a couple ticks (now at 87-89 MPH). His change is already an above-average college offering, and could be plus pro pitch with the way he throws it with fastball arm speed. His best bet at another above-average pro pitch is probably a slider, but that is something to be developed down the line; for now, his cut fastball works as a usable college offering just fine.

FR C Matt Roberts (2013) | .237/.310/.316 – 2 BB/10 K – 38 AB

If Stallings signs with the Reds — hardly a foregone conclusion as a 42nd round pick — then Roberts should take over full-time duty behind the plate in 2012. On paper he has everything you’d want in a young catching prospect: athleticism, above-average defensive upside, and good power.

FR RHP Andrew Smith (2013) | 10.04 K/9 – 3.12 BB/9 – 3.55 FIP – 26 IP

I can’t wait to see what the super talented Smith does in an expanded role next season. He reminds me a bit of Cody Stiles (93 peak FB, potential plus mid-70s CB, SL with promise) and could really take off next year if his changeup, a pitch I’ve heard looked good in practice this year, comes around.

FR RHP Shane Taylor (2013) | 10.25 K/9 – 2.75 BB/9 – 3.01 FIP – 36 IP

Woodard, Warren, Johnson…Taylor? His upper-80s sitting fastball, good mid-70s curveball, and really impressive control and command definitely bring back memories of former Tar Heels pitchability righthanded greats.

FR RHP Jake Cole (2013)

Cole’s arm strength (92-93 peak) and the makings of a hard upper-70s slider make him a name to remember. There were some rumors that he will be given a retroactive redshirt for 2011; if that’s the case, he’ll remain a freshman in 2012, but also remain draft-eligible in 2013.

FR OF Jeff Bouton (2013) | .282/.378/.410 – 4 BB/21 K – 3/3 SB – 39 AB

Bouton came to school with the reputation of a good power/speed prospect, but almost all the power/speed in the world won’t work with plate discipline like that. Just a freshman, there is plenty of time for him to figure it out going forward.

FR 1B/OF Thomas Zengel (2013) | .214/.338/.313 – 20 BB/16 K – 112 AB

Zengel is a bat-first prospect who will have to keep on hitting if he hopes to get noticed. He strikes me more of a potentially really good college player more than a future big-time pro prospect, but the plate discipline shown in 2011 has me a little intrigued.

FR C Brian Holberton (2013) | .267/.352/.400 – 11 BB/13 K – 75 AB

Matt Roberts was the high profile catching recruit in 2011 and the expected heir apparent to the job, but Holberton has a chance to alter those plans. His defense behind the plate is his biggest strength and his gap power has been better than advertised.

FR 1B/2B Parks Jordan (2013) | .179/.343/.214 – 6 BB/10 K – 28 AB

There could be room for Parks Jordan to get some time at second base next year if North Carolina decides to shift Tommy Coyle to shortstop (i.e. the Levi Michael Special). There is some upside with the bat, but his glove is a question mark.

FR LHP Tate Parrish (2013): LOOGY upside; 6-0, 165 pounds; (9.39 K/9 – 5.28 BB/9 – 2.70 FIP – 15.1 IP)

Parrish is by all accounts a great guy and tireless worker. I could say that about a lot of the players on this list, but, when asking around about Parrish for this piece, almost every person I spoke to commented on Parrish the person before talking about Parrish the player. They also said that he’s got the stuff to get college lefthanders out consistently and, with continued development, perhaps pro lefthanders as well. That last sentence is structured horribly, but I’m losing steam here…

FR LHP Hobbs Johnson (2013)

Johnson is a pitchability lefty with an upper-80s fastball. That’s all I’ve got.

Now What?

Purgatory. That’s how I see this time of year. I hate analyzing the draft before knowing which players are going to sign and which players are going to school. If I could just wait until mid-August to begin the reviews of the June draft, then things would be perfect. Unfortunately, in my given profession, June and July are two of the best months to explore outside interests. By mid-August and into September, things get really, really busy. So just as I’m ready to start writing about the draft that was, I lose any free time to do so.

That’s all just a long, whiny way of saying hang tight on any 2011 draft analysis. I want to revisit it more as the summer goes on, but I want to do it the right way. That means a break from 2011 draft coverage while I focus on more pressing (and more interesting, at least to me) topics in the interim. All week you’ll be seeing pretty extensive College World Series team previews with a heavy emphasis on which 2012 and 2013 draft prospects to watch. After that, I think I’ll begin to delve into breakdowns of the best prospects by position for every major college conference. Interspersed in between the college coverage will be updates on what some of the biggest names on the high school circuit are up to. And, if/when the mood strikes, we’ll find a creative way to recap what went down during those three hectic days last week.

I’m also open to requests, so drop a comment below or send an email along if you have an idea. While I’m on the topic of comments/emails, I do want to apologize if I didn’t get back to anybody who tried to get in touch over the past few weeks. The two week stretch leading up to the draft this past year was pretty hectic, as I hope the crazy output of posts during that stretch showed. So, I’m sorry about that…but I hope that everybody’s favorite player got drafted and that I was wrong about any player I slighted along the way!

First team up on my College World Series tour is the North Carolina Tar Heels. Trying to get all eight teams complete before the first pitch on Saturday will be a challenge, but I’m looking forward to giving it a go. Expect UNC’s profile to be posted before dinner…

Oh! I also want to do a 2012 MLB mock draft within the next week or two. My two favorite days for mocks are a) the day of the draft, and b) the day after the draft. I always love reading what Jim Callis has unearthed the day of, but I also love the looooong range forecasts that attempt to name names twelve months ahead of schedule. Mocks are great for relaying insider information (e.g. Callis’ work), but they are also a lot of fun as an introduction to a new crop of talented prospects. Stay tuned for that…

2011 MLB Draft Prospect Scouting Report Database

While there are still occasional gems to be found on the last day of the draft, I think we can all agree the the bulk of the heavy lifting is now out of the way. Time to catch my breath once again and aggregate all of the relevant draft links in one handy spot. Before the links, a quick rant…

I hate linking to my own stuff and promise not to make a habit of it, but below I’ve listed all of the “scouting reports” compiled on the 474 players I managed to get to this year. The reason for the scare quotes around “scouting reports” is simple: I’m not a scout. I also want to make clear that I haven’t seen the vast majority of listed players firsthand, and therefore can’t claim to have personally “scouted” more than a handful of the prospects anyway. I’m only calling them scouting reports for lack of a better term. No disrespect to any of the professional scouts out there working hard doing the legwork needed to help this site stay alive. Alright, I feel better now. Thanks for putting up with that. Now the links…

Top 125 2011 MLB Draft College Pitcher Scouting Reports

Top 75 2011 MLB Draft High School Pitcher Scouting Reports

Top 20 2011 MLB Draft College Catcher Scouting Reports

Top 20 2011 MLB Draft High School Catcher Scouting Reports

Top 25 2011 MLB Draft College First Base Scouting Reports

Top 15 2011 MLB Draft High School First Base Scouting Reports

Top 20 2011 MLB Draft College Second Base Scouting Reports

Top 13 2011 MLB Draft High School Second Base Scouting Reports

Top 25 2011 MLB Draft College Shortstop Scouting Reports

Top 15 2011 MLB Draft High School Shortstop Scouting Reports

Top 25 2011 MLB Draft College Third Base Scouting Reports

Top 16 2011 MLB Draft High School Third Base Scouting Reports

Top 50 2011 MLB Draft College Outfield Scouting Reports

Top 30 2011 MLB Draft High School Outfield Scouting Reports

Final Shadow Draft Selections and Day Three Best Remaining (Unsignable) Prospect Big Board

Shadow drafting for the Phillies, here are my top thirty picks. Questions of signability almost render an exercise like this meaningless, but I tried to be as realistic as I could. I also tried to select backups for my most questionable picks (e.g. Preston Tucker reportedly has very high demands, so I grabbed Taylor Ard as a contingency plan). I also tried to stack positions with a college prospect and a prep prospect, as in the case with drafting Matt Skole and Matt Dean, both 3B, in back to back rounds. Here’s what I wound up with…

1.39 Kent State SO LHP Andrew Chafin
2.66 Academia la Milagrosa (PR) RHP Jorge Lopez
2.90 La Costa Canyon HS (CA) 2B Phillip Evans
4.151 Georgia Tech JR 3B Matt Skole
5.181 The Colony HS (TX) 3B Matt Dean
6.211 Texas State JR RHP Carson Smith
7.241 San Marcos HS (CA) C Riley Moore
8.271 St. John’s Prep (MA) RHP Pat Connaughton
9.301 Vanderbilt SR C Curt Casali
10.331 West Boca Raton HS (FL) SS Tyler Greene
11.361 TCU JR OF Jason Coats
12.391 Coastal Carolina JR SS Taylor Motter
13.421 Vanderbilt JR RHP Navery Moore
14.451 Downers Grove HS (IL) RHP Nick Burdi
15.481 George County HS (MS) OF Mason Robbins
16.511 Carroll HS (TX) RHP John Curtiss
17.541 Florida JR 1B Preston Tucker
18.571 Santa Fe CC FR OF Trey Griffin
19.601 Central Catholic HS (CA) OF Billy Flamion
20.631 Lake City HS (SC) 2B Shon Carson
21.661 Bishop Amat HS (CA) 1B Wallace Gonzalez
22.691 Central Florida SO OF Ronnie Richardson
23.721 Mississippi JR LHP Matt Crouse
24.751 Washington State JR 1B Taylor Ard
25.781 Winthrop JR RHP Tyler Mizenko
26.811 Minnesota SR RHP Scott Matyas
27.841 Rock Falls HS (IL) RHP Jake Junis
28.871 TL Hanna HS (SC) C Garrett Boulware
29.901 Parkway HS (LA) RHP Carson Baranik
30.931 Southeast Guilford HS (NC) OF Josh Tobias

…and here is a look at my best shot at a big board telling you who the best available prospects in the 2011 MLB are (alternate title: players who are in no way signable, but fun to dream about). I’ll add to this as the night goes on. In the meantime, if I included somebody who was already drafted then please let me know in the comments or via email…

  1. RHP John Curtiss (Carroll HS, Texas)
  2. RHP Pat Connaughton (St. John’s Prep, Massachusetts)
  3. RHP Benton Moss (Rocky Mount HS, North Carolina)
  4. C Elvin Soto (Xaverian HS, New York)
  5. C Garrett Boulware (TL Hanna HS, South Carolina)
  6. RHP Carson Baranik (Parkway HS, Louisiana)
  7. 2B Trent Gilbert (Torrance HS, California)
  8. SS Julius Gaines (Luella HS, Georgia)
  9. RHP Jake Reed (Helix HS, California)
  10. Santa Fe CC FR OF Trey Griffin
  11. 2B Shon Carson (Lake City HS, South Carolina)
  12. 1B Rookie Davis (Dixon HS, North Carolina)
  13. RHP Dylan Davis (Redmond HS, Washington)
  14. RHP Michael Cederoth (Steele Canyon HS, California)
  15. Rice JR OF Jeremy Rathjen
  16. North Carolina JR C Jacob Stallings
  17. Central Florida SO OF Ronnie Richardson
  18. OF Josh Tobias (Southeast Guilford HS, North Carolina)
  19. C Grayson Greiner (Blythewood HS, South Carolina)
  20. OF Sean Trent (Bishop Moore Catholic HS, Florida)
  21. Texas SO OF Cohl Walla
  22. Wichita State SO 1B Johnny Coy
  23. 3B Nicholas Howard (St. John’s College HS, Washington DC)
  24. RHP Jerrick Suiter (Valparaiso HS, Indiana)
  25. RHP Ricky Jacquez (Franklin HS, Texas)
  26. 2B Dante Flores (St. John Bosco HS, California)
  27. Arizona JR C Jett Bandy
  28. C Brandon Sedell (American Heritage HS, Florida)
  29. RHP Ryan Keller (West Ranch HS, California)
  30. RHP Danny Keller (Newbury Park HS, California)
  31. Stanford JR LHP Brett Mooneyham
  32. Texas JR RHP Austin Dicharry
  33. LHP Philip Pfeifer (Farragut HS, Tennessee)
  34. LHP Dillon Peters (Cathedral HS, Indiana)
  35. 3B Austin Slater (The Bolles School, Florida)
  36. 1B Ryan Krill (Portage Central HS, Michigan)
  37. TCU SO 3B Jantzen Witte
  38. SS Drake Roberts (Brenham HS, Texas)
  39. SS Mikal Hill (Mallard Creek HS, North Carolina)
  40. 3B Hunter Cole (Moore HS, South Carolina)
  41. RHP Taylor Nunez (Salmen HS, Louisiana)

Best Available for Round 20

Shadow drafting for the Phillies, here’s what I’ve got so far…

1.39 Kent State SO LHP Andrew Chafin
2.66 Academia la Milagrosa (PR) RHP Jorge Lopez
2.90 La Costa Canyon HS (CA) 2B Phillip Evans
4.151 Georgia Tech JR 3B Matt Skole
5.181 The Colony HS (TX) 3B Matt Dean
6.211 Texas State JR RHP Carson Smith
7.241 San Marcos HS (CA) C Riley Moore
8.271 St. John’s Prep (MA) RHP Pat Connaughton
9.301 Vanderbilt SR C Curt Casali
10.331 West Boca Raton HS (FL) SS Tyler Greene
11.361 TCU JR OF Jason Coats
12.391 Coastal Carolina JR SS Taylor Motter
13.421 Vanderbilt JR RHP Navery Moore
14.451 Downers Grove HS (IL) RHP Nick Burdi
15.481 George County HS (MS) OF Mason Robbins
16.511 Carroll HS (TX) RHP John Curtiss
17.541 Florida JR 1B Preston Tucker
18.571 Santa Fe CC FR OF Trey Griffin
19.601 Central Catholic HS (CA) OF Billy Flamion
20.631 Lake City HS (SC) 2B Shon Carson

…and here is a look at my best shot at a big board telling you who the best available prospects in the 2011 MLB are…

  1. RHP John Curtiss (Carroll HS, Texas)
  2. RHP Pat Connaughton (St. John’s Prep, Massachusetts)
  3. RHP Benton Moss (Rocky Mount HS, North Carolina)
  4. C Riley Moore (San Marcos HS, California)
  5. RHP Nick Burdi (Downers Grove HS, Illinois)
  6. LHP Amir Garrett (Leuzinger HS, California)
  7. C Elvin Soto (Xaverian HS, New York)
  8. C Garrett Boulware (TL Hanna HS, South Carolina)
  9. RHP Carson Baranik (Parkway HS, Louisiana)
  10. 2B Trent Gilbert (Torrance HS, California)
  11. SS Julius Gaines (Luella HS, Georgia)
  12. Florida JR 1B Preston Tucker
  13. RHP Aaron Nola (Catholic HS, Louisiana)
  14. RHP Jake Reed (Helix HS, California)
  15. OF Billy Flamion (Central Catholic HS, California)
  16. Santa Fe CC FR OF Trey Griffin
  17. 3B Taylor Sparks (St. John Bosco HS, California)
  18. 2B Shon Carson (Lake City HS, South Carolina)
  19. 1B Rookie Davis (Dixon HS, North Carolina)
  20. 1B Wallace Gonzalez (Bishop Amat HS, California)
  21. RHP Dylan Davis (Redmond HS, Washington)
  22. RHP Michael Cederoth (Steele Canyon HS, California)
  23. Rice JR OF Jeremy Rathjen
  24. San Diego JR C Zach Kometani
  25. North Carolina JR C Jacob Stallings
  26. Southern Cal JR RHP Andrew Triggs
  27. Central Florida SO OF Ronnie Richardson
  28. OF Josh Tobias (Southeast Guilford HS, North Carolina)
  29. C Grayson Greiner (Blythewood HS, South Carolina)
  30. Washington State JR 1B Taylor Ard
  31. 3B Matt Papi (Tunkhannock HS, Pennsylvania)
  32. OF Sean Trent (Bishop Moore Catholic HS, Florida)
  33. Texas SO OF Cohl Walla
  34. Wichita State SO 1B Johnny Coy
  35. 3B Nicholas Howard (St. John’s College HS, Washington DC)
  36. RHP Jerrick Suiter (Valparaiso HS, Indiana)
  37. RHP Ricky Jacquez (Franklin HS, Texas)
  38. RHP Jake Junis (Rock Falls HS, Illinois)
  39. Miami-Dade CC SO RHP Jharel Cotton
  40. 2B Dante Flores (St. John Bosco HS, California)
  41. 2B TJ Costen (First Colonial HS, Virginia)
  42. Arizona JR C Jett Bandy
  43. C Brandon Sedell (American Heritage HS, Florida)
  44. RHP Ryan Keller (West Ranch HS, California)
  45. RHP Danny Keller (Newbury Park HS, California)
  46. Stanford JR LHP Brett Mooneyham
  47. Texas JR RHP Austin Dicharry
  48. LHP Philip Pfeifer (Farragut HS, Tennessee)
  49. LHP Dillon Peters (Cathedral HS, Indiana)
  50. 3B Austin Slater (The Bolles School, Florida)
  51. 1B Ryan Krill (Portage Central HS, Michigan)
  52. TCU SO 3B Jantzen Witte
  53. SS Drake Roberts (Brenham HS, Texas)
  54. SS Mikal Hill (Mallard Creek HS, North Carolina)
  55. 3B Hunter Cole (Moore HS, South Carolina)
  56. RHP Taylor Nunez (Salmen HS, Louisiana)

Best Available for Round 8

Shadow drafting for the Phillies, here’s what I’ve got so far…

1.39 LHP Andrew Chafin
2.66 RHP Jorge Lopez
2.90 2B Phillip Evans
3.120 OF Senquez Golson
4.151 3B Matt Skole
5.181 3B Matt Dean
6.211 RHP Carson Smith
7.241 C Riley Moore

…and here is a look at my best shot at a big board telling you who the best available prospects in the 2011 MLB are…

  1. 3B Matt Dean (The Colony HS, Texas)
  2. RHP John Curtiss (Carroll HS, Texas)
  3. 2B Phillip Evans (La Costa Canyon HS, California)
  4. OF Senquez Golson (Pascaagoula HS, Mississippi)
  5. Texas State JR RHP Carson Smith
  6. RHP Pat Connaughton (St. John’s Prep, Massachusetts)
  7. Oklahoma JR RHP Burch Smith
  8. RHP Benton Moss (Rocky Mount HS, North Carolina)
  9. SS Tyler Greene (West Boca Raton HS, Florida)
  10. Georgia Tech JR 3B Matt Skole
  11. C Riley Moore (San Marcos HS, California)
  12. RHP Dillon Maples (Pinecrest HS, North Carolina)
  13. 3B Chris McFarland (Lufkin HS, Texas)
  14. Alabama JR OF Taylor Dugas
  15. TCU JR RHP Kyle Winkler
  16. RHP Nick Burdi (Downers Grove HS, Illinois)
  17. LHP Amir Garrett (Leuzinger HS, California)
  18. C Elvin Soto (Xaverian HS, New York)
  19. Vanderbilt SR C Curt Casali
  20. C Garrett Boulware (TL Hanna HS, South Carolina)
  21. Arizona JR 3B Andy Burns
  22. RHP Carson Baranik (Parkway HS, Louisiana)
  23. RHP Deshorn Lake (Menchville HS, Virginia)
  24. 2B Trent Gilbert (Torrance HS, California)
  25. SS Julius Gaines (Luella HS, Georgia)
  26. Florida JR 1B Preston Tucker
  27. RHP Aaron Nola (Catholic HS, Louisiana)
  28. LHP Andy Suarez (Columbus HS, Florida)
  29. RHP Jake Reed (Helix HS, California)
  30. RHP Matt Troupe (Northridge HS, California)
  31. Texas Christian JR OF Jason Coats
  32. Coastal Carolina JR SS Taylor Motter
  33. OF Mason Robbins (George County HS, Mississippi)
  34. OF Billy Flamion (Central Catholic HS, California)
  35. Johnson County CC SO RHP Vince Spilker
  36. Vanderbilt JR RHP Navery Moore
  37. Santa Fe CC FR OF Trey Griffin
  38. 3B Taylor Sparks (St. John Bosco HS, California)
  39. 2B Shon Carson (Lake City HS, South Carolina)
  40. 1B Rookie Davis (Dixon HS, North Carolina)
  41. 1B Wallace Gonzalez (Bishop Amat HS, California)
  42. RHP Dylan Davis (Redmond HS, Washington)
  43. RHP Christian Montgomery (Lawrence Central HS, Indiana)
  44. RHP Michael Cederoth (Steele Canyon HS, California)
  45. Clemson SO RHP Kevin Brady
  46. Rice JR OF Jeremy Rathjen
  47. San Diego JR C Zach Kometani
  48. North Carolina JR C Jacob Stallings
  49. Loyola Marymount JR LHP Jason Wheeler
  50. Southern Cal JR RHP Andrew Triggs
  51. Central Florida SO OF Ronnie Richardson
  52. Arizona State JR OF Johnny Ruettiger
  53. Oklahoma JR C Tyler Ogle
  54. OF Josh Tobias (Southeast Guilford HS, North Carolina)
  55. Coastal Carolina JR 2B Tommy La Stella
  56. RHP Kody Watts (Skyview HS, Washington)
  57. LHP Adam McCreery (Bonita HS, California)
  58. RHP Hawtin Buchanan (Biloxi HS, Mississippi)
  59. C Grayson Greiner (Blythewood HS, South Carolina)
  60. Washington State JR 1B Taylor Ard
  61. 3B Matt Papi (Tunkhannock HS, Pennsylvania)
  62. OF Sean Trent (Bishop Moore Catholic HS, Florida)
  63. Texas SO OF Cohl Walla
  64. Wichita State SO 1B Johnny Coy
  65. 3B Nicholas Howard (St. John’s College HS, Washington DC)
  66. RHP Jerrick Suiter (Valparaiso HS, Indiana)
  67. RHP Ricky Jacquez (Franklin HS, Texas)
  68. RHP Jake Junis (Rock Falls HS, Illinois)
  69. Miami-Dade CC SO RHP Jharel Cotton
  70. Texas A&M JR RHP Ross Stripling
  71. Kentucky JR RHP Braden Kapteyn
  72. OF Shawon Dunston (Valley Christian HS, California)
  73. 2B Dante Flores (St. John Bosco HS, California)
  74. 2B TJ Costen (First Colonial HS, Virginia)
  75. Clemson SR OF Jeff Schaus
  76. Arizona JR C Jett Bandy
  77. C Brandon Sedell (American Heritage HS, Florida)
  78. RHP Ryan Keller (West Ranch HS, California)
  79. RHP Danny Keller (Newbury Park HS, California)
  80. Virginia SR RHP Tyler Wilson
  81. Kansas JR RHP Colton Murray
  82. Stanford JR LHP Brett Mooneyham
  83. Texas JR RHP Austin Dicharry
  84. LHP Philip Pfeifer (Farragut HS, Tennessee)
  85. LHP Stephen Tarpley (Gilbert HS, Arizona)
  86. LHP Dillon Peters (Cathedral HS, Indiana)
  87. 3B Austin Slater (The Bolles School, Florida)
  88. 1B Ryan Krill (Portage Central HS, Michigan)
  89. Clemson JR 3B John Hinson
  90. OF Tyler Gibson (Stratford Academy, Georgia)
  91. OF John Norwood (Seton Hall Prep HS, New Jersey)
  92. TCU SO 3B Jantzen Witte
  93. Arizona State JR 2B Zack MacPhee
  94. SS Drake Roberts (Brenham HS, Texas)
  95. SS Mikal Hill (Mallard Creek HS, North Carolina)
  96. 3B Hunter Cole (Moore HS, South Carolina)
  97. RHP Taylor Nunez (Salmen HS, Louisiana)
  98. RHP Cole Wiper (Newport HS, Washington)
  99. Dayton JR LHP Cameron Hobson

Best Available for Round 4

My shadow draft picks for the Phillies so far…

1.39 LHP Andrew Chafin
2.66 RHP Jorge Lopez
2.90 2B Phillip Evans
3.120 OF Senquez Golson

…and an updated and hopefully correct big board of the 2011 MLB Draft’s best available players heading into round 4…

  1. 3B Matt Dean (The Colony HS, Texas)
  2. Oregon State JR LHP Josh Osich
  3. RHP John Curtiss (Carroll HS, Texas)
  4. 2B Phillip Evans (La Costa Canyon HS, California)
  5. OF Senquez Golson (Pascaagoula HS, Mississippi)
  6. Texas State JR RHP Carson Smith
  7. RHP Pat Connaughton (St. John’s Prep, Massachusetts)
  8. LHP Jake Cave (Kecoughtan HS, Virginia
  9. Oklahoma JR RHP Burch Smith
  10. Southern California JR RHP Austin Wood
  11. RHP Benton Moss (Rocky Mount HS, North Carolina)
  12. SS Tyler Greene (West Boca Raton HS, Florida)
  13. Georgia Tech JR 3B Matt Skole
  14. C Eric Haase (Divine Child HS, Michigan)
  15. C Riley Moore (San Marcos HS, California)
  16. RHP Kyle Smith (Santaluces HS, Florida):
  17. RHP Dillon Maples (Pinecrest HS, North Carolina)
  18. OF Derek Fisher (Cedar Crest HS, Pennsylvania)
  19. 3B Chris McFarland (Lufkin HS, Texas)
  20. Alabama JR OF Taylor Dugas
  21. TCU JR RHP Kyle Winkler
  22. RHP Nick Burdi (Downers Grove HS, Illinois)
  23. LHP Amir Garrett (Leuzinger HS, California)
  24. C Elvin Soto (Xaverian HS, New York)
  25. RHP Brandon Woodruff (Wheeler HS, Mississippi)
  26. Vanderbilt SR C Curt Casali
  27. C Garrett Boulware (TL Hanna HS, South Carolina)
  28. C Nicky Delmonico (Farragut HS, Tennessee)
  29. Arizona JR 3B Andy Burns
  30. Valparaiso JR OF Kyle Gaedele
  31. RHP Carson Baranik (Parkway HS, Louisiana)
  32. RHP Deshorn Lake (Menchville HS, Virginia)
  33. 2B Trent Gilbert (Torrance HS, California)
  34. OF Ben Roberts (Missoula Sentinel HS, Montana)
  35. SS Julius Gaines (Luella HS, Georgia)
  36. Florida JR 1B Preston Tucker
  37. RHP Aaron Nola (Catholic HS, Louisiana)
  38. Stony Brook JR RHP Nick Tropeano
  39. LHP Andy Suarez (Columbus HS, Florida)
  40. LHP Cody Kukuk (Free State HS, Kansas)
  41. RHP Jake Reed (Helix HS, California)
  42. RHP Matt Troupe (Northridge HS, California)
  43. Texas Christian JR OF Jason Coats
  44. Coastal Carolina JR SS Taylor Motter
  45. OF Mason Robbins (George County HS, Mississippi)
  46. OF Billy Flamion (Central Catholic HS, California)
  47. Johnson County CC SO RHP Vince Spilker
  48. Georgia Tech JR RHP Mark Pope
  49. Texas JR SS Brandon Loy
  50. Vanderbilt JR RHP Navery Moore
  51. Louisville JR 2B Ryan Wright
  52. Santa Fe CC FR OF Trey Griffin
  53. 3B Taylor Sparks (St. John Bosco HS, California)
  54. 2B Shon Carson (Lake City HS, South Carolina)
  55. 2B Christian Lopes (Edison HS, California)
  56. Oregon JR RHP Scott McGough
  57. UC Irvine JR RHP Matt Summers
  58. 1B Rookie Davis (Dixon HS, North Carolina)
  59. 1B Wallace Gonzalez (Bishop Amat HS, California)
  60. RHP Dylan Davis (Redmond HS, Washington)
  61. RHP Christian Montgomery (Lawrence Central HS, Indiana)
  62. RHP Michael Cederoth (Steele Canyon HS, California)
  63. Clemson SO RHP Kevin Brady
  64. Gonzaga JR LHP Ryan Carpenter
  65. Cal State Fullerton JR RHP Noe Ramirez
  66. Wichita State JR LHP Charlie Lowell
  67. RHP Mason Hope (Broken Arrow HS, Oklahoma)
  68. Rice JR OF Jeremy Rathjen
  69. San Diego JR C Zach Kometani
  70. C Tyler Marlette (Hagerty HS, Florida)
  71. North Carolina JR C Jacob Stallings
  72. Loyola Marymount JR LHP Jason Wheeler
  73. Cal State Fullerton JR RHP Tyler Pill
  74. Southern Cal JR RHP Andrew Triggs
  75. Louisville JR RHP Tony Zych
  76. Central Florida SO OF Ronnie Richardson
  77. Kansas State JR OF Nick Martini
  78. Arizona State JR OF Johnny Ruettiger
  79. Nebraska JR 3B Cody Asche
  80. Oklahoma JR C Tyler Ogle
  81. OF Josh Tobias (Southeast Guilford HS, North Carolina)
  82. Coastal Carolina JR 2B Tommy La Stella
  83. RHP Kody Watts (Skyview HS, Washington)
  84. LHP Adam McCreery (Bonita HS, California)
  85. RHP Hawtin Buchanan (Biloxi HS, Mississippi)
  86. C Grayson Greiner (Blythewood HS, South Carolina)
  87. Washington State JR 1B Taylor Ard
  88. 3B Matt Papi (Tunkhannock HS, Pennsylvania)
  89. OF Sean Trent (Bishop Moore Catholic HS, Florida)
  90. Texas SO OF Cohl Walla
  91. Wichita State SO 1B Johnny Coy
  92. Pittsburgh SR C Kevan Smith
  93. Virginia JR C John Hicks
  94. James Madison JR C Jake Lowery
  95. 3B Nicholas Howard (St. John’s College HS, Washington DC)
  96. RHP Jerrick Suiter (Valparaiso HS, Indiana)
  97. RHP Ricky Jacquez (Franklin HS, Texas)
  98. RHP Jake Junis (Rock Falls HS, Illinois)
  99. Green River CC SO RHP Cody Hebner
  100. Oklahoma State JR LHP Chris Marlowe
  101. Miami-Dade CC SO RHP Jharel Cotton
  102. Texas A&M JR RHP Ross Stripling
  103. Kentucky JR RHP Braden Kapteyn
  104. Villanova RHP Kyle McMyne
  105. OF Shawon Dunston (Valley Christian HS, California)
  106. 2B Dante Flores (St. John Bosco HS, California)
  107. 2B TJ Costen (First Colonial HS, Virginia)
  108. Clemson SR OF Jeff Schaus
  109. Arizona JR C Jett Bandy
  110. C Greg Bird (Grandview HS, Colorado)
  111. C Brandon Sedell (American Heritage HS, Florida)
  112. RHP Tayler Scott (Notre Dame Prep, Arizona)
  113. RHP Ryan Keller (West Ranch HS, California)
  114. RHP Danny Keller (Newbury Park HS, California)
  115. Virginia SR RHP Tyler Wilson
  116. Kansas JR RHP Colton Murray
  117. Santa Clara JR RHP JR Graham
  118. Stanford JR LHP Brett Mooneyham
  119. Texas JR RHP Austin Dicharry
  120. Vanderbilt SR RHP Taylor Hill
  121. LHP Philip Pfeifer (Farragut HS, Tennessee)
  122. LHP Stephen Tarpley (Gilbert HS, Arizona)
  123. LHP Dillon Peters (Cathedral HS, Indiana)
  124. 3B Austin Slater (The Bolles School, Florida)
  125. 1B Ryan Krill (Portage Central HS, Michigan)
  126. Clemson JR 3B John Hinson
  127. OF Tyler Gibson (Stratford Academy, Georgia)
  128. OF John Norwood (Seton Hall Prep HS, New Jersey)
  129. TCU JR SS Taylor Featherston
  130. Cal State Fullerton JR 1B Nick Ramirez
  131. North Carolina State JR 1B Harold Riggins
  132. TCU SO 3B Jantzen Witte
  133. Virginia JR 3B Steven Proscia
  134. Arizona State JR 2B Zack MacPhee
  135. SS Drake Roberts (Brenham HS, Texas)
  136. SS Mikal Hill (Mallard Creek HS, North Carolina)
  137. 3B Patrick Leonard (St. Thomas HS, Texas)
  138. 3B Hunter Cole (Moore HS, South Carolina)
  139. RHP Taylor Nunez (Salmen HS, Louisiana)
  140. RHP Cole Wiper (Newport HS, Washington)
  141. Dayton JR LHP Cameron Hobson
  142. Oregon State JR RHP Sam Gaviglio

2011 MLB Draft Day 2 Big Board


  1. LHP Daniel Norris (Science Hill HS, Tennessee)
  2. OF Josh Bell (Jesuit College Prep School, Texas)
  3. Oregon State SO C Andrew Susac
  4. RHP Jorge Lopez (Academia la Milagrosa, Puerto Rico)
  5. 3B Matt Dean (The Colony HS, Texas)
  6. OF Granden Goetzman (Palmetto HS, Florida)
  7. Oregon State JR LHP Josh Osich
  8. RHP Dillon Howard (Searcy HS, Arkansas)
  9. RHP John Curtiss (Carroll HS, Texas)
  10. 2B Phillip Evans (La Costa Canyon HS, California)
  11. 2B Johnny Eierman (Warsaw HS, Missouri)
  12. OF Senquez Golson (Pascaagoula HS, Mississippi)
  13. Texas State JR RHP Carson Smith
  14. RHP Pat Connaughton (St. John’s Prep, Massachusetts)
  15. LHP Jake Cave (Kecoughtan HS, Virginia
  16. Oklahoma JR RHP Burch Smith
  17. Vanderbilt JR RHP Jack Armstrong
  18. Southern California JR RHP Austin Wood
  19. RHP Benton Moss (Rocky Mount HS, North Carolina)
  20. SS Tyler Greene (West Boca Raton HS, Florida)
  21. Georgia Tech JR 3B Matt Skole
  22. Vanderbilt JR 3B Jason Esposito
  23. OF Carl Thomore (East Brunswick HS, New Jersey)
  24. C Eric Haase (Divine Child HS, Michigan)
  25. C Riley Moore (San Marcos HS, California)
  26. 1B Dan Vogelbach (Bishop Verot HS, Florida)
  27. RHP Kyle Smith (Santaluces HS, Florida):
  28. RHP Bryan Brickhouse (The Woodlands HS, Texas)
  29. RHP Dillon Maples (Pinecrest HS, North Carolina)
  30. Clemson JR SS Brad Miller
  31. TCU SO LHP Matt Purke
  32. OF Roman Quinn (Port St. Joe HS, Florida)
  33. OF Derek Fisher (Cedar Crest HS, Pennsylvania)
  34. Texas A&M JR RHP John Stilson
  35. 3B Chris McFarland (Lufkin HS, Texas)
  36. Connecticut JR SS Nick Ahmed
  37. Alabama JR OF Taylor Dugas
  38. TCU JR RHP Kyle Winkler
  39. Florida JR LHP Nick Maronde
  40. North Carolina State JR C Pratt Maynard
  41. RHP Nick Burdi (Downers Grove HS, Illinois)
  42. LHP Amir Garrett (Leuzinger HS, California)
  43. C Elvin Soto (Xaverian HS, New York)
  44. RHP Brandon Woodruff (Wheeler HS, Mississippi)
  45. Vanderbilt SR C Curt Casali
  46. Bethune-Cookman JR C Peter O’Brien
  47. Texas JR LHP Sam Stafford
  48. Southern Mississippi JR 3B BA Vollmuth
  49. C Garrett Boulware (TL Hanna HS, South Carolina)
  50. C Cameron Gallagher (Manheim Township HS, Pennsylvania)
  51. C Austin Hedges (JSerra HS, California)
  52. C Nicky Delmonico (Farragut HS, Tennessee)
  53. Arizona JR 3B Andy Burns
  54. Valparaiso JR OF Kyle Gaedele
  55. RHP Carson Baranik (Parkway HS, Louisiana)
  56. RHP Deshorn Lake (Menchville HS, Virginia)
  57. 2B Trent Gilbert (Torrance HS, California)
  58. OF Williams Jerez (Grand Street HS, New York)
  59. OF Ben Roberts (Missoula Sentinel HS, Montana)
  60. SS Julius Gaines (Luella HS, Georgia)
  61. Florida JR 1B Preston Tucker
  62. Miami JR 3B Harold Martinez
  63. RHP Aaron Nola (Catholic HS, Louisiana)
  64. Stony Brook JR RHP Nick Tropeano
  65. LHP Andy Suarez (Columbus HS, Florida)
  66. LHP Cody Kukuk (Free State HS, Kansas)
  67. RHP Jake Reed (Helix HS, California)
  68. RHP Matt Troupe (Northridge HS, California)
  69. Texas Christian JR OF Jason Coats
  70. Coastal Carolina JR SS Taylor Motter
  71. Indiana JR OF Alex Dickerson
  72. 1B Kevin Cron (Mountain Pointe HS, Arizona)
  73. OF Mason Robbins (George County HS, Mississippi)
  74. OF Billy Flamion (Central Catholic HS, California)
  75. Johnson County CC SO RHP Vince Spilker
  76. Georgia Tech JR RHP Mark Pope
  77. Baylor JR RHP Logan Verrett
  78. Texas JR SS Brandon Loy
  79. Vanderbilt SR 1B Aaron Westlake
  80. Miami SO OF Zeke DeVoss
  81. Coastal Carolina JR RHP Anthony Meo
  82. Vanderbilt JR RHP Navery Moore
  83. Louisville JR 2B Ryan Wright
  84. Santa Fe CC FR OF Trey Griffin
  85. 3B Taylor Sparks (St. John Bosco HS, California)
  86. 2B Shon Carson (Lake City HS, South Carolina)
  87. 2B Christian Lopes (Edison HS, California)
  88. SS Connor Barron (Sumrall HS, Mississippi)
  89. Oregon JR RHP Scott McGough
  90. UC Irvine JR RHP Matt Summers
  91. 1B Rookie Davis (Dixon HS, North Carolina)
  92. 1B Wallace Gonzalez (Bishop Amat HS, California)
  93. Southern California JR 1B Ricky Oropesa
  94. RHP Dylan Davis (Redmond HS, Washington)
  95. RHP Christian Montgomery (Lawrence Central HS, Indiana)
  96. RHP Michael Cederoth (Steele Canyon HS, California)
  97. Clemson SO RHP Kevin Brady
  98. Gonzaga JR LHP Ryan Carpenter
  99. Cal State Fullerton JR RHP Noe Ramirez
  100. Wichita State JR LHP Charlie Lowell
  101. RHP Jordan Cote (Winnisquam HS, New Hampshire)
  102. RHP Mason Hope (Broken Arrow HS, Oklahoma)
  103. Rice JR OF Jeremy Rathjen
  104. San Diego JR C Zach Kometani
  105. C Tyler Marlette (Hagerty HS, Florida)
  106. North Carolina JR C Jacob Stallings
  107. Long Beach State JR RHP Andrew Gagnon
  108. Loyola Marymount JR LHP Jason Wheeler
  109. Cal State Fullerton JR RHP Tyler Pill
  110. Southern Cal JR RHP Andrew Triggs
  111. Louisville JR RHP Tony Zych
  112. Washington State JR LHP Adam Conley
  113. Hawaii JR RHP Lenny Linsky
  114. Central Florida SO OF Ronnie Richardson
  115. Kansas State JR OF Nick Martini
  116. Arizona State JR OF Johnny Ruettiger
  117. Nebraska JR 3B Cody Asche
  118. Oklahoma JR C Tyler Ogle
  119. OF Josh Tobias (Southeast Guilford HS, North Carolina)
  120. Coastal Carolina JR 2B Tommy La Stella
  121. RHP Adrian Houser (Locust Grove HS, Oklahoma)
  122. RHP Kody Watts (Skyview HS, Washington)
  123. LHP Adam McCreery (Bonita HS, California)
  124. RHP Hawtin Buchanan (Biloxi HS, Mississippi)
  125. C Grayson Greiner (Blythewood HS, South Carolina)
  126. Washington State JR 1B Taylor Ard
  127. 3B Matt Papi (Tunkhannock HS, Pennsylvania)
  128. OF Sean Trent (Bishop Moore Catholic HS, Florida)
  129. Clemson JR OF Will Lamb
  130. Texas SO OF Cohl Walla
  131. Wichita State SO 1B Johnny Coy
  132. Pittsburgh SR C Kevan Smith
  133. Arkansas JR C James McCann
  134. Virginia JR C John Hicks
  135. James Madison JR C Jake Lowery
  136. 3B Nicholas Howard (St. John’s College HS, Washington DC)
  137. RHP Jerrick Suiter (Valparaiso HS, Indiana)
  138. RHP Ricky Jacquez (Franklin HS, Texas)
  139. RHP Jake Junis (Rock Falls HS, Illinois)
  140. Green River CC SO RHP Cody Hebner
  141. Oklahoma State JR LHP Chris Marlowe
  142. Miami-Dade CC SO RHP Jharel Cotton
  143. Rice SR LHP Tony Cingrani
  144. Texas A&M JR RHP Ross Stripling
  145. Kentucky JR RHP Braden Kapteyn
  146. Villanova RHP Kyle McMyne
  147. Oregon JR RHP Madison Boer
  148. Alabama JR LHP Adam Morgan
  149. California JR RHP Erik Johnson
  150. OF Shawon Dunston (Valley Christian HS, California)
  151. OF Charles Tilson (New Trier HS, Illinois)
  152. 2B Dante Flores (St. John Bosco HS, California)
  153. 2B TJ Costen (First Colonial HS, Virginia)
  154. Clemson SR OF Jeff Schaus
  155. Arizona JR C Jett Bandy
  156. C Greg Bird (Grandview HS, Colorado)
  157. C Brandon Sedell (American Heritage HS, Florida)
  158. RHP Tayler Scott (Notre Dame Prep, Arizona)
  159. LHP Kevin Matthews (Richmond Hill HS, Georgia)
  160. RHP Ryan Keller (West Ranch HS, California)
  161. RHP Danny Keller (Newbury Park HS, California)
  162. North Carolina State JR RHP Cory Mazzoni
  163. Virginia SR RHP Tyler Wilson
  164. Kansas JR RHP Colton Murray
  165. Santa Clara JR RHP JR Graham
  166. Stanford JR LHP Brett Mooneyham
  167. Texas JR RHP Austin Dicharry
  168. Vanderbilt SR RHP Taylor Hill
  169. LHP Philip Pfeifer (Farragut HS, Tennessee)
  170. LHP Stephen Tarpley (Gilbert HS, Arizona)
  171. LHP Dillon Peters (Cathedral HS, Indiana)
  172. 3B Austin Slater (The Bolles School, Florida)
  173. 1B Ryan Krill (Portage Central HS, Michigan)
  174. Clemson JR 3B John Hinson
  175. Texas State JR 3B Kyle Kubitza
  176. OF Tyler Gibson (Stratford Academy, Georgia)
  177. OF John Norwood (Seton Hall Prep HS, New Jersey)
  178. TCU JR SS Taylor Featherston
  179. Cal State Fullerton JR 1B Nick Ramirez
  180. North Carolina State JR 1B Harold Riggins
  181. TCU SO 3B Jantzen Witte
  182. Virginia JR 3B Steven Proscia
  183. OF Gabriel Rosa (International Baseball Academy, Puerto Rico)
  184. Arizona State JR 2B Zack MacPhee
  185. SS Drake Roberts (Brenham HS, Texas)
  186. SS Mikal Hill (Mallard Creek HS, North Carolina)
  187. 3B Patrick Leonard (St. Thomas HS, Texas)
  188. 3B Hunter Cole (Moore HS, South Carolina)
  189. RHP Taylor Nunez (Salmen HS, Louisiana)
  190. RHP Cole Wiper (Newport HS, Washington)
  191. Dayton JR LHP Cameron Hobson
  192. Oregon State JR RHP Sam Gaviglio
  193. Merced JC FR RHP Jake Sisco
  194. Johnson County CC SO RHP Jeff Soptic

Shadow Draft Big Board, Pick, and Rationale

I’m shadow drafting for the Phillies this year, a trick proposition considering I’ve had to wait around until the 39th overall pick to get started. Here’s where my up to the second big board is at:

  1. LHP Daniel Norris (Science Hill HS, Tennessee)
  2. OF Josh Bell (Jesuit College Prep School, Texas)
  3. Oregon State SO C Andrew Susac
  4. Kent State SO LHP Andrew Chafin
  5. RHP Jorge Lopez (Academia la Milagrosa, Puerto Rico)
  6. RHP Michael Kelly (West Boca Raton Community HS, Florida)
  7. SS Trevor Story (Irving HS, Texas)
  8. 1B Travis Harrison (Tustin HS, California)
  9. 3B Matt Dean (The Colony HS, Texas)
  10. Oregon State JR LHP Josh Osich
  11. RHP Dillon Howard (Searcy HS, Arkansas)
  12. RHP John Curtiss (Carroll HS, Texas)
  13. OF Granden Goetzman (Palmetto HS, Florida)
  14. 2B Phillip Evans (La Costa Canyon HS, California)
  15. 2B Johnny Eierman (Warsaw HS, Missouri)
  16. Texas State JR RHP Carson Smith
  17. 3B Tyler Goeddel (St. Francis HS, California)
  18. OF Senquez Golson (Pascaagoula HS, Mississippi)
  19. Stony Brook JR RHP Nick Tropeano
  20. SS Tyler Greene (West Boca Raton HS, Florida)
  21. Georgia Tech JR 3B Matt Skole
  22. Vanderbilt JR 3B Jason Esposito

The Phillies pick again at 66th overall, so I have some flexibility in knowing I’ll have another crack early on in the second round after 25 more guys go off the board. With 22 names on my big board, I’m pretty confident I’ll be in a position to land a second desirable player. Norris and Bell are the top names on my list; based on talent alone, I’d be all over either. Unfortunately, the draft doesn’t work like that in baseball, so I reluctantly take off the expensive/unsignable prep stars from the board for the sake of realism. Bummer. Susac is tempting as the top college player available, but, again, I’m staying away from the former Phillies late round pick because I can’t really see the real Phillies going down that road again. That leaves me Chafin, Lopez, Kelly, and Story as legitimate options. Chafin makes sense as a high upside, signable, injury surviving prospect. Lopez and Kelly are projectable high school arms, always an option for the Phillies early on. Given the dearth of quality middle infield prospects in the system, Story is perhaps the most intriguing name of the bunch.

Now it becomes a matter of deciding who will might make it to 66. Truthfully, I can’t see any of these players making it out of the sandwich round, but, if I had to choose one, I’d think Lopez has the best shot. I’ll cross my fingers and hope he is there at 66. By proxy, that eliminates Kelly from consideration. College starting pitcher or high school shortstop? My love of Chafin (I had him over Alex Meyer, a huge favorite, on my college pitcher rankings) wins out here. The potential for three plus pitches — mid-90s peak FB, big league ready SL, and a very good CU — makes Chafin a candidate to pitch near the top of a rotation someday. Throw in the fact that he still has room to improve (sharper breaking ball, better command) as he continues to recover from Tommy John surgery, and we’ve got our first pick. With the 39th pick in the 2011 MLB Draft, the Shadow Phillies select…Kent State SO LHP Andrew Chafin.

Sandwich Round Big Board – Best of the Rest


  1. LHP Daniel Norris (Science Hill HS, Tennessee)
  2. OF Josh Bell (Jesuit College Prep School, Texas)
  3. LHP Henry Owens (Edison HS, California)
  4. Oregon State SO C Andrew Susac
  5. Kent State SO LHP Andrew Chafin
  6. RHP Jorge Lopez (Academia la Milagrosa, Puerto Rico)
  7. RHP Michael Kelly (West Boca Raton Community HS, Florida)
  8. SS Trevor Story (Irving HS, Texas)
  9. 1B Travis Harrison (Tustin HS, California)
  10. 3B Matt Dean (The Colony HS, Texas)
  11. Oregon State JR LHP Josh Osich
  12. RHP Dillon Howard (Searcy HS, Arkansas)
  13. RHP John Curtiss (Carroll HS, Texas)
  14. OF Granden Goetzman (Palmetto HS, Florida)
  15. 2B Phillip Evans (La Costa Canyon HS, California)
  16. 2B Johnny Eierman (Warsaw HS, Missouri)
  17. Texas State JR RHP Carson Smith
  18. 3B Tyler Goeddel (St. Francis HS, California)
  19. Miami-Dade CC SO OF Brian Goodwin
  20. OF Senquez Golson (Pascaagoula HS, Mississippi)
  21. Stony Brook JR RHP Nick Tropeano
  22. SS Tyler Greene (West Boca Raton HS, Florida)
  23. Georgia Tech JR 3B Matt Skole
  24. Vanderbilt JR 3B Jason Esposito

2011 MLB Draft Top 250 Big Board


  1. Rice JR 3B Anthony Rendon
  2. UCLA JR RHP Gerrit Cole
  3. RHP Dylan Bundy (Owasso HS, Oklahoma)
  4. UCLA JR RHP Trevor Bauer
  5. OF Bubba Starling (Gardner-Edgerton HS, Kansas)
  6. RHP Archie Bradley (Broken Arrow HS, Oklahoma)
  7. Vanderbilt JR RHP Sonny Gray
  8. RHP Taylor Guerrieri (North Augusta HS, South Carolina)
  9. Texas JR RHP Taylor Jungmann
  10. LHP Daniel Norris (Science Hill HS, Tennessee)
  11. Georgia Tech JR LHP Jed Bradley
  12. Virginia JR LHP Danny Hultzen
  13. Connecticut JR RHP Matt Barnes
  14. C Blake Swihart (Cleveland HS, New Mexico)
  15. SS Francisco Lindor (Montverde Academy, Florida)
  16. OF Josh Bell (Jesuit College Prep School, Texas)
  17. LHP Henry Owens (Edison HS, California)
  18. RHP Robert Stephenson (Alhambra HS, California)
  19. Kent State SO LHP Andrew Chafin
  20. Kentucky JR RHP Alex Meyer
  21. Oregon State SO C Andrew Susac
  22. OF Brandon Nimmo (Cheyenne East HS, Wyoming)
  23. Connecticut JR OF George Springer
  24. SS Trevor Story (Irving HS, Texas)
  25. 3B Javier Baez (Arlington County Day HS, Florida)
  26. RHP Jorge Lopez (Academia la Milagrosa, Puerto Rico)
  27. RHP Joe Ross (Bishop O’Dowd HS, California)
  28. RHP Michael Kelly (West Boca Raton Community HS, Florida)
  29. Utah JR 1B CJ Cron
  30. 1B Travis Harrison (Tustin HS, California)
  31. 3B Matt Dean (The Colony HS, Texas)
  32. Hawaii JR 2B Kolten Wong
  33. OF Granden Goetzman (Palmetto HS, Florida)
  34. North Carolina JR 2B Levi Michael
  35. Oregon JR LHP Tyler Anderson
  36. Oregon State JR LHP Josh Osich
  37. RHP Dillon Howard (Searcy HS, Arkansas)
  38. RHP John Curtiss (Carroll HS, Texas)
  39. 2B Phillip Evans (La Costa Canyon HS, California)
  40. 2B Johnny Eierman (Warsaw HS, Missouri)
  41. 3B Tyler Goeddel (St. Francis HS, California)
  42. Miami-Dade CC SO OF Brian Goodwin
  43. OF Senquez Golson (Pascaagoula HS, Mississippi)
  44. Louisiana State JR OF Mikie Mahtook
  45. Texas State JR RHP Carson Smith
  46. RHP Pat Connaughton (St. John’s Prep, Massachusetts)
  47. LHP Jake Cave (Kecoughtan HS, Virginia
  48. Oklahoma JR RHP Burch Smith
  49. Vanderbilt JR RHP Jack Armstrong
  50. Southern California JR RHP Austin Wood
  51. RHP Benton Moss (Rocky Mount HS, North Carolina)
  52. RHP Tyler Beede (Lawrence Academy, Massachusetts)
  53. SS Tyler Greene (West Boca Raton HS, Florida)
  54. Georgia Tech JR 3B Matt Skole
  55. Vanderbilt JR 3B Jason Esposito
  56. OF Carl Thomore (East Brunswick HS, New Jersey)
  57. C Eric Haase (Divine Child HS, Michigan)
  58. C Riley Moore (San Marcos HS, California)
  59. 1B Jacob Anderson (Chino HS, California)
  60. 1B Dan Vogelbach (Bishop Verot HS, Florida)
  61. RHP Kyle Smith (Santaluces HS, Florida):
  62. RHP Joe Musgrove (Grossmont HS, California)
  63. RHP Kyle Crick (Sherman HS, Texas)
  64. RHP Bryan Brickhouse (The Woodlands HS, Texas)
  65. RHP Dillon Maples (Pinecrest HS, North Carolina)
  66. RHP Jose Fernandez (Alonso HS, Florida)
  67. Clemson JR SS Brad Miller
  68. SS Brandon Martin (Santiago HS, California)
  69. TCU SO LHP Matt Purke
  70. OF Roman Quinn (Port St. Joe HS, Florida)
  71. OF Derek Fisher (Cedar Crest HS, Pennsylvania)
  72. Texas A&M JR RHP John Stilson
  73. 3B Jake Hager (Sierra Vista HS, Nevada)
  74. 3B Chris McFarland (Lufkin HS, Texas)
  75. Connecticut JR SS Nick Ahmed
  76. Alabama JR OF Taylor Dugas
  77. South Carolina JR OF Jackie Bradley
  78. TCU JR RHP Kyle Winkler
  79. Vanderbilt JR LHP Grayson Garvin
  80. Florida JR LHP Nick Maronde
  81. North Carolina State JR C Pratt Maynard
  82. RHP Nick Burdi (Downers Grove HS, Illinois)
  83. LHP Amir Garrett (Leuzinger HS, California)
  84. C Elvin Soto (Xaverian HS, New York)
  85. RHP Brandon Woodruff (Wheeler HS, Mississippi)
  86. RHP Kevin Comer (Seneca HS, New Jersey)
  87. Vanderbilt SR C Curt Casali
  88. Bethune-Cookman JR C Peter O’Brien
  89. Texas JR LHP Sam Stafford
  90. Southern Mississippi JR 3B BA Vollmuth
  91. C Garrett Boulware (TL Hanna HS, South Carolina)
  92. C Cameron Gallagher (Manheim Township HS, Pennsylvania)
  93. C Austin Hedges (JSerra HS, California)
  94. C Nicky Delmonico (Farragut HS, Tennessee)
  95. Arizona JR 3B Andy Burns
  96. Valparaiso JR OF Kyle Gaedele
  97. RHP Carson Baranik (Parkway HS, Louisiana)
  98. RHP Deshorn Lake (Menchville HS, Virginia)
  99. 2B Trent Gilbert (Torrance HS, California)
  100. OF Williams Jerez (Grand Street HS, New York)
  101. OF Ben Roberts (Missoula Sentinel HS, Montana)
  102. SS Julius Gaines (Luella HS, Georgia)
  103. 1B Dante Bichette (Orangewood Christian HS, Florida)
  104. Florida JR 1B Preston Tucker
  105. Miami JR 3B Harold Martinez
  106. RHP Hudson Boyd (South Ft. Myers HS, Florida)
  107. RHP Aaron Nola (Catholic HS, Louisiana)
  108. Stony Brook JR RHP Nick Tropeano
  109. LHP Andy Suarez (Columbus HS, Florida)
  110. Florida State JR LHP Sean Gilmartin
  111. LHP Cody Kukuk (Free State HS, Kansas)
  112. RHP Jake Reed (Helix HS, California)
  113. RHP Matt Troupe (Northridge HS, California)
  114. Texas Christian JR OF Jason Coats
  115. Coastal Carolina JR SS Taylor Motter
  116. Indiana JR OF Alex Dickerson
  117. 1B Kevin Cron (Mountain Pointe HS, Arizona)
  118. OF Dwight Smith (McIntosh HS, Georgia)
  119. OF Larry Greene (Berrien HS, Georgia)
  120. OF Mason Robbins (George County HS, Mississippi)
  121. OF Billy Flamion (Central Catholic HS, California)
  122. Johnson County CC SO RHP Vince Spilker
  123. Georgia Tech JR RHP Mark Pope
  124. Baylor JR RHP Logan Verrett
  125. Texas JR SS Brandon Loy
  126. Vanderbilt SR 1B Aaron Westlake
  127. Miami SO OF Zeke DeVoss
  128. Indian River State College SO 2B Corey Spangenberg
  129. St. John’s JR 2B Joe Panik
  130. Coastal Carolina JR RHP Anthony Meo
  131. Vanderbilt JR RHP Navery Moore
  132. Louisville JR 2B Ryan Wright
  133. Santa Fe CC FR OF Trey Griffin
  134. Central Arizona CC SO OF Keenyn Walker
  135. 3B Taylor Sparks (St. John Bosco HS, California)
  136. 2B Shon Carson (Lake City HS, South Carolina)
  137. 2B Christian Lopes (Edison HS, California)
  138. SS Connor Barron (Sumrall HS, Mississippi)
  139. Oregon JR RHP Scott McGough
  140. OF James Harris (Oakland Technical HS, California)
  141. UC Irvine JR RHP Matt Summers
  142. 1B Rookie Davis (Dixon HS, North Carolina)
  143. 1B Wallace Gonzalez (Bishop Amat HS, California)
  144. Southern California JR 1B Ricky Oropesa
  145. RHP Dylan Davis (Redmond HS, Washington)
  146. RHP Christian Montgomery (Lawrence Central HS, Indiana)
  147. RHP Michael Cederoth (Steele Canyon HS, California)
  148. Clemson SO RHP Kevin Brady
  149. Gonzaga JR LHP Ryan Carpenter
  150. Cal State Fullerton JR RHP Noe Ramirez
  151. Wichita State JR LHP Charlie Lowell
  152.  RHP Jordan Cote (Winnisquam HS, New Hampshire)
  153. RHP Mason Hope (Broken Arrow HS, Oklahoma)
  154. RHP Michael Fulmer (Deer Creek HS, Oklahoma)
  155. Rice JR OF Jeremy Rathjen
  156. San Diego JR C Zach Kometani
  157. C Tyler Marlette (Hagerty HS, Florida)
  158. North Carolina JR C Jacob Stallings
  159. Western Kentucky SO OF Kes Carter
  160. Long Beach State JR RHP Andrew Gagnon
  161. Loyola Marymount JR LHP Jason Wheeler
  162. Cal State Fullerton JR RHP Tyler Pill
  163. Southern Cal JR RHP Andrew Triggs
  164. Louisville JR RHP Tony Zych
  165. Washington State JR LHP Adam Conley
  166. Hawaii JR RHP Lenny Linsky
  167. Central Florida SO OF Ronnie Richardson
  168. Kansas State JR OF Nick Martini
  169. Arizona State JR OF Johnny Ruettiger
  170. Nebraska JR 3B Cody Asche
  171. Oklahoma JR C Tyler Ogle
  172. OF Josh Tobias (Southeast Guilford HS, North Carolina)
  173. Coastal Carolina JR 2B Tommy La Stella
  174. RHP Adrian Houser (Locust Grove HS, Oklahoma)
  175. RHP Kody Watts (Skyview HS, Washington)
  176. LHP Adam McCreery (Bonita HS, California)
  177. RHP Hawtin Buchanan (Biloxi HS, Mississippi)
  178. C Grayson Greiner (Blythewood HS, South Carolina)
  179. Washington State JR 1B Taylor Ard
  180. McNeese State JR 2B Jace Peterson
  181. 3B Matt Papi (Tunkhannock HS, Pennsylvania)
  182. OF Sean Trent (Bishop Moore Catholic HS, Florida)
  183. Clemson JR OF Will Lamb
  184. Texas SO OF Cohl Walla
  185. Wichita State SO 1B Johnny Coy
  186. Pittsburgh SR C Kevan Smith
  187. Arkansas JR C James McCann
  188. Georgia JR OF Zach Cone
  189. Virginia JR C John Hicks
  190. James Madison JR C Jake Lowery
  191. 3B Nicholas Howard (St. John’s College HS, Washington DC)
  192. RHP Jerrick Suiter (Valparaiso HS, Indiana)
  193. RHP Ricky Jacquez (Franklin HS, Texas)
  194. RHP Jake Junis (Rock Falls HS, Illinois)
  195. Green River CC SO RHP Cody Hebner
  196. Oklahoma State JR LHP Chris Marlowe
  197. Miami-Dade CC SO RHP Jharel Cotton
  198. Rice SR LHP Tony Cingrani
  199. Texas A&M JR RHP Ross Stripling
  200. Stanford JR LHP Chris Reed
  201. Kentucky JR RHP Braden Kapteyn
  202. Villanova RHP Kyle McMyne
  203. Oregon JR RHP Madison Boer
  204. Alabama JR LHP Adam Morgan
  205. California JR RHP Erik Johnson
  206. OF Shawon Dunston (Valley Christian HS, California)
  207. OF Charles Tilson (New Trier HS, Illinois)
  208. 2B Dante Flores (St. John Bosco HS, California)
  209. 2B TJ Costen (First Colonial HS, Virginia)
  210. Clemson SR OF Jeff Schaus
  211. Arizona JR C Jett Bandy
  212. C Greg Bird (Grandview HS, Colorado)
  213. C Brandon Sedell (American Heritage HS, Florida)
  214. RHP Tayler Scott (Notre Dame Prep, Arizona)
  215. LHP Kevin Matthews (Richmond Hill HS, Georgia)
  216. RHP Ryan Keller (West Ranch HS, California)
  217. RHP Danny Keller (Newbury Park HS, California)
  218. North Carolina State JR RHP Cory Mazzoni
  219. Virginia SR RHP Tyler Wilson
  220. Kansas JR RHP Colton Murray
  221. Santa Clara JR RHP JR Graham
  222. Stanford JR LHP Brett Mooneyham
  223. Texas JR RHP Austin Dicharry
  224. Vanderbilt SR RHP Taylor Hill
  225. LHP Philip Pfeifer (Farragut HS, Tennessee)
  226. LHP Stephen Tarpley (Gilbert HS, Arizona)
  227. LHP Dillon Peters (Cathedral HS, Indiana)
  228. 3B Austin Slater (The Bolles School, Florida)
  229. 1B Ryan Krill (Portage Central HS, Michigan)
  230. Clemson JR 3B John Hinson
  231. Texas State JR 3B Kyle Kubitza
  232. OF Tyler Gibson (Stratford Academy, Georgia)
  233. OF John Norwood (Seton Hall Prep HS, New Jersey)
  234. TCU JR SS Taylor Featherston
  235. Cal State Fullerton JR 1B Nick Ramirez
  236. North Carolina State JR 1B Harold Riggins
  237. TCU SO 3B Jantzen Witte
  238. Virginia JR 3B Steven Proscia
  239. OF Gabriel Rosa (International Baseball Academy, Puerto Rico)
  240. Arizona State JR 2B Zack MacPhee
  241. SS Drake Roberts (Brenham HS, Texas)
  242. SS Mikal Hill (Mallard Creek HS, North Carolina)
  243. 3B Patrick Leonard (St. Thomas HS, Texas)
  244. 3B Hunter Cole (Moore HS, South Carolina)
  245. RHP Taylor Nunez (Salmen HS, Louisiana)
  246. RHP Cole Wiper (Newport HS, Washington)
  247. Dayton JR LHP Cameron Hobson
  248. Oregon State JR RHP Sam Gaviglio
  249. Merced JC FR RHP Jake Sisco
  250. Johnson County CC SO RHP Jeff Soptic
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